Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[65])
53196-------
54186-------
55247-------
56343-------
57464-------
58680-------
59711-------
60610-------
61513-------
62292-------
63273-------
64322-------
65189-------
66257256.3471158.9137413.51890.49680.79950.80980.7995
67324324.5547186.7152564.15170.49820.70970.73710.8663
68404465.8932241.994896.94990.38920.74060.71180.896
69677598.9485295.11841215.57740.4020.73230.6660.9037
70858770.6326357.76841659.94160.42370.58170.57920.9001
71895666.7536298.04241491.6010.29380.32480.45810.8719
72664577.3518248.15431343.25730.41230.20810.46670.8398
73628525.4405219.64751256.95840.39170.35520.51330.8163
74308344.5086140.1213847.02430.44340.13440.58110.7279
75324268.3243106.8655673.72470.39390.42390.4910.6493
76248250.133597.6701640.59250.49570.35540.35910.6205
77272188.149472.3096489.56390.29280.34860.49780.4978


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
660.31280.002500.426300
670.3766-0.00170.00210.30760.3670.6058
680.4721-0.13280.04573830.76571277.166635.7375
690.52530.13030.06696092.04062480.885149.8085
700.58880.11340.07627633.05653511.319359.2564
710.63120.34230.120552096.413111608.835107.7443
720.67680.15010.12477507.914911022.9892104.9904
730.71030.19520.133510518.446410959.9214104.6896
740.7442-0.1060.13051332.87839890.249999.4497
750.77080.20750.13823099.78169211.203195.975
760.7964-0.00850.12644.55188374.234891.5108
770.81730.44570.1537030.92748262.292590.8972