Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha1
beta0.050569900667479
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
379.8679.89-0.0300000000000011
479.8780.05848290298-0.18848290297997
579.8380.0589513412988-0.228951341298767
679.8380.0073732947116-0.1773732947116
779.8379.998403544817-0.168403544816968
879.3779.9898873942835-0.619887394283523
979.5379.49853975032960.0314602496704168
1079.7879.66013069203040.119869307969608
1179.9479.91619247102750.0238075289724975
1279.9780.0773964154028-0.107396415402775
1379.9780.1019653893438-0.131965389343804
1479.9880.0952919127132-0.115291912713147
1580.2580.09946161213950.150538387860522
1680.3880.37707432346020.0029256765397605
1780.1380.5072222746322-0.377222274632231
1880.1580.2381461816745-0.0881461816745031
1980.1580.253688638023-0.103688638023016
2080.1880.2484451138979-0.0684451138978517
2180.4780.27498385128690.195016148713137
2280.8380.57484579855580.255154201444157
2380.6280.9477489211778-0.327748921177758
2480.6680.7211746907899-0.0611746907899402
2580.6680.7580810927533-0.0980810927533184
2680.6780.7531211416354-0.0831211416354165
2780.880.75891771375960.0410822862404387
2881.0480.89099524089390.149004759106077
2981.2481.13853039676090.101469603239082
3081.2681.3436617045175-0.0836617045174677
3181.2681.3594309404304-0.0994309404303522
3281.4781.35440272764950.115597272350485
3381.9481.57024847022970.369751529770284
3482.8382.05894676836180.771053231638163
3582.2982.9879388536951-0.697938853695121
3682.3282.4126441551918-0.0926441551917918
3782.3282.4379591494663-0.117959149466316
3882.382.431993966995-0.131993966994983
3982.5482.40531904519530.134680954804665
4082.5482.6521298477016-0.11212984770161
4182.6282.6464594524415-0.0264594524414861
4282.6382.7251214005598-0.0951214005598047
4382.6382.7303111207821-0.100311120782138
4482.6382.7252383973683-0.0952383973683482
4582.7182.7204222010737-0.0104222010736947
4683.2582.79989515140070.450104848599338
4783.1483.3626569088843-0.222656908884275
4883.3483.24139717111910.098602828880928
4983.3483.4463835063811-0.106383506381121
5083.3783.4410037030308-0.0710037030307689
5183.3383.4674130528215-0.137413052821486
5283.2683.4204640883899-0.160464088389872
5383.6683.34234943537930.317650564620692
5483.6483.7584129928791-0.118412992879144
5583.6483.7324248595915-0.0924248595915032
5683.7183.7277509436228-0.0177509436227581
5783.8783.7968532801670.0731467198330051
5884.1783.96055230252310.20944769747689
5984.3584.27114405177950.0788559482204505
6084.4484.4551317892481-0.0151317892480876
6184.4484.5443665761689-0.1043665761689
6284.4584.539088768779-0.0890887687790212
6384.6784.54458355859130.125416441408717
6484.9584.77092585557540.179074144424604
6584.8985.0599816172711-0.169981617271063
6684.9384.9913856637704-0.0613856637703662
6784.9385.0282813968511-0.0982813968510925
6884.9385.0233113163749-0.0933113163748658
6985.4585.01859257237460.431407427625359
7085.7785.56040880313690.20959119686313
7185.7985.891007809143-0.101007809142999
7285.985.905899854268-0.00589985426800865


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
7386.015601499223785.592662940747986.4385400576996
7486.131202998447585.51776752502186.7446384718739
7586.246804497671285.476614224310887.0169947710316
7686.362405996894985.451109203665187.2737027901247
7786.478007496118685.43444420895587.5215707832823
7886.593608995342485.423226402419987.7639915882648
7986.709210494566185.415498790362688.0029221987696
8086.824811993789885.410024764772888.2395992228068
8186.940413493013685.405972522188188.474854463839
8287.056014992237385.402756563554988.7092734209196
8387.17161649146185.399950380051688.9432826028704
8487.287217990684785.397234890863189.1772010905064