| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 62.9 | 65.6 | -2.7 |
| 4 | 63.5 | 63.2 | 0.300000000000004 |
| 5 | 62.1 | 63.8 | -1.7 |
| 6 | 59.3 | 62.4 | -3.1 |
| 7 | 61.6 | 59.6 | 2.00000000000001 |
| 8 | 61.5 | 61.9 | -0.399999999999999 |
| 9 | 60.1 | 61.8 | -1.7 |
| 10 | 59.5 | 60.4 | -0.899999999999999 |
| 11 | 62.7 | 59.8 | 2.90000000000001 |
| 12 | 65.5 | 63 | 2.5 |
| 13 | 63.8 | 65.8 | -2 |
| 14 | 63.8 | 64.1 | -0.299999999999997 |
| 15 | 62.7 | 64.1 | -1.39999999999999 |
| 16 | 62.3 | 63 | -0.700000000000003 |
| 17 | 62.4 | 62.6 | -0.199999999999996 |
| 18 | 64.8 | 62.7 | 2.1 |
| 19 | 66.4 | 65.1 | 1.30000000000001 |
| 20 | 65.1 | 66.7 | -1.60000000000001 |
| 21 | 67.4 | 65.4 | 2.00000000000001 |
| 22 | 68.8 | 67.7 | 1.09999999999999 |
| 23 | 68.6 | 69.1 | -0.5 |
| 24 | 71.5 | 68.9 | 2.60000000000001 |
| 25 | 75 | 71.8 | 3.2 |
| 26 | 84.3 | 75.3 | 9 |
| 27 | 84 | 84.6 | -0.599999999999994 |
| 28 | 79.1 | 84.3 | -5.2 |
| 29 | 78.8 | 79.4 | -0.599999999999994 |
| 30 | 82.7 | 79.1 | 3.60000000000001 |
| 31 | 85.3 | 83 | 2.3 |
| 32 | 84.5 | 85.6 | -1.09999999999999 |
| 33 | 80.8 | 84.8 | -4 |
| 34 | 70.1 | 81.1 | -11 |
| 35 | 68.2 | 70.4 | -2.19999999999999 |
| 36 | 68.1 | 68.5 | -0.400000000000006 |
| 37 | 72.3 | 68.4 | 3.90000000000001 |
| 38 | 73.1 | 72.6 | 0.5 |
| 39 | 71.5 | 73.4 | -1.89999999999999 |
| 40 | 74.1 | 71.8 | 2.3 |
| 41 | 80.3 | 74.4 | 5.90000000000001 |
| 42 | 80.6 | 80.6 | 0 |
| 43 | 81.4 | 80.9 | 0.500000000000014 |
| 44 | 87.4 | 81.7 | 5.7 |
| 45 | 89.3 | 87.7 | 1.59999999999999 |
| 46 | 93.2 | 89.6 | 3.60000000000001 |
| 47 | 92.8 | 93.5 | -0.700000000000003 |
| 48 | 96.8 | 93.1 | 3.7 |
| 49 | 100.3 | 97.1 | 3.2 |
| 50 | 95.6 | 100.6 | -5 |
| 51 | 89 | 95.9 | -6.89999999999999 |
| 52 | 87.4 | 89.3 | -1.89999999999999 |
| 53 | 86.7 | 87.7 | -1 |
| 54 | 92.8 | 87 | 5.8 |
| 55 | 98.6 | 93.1 | 5.5 |
| 56 | 100.8 | 98.9 | 1.90000000000001 |
| 57 | 105.5 | 101.1 | 4.40000000000001 |
| 58 | 107.8 | 105.8 | 2 |
| 59 | 113.7 | 108.1 | 5.60000000000001 |
| 60 | 120.3 | 114 | 6.3 |
| 61 | 126.5 | 120.6 | 5.90000000000001 |
| 62 | 134.8 | 126.8 | 8.00000000000001 |
| 63 | 134.5 | 135.1 | -0.600000000000023 |
| 64 | 133.1 | 134.8 | -1.70000000000002 |
| 65 | 128.8 | 133.4 | -4.59999999999997 |
| 66 | 127.1 | 129.1 | -2.00000000000003 |
| 67 | 129.1 | 127.4 | 1.7 |
| 68 | 128.4 | 129.4 | -0.999999999999972 |
| 69 | 126.5 | 128.7 | -2.19999999999999 |
| 70 | 117.1 | 126.8 | -9.7 |
| 71 | 114.2 | 117.4 | -3.19999999999999 |
| 72 | 109.1 | 114.5 | -5.40000000000001 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 73 | 109.4 | 102.001058495942 | 116.798941504058 |
| 74 | 109.7 | 99.2363165777563 | 120.163683422244 |
| 75 | 110 | 97.1846573927418 | 122.815342607258 |
| 76 | 110.3 | 95.5021169918844 | 125.097883008116 |
| 77 | 110.6 | 94.0554638353822 | 127.144536164618 |
| 78 | 110.9 | 92.7763686783577 | 129.023631321642 |
| 79 | 111.2 | 91.6242408151489 | 130.775759184851 |
| 80 | 111.5 | 90.5726331555125 | 132.427366844487 |
| 81 | 111.8 | 89.6031754878266 | 133.996824512173 |
| 82 | 112.1 | 88.7024925728254 | 135.497507427175 |
| 83 | 112.4 | 87.8604871852524 | 136.939512814748 |
| 84 | 112.7 | 87.0693147854836 | 138.330685214516 |
