| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 0.917553089744478 |
| beta | FALSE |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 2 | 28.24 | 26.81 | 1.43 |
| 3 | 27.58 | 28.1221009183346 | -0.542100918334604 |
| 4 | 27.98 | 27.6246945457634 | 0.355305454236632 |
| 5 | 26.81 | 27.9507061631013 | -1.14070616310126 |
| 6 | 28.24 | 26.9040476986571 | 1.33595230134287 |
| 7 | 27.58 | 28.1298548605055 | -0.549854860505526 |
| 8 | 27.98 | 27.6253338343377 | 0.354666165662341 |
| 9 | 27.84 | 27.950758870469 | -0.110758870468967 |
| 10 | 27.49 | 27.8491317266536 | -0.359131726653558 |
| 11 | 26.97 | 27.5196093012373 | -0.549609301237314 |
| 12 | 27.71 | 27.0153135887347 | 0.694686411265288 |
| 13 | 27.46 | 27.6527252517947 | -0.19272525179468 |
| 14 | 27.04 | 27.4758896015387 | -0.43588960153869 |
| 15 | 28 | 27.0759377508594 | 0.924062249140626 |
| 16 | 27.32 | 27.9238139226746 | -0.603813922674586 |
| 17 | 26.36 | 27.3697825922938 | -1.00978259229379 |
| 18 | 26.15 | 26.4432534547644 | -0.293253454764436 |
| 19 | 25.94 | 26.1741778412671 | -0.234177841267083 |
| 20 | 24 | 25.9593072394628 | -1.95930723946278 |
| 21 | 24.32 | 24.161538828135 | 0.158461171865017 |
| 22 | 23.1 | 24.3069353659843 | -1.20693536598426 |
| 23 | 22.92 | 23.1995080918035 | -0.279508091803521 |
| 24 | 23.56 | 22.9430445785606 | 0.616955421439378 |
| 25 | 22.17 | 23.5091339317369 | -1.33913393173693 |
| 26 | 22.36 | 22.28040745509 | 0.0795925449099606 |
| 27 | 19.86 | 22.3534378405928 | -2.4934378405928 |
| 28 | 20.07 | 20.0655762458711 | 0.00442375412892204 |
| 29 | 19.21 | 20.0696352751403 | -0.859635275140338 |
| 30 | 19.99 | 19.280874272382 | 0.709125727618023 |
| 31 | 20.47 | 19.9315347747752 | 0.538465225224805 |
| 32 | 21.17 | 20.4256052059002 | 0.744394794099833 |
| 33 | 21.25 | 21.1086269492162 | 0.141373050783827 |
| 34 | 21.18 | 21.2383442287695 | -0.058344228769478 |
| 35 | 21.21 | 21.1848103013933 | 0.0251896986067166 |
| 36 | 21.11 | 21.2079231871796 | -0.0979231871796102 |
| 37 | 21.94 | 21.1180734642253 | 0.821926535774669 |
| 38 | 22.56 | 21.8722346966684 | 0.687765303331645 |
| 39 | 23.23 | 22.5032958757594 | 0.726704124240648 |
| 40 | 19.5 | 23.1700854902864 | -3.67008549028641 |
| 41 | 19.32 | 19.8025872090477 | -0.482587209047736 |
| 42 | 19 | 19.3597878243148 | -0.359787824314822 |
| 43 | 18.98 | 19.0296633944623 | -0.0496633944623142 |
| 44 | 19.88 | 18.9840945934262 | 0.895905406573778 |
| 45 | 19.48 | 19.8061353673468 | -0.326135367346772 |
| 46 | 19.52 | 19.5068888533628 | 0.0131111466372076 |
| 47 | 19.52 | 19.5189190264699 | 0.00108097353014358 |
| 48 | 19.75 | 19.5199108770724 | 0.23008912292763 |
| 49 | 19.64 | 19.7310298627312 | -0.0910298627312116 |
| 50 | 20.23 | 19.6475051309232 | 0.582494869076829 |
| 51 | 20.4 | 20.1819750978049 | 0.218024902195076 |
| 52 | 20.91 | 20.3820245204553 | 0.527975479544747 |
| 53 | 21.95 | 20.8664700530209 | 1.08352994697914 |
| 54 | 21.83 | 21.8606663037022 | -0.0306663037022403 |
| 55 | 22.27 | 21.8325283419892 | 0.437471658010793 |
| 56 | 21.99 | 22.2339318134726 | -0.243931813472649 |
| 57 | 21.66 | 22.0101114243338 | -0.350111424333843 |
| 58 | 20.32 | 21.6888656051815 | -1.36886560518149 |
| 59 | 20.62 | 20.4328587397023 | 0.187141260297732 |
| 60 | 20.28 | 20.6045707813071 | -0.324570781307127 |
| 61 | 20.79 | 20.306759858078 | 0.483240141922003 |
| 62 | 22.86 | 20.7501583433871 | 2.10984165661291 |
| 63 | 22.59 | 22.6860500742839 | -0.0960500742838732 |
| 64 | 23.29 | 22.5979190318545 | 0.692080968145479 |
| 65 | 21.87 | 23.2329400625298 | -1.36294006252975 |
| 66 | 21.52 | 21.982370197019 | -0.462370197019048 |
| 67 | 22 | 21.5581209941385 | 0.441879005861544 |
| 68 | 27.84 | 21.9635684412599 | 5.87643155874007 |
| 69 | 27.49 | 27.3555063746538 | 0.134493625346156 |
| 70 | 26.97 | 27.4789114161411 | -0.508911416141146 |
| 71 | 27.71 | 27.0119581738546 | 0.698041826145403 |
| 72 | 27.46 | 27.6524486082052 | -0.19244860820519 |
| 73 | 27.04 | 27.4758667931295 | -0.435866793129495 |
| 74 | 28 | 27.0759358703765 | 0.924064129623492 |
| 75 | 27.32 | 27.9238137676346 | -0.603813767634584 |
| 76 | 26.36 | 27.3697825795112 | -1.00978257951122 |
| 77 | 26.15 | 26.4432534537106 | -0.293253453710552 |
| 78 | 25.94 | 26.1741778411802 | -0.234177841180195 |
| 79 | 24 | 25.9593072394556 | -1.95930723945562 |
| 80 | 24.32 | 24.1615388281344 | 0.158461171865607 |
| 81 | 23.1 | 24.3069353659842 | -1.20693536598421 |
| 82 | 22.92 | 23.1995080918035 | -0.279508091803514 |
| 83 | 23.56 | 22.9430445785606 | 0.616955421439382 |
| 84 | 22.17 | 23.5091339317369 | -1.33913393173693 |
| 85 | 22.36 | 22.28040745509 | 0.0795925449099606 |
| 86 | 19.86 | 22.3534378405928 | -2.4934378405928 |
| 87 | 20.07 | 20.0655762458711 | 0.00442375412892204 |
| 88 | 19.21 | 20.0696352751403 | -0.859635275140338 |
| 89 | 19.99 | 19.280874272382 | 0.709125727618023 |
| 90 | 20.47 | 19.9315347747752 | 0.538465225224805 |
| 91 | 21.17 | 20.4256052059002 | 0.744394794099833 |
| 92 | 21.25 | 21.1086269492162 | 0.141373050783827 |
| 93 | 21.18 | 21.2383442287695 | -0.058344228769478 |
| 94 | 21.21 | 21.1848103013933 | 0.0251896986067166 |
| 95 | 21.11 | 21.2079231871796 | -0.0979231871796102 |
| 96 | 21.94 | 21.1180734642253 | 0.821926535774669 |
| 97 | 22.56 | 21.8722346966684 | 0.687765303331645 |
| 98 | 23.23 | 22.5032958757594 | 0.726704124240648 |
| 99 | 19.5 | 23.1700854902864 | -3.67008549028641 |
| 100 | 19.32 | 19.8025872090477 | -0.482587209047736 |
| 101 | 19 | 19.3597878243148 | -0.359787824314822 |
| 102 | 18.98 | 19.0296633944623 | -0.0496633944623142 |
| 103 | 19.88 | 18.9840945934262 | 0.895905406573778 |
| 104 | 19.48 | 19.8061353673468 | -0.326135367346772 |
| 105 | 19.52 | 19.5068888533628 | 0.0131111466372076 |
| 106 | 19.52 | 19.5189190264699 | 0.00108097353014358 |
| 107 | 19.75 | 19.5199108770724 | 0.23008912292763 |
| 108 | 19.64 | 19.7310298627312 | -0.0910298627312116 |
| 109 | 20.23 | 19.6475051309232 | 0.582494869076829 |
| 110 | 20.4 | 20.1819750978049 | 0.218024902195076 |
| 111 | 20.91 | 20.3820245204553 | 0.527975479544747 |
| 112 | 21.95 | 20.8664700530209 | 1.08352994697914 |
| 113 | 21.83 | 21.8606663037022 | -0.0306663037022403 |
| 114 | 22.27 | 21.8325283419892 | 0.437471658010793 |
| 115 | 21.99 | 22.2339318134726 | -0.243931813472649 |
| 116 | 21.66 | 22.0101114243338 | -0.350111424333843 |
| 117 | 20.32 | 21.6888656051815 | -1.36886560518149 |
| 118 | 20.62 | 20.4328587397023 | 0.187141260297732 |
| 119 | 20.28 | 20.6045707813071 | -0.324570781307127 |
| 120 | 20.79 | 20.306759858078 | 0.483240141922003 |
| 121 | 22.86 | 20.7501583433871 | 2.10984165661291 |
| 122 | 22.59 | 22.6860500742839 | -0.0960500742838732 |
| 123 | 23.29 | 22.5979190318545 | 0.692080968145479 |
| 124 | 21.87 | 23.2329400625298 | -1.36294006252975 |
| 125 | 21.52 | 21.982370197019 | -0.462370197019048 |
| 126 | 22 | 21.5581209941385 | 0.441879005861544 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 127 | 21.9635684412599 | 19.9160856937014 | 24.0110511888185 |
| 128 | 21.9635684412599 | 19.1847913621665 | 24.7423455203534 |
| 129 | 21.9635684412599 | 18.6093146480833 | 25.3178222344366 |
| 130 | 21.9635684412599 | 18.119035314496 | 25.8081015680239 |
