Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.6717741154244
beta0.0865680638632208
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
30.470.470
40.470.470
50.470.470
60.480.470.01
70.480.4772992829995010.00270071700049884
80.480.4798521546135790.000147845386421153
90.480.480698670985201-0.0006986709852006
100.480.480935888928688-0.000935888928687789
110.490.4809593241405720.00904067585942842
120.490.4882105104701330.00178948952986724
130.490.490694603821702-0.000694603821702222
140.490.49146955344057-0.00146955344056998
150.490.491638451282771-0.00163845128277101
160.490.491598605128196-0.00159860512819571
170.490.491492561011254-0.00149256101125445
180.50.4913709559187030.00862904408129705
190.50.498550598155660.00144940184434034
200.50.500991431362129-0.000991431362128758
210.50.501734920118046-0.00173492011804577
220.50.501878059507947-0.00187805950794651
230.50.501815824541639-0.00181582454163876
240.50.50168979961931-0.00168979961931026
250.50.501550166058828-0.00155016605882752
260.510.5014141860668910.00858581393310898
270.510.5085865960757670.00141340392423339
280.50.511022962048088-0.0110229620480878
290.510.5044638679012940.00553613209870552
300.50.509350693824819-0.00935069382481946
310.510.5036931534579590.00630684654204072
320.510.508920712938350.00107928706165028
330.520.5106992983319120.00930070166808816
340.530.5185416919712760.0114583080287243
350.530.5284998582744450.00150014172555513
360.530.531855625736776-0.00185562573677622
370.530.532849163079023-0.00284916307902272
380.530.533009576996599-0.00300957699659921
390.540.5328872095005890.00711279049941071
400.550.5399784250064080.0100215749935924
410.540.549606483164181-0.00960648316418078
420.550.5454902627209440.00450973727905568
430.550.551119213872988-0.00111921387298752
440.550.552901694374006-0.00290169437400623
450.540.553318004943129-0.0133180049431287
460.550.5459624099767160.00403759002328408
470.550.550500657221783-0.000500657221782608
480.550.551961112125758-0.00196111212575767
490.550.552326424352061-0.00232642435206076
500.560.5523110379696310.00768896203036951
510.560.5594708742316160.00052912576838382
520.560.561851688699695-0.00185168869969488
530.560.562525450188164-0.00252545018816408
540.550.562599730652457-0.0125997306524569
550.550.555173643207975-0.00517364320797475
560.560.5524353400857870.00756465991421296
570.560.558694215904040.00130578409595961
580.560.560824477765203-0.000824477765202447
590.560.561475738016865-0.00147573801686529
600.560.561603678148112-0.0016036781481118
610.550.561552410815918-0.0115524108159177
620.550.554146021365909-0.00414602136590869
630.550.551473944145608-0.00147394414560753
640.540.550511183216496-0.0105111832164955
650.540.542866169716303-0.00286616971630327
660.540.540190198635046-0.000190198635046324
670.540.5393008148132830.000699185186716966
680.550.5390495565660230.0109504434339766
690.540.546321642367902-0.00632164236790167
700.540.54162315805192-0.00162315805192026
710.540.5399866004482771.33995517230812e-05
720.540.5394502191211660.000549780878834283


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
730.5393061369442810.528435433032610.550176840855953
740.538792726203840.5253341304042990.552251322003382
750.53827931546340.5223253979410440.554233232985755
760.5377659047229590.5193498098845120.556181999561406
770.5372524939825180.516376472077460.558128515887577
780.5367390832420780.5133875521557660.560090614328389
790.5362256725016370.5103720656952060.562079279308068
800.5357122617611960.5073229586986050.564101564823787
810.5351988510207560.5042355835925820.566162118448929
820.5346854402803150.5011068386928780.568264041867752
830.5341720295398740.4979346525940080.57040940648574
840.5336586187994340.494717660475390.572599577123477