Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[108])
96	10216	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	10943	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
98	9867	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
99	10203	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
100	10837	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
101	10573	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
102	10647	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
103	11502	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
104	10656	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
105	10866	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
106	10835	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
107	9945	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	10331	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	10718	10865.0758	10288.7758	11494.8163	0.3236	0.9518	0.4042	0.9518
110	9462	9851.2372	9357.3624	10388.1795	0.0777	8e-04	0.4771	0.0399
111	10579	10622.4908	10053.7141	11244.5575	0.4455	0.9999	0.9069	0.8208
112	10633	10526.0015	9957.992	11147.6836	0.3679	0.4336	0.1634	0.7307
113	10346	10687.4631	10097.4177	11334.6759	0.1506	0.5655	0.6356	0.8598
114	10757	10570.5519	9982.929	11215.5392	0.2855	0.7525	0.4081	0.7667
115	11207	11302.9947	10641.7177	12032.5593	0.3982	0.9288	0.2965	0.9955
116	11013	10964.8882	10326.6732	11668.6374	0.4467	0.2501	0.8052	0.9613
117	11015	10783.8467	10154.741	11477.7134	0.2569	0.2587	0.4082	0.8996
118	10765	10901.8763	10254.6038	11617.0856	0.3538	0.3783	0.5727	0.9411
119	10042	10038.2984	9463.5	10671.0647	0.4954	0.0122	0.6137	0.1823
120	10661	10445.3038	9827.0017	11128.2867	0.268	0.8764	0.6286	0.6286

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
109	0.0296	-0.0135	0	21631.2914	0	0
110	0.0278	-0.0395	0.0265	151505.5742	86568.4328	294.2251
111	0.0299	-0.0041	0.019	1891.4522	58342.7726	241.5425
112	0.0301	0.0102	0.0168	11448.6752	46619.2483	215.9149
113	0.0309	-0.0319	0.0199	116597.0597	60614.8105	246.2008
114	0.0311	0.0176	0.0195	34762.9015	56306.159	237.2892
115	0.0329	-0.0085	0.0179	9214.9905	49578.8493	222.6631
116	0.0327	0.0044	0.0162	2314.749	43670.8367	208.9757
117	0.0328	0.0214	0.0168	53431.848	44755.3935	211.5547
118	0.0335	-0.0126	0.0164	18735.1178	42153.366	205.3128
119	0.0322	4e-04	0.0149	13.7019	38322.4874	195.7613
120	0.0334	0.0207	0.0154	46524.8653	39006.0189	197.4994