Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 771 | 0 | 78 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 164 | 93.2509934505064 | 66.2362151447041 | 168.51279140479 | -70.7490065494936 |
2 | 96 | 89.8063946415785 | -64.997068489488 | 167.190673847909 | -6.19360535842151 |
3 | 73 | 93.0761933430596 | -112.944749634089 | 165.868556291029 | 20.0761933430596 |
4 | 49 | 75.1741684699339 | -141.828595871847 | 164.654427401913 | 26.1741684699339 |
5 | 39 | 82.4150235874948 | -167.855322100292 | 163.440298512797 | 43.4150235874948 |
6 | 59 | 90.5953315459057 | -135.651391916167 | 163.056060370261 | 31.5953315459057 |
7 | 169 | 250.281439644 | -74.9532618717251 | 162.671822227726 | 81.2814396439995 |
8 | 169 | 182.115629611223 | -7.17267703545523 | 163.057047424232 | 13.1156296112233 |
9 | 210 | 134.783198934382 | 121.77452844488 | 163.442272620738 | -75.216801065618 |
10 | 278 | 168.202183886435 | 224.109488829227 | 163.688327284338 | -109.797816113565 |
11 | 298 | 242.121220727154 | 189.944397324907 | 163.934381947938 | -55.8787792728455 |
12 | 245 | 218.762600208621 | 103.338476486087 | 167.898923305292 | -26.237399791379 |
13 | 200 | 161.900320192651 | 66.2362151447041 | 171.863464662645 | -38.0996798073492 |
14 | 188 | 264.101405854708 | -64.997068489488 | 176.89566263478 | 76.1014058547079 |
15 | 90 | 111.016889027174 | -112.944749634089 | 181.927860606915 | 21.0168890271739 |
16 | 79 | 116.508327854745 | -141.828595871847 | 183.320268017102 | 37.5083278547448 |
17 | 78 | 139.142646673002 | -167.855322100292 | 184.712675427289 | 61.1426466730023 |
18 | 91 | 137.171519740696 | -135.651391916167 | 180.479872175471 | 46.1715197406963 |
19 | 167 | 232.706192948073 | -74.9532618717251 | 176.247068923652 | 65.7061929480731 |
20 | 169 | 174.038776197404 | -7.17267703545523 | 171.133900838051 | 5.03877619740388 |
21 | 289 | 290.20473880267 | 121.77452844488 | 166.020732752451 | 1.20473880266957 |
22 | 247 | 105.932655530458 | 224.109488829227 | 163.957855640315 | -141.067344469542 |
23 | 275 | 198.160624146914 | 189.944397324907 | 161.894978528179 | -76.8393758530863 |
24 | 203 | 138.998494318379 | 103.338476486087 | 163.663029195533 | -64.0015056816209 |
25 | 223 | 214.332704992408 | 66.2362151447041 | 165.431079862888 | -8.66729500759212 |
26 | 104 | 100.59249748093 | -64.997068489488 | 172.404571008557 | -3.40750251906951 |
27 | 107 | 147.566687479862 | -112.944749634089 | 179.378062154227 | 40.5666874798621 |
28 | 85 | 122.392059343359 | -141.828595871847 | 189.436536528488 | 37.3920593433585 |
29 | 75 | 118.360311197542 | -167.855322100292 | 199.49501090275 | 43.3603111975415 |
30 | 99 | 126.660792890274 | -135.651391916167 | 206.990599025893 | 27.6607928902741 |
31 | 135 | 130.46707472269 | -74.9532618717251 | 214.486187149035 | -4.53292527731037 |
32 | 211 | 210.287280298161 | -7.17267703545523 | 218.885396737294 | -0.712719701838893 |
33 | 335 | 324.940865229568 | 121.77452844488 | 223.284606325553 | -10.0591347704325 |
34 | 488 | 523.392604421887 | 224.109488829227 | 228.497906748886 | 35.3926044218875 |
35 | 326 | 228.344395502874 | 189.944397324907 | 233.711207172219 | -97.655604497126 |
36 | 346 | 345.189225647382 | 103.338476486087 | 243.472297866531 | -0.810774352618239 |
37 | 261 | 202.530396294453 | 66.2362151447041 | 253.233388560843 | -58.4696037055472 |
38 | 224 | 244.171497568781 | -64.997068489488 | 268.825570920707 | 20.1714975687814 |
39 | 141 | 110.526996353519 | -112.944749634089 | 284.41775328057 | -30.4730036464811 |
40 | 148 | 137.851609895948 | -141.828595871847 | 299.976985975899 | -10.1483901040521 |
41 | 145 | 142.319103429064 | -167.855322100292 | 315.536218671228 | -2.68089657093645 |
42 | 223 | 252.487879824595 | -135.651391916167 | 329.163512091572 | 29.4878798245946 |
43 | 272 | 276.162456359809 | -74.9532618717251 | 342.790805511917 | 4.16245635980857 |
44 | 445 | 542.312354236877 | -7.17267703545523 | 354.860322798578 | 97.312354236877 |
45 | 560 | 631.29563146988 | 121.77452844488 | 366.92984008524 | 71.2956314698803 |
46 | 612 | 625.878058385567 | 224.109488829227 | 374.012452785206 | 13.8780583855671 |
47 | 467 | 362.96053718992 | 189.944397324907 | 381.095065485172 | -104.03946281008 |
48 | 404 | 324.438074966231 | 103.338476486087 | 380.223448547682 | -79.5619250337692 |
49 | 518 | 590.411953245104 | 66.2362151447041 | 379.351831610191 | 72.4119532451044 |
50 | 404 | 497.082362807239 | -64.997068489488 | 375.914705682249 | 93.0823628072388 |
51 | 300 | 340.467169879782 | -112.944749634089 | 372.477579754307 | 40.4671698797822 |
52 | 210 | 186.231538788336 | -141.828595871847 | 375.597057083511 | -23.7684612116643 |
53 | 196 | 181.138787687576 | -167.855322100292 | 378.716534412716 | -14.8612123124244 |
54 | 186 | 122.05942572009 | -135.651391916167 | 385.591966196077 | -63.9405742799099 |
55 | 247 | 176.485863892288 | -74.9532618717251 | 392.467397979438 | -70.5141361077125 |
56 | 343 | 297.375043394955 | -7.17267703545523 | 395.7976336405 | -45.624956605045 |
57 | 464 | 407.097602253557 | 121.77452844488 | 399.127869301563 | -56.9023977464428 |
58 | 680 | 732.693984004744 | 224.109488829227 | 403.196527166029 | 52.6939840047443 |
59 | 711 | 824.790417644598 | 189.944397324907 | 407.265185030495 | 113.790417644598 |
60 | 610 | 704.528398765733 | 103.338476486087 | 412.13312474818 | 94.5283987657331 |
61 | 513 | 542.762720389431 | 66.2362151447041 | 417.001064465864 | 29.7627203894315 |
62 | 292 | 226.315942149745 | -64.997068489488 | 422.681126339743 | -65.684057850255 |
63 | 273 | 230.583561420467 | -112.944749634089 | 428.361188213622 | -42.4164385795326 |
64 | 322 | 347.621442454024 | -141.828595871847 | 438.207153417823 | 25.6214424540236 |
65 | 189 | 97.8022034782662 | -167.855322100292 | 448.053118622025 | -91.1977965217338 |
66 | 257 | 189.449925177854 | -135.651391916167 | 460.201466738313 | -67.5500748221462 |
67 | 324 | 250.603447017124 | -74.9532618717251 | 472.349814854601 | -73.3965529828757 |
68 | 404 | 337.028808065358 | -7.17267703545523 | 478.143868970098 | -66.9711919346424 |
69 | 677 | 748.287548469526 | 121.77452844488 | 483.937923085594 | 71.2875484695259 |
70 | 858 | 1007.7951990668 | 224.109488829227 | 484.095312103973 | 149.7951990668 |
71 | 895 | 1115.80290155274 | 189.944397324907 | 484.252701122351 | 220.802901552742 |
72 | 664 | 739.45373625705 | 103.338476486087 | 485.207787256863 | 75.4537362570495 |
73 | 628 | 703.600911463921 | 66.2362151447041 | 486.162873391375 | 75.6009114639207 |
74 | 308 | 195.464019111661 | -64.997068489488 | 485.533049377827 | -112.535980888339 |
75 | 324 | 276.04152426981 | -112.944749634089 | 484.903225364279 | -47.9584757301897 |
76 | 248 | 156.221868260313 | -141.828595871847 | 481.606727611534 | -91.778131739687 |
77 | 272 | 233.545092241502 | -167.855322100292 | 478.310229858789 | -38.4549077584978 |