| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1261 | 0 | 127 |
| Trend | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Low-pass | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 26.81 | 26.2745632367982 | -0.0682404101183047 | 27.4136771733201 | -0.535436763201798 |
| 2 | 28.24 | 28.8999763811396 | 0.062693975935708 | 27.5173296429247 | 0.659976381139632 |
| 3 | 27.58 | 27.5900985301617 | -0.0362669751362513 | 27.6061684449746 | 0.010098530161688 |
| 4 | 27.98 | 28.286441012224 | 0.0418132723143925 | 27.6317457154616 | 0.306441012224035 |
| 5 | 26.81 | 26.0574982093339 | -0.0682404101183047 | 27.6307422007844 | -0.752501790666095 |
| 6 | 28.24 | 28.7647533631289 | 0.062693975935708 | 27.6525526609354 | 0.524753363128863 |
| 7 | 27.58 | 27.3982519341576 | -0.0362669751362513 | 27.7980150409787 | -0.181748065842413 |
| 8 | 27.98 | 28.0974043588795 | 0.0418132723143925 | 27.8207823688061 | 0.117404358879512 |
| 9 | 27.84 | 28.0750857908717 | -0.0682404101183047 | 27.6731546192466 | 0.235085790871672 |
| 10 | 27.49 | 27.3994267037723 | 0.062693975935708 | 27.517879320292 | -0.090573296227678 |
| 11 | 26.97 | 26.5498738605312 | -0.0362669751362513 | 27.426393114605 | -0.420126139468795 |
| 12 | 27.71 | 28.0088134806227 | 0.0418132723143925 | 27.369373247063 | 0.298813480622652 |
| 13 | 27.46 | 27.5667666968174 | -0.0682404101183047 | 27.4214737133009 | 0.106766696817392 |
| 14 | 27.04 | 26.5280161371557 | 0.062693975935708 | 27.4892898869086 | -0.511983862844335 |
| 15 | 28 | 28.6775830476582 | -0.0362669751362513 | 27.358683927478 | 0.677583047658207 |
| 16 | 27.32 | 27.4928099435471 | 0.0418132723143925 | 27.1053767841385 | 0.172809943547072 |
| 17 | 26.36 | 26.1138288406375 | -0.0682404101183047 | 26.6744115694808 | -0.246171159362543 |
| 18 | 26.15 | 26.1849324125445 | 0.062693975935708 | 26.0523736115198 | 0.0349324125444603 |
| 19 | 25.94 | 26.5426048250438 | -0.0362669751362513 | 25.3736621500924 | 0.602604825043844 |
| 20 | 24 | 23.2514448613896 | 0.0418132723143925 | 24.706741866296 | -0.748555138610417 |
| 21 | 24.32 | 24.7610057861438 | -0.0682404101183047 | 23.9472346239745 | 0.441005786143805 |
| 22 | 23.1 | 22.6341651438141 | 0.062693975935708 | 23.5031408802502 | -0.465834856185893 |
| 23 | 22.92 | 22.6837217404978 | -0.0362669751362513 | 23.1925452346384 | -0.236278259502168 |
| 24 | 23.56 | 24.202496011928 | 0.0418132723143925 | 22.8756907157576 | 0.64249601192796 |
| 25 | 22.17 | 21.9891788952024 | -0.0682404101183047 | 22.4190615149159 | -0.180821104797552 |
| 26 | 22.36 | 23.0956155752573 | 0.062693975935708 | 21.5616904488069 | 0.735615575257341 |
| 27 | 19.86 | 19.0380984695267 | -0.0362669751362513 | 20.7181685056095 | -0.821901530473284 |
| 28 | 20.07 | 20.0791569826055 | 0.0418132723143925 | 20.0190297450801 | 0.00915698260550712 |
| 29 | 19.21 | 18.6666084919422 | -0.0682404101183047 | 19.8216319181762 | -0.543391508057848 |
| 30 | 19.99 | 19.8777272469089 | 0.062693975935708 | 20.0395787771554 | -0.112272753091119 |
| 31 | 20.47 | 20.5006140108614 | -0.0362669751362513 | 20.4756529642748 | 0.0306140108614095 |
| 32 | 21.17 | 21.4019658972097 | 0.0418132723143925 | 20.896220830476 | 0.231965897209651 |
| 33 | 21.25 | 21.4386860253148 | -0.0682404101183047 | 21.1295543848035 | 0.188686025314823 |
| 34 | 21.18 | 21.0992453632091 | 0.062693975935708 | 21.1980606608552 | -0.080754636790914 |
| 35 | 21.21 | 21.2052814638557 | -0.0362669751362513 | 21.2509855112806 | -0.00471853614430273 |
| 36 | 21.11 | 20.6754230693663 | 0.0418132723143925 | 21.5027636583193 | -0.434576930633661 |
| 37 | 21.94 | 22.0059946937217 | -0.0682404101183047 | 21.9422457163966 | 0.0659946937217057 |
| 38 | 22.56 | 22.9353037622103 | 0.062693975935708 | 22.122002261854 | 0.375303762210269 |
| 39 | 23.23 | 24.9173700362758 | -0.0362669751362513 | 21.5788969388604 | 1.68737003627583 |
| 40 | 19.5 | 18.2896367364977 | 0.0418132723143925 | 20.6685499911879 | -1.21036326350228 |
| 41 | 19.32 | 19.0668852622642 | -0.0682404101183047 | 19.6413551478541 | -0.253114737735753 |
| 42 | 19 | 18.7218894904312 | 0.062693975935708 | 19.2154165336331 | -0.278110509568819 |
| 43 | 18.98 | 18.6990727758367 | -0.0362669751362513 | 19.2971941992995 | -0.280927224163285 |
| 44 | 19.88 | 20.2933118422241 | 0.0418132723143925 | 19.4248748854615 | 0.413311842224061 |
| 45 | 19.48 | 19.4813991587428 | -0.0682404101183047 | 19.5468412513755 | 0.00139915874284213 |
| 46 | 19.52 | 19.4081032436838 | 0.062693975935708 | 19.5692027803805 | -0.111896756316181 |
| 47 | 19.52 | 19.4920198081346 | -0.0362669751362513 | 19.5842471670016 | -0.0279801918653924 |
| 48 | 19.75 | 19.7681012682573 | 0.0418132723143925 | 19.6900854594283 | 0.0181012682573147 |
| 49 | 19.64 | 19.4646795570521 | -0.0682404101183047 | 19.8835608530662 | -0.175320442947868 |
| 50 | 20.23 | 20.2545508306126 | 0.062693975935708 | 20.1427551934517 | 0.0245508306125934 |
| 51 | 20.4 | 20.2727790441289 | -0.0362669751362513 | 20.5634879310073 | -0.127220955871092 |
| 52 | 20.91 | 20.7060463548744 | 0.0418132723143925 | 21.0721403728113 | -0.203953645125647 |
| 53 | 21.95 | 22.4386576637039 | -0.0682404101183047 | 21.5295827464144 | 0.488657663703876 |
| 54 | 21.83 | 21.6993448064667 | 0.062693975935708 | 21.8979612175976 | -0.130655193533283 |
| 55 | 22.27 | 22.5866405513586 | -0.0362669751362513 | 21.9896264237776 | 0.316640551358603 |
| 56 | 21.99 | 22.1418617024574 | 0.0418132723143925 | 21.7963250252283 | 0.151861702457353 |
| 57 | 21.66 | 22.0301566665965 | -0.0682404101183047 | 21.3580837435218 | 0.370156666596483 |
| 58 | 20.32 | 19.6733194162829 | 0.062693975935708 | 20.9039866077814 | -0.646680583717107 |
| 59 | 20.62 | 20.7020141733025 | -0.0362669751362513 | 20.5742528018338 | 0.0820141733024613 |
| 60 | 20.28 | 19.7558745031059 | 0.0418132723143925 | 20.7623122245797 | -0.524125496894129 |
| 61 | 20.79 | 20.2951345836139 | -0.0682404101183047 | 21.3531058265044 | -0.494865416386073 |
| 62 | 22.86 | 23.6119380241735 | 0.062693975935708 | 22.0453679998907 | 0.751938024173548 |
| 63 | 22.59 | 22.6324346932668 | -0.0362669751362513 | 22.5838322818694 | 0.0424346932668307 |
| 64 | 23.29 | 24.0095997889848 | 0.0418132723143925 | 22.5285869387008 | 0.719599788984791 |
| 65 | 21.87 | 21.5788056285762 | -0.0682404101183047 | 22.2294347815421 | -0.291194371423824 |
| 66 | 21.52 | 20.4346431053039 | 0.062693975935708 | 22.5426629187604 | -1.08535689469612 |
| 67 | 22 | 20.1284767031733 | -0.0362669751362513 | 23.907790271963 | -1.87152329682671 |
| 68 | 27.84 | 30.1023583775638 | 0.0418132723143925 | 25.5358283501218 | 2.26235837756381 |
| 69 | 27.49 | 28.1290540662127 | -0.0682404101183047 | 26.9191863439056 | 0.639054066212704 |
| 70 | 26.97 | 26.4477605680951 | 0.062693975935708 | 27.4295454559692 | -0.522239431904872 |
| 71 | 27.71 | 28.0918623741887 | -0.0362669751362513 | 27.3644046009476 | 0.381862374188668 |
| 72 | 27.46 | 27.4545264741148 | 0.0418132723143925 | 27.4236602535708 | -0.00547352588523253 |
| 73 | 27.04 | 26.6593207379163 | -0.0682404101183047 | 27.488919672202 | -0.380679262083696 |
| 74 | 28 | 28.5754698065928 | 0.062693975935708 | 27.3618362174715 | 0.575469806592761 |
| 75 | 27.32 | 27.5758588135147 | -0.0362669751362513 | 27.1004081616216 | 0.255858813514696 |
| 76 | 26.36 | 26.0015885942679 | 0.0418132723143925 | 26.6765981334177 | -0.358411405732102 |
| 77 | 26.15 | 26.3162370091998 | -0.0682404101183047 | 26.0520034009185 | 0.16623700919979 |
| 78 | 25.94 | 26.440491635349 | 0.062693975935708 | 25.3768143887153 | 0.500491635349022 |
| 79 | 24 | 23.3344937077588 | -0.0362669751362513 | 24.7017732673774 | -0.665506292241183 |
| 80 | 24.32 | 24.6487655161073 | 0.0418132723143925 | 23.9494212115783 | 0.328765516107318 |
| 81 | 23.1 | 22.7654697363641 | -0.0682404101183047 | 23.5027706737542 | -0.33453026363587 |
| 82 | 22.92 | 22.5816086021736 | 0.062693975935708 | 23.1956974218906 | -0.338391397826356 |
| 83 | 23.56 | 24.2855448346988 | -0.0362669751362513 | 22.8707221404374 | 0.725544834698809 |
| 84 | 22.17 | 21.876938601499 | 0.0418132723143925 | 22.4212481261866 | -0.293061398500974 |
| 85 | 22.36 | 23.2269201637021 | -0.0682404101183047 | 21.5613202464162 | 0.866920163702055 |
| 86 | 19.86 | 18.9359853825732 | 0.062693975935708 | 20.7213206414911 | -0.924014617426842 |
| 87 | 20.07 | 20.162205781778 | -0.0362669751362513 | 20.0140611933583 | 0.0922057817779667 |
| 88 | 19.21 | 18.5543681745718 | 0.0418132723143925 | 19.8238185531138 | -0.655631825428202 |
| 89 | 19.99 | 20.0090318312483 | -0.0682404101183047 | 20.03920857887 | 0.019031831248288 |
| 90 | 20.47 | 20.3985009752785 | 0.062693975935708 | 20.4788050487858 | -0.0714990247215184 |
| 91 | 21.17 | 21.4850146727837 | -0.0362669751362513 | 20.8912523023525 | 0.315014672783722 |
| 92 | 21.25 | 21.3264456842775 | 0.0418132723143925 | 21.1317410434081 | 0.0764456842775374 |
| 93 | 21.18 | 21.2305499434432 | -0.0682404101183047 | 21.1976904666751 | 0.0505499434431904 |
| 94 | 21.21 | 21.1031684796434 | 0.062693975935708 | 21.2541375444209 | -0.1068315203566 |
| 95 | 21.11 | 20.758471821342 | -0.0362669751362513 | 21.4977951537942 | -0.351528178657979 |
| 96 | 21.94 | 21.8937543290175 | 0.0418132723143925 | 21.9444323986681 | -0.0462456709825148 |
| 97 | 22.56 | 23.0666083383391 | -0.0682404101183047 | 22.1216320717792 | 0.506608338339063 |
| 98 | 23.23 | 24.8152571034342 | 0.062693975935708 | 21.5820489206301 | 1.58525710343416 |
| 99 | 19.5 | 18.372685464875 | -0.0362669751362513 | 20.6635815102612 | -1.12731453512498 |
| 100 | 19.32 | 18.9546448738931 | 0.0418132723143925 | 19.6435418537925 | -0.365355126106905 |
| 101 | 19 | 18.8531940624547 | -0.0682404101183047 | 19.2150463476636 | -0.146805937545331 |
| 102 | 18.98 | 18.5969598943657 | 0.062693975935708 | 19.3003461296986 | -0.383040105634326 |
| 103 | 19.88 | 20.376360547003 | -0.0362669751362513 | 19.4199064281333 | 0.496360547002965 |
| 104 | 19.48 | 19.3691587467048 | 0.0418132723143925 | 19.5490279809809 | -0.110841253295245 |
| 105 | 19.52 | 19.539407811602 | -0.0682404101183047 | 19.5688325985163 | 0.0194078116019973 |
| 106 | 19.52 | 19.3899069780342 | 0.062693975935708 | 19.5873990460301 | -0.130093021965806 |
| 107 | 19.75 | 19.8511499494378 | -0.0362669751362513 | 19.6851170256984 | 0.101149949437829 |
| 108 | 19.64 | 19.3524391213471 | 0.0418132723143925 | 19.8857476063385 | -0.287560878652886 |
| 109 | 20.23 | 20.3858553944255 | -0.0682404101183047 | 20.1423850156928 | 0.155855394425462 |
| 110 | 20.4 | 20.1706662653991 | 0.062693975935708 | 20.5666397586652 | -0.229333734600875 |
| 111 | 20.91 | 20.7890950124565 | -0.0362669751362513 | 21.0671719626798 | -0.120904987543522 |
| 112 | 21.95 | 22.3264172043319 | 0.0418132723143925 | 21.5317695233537 | 0.376417204331926 |
| 113 | 21.83 | 21.8306493661743 | -0.0682404101183047 | 21.897591043944 | 0.000649366174283017 |
| 114 | 22.27 | 22.4845278239994 | 0.062693975935708 | 21.9927782000648 | 0.21452782399945 |
| 115 | 21.99 | 22.2249103364411 | -0.0362669751362513 | 21.7913566386952 | 0.234910336441089 |
| 116 | 21.66 | 21.9179161835576 | 0.0418132723143925 | 21.360270544128 | 0.257916183557597 |
| 117 | 20.32 | 19.8046239718851 | -0.0682404101183047 | 20.9036164382332 | -0.515376028114851 |
| 118 | 20.62 | 20.5999014973139 | 0.062693975935708 | 20.5774045267504 | -0.0200985026860607 |
| 119 | 20.28 | 19.8389231134912 | -0.0362669751362513 | 20.757343861645 | -0.441076886508782 |
| 120 | 20.79 | 20.1828940770209 | 0.0418132723143925 | 21.3552926506647 | -0.607105922979098 |
| 121 | 22.86 | 23.7432425765186 | -0.0682404101183047 | 22.0449978335997 | 0.883242576518629 |
| 122 | 22.59 | 22.5303220716387 | 0.062693975935708 | 22.5869839524256 | -0.0596779283612818 |
| 123 | 23.29 | 24.0926483825915 | -0.0362669751362513 | 22.5236185925448 | 0.802648382591492 |
| 124 | 21.87 | 21.4713459550033 | 0.0418132723143925 | 22.2268407726823 | -0.398654044996658 |
| 125 | 21.52 | 21.1708764759552 | -0.0682404101183047 | 21.9373639341632 | -0.349123524044849 |
| 126 | 22 | 22.3030456137714 | 0.062693975935708 | 21.6342604102929 | 0.303045613771424 |
