Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613964.011345.01183.01160.00490.73240.66050.7324
624949.64230.632368.65170.47360.86370.25610.1944
635859.188439.97978.39780.45170.85070.54830.5483
644752.136832.873471.40020.30060.27540.58610.2754
654245.658626.365564.95160.35510.44580.29370.105
666258.437139.130877.74350.35880.95240.70950.5177
673932.011712.699151.32430.23910.00120.30630.0042
684024.98145.665944.2970.06380.07740.61894e-04
697249.937730.620869.25460.01260.84340.30370.2067
707063.290443.972882.60790.2480.18840.2480.7043
715453.314133.996372.6320.47230.04520.18910.3172
726563.619244.301282.93710.44430.83550.71570.7157


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1514-0.39070625.565600
620.1954-0.01290.20180.4121312.988917.6915
630.1656-0.02010.14121.4124209.1314.4613
640.1885-0.09850.130626.3865163.444112.7845
650.2156-0.08010.120513.3851133.432311.5513
660.16860.0610.110612.694113.309310.6447
670.30780.21830.12648.8367104.098910.2029
680.39450.60120.1854225.5573119.281210.9216
690.19740.44180.2139486.7451160.110512.6535
700.15570.1060.203145.0191148.601412.1902
710.18490.01290.18580.4704135.134911.6248
720.15490.02170.17211.9067124.032611.137