| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.807938941869162 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | 0.600779678189444 |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 13 | 83 | 66.0475427350427 | 16.9524572649573 |
| 14 | 100 | 97.0447924204738 | 2.95520757952619 |
| 15 | 101 | 100.441452339313 | 0.558547660687452 |
| 16 | 98 | 97.5684240459712 | 0.43157595402883 |
| 17 | 92 | 91.0094770329714 | 0.990522967028625 |
| 18 | 85 | 84.1104584115489 | 0.889541588451124 |
| 19 | 92 | 102.25485300197 | -10.25485300197 |
| 20 | 94 | 86.0619238859005 | 7.93807611409947 |
| 21 | 90 | 89.2761040027022 | 0.723895997297788 |
| 22 | 99 | 87.9533337361483 | 11.0466662638517 |
| 23 | 108 | 101.887398222579 | 6.11260177742095 |
| 24 | 106 | 115.001706535395 | -9.00170653539541 |
| 25 | 99 | 127.818992603921 | -28.8189926039206 |
| 26 | 100 | 120.220613533565 | -20.220613533565 |
| 27 | 99 | 104.616083151549 | -5.61608315154851 |
| 28 | 93 | 96.7396793676543 | -3.73967936765428 |
| 29 | 92 | 86.8751076166189 | 5.12489238338107 |
| 30 | 93 | 83.3047551709487 | 9.69524482905135 |
| 31 | 98 | 107.277708963151 | -9.27770896315106 |
| 32 | 95 | 93.9734688128312 | 1.02653118716879 |
| 33 | 86 | 90.7711245013165 | -4.77112450131645 |
| 34 | 85 | 86.1998202873826 | -1.19982028738261 |
| 35 | 83 | 89.6701475447815 | -6.67014754478146 |
| 36 | 85 | 90.7127895630909 | -5.71278956309091 |
| 37 | 80 | 103.90067481544 | -23.9006748154397 |
| 38 | 84 | 101.268132055671 | -17.2681320556711 |
| 39 | 86 | 89.7341903373465 | -3.73419033734646 |
| 40 | 87 | 83.5947524838187 | 3.40524751618128 |
| 41 | 85 | 80.525696249819 | 4.47430375018099 |
| 42 | 83 | 76.9570643394626 | 6.04293566053744 |
| 43 | 76 | 95.7899548574713 | -19.7899548574713 |
| 44 | 70 | 75.1814308593996 | -5.18143085939958 |
| 45 | 78 | 66.2944617543973 | 11.7055382456027 |
| 46 | 83 | 75.4473748733566 | 7.55262512664342 |
| 47 | 88 | 85.3579423538742 | 2.64205764612581 |
| 48 | 90 | 94.034743653132 | -4.03474365313203 |
| 49 | 90 | 106.479753290588 | -16.4797532905878 |
| 50 | 97 | 110.608167119167 | -13.6081671191671 |
| 51 | 102 | 103.592886150356 | -1.59288615035553 |
| 52 | 101 | 100.007285230012 | 0.992714769988112 |
| 53 | 98 | 95.1124043714305 | 2.8875956285695 |
| 54 | 98 | 90.4428079390252 | 7.55719206097477 |
| 55 | 100 | 107.518361431118 | -7.51836143111821 |
| 56 | 102 | 98.5101603524392 | 3.48983964756076 |
| 57 | 108 | 98.5775746114527 | 9.42242538854727 |
| 58 | 112 | 105.406682330371 | 6.59331766962924 |
| 59 | 110 | 113.975575350398 | -3.97557535039795 |
| 60 | 110 | 116.535321312214 | -6.53532131221441 |
| 61 | 117 | 125.52403226193 | -8.52403226192958 |
| 62 | 120 | 136.411524855388 | -16.4115248553878 |
| 63 | 119 | 128.517701787537 | -9.51770178753685 |
| 64 | 113 | 118.827676838905 | -5.82767683890491 |
| 65 | 123 | 108.640979444824 | 14.3590205551759 |
| 66 | 120 | 113.778401761002 | 6.22159823899841 |
| 67 | 129 | 128.03536343935 | 0.964636560650149 |
| 68 | 132 | 127.151103262467 | 4.84889673753275 |
| 69 | 136 | 129.001092265517 | 6.99890773448303 |
| 70 | 141 | 133.545705195122 | 7.45429480487758 |
| 71 | 122 | 141.590708857226 | -19.5907088572255 |
| 72 | 137 | 131.239020554353 | 5.76097944564668 |
| 73 | 145 | 149.93292156854 | -4.93292156854048 |
| 74 | 155 | 162.81170311262 | -7.81170311262034 |
| 75 | 148 | 162.661464216846 | -14.6614642168462 |
| 76 | 153 | 149.241371917354 | 3.7586280826456 |
| 77 | 172 | 149.129093528546 | 22.8709064714539 |
| 78 | 169 | 160.204652235969 | 8.79534776403096 |
| 79 | 180 | 175.934464600683 | 4.06553539931681 |
| 80 | 190 | 178.003732073851 | 11.9962679261495 |
| 81 | 233 | 185.876442579573 | 47.1235574204267 |
| 82 | 231 | 222.89186798518 | 8.10813201482026 |
| 83 | 245 | 228.344507102343 | 16.6554928976569 |
| 84 | 299 | 250.202776249903 | 48.7972237500973 |
| 85 | 385 | 302.433404415896 | 82.5665955841039 |
| 86 | 381 | 385.674281079159 | -4.67428107915867 |
| 87 | 322 | 387.268518478844 | -65.2685184788438 |
| 88 | 317 | 335.086444090333 | -18.0864440903334 |
| 89 | 323 | 319.529977835183 | 3.47002216481724 |
| 90 | 393 | 313.306678829044 | 79.6933211709559 |
| 91 | 372 | 385.771968878679 | -13.771968878679 |
| 92 | 387 | 374.34472054244 | 12.6552794575604 |
| 93 | 413 | 386.803082925955 | 26.1969170740447 |
| 94 | 405 | 402.409211944339 | 2.59078805566054 |
| 95 | 407 | 404.390423057989 | 2.60957694201096 |
| 96 | 392 | 418.609167723147 | -26.6091677231473 |
| 97 | 363 | 413.812561346398 | -50.8125613463982 |
| 98 | 358 | 379.22481408486 | -21.2248140848603 |
| 99 | 375 | 360.45548161593 | 14.5445183840702 |
| 100 | 370 | 378.201636575253 | -8.20163657525313 |
| 101 | 386 | 373.118813866206 | 12.8811861337937 |
| 102 | 353 | 383.29429131599 | -30.2942913159903 |
| 103 | 347 | 356.111684574624 | -9.11168457462401 |
| 104 | 363 | 351.4990059451 | 11.5009940548997 |
| 105 | 350 | 364.587296755046 | -14.5872967550459 |
| 106 | 347 | 344.518445417701 | 2.48155458229866 |
| 107 | 333 | 346.41357053606 | -13.4135705360595 |
| 108 | 327 | 344.315145186962 | -17.3151451869622 |
| 109 | 328 | 344.234799553045 | -16.2347995530454 |
| 110 | 309 | 340.997795636507 | -31.9977956365066 |
| 111 | 286 | 317.651845665485 | -31.6518456654852 |
| 112 | 319 | 295.449562640888 | 23.5504373591115 |
| 113 | 285 | 318.453147555788 | -33.453147555788 |
| 114 | 301 | 286.211450394422 | 14.7885496055782 |
| 115 | 315 | 297.897210769288 | 17.1027892307117 |
| 116 | 388 | 316.842648751227 | 71.1573512487734 |
| 117 | 383 | 375.11940021304 | 7.88059978695981 |
| 118 | 417 | 375.172750412333 | 41.8272495876665 |
| 119 | 423 | 407.022713762309 | 15.9772862376911 |
| 120 | 430 | 428.220117557639 | 1.77988244236144 |
| 121 | 486 | 443.692045514119 | 42.3079544858811 |
| 122 | 394 | 485.935177282892 | -91.9351772828922 |
| 123 | 411 | 414.20340052114 | -3.20340052114011 |
| 124 | 431 | 421.355315808684 | 9.64468419131572 |
| 125 | 447 | 426.546463873241 | 20.4535361267586 |
| 126 | 432 | 443.424510520138 | -11.4245105201375 |
| 127 | 457 | 434.198750568289 | 22.8012494317107 |
| 128 | 453 | 463.985356726709 | -10.9853567267087 |
| 129 | 441 | 448.594540291129 | -7.59454029112868 |
| 130 | 416 | 440.061903247732 | -24.0619032477315 |
| 131 | 451 | 415.694720463127 | 35.3052795368727 |
| 132 | 432 | 450.869775673821 | -18.8697756738212 |
| 133 | 436 | 454.334428251664 | -18.3344282516645 |
| 134 | 429 | 432.092388370869 | -3.09238837086912 |
| 135 | 421 | 442.378599048717 | -21.3785990487168 |
| 136 | 425 | 436.328557663482 | -11.3285576634819 |
| 137 | 437 | 425.821801200624 | 11.1781987993764 |
| 138 | 432 | 431.527649195493 | 0.472350804506732 |
| 139 | 413 | 435.863013361276 | -22.8630133612756 |
| 140 | 419 | 424.857169156854 | -5.85716915685384 |
| 141 | 436 | 414.000869196277 | 21.9991308037231 |
| 142 | 421 | 427.478002052099 | -6.47800205209916 |
| 143 | 424 | 424.167702147093 | -0.167702147093223 |
| 144 | 402 | 424.431690526301 | -22.4316905263008 |
| 145 | 403 | 425.080305188662 | -22.0803051886616 |
| 146 | 400 | 401.570549275294 | -1.57054927529447 |
| 147 | 426 | 410.976333354944 | 15.0236666450559 |
| 148 | 418 | 435.496737897269 | -17.496737897269 |
| 149 | 403 | 422.603441592535 | -19.6034415925348 |
| 150 | 405 | 402.204294567751 | 2.79570543224895 |
| 151 | 394 | 405.724204199732 | -11.7242041997322 |
| 152 | 400 | 405.680080496408 | -5.68008049640827 |
| 153 | 376 | 398.181094992818 | -22.1810949928177 |
| 154 | 367 | 372.677429674193 | -5.67742967419349 |
| 155 | 354 | 370.742066036231 | -16.7420660362308 |
| 156 | 348 | 355.046019353747 | -7.04601935374683 |
| 157 | 364 | 368.165861985548 | -4.16586198554774 |
| 158 | 329 | 361.496428861693 | -32.4964288616931 |
| 159 | 348 | 347.830737027481 | 0.169262972518766 |
| 160 | 330 | 356.597278605592 | -26.597278605592 |
| 161 | 351 | 336.108216155941 | 14.8917838440587 |
| 162 | 336 | 346.163661575817 | -10.1636615758172 |
| 163 | 332 | 337.537794119532 | -5.53779411953172 |
| 164 | 349 | 343.189321588983 | 5.81067841101742 |
| 165 | 384 | 343.070175337769 | 40.9298246622311 |
| 166 | 370 | 370.460577874978 | -0.460577874978071 |
| 167 | 346 | 371.463403616023 | -25.4634036160226 |
| 168 | 338 | 349.839840411395 | -11.8398404113947 |
| 169 | 335 | 359.418899264923 | -24.4188992649225 |
| 170 | 338 | 333.117287057013 | 4.88271294298738 |
| 171 | 347 | 353.420835454151 | -6.42083545415085 |
| 172 | 372 | 353.774485526142 | 18.2255144738579 |
| 173 | 376 | 374.286775843282 | 1.71322415671835 |
| 174 | 373 | 370.803692530268 | 2.19630746973172 |
| 175 | 392 | 372.697687489542 | 19.302312510458 |
| 176 | 374 | 399.727963597278 | -25.7279635972784 |
| 177 | 385 | 378.179791472973 | 6.82020852702703 |
| 178 | 372 | 373.235818097999 | -1.23581809799941 |
| 179 | 372 | 370.727311504116 | 1.27268849588444 |
| 180 | 352 | 372.276851920471 | -20.2768519204712 |
| 181 | 353 | 373.58786854914 | -20.5878685491401 |
| 182 | 330 | 353.762502225253 | -23.7625022252529 |
| 183 | 348 | 349.618190251174 | -1.61819025117427 |
| 184 | 346 | 356.695937522205 | -10.6959375222055 |
| 185 | 361 | 351.93616709962 | 9.06383290037991 |
| 186 | 364 | 354.447668072118 | 9.55233192788165 |
| 187 | 375 | 364.2586816583 | 10.7413183416999 |
| 188 | 369 | 379.176316614143 | -10.1763166141431 |
| 189 | 342 | 373.948541477427 | -31.9485414774273 |
| 190 | 338 | 336.752229491208 | 1.24777050879214 |
| 191 | 337 | 336.539758345155 | 0.460241654844765 |
| 192 | 333 | 334.946367846119 | -1.94636784611868 |
| 193 | 336 | 351.031409298651 | -15.0314092986509 |
| 194 | 322 | 335.329013292219 | -13.3290132922189 |
| 195 | 329 | 342.169475338404 | -13.169475338404 |
| 196 | 322 | 338.867041156347 | -16.8670411563474 |
| 197 | 325 | 331.401404185886 | -6.40140418588567 |
| 198 | 331 | 321.474304005908 | 9.52569599409196 |
| 199 | 311 | 331.400990222916 | -20.4009902229159 |
| 200 | 318 | 318.743931159414 | -0.743931159413535 |
| 201 | 312 | 318.624729319608 | -6.62472931960775 |
| 202 | 315 | 305.718913624834 | 9.28108637516561 |
| 203 | 333 | 311.906001095409 | 21.0939989045908 |
| 204 | 311 | 326.705736635451 | -15.7057366354514 |
| 205 | 321 | 330.16421265307 | -9.16421265307031 |
| 206 | 316 | 319.398586609901 | -3.39858660990149 |
| 207 | 284 | 334.280635589182 | -50.2806355891819 |
| 208 | 281 | 300.568001125455 | -19.5680011254551 |
| 209 | 280 | 292.127745387227 | -12.1277453872273 |
| 210 | 266 | 279.411881601015 | -13.4118816010152 |
| 211 | 268 | 267.353273637968 | 0.646726362031984 |
| 212 | 278 | 273.969641341347 | 4.03035865865331 |
| 213 | 292 | 277.029210150015 | 14.9707898499853 |
| 214 | 263 | 283.406569867284 | -20.4065698672841 |
| 215 | 265 | 266.970892989014 | -1.9708929890142 |
| 216 | 266 | 258.889415883654 | 7.11058411634576 |
| 217 | 251 | 281.536888723394 | -30.5368887233943 |
| 218 | 256 | 254.168720112627 | 1.83127988737337 |
| 219 | 280 | 267.866631944474 | 12.1333680555262 |
| 220 | 283 | 288.124521275697 | -5.12452127569662 |
| 221 | 289 | 292.212219545282 | -3.21221954528227 |
| 222 | 308 | 286.551384443988 | 21.4486155560119 |
| 223 | 293 | 304.28010155751 | -11.2801015575103 |
| 224 | 281 | 301.650745616034 | -20.6507456160335 |
| 225 | 274 | 286.031865911276 | -12.0318659112763 |
| 226 | 277 | 266.510663008759 | 10.4893369912415 |
| 227 | 278 | 277.164218456529 | 0.835781543471057 |
| 228 | 250 | 272.398241777682 | -22.3982417776825 |
| 229 | 265 | 266.86037941545 | -1.8603794154501 |
| 230 | 269 | 266.395925217217 | 2.60407478278319 |
| 231 | 262 | 281.906928806483 | -19.9069288064834 |
| 232 | 258 | 274.286889205449 | -16.2868892054486 |
| 233 | 251 | 269.576729316588 | -18.5767293165885 |
| 234 | 243 | 254.34783295562 | -11.3478329556199 |
| 235 | 247 | 241.802573949017 | 5.19742605098335 |
| 236 | 224 | 251.404809525457 | -27.4048095254574 |
| 237 | 241 | 231.323559907195 | 9.67644009280545 |
| 238 | 255 | 231.939982879241 | 23.0600171207588 |
| 239 | 261 | 251.635991505458 | 9.3640084945423 |
| 240 | 267 | 251.079411625432 | 15.9205883745677 |
| 241 | 264 | 278.870613955295 | -14.8706139552954 |
| 242 | 270 | 268.40982184119 | 1.59017815881037 |
| 243 | 275 | 280.504195634906 | -5.50419563490595 |
| 244 | 281 | 284.938388300081 | -3.93838830008099 |
| 245 | 301 | 289.940846803576 | 11.0591531964243 |
| 246 | 321 | 299.490050189052 | 21.5099498109477 |
| 247 | 355 | 315.400970977496 | 39.5990290225043 |
| 248 | 319 | 349.035747291568 | -30.0357472915677 |
| 249 | 299 | 331.107531783587 | -32.1075317835874 |
| 250 | 319 | 299.50933924476 | 19.4906607552404 |
| 251 | 328 | 314.741193000497 | 13.258806999503 |
| 252 | 348 | 318.087912525467 | 29.9120874745328 |
| 253 | 335 | 353.630506439181 | -18.6305064391807 |
| 254 | 333 | 342.031301995548 | -9.03130199554806 |
| 255 | 331 | 344.725574236902 | -13.7255742369022 |
| 256 | 318 | 342.698067814908 | -24.6980678149082 |
| 257 | 325 | 332.658484850279 | -7.6584848502788 |
| 258 | 318 | 328.290859154758 | -10.2908591547579 |
| 259 | 313 | 320.595901377221 | -7.5959013772208 |
| 260 | 313 | 308.065150753054 | 4.93484924694582 |
| 261 | 315 | 318.151986294816 | -3.15198629481648 |
| 262 | 298 | 315.901835226971 | -17.9018352269707 |
| 263 | 311 | 300.203764295089 | 10.7962357049112 |
| 264 | 309 | 303.482438334768 | 5.51756166523234 |
| 265 | 297 | 313.714590657388 | -16.7145906573884 |
| 266 | 294 | 304.770946641525 | -10.7709466415247 |
| 267 | 291 | 305.518037144446 | -14.5180371444459 |
| 268 | 292 | 301.584192758278 | -9.58419275827805 |
| 269 | 290 | 305.721833821313 | -15.7218338213126 |
| 270 | 287 | 294.53577434658 | -7.53577434658041 |
| 271 | 281 | 289.377718297802 | -8.37771829780212 |
| 272 | 295 | 277.661185300019 | 17.3388146999805 |
| 273 | 289 | 296.836556880436 | -7.83655688043598 |
| 274 | 286 | 289.099627126431 | -3.0996271264309 |
| 275 | 295 | 288.67220308243 | 6.32779691757048 |
| 276 | 291 | 287.731564324142 | 3.26843567585831 |
| 277 | 315 | 293.581272583175 | 21.4187274168249 |
| 278 | 306 | 316.132836793291 | -10.1328367932908 |
| 279 | 304 | 316.963117880516 | -12.9631178805158 |
| 280 | 309 | 314.85485176578 | -5.85485176577964 |
| 281 | 307 | 321.297372455884 | -14.2973724558844 |
| 282 | 299 | 312.206750564426 | -13.206750564426 |
| 283 | 294 | 302.369743125556 | -8.36974312555554 |
| 284 | 295 | 293.626991246677 | 1.37300875332295 |
| 285 | 296 | 296.998071455107 | -0.998071455107151 |
| 286 | 294 | 295.332797559558 | -1.33279755955846 |
| 287 | 292 | 297.420660266008 | -5.42066026600827 |
| 288 | 290 | 286.6349768213 | 3.36502317869991 |
| 289 | 289 | 294.657018357754 | -5.65701835775405 |
| 290 | 310 | 291.692412376917 | 18.3075876230827 |
| 291 | 297 | 315.174243982408 | -18.1742439824082 |
| 292 | 301 | 309.67590325897 | -8.67590325896975 |
| 293 | 302 | 312.865034684321 | -10.865034684321 |
| 294 | 297 | 306.673375052921 | -9.6733750529209 |
| 295 | 305 | 300.249244067816 | 4.75075593218406 |
| 296 | 298 | 303.231235191771 | -5.23123519177142 |
| 297 | 299 | 300.992899171764 | -1.99289917176412 |
| 298 | 273 | 298.48524238976 | -25.4852423897602 |
| 299 | 267 | 280.587720694062 | -13.5877206940618 |
| 300 | 266 | 264.217299303561 | 1.78270069643884 |
| 301 | 284 | 269.919900168616 | 14.0800998313842 |
| 302 | 276 | 285.666869722006 | -9.66686972200614 |
| 303 | 284 | 282.337541350603 | 1.66245864939737 |
| 304 | 285 | 293.962024320379 | -8.96202432037876 |
| 305 | 267 | 296.667391446088 | -29.6673914460884 |
| 306 | 273 | 275.422076879829 | -2.42207687982892 |
| 307 | 262 | 276.520900336934 | -14.5209003369342 |
| 308 | 246 | 262.780784058814 | -16.7807840588136 |
| 309 | 251 | 251.58477762093 | -0.584777620930055 |
| 310 | 248 | 247.504100616724 | 0.495899383275969 |
| 311 | 255 | 251.970567081411 | 3.02943291858935 |
| 312 | 245 | 250.799328491624 | -5.79932849162373 |
| 313 | 251 | 251.795065095416 | -0.795065095416476 |
| 314 | 261 | 252.783732768441 | 8.2162672315591 |
| 315 | 259 | 265.210137341101 | -6.21013734110142 |
| 316 | 271 | 269.248122799896 | 1.75187720010422 |
| 317 | 258 | 278.220550809725 | -20.2205508097255 |
| 318 | 253 | 267.751444909956 | -14.7514449099558 |
| 319 | 239 | 257.492852357483 | -18.4928523574827 |
| 320 | 241 | 240.282881563262 | 0.717118436737678 |
| 321 | 281 | 245.09291051717 | 35.9070894828301 |
| 322 | 285 | 270.620129415823 | 14.3798705841767 |
| 323 | 289 | 286.596332146521 | 2.40366785347919 |
| 324 | 290 | 283.900794767012 | 6.09920523298791 |
| 325 | 290 | 295.087243959403 | -5.08724395940277 |
| 326 | 305 | 293.647878205209 | 11.3521217947913 |
| 327 | 289 | 306.943251185439 | -17.9432511854389 |
| 328 | 302 | 302.420305100972 | -0.420305100971916 |
| 329 | 294 | 307.102423497753 | -13.1024234977531 |
| 330 | 301 | 303.015390181929 | -2.01539018192904 |
| 331 | 299 | 302.615044745924 | -3.61504474592437 |
| 332 | 312 | 299.642003093951 | 12.3579969060488 |
| 333 | 310 | 317.917594476607 | -7.91759447660723 |
| 334 | 312 | 305.553196714144 | 6.44680328585599 |
| 335 | 309 | 313.738074758476 | -4.73807475847588 |
| 336 | 292 | 305.698860092913 | -13.6988600929126 |
| 337 | 284 | 299.598917449683 | -15.5989174496826 |
| 338 | 290 | 291.563640253801 | -1.56364025380128 |
| 339 | 292 | 291.043579051713 | 0.956420948287075 |
| 340 | 297 | 303.81232340047 | -6.8123234004704 |
| 341 | 316 | 301.866737554577 | 14.1332624454235 |
| 342 | 320 | 321.063768167739 | -1.0637681677386 |
| 343 | 304 | 321.247696864434 | -17.2476968644341 |
| 344 | 301 | 309.103376149899 | -8.10337614989857 |
| 345 | 322 | 308.507900330415 | 13.4920996695849 |
| 346 | 309 | 315.098684070865 | -6.0986840708652 |
| 347 | 308 | 311.856991738907 | -3.85699173890686 |
| 348 | 311 | 303.495685767934 | 7.50431423206646 |
| 349 | 328 | 314.307372611581 | 13.6926273884191 |
| 350 | 343 | 331.557354995614 | 11.4426450043856 |
| 351 | 345 | 341.836358883917 | 3.16364111608317 |
| 352 | 342 | 355.491995066556 | -13.4919950665557 |
| 353 | 350 | 350.566477705058 | -0.566477705058389 |
| 354 | 322 | 356.133485455501 | -34.1334854555008 |
| 355 | 311 | 327.731696801046 | -16.7316968010464 |
| 356 | 319 | 317.059402702908 | 1.94059729709232 |
| 357 | 328 | 327.070667956578 | 0.929332043421596 |
| 358 | 320 | 321.250992883378 | -1.25099288337827 |
| 359 | 321 | 322.184599804766 | -1.18459980476649 |
| 360 | 331 | 317.293363321299 | 13.7066366787008 |
| 361 | 342 | 333.83019505734 | 8.16980494265977 |
| 362 | 322 | 346.358456794491 | -24.358456794491 |
| 363 | 307 | 326.757072083215 | -19.7570720832149 |
| 364 | 302 | 319.972337919413 | -17.9723379194128 |
| 365 | 307 | 312.918405761141 | -5.91840576114083 |
| 366 | 301 | 310.288206885855 | -9.28820688585489 |
| 367 | 315 | 303.967815719889 | 11.0321842801112 |
| 368 | 342 | 317.881570759928 | 24.1184292400721 |
| 369 | 333 | 345.694483849017 | -12.6944838490166 |
| 370 | 332 | 328.616017577414 | 3.38398242258626 |
| 371 | 332 | 333.302062400137 | -1.30206240013695 |
| 372 | 330 | 330.034169193581 | -0.0341691935807944 |
| 373 | 322 | 334.830393798193 | -12.8303937981934 |
| 374 | 319 | 326.638458793417 | -7.63845879341665 |
| 375 | 345 | 321.07674870321 | 23.9232512967903 |
| 376 | 324 | 349.788982807219 | -25.7889828072185 |
| 377 | 322 | 337.810538454231 | -15.8105384542308 |
| 378 | 325 | 326.799271202612 | -1.79927120261243 |
| 379 | 325 | 328.874179199271 | -3.87417919927088 |
| 380 | 335 | 332.2544771455 | 2.74552285450045 |
| 381 | 335 | 338.551678060514 | -3.55167806051355 |
| 382 | 335 | 330.715276653621 | 4.28472334637877 |
| 383 | 341 | 335.588359393336 | 5.41164060666432 |
| 384 | 320 | 337.891025898333 | -17.8910258983326 |
| 385 | 324 | 326.783490548092 | -2.78349054809212 |
| 386 | 328 | 327.307918513277 | 0.692081486722941 |
| 387 | 329 | 332.118567818108 | -3.11856781810792 |
| 388 | 338 | 333.246548430606 | 4.75345156939358 |
| 389 | 336 | 347.09590276884 | -11.0959027688403 |
| 390 | 361 | 341.510482701312 | 19.4895172986884 |
| 391 | 353 | 360.546015829375 | -7.54601582937465 |
| 392 | 352 | 361.723517435235 | -9.72351743523512 |
| 393 | 393 | 357.219883910334 | 35.7801160896664 |
| 394 | 393 | 382.06538464698 | 10.9346153530199 |
| 395 | 420 | 392.441205002093 | 27.5587949979068 |
| 396 | 435 | 409.948609642773 | 25.0513903572272 |
| 397 | 468 | 435.279128468664 | 32.7208715313359 |
| 398 | 466 | 464.889946841989 | 1.11005315801077 |
| 399 | 481 | 469.598594705263 | 11.4014052947367 |
| 400 | 511 | 483.366150856419 | 27.6338491435808 |
| 401 | 508 | 513.872669766822 | -5.87266976682156 |
| 402 | 480 | 516.036443967756 | -36.0364439677562 |
| 403 | 496 | 487.090858386091 | 8.90914161390947 |
| 404 | 487 | 501.311868455707 | -14.3118684557072 |
| 405 | 473 | 498.351627043383 | -25.3516270433827 |
| 406 | 473 | 470.939579511901 | 2.06042048809945 |
| 407 | 488 | 476.063796179182 | 11.9362038208179 |
| 408 | 479 | 480.65978068856 | -1.6597806885602 |
| 409 | 501 | 485.294257918133 | 15.7057420818672 |
| 410 | 503 | 497.510432685333 | 5.48956731466717 |
| 411 | 497 | 506.944942457768 | -9.94494245776764 |
| 412 | 496 | 505.338955938572 | -9.33895593857238 |
| 413 | 490 | 502.107509886153 | -12.1075098861526 |
| 414 | 482 | 495.753425225157 | -13.7534252251572 |
| 415 | 486 | 489.997266676594 | -3.99726667659394 |
| 416 | 493 | 491.111298580598 | 1.88870141940174 |
| 417 | 522 | 499.966290663651 | 22.0337093363491 |
| 418 | 546 | 514.001678619064 | 31.9983213809363 |
| 419 | 534 | 544.453422150794 | -10.4534221507937 |
| 420 | 570 | 529.391164499278 | 40.6088355007221 |
| 421 | 624 | 570.179847588476 | 53.8201524115235 |
| 422 | 640 | 612.011331276435 | 27.9886687235646 |
| 423 | 589 | 637.842809013715 | -48.8428090137147 |
| 424 | 559 | 604.879643939541 | -45.8796439395405 |
| 425 | 570 | 571.806099668673 | -1.80609966867291 |
| 426 | 590 | 573.585009264648 | 16.4149907353524 |
| 427 | 588 | 593.328816609508 | -5.32881660950784 |
| 428 | 566 | 594.04619802516 | -28.0461980251603 |
| 429 | 630 | 581.040078678654 | 48.9599213213459 |
| 430 | 576 | 617.97998237264 | -41.9799823726403 |
| 431 | 642 | 583.763420408045 | 58.2365795919551 |
| 432 | 626 | 630.090379182161 | -4.09037918216052 |
| 433 | 718 | 636.289232100661 | 81.7107678993389 |
| 434 | 750 | 697.674028743149 | 52.3259712568508 |
| 435 | 690 | 734.303254797448 | -44.3032547974478 |
| 436 | 667 | 705.349681246637 | -38.3496812466375 |
| 437 | 689 | 683.445373824073 | 5.5546261759265 |
| 438 | 666 | 693.273766144388 | -27.2737661443882 |
| 439 | 662 | 675.210786252165 | -13.2107862521648 |
| 440 | 666 | 666.938741034428 | -0.938741034428404 |
| 441 | 681 | 684.719249208659 | -3.71924920865933 |
| 442 | 705 | 668.604373257944 | 36.3956267420557 |
| 443 | 783 | 709.274144360775 | 73.7258556392245 |
| 444 | 758 | 760.923810242072 | -2.9238102420718 |
| 445 | 776 | 777.965463456993 | -1.96546345699335 |
| 446 | 812 | 768.354368945766 | 43.6456310542343 |
| 447 | 824 | 786.820713457782 | 37.1792865422181 |
| 448 | 887 | 824.38701944199 | 62.6129805580097 |
| 449 | 984 | 889.120337296646 | 94.8796627033537 |
| 450 | 1016 | 967.329955737427 | 48.6700442625732 |
| 451 | 897 | 1012.24761401849 | -115.247614018488 |
| 452 | 980 | 922.952069024962 | 57.0479309750382 |
| 453 | 957 | 987.261434850314 | -30.2614348503135 |
| 454 | 969 | 954.33080386543 | 14.6691961345696 |
| 455 | 1063 | 981.754345615674 | 81.2456543843257 |
| 456 | 1048 | 1030.63522221051 | 17.3647777894873 |
| 457 | 968 | 1064.17939593865 | -96.1793959386537 |
| 458 | 1022 | 983.71209562412 | 38.2879043758795 |
| 459 | 1014 | 997.103596023224 | 16.8964039767761 |
| 460 | 1035 | 1021.21727322968 | 13.7827267703212 |
| 461 | 1069 | 1050.22186317775 | 18.778136822255 |
| 462 | 1038 | 1061.61413469827 | -23.6141346982708 |
| 463 | 1133 | 1029.21672459452 | 103.783275405482 |
| 464 | 1260 | 1136.7653239858 | 123.234676014199 |
| 465 | 1207 | 1244.47522684036 | -37.4752268403565 |
| 466 | 1235 | 1210.90067527993 | 24.0993247200674 |
| 467 | 1297 | 1253.62520169827 | 43.3747983017306 |
| 468 | 1179 | 1264.53775575605 | -85.5377557560539 |
| 469 | 1332 | 1201.84151416008 | 130.158485839918 |
| 470 | 1323 | 1319.75709765997 | 3.24290234003183 |
| 471 | 1248 | 1302.3660883877 | -54.3660883877042 |
| 472 | 1248 | 1268.54474697473 | -20.5447469747312 |
| 473 | 1260 | 1270.39123639417 | -10.3912363941661 |
| 474 | 1260 | 1253.32494460297 | 6.67505539702984 |
| 475 | 1317 | 1260.09927675688 | 56.9007232431229 |
| 476 | 1308 | 1332.0140632777 | -24.014063277697 |
| 477 | 1380 | 1302.21224148471 | 77.7877585152946 |
| 478 | 1327 | 1368.86800899678 | -41.8680089967786 |
| 479 | 1327 | 1360.5190847468 | -33.5190847467975 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 480 | 1294.43132325906 | 1245.57162199756 | 1343.29102452057 |
| 481 | 1325.73277418611 | 1262.91878074778 | 1388.54676762444 |
| 482 | 1323.84391852716 | 1249.65547511461 | 1398.03236193971 |
| 483 | 1297.18554923405 | 1213.14834021159 | 1381.2227582565 |
| 484 | 1311.19120992255 | 1218.34413207628 | 1404.03828776881 |
| 485 | 1330.80817731097 | 1229.91760674614 | 1431.6987478758 |
| 486 | 1324.10658769849 | 1215.76806918728 | 1432.4451062097 |
| 487 | 1331.28324068883 | 1215.97685770198 | 1446.58962367568 |
| 488 | 1347.88925271954 | 1226.01271961404 | 1469.76578582504 |
| 489 | 1349.23587156612 | 1221.12569755124 | 1477.346045581 |
| 490 | 1339.23723383028 | 1205.18297597015 | 1473.29149169042 |
| 491 | 1365.67845661924 | 1225.93271816996 | 1505.42419506853 |
