Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.673137133157462 |
beta | 0.00174811156229491 |
gamma | 0.0476863130055915 |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
13 | 841.07 | 932.14608974359 | -91.0760897435896 |
14 | 836.45 | 869.058992408638 | -32.6089924086384 |
15 | 831.83 | 844.326981076513 | -12.496981076513 |
16 | 817.97 | 822.53090596188 | -4.56090596188005 |
17 | 771.75 | 772.363614127951 | -0.613614127951337 |
18 | 707.05 | 700.596002284899 | 6.45399771510085 |
19 | 716.3 | 756.835540289964 | -40.535540289964 |
20 | 725.54 | 738.641976461356 | -13.1019764613565 |
21 | 716.3 | 694.228712465205 | 22.0712875347946 |
22 | 707.05 | 684.306600258317 | 22.7433997416825 |
23 | 716.3 | 682.747007655044 | 33.5529923449557 |
24 | 780.99 | 656.549902331078 | 124.440097668922 |
25 | 859.56 | 747.442037660522 | 112.117962339478 |
26 | 961.22 | 822.299613244237 | 138.920386755763 |
27 | 938.12 | 913.801613212241 | 24.3183867877594 |
28 | 988.95 | 917.412082453399 | 71.5379175466012 |
29 | 910.39 | 919.121861898621 | -8.73186189862088 |
30 | 901.15 | 842.580766585212 | 58.569233414788 |
31 | 896.53 | 933.810957904214 | -37.280957904214 |
32 | 910.39 | 918.881981349896 | -8.49198134989558 |
33 | 988.95 | 878.771745748682 | 110.178254251318 |
34 | 988.95 | 928.923485670369 | 60.0265143296309 |
35 | 965.85 | 953.428206560793 | 12.4217934392074 |
36 | 975.09 | 915.197864710994 | 59.8921352890056 |
37 | 1002.82 | 963.146662454694 | 39.6733375453061 |
38 | 1025.92 | 990.269946813847 | 35.6500531861535 |
39 | 1081.38 | 1010.9621516828 | 70.4178483171981 |
40 | 1164.56 | 1046.88572116794 | 117.674278832064 |
41 | 1201.53 | 1079.00056776296 | 122.529432237036 |
42 | 1229.26 | 1092.61992074259 | 136.640079257407 |
43 | 1275.47 | 1235.75494157298 | 39.7150584270187 |
44 | 1275.47 | 1274.0406259079 | 1.4293740920989 |
45 | 1307.82 | 1243.40724974942 | 64.4127502505848 |
46 | 1252.36 | 1262.86569435055 | -10.505694350549 |
47 | 1261.61 | 1239.96243485107 | 21.6475651489297 |
48 | 1340.17 | 1209.50495108375 | 130.665048916254 |
49 | 1414.11 | 1305.68449055959 | 108.425509440411 |
50 | 1409.49 | 1380.01161993233 | 29.4783800676685 |
51 | 1432.59 | 1398.07101734767 | 34.5189826523322 |
52 | 1520.4 | 1411.50371826463 | 108.896281735369 |
53 | 1529.64 | 1438.71252694471 | 90.9274730552909 |
54 | 1455.7 | 1432.1692632989 | 23.5307367010969 |
55 | 1427.97 | 1498.41222305421 | -70.4422230542114 |
56 | 1538.88 | 1462.57736869151 | 76.3026313084936 |
57 | 1612.82 | 1484.04095416845 | 128.779045831553 |
58 | 1635.93 | 1546.45001558353 | 89.4799844164688 |
59 | 1603.58 | 1592.26067174541 | 11.3193282545867 |
60 | 1589.72 | 1557.44663109581 | 32.273368904195 |
61 | 1557.37 | 1587.82917258909 | -30.4591725890889 |
62 | 1589.72 | 1568.05463779006 | 21.6653622099359 |
63 | 1668.28 | 1581.54148868495 | 86.7385113150503 |
64 | 1635.93 | 1631.95397015686 | 3.97602984314358 |
65 | 1615.68 | 1588.80308821077 | 26.8769117892305 |
66 | 1644.69 | 1538.56524339662 | 106.124756603381 |
67 | 1622.71 | 1659.50848434345 | -36.7984843434513 |
68 | 1626.11 | 1649.21528932464 | -23.1052893246351 |
69 | 1705.55 | 1605.0721951144 | 100.477804885598 |
70 | 1841.35 | 1648.27532696558 | 193.074673034421 |
71 | 2029.03 | 1763.1802720762 | 265.8497279238 |
72 | 2024.21 | 1900.90535229016 | 123.304647709837 |
73 | 1952.87 | 1992.57239024273 | -39.7023902427297 |
74 | 2153.06 | 1968.36325219664 | 184.696747803363 |
75 | 2339.29 | 2093.77360304915 | 245.516396950847 |
76 | 2502.89 | 2251.12893566577 | 251.76106433423 |
77 | 2515.37 | 2376.77345787717 | 138.596542122832 |
78 | 2445.68 | 2404.75007736307 | 40.9299226369312 |
79 | 2491.11 | 2481.28041615055 | 9.82958384945005 |
80 | 2691.32 | 2504.34249725107 | 186.977502748933 |
81 | 2651.8 | 2605.54217298534 | 46.2578270146569 |
82 | 2593.49 | 2615.62928552589 | -22.1392855258869 |
83 | 2697.23 | 2588.48497807345 | 108.745021926547 |
84 | 2751.63 | 2619.73526316326 | 131.894736836736 |
85 | 2713.9 | 2716.15399529838 | -2.25399529838023 |
86 | 2747.21 | 2722.20467041626 | 25.0053295837365 |
87 | 2982.32 | 2742.43509919522 | 239.884900804784 |
88 | 3063.39 | 2897.45668336647 | 165.93331663353 |
89 | 3058.7 | 2964.82216984274 | 93.8778301572588 |
90 | 3074.38 | 2962.38071473298 | 111.999285267016 |
91 | 3341.06 | 3087.55542112812 | 253.504578871878 |
92 | 3500.03 | 3278.98180898025 | 221.048191019754 |
93 | 392.88 | 3402.53887530566 | -3009.65887530566 |
94 | 3071.52 | 1352.52945366433 | 1718.99054633567 |
95 | 2516.41 | 2499.5137604598 | 16.8962395401963 |
96 | 2350.7 | 2469.25936337213 | -118.559363372129 |
97 | 2488.68 | 2394.66377753622 | 94.0162224637811 |
98 | 2872.65 | 2465.72227987299 | 406.927720127007 |
99 | 3220.21 | 2746.61745099536 | 473.592549004642 |
100 | 3078.04 | 3058.30796094472 | 19.7320390552768 |
101 | 3043.98 | 3026.46908450386 | 17.5109154961383 |
102 | 3134.34 | 2973.14708455847 | 161.192915441526 |
103 | 3141.85 | 3133.94176807485 | 7.90823192514972 |
104 | 3128.01 | 3159.55353440578 | -31.5435344057814 |
105 | 3241.16 | 3062.43913530533 | 178.720864694671 |
106 | 3389.48 | 3235.81731622871 | 153.662683771292 |
107 | 3406.36 | 3304.21490457786 | 102.145095422136 |
108 | 3449.84 | 3330.9576005669 | 118.882399433102 |
109 | 3606.24 | 3421.50992915627 | 184.730070843727 |
110 | 3653.99 | 3560.61900725606 | 93.3709927439409 |
111 | 3607.31 | 3633.22803115209 | -25.9180311520931 |
112 | 3712.52 | 3602.75879844175 | 109.761201558248 |
113 | 3803.47 | 3632.74686177336 | 170.723138226642 |
114 | 3806.33 | 3686.23712853385 | 120.09287146615 |
115 | 3768.4 | 3818.36812787627 | -49.968127876266 |
116 | 3952.06 | 3805.72964527908 | 146.330354720921 |
117 | 4134.85 | 3833.15884865324 | 301.691151346756 |
118 | 4060.9 | 4090.59973394268 | -29.6997339426844 |
119 | 3999.88 | 4036.22792250328 | -36.3479225032811 |
120 | 4004.03 | 3971.30539166172 | 32.7246083382847 |
121 | 3977.34 | 4006.08537212726 | -28.7453721272586 |
122 | 3650.08 | 4001.01829882829 | -350.938298828288 |
123 | 3708.85 | 3773.11016829101 | -64.2601682910054 |
124 | 3764.78 | 3719.32439061367 | 45.4556093863262 |
125 | 3761.86 | 3707.27866379162 | 54.5813362083845 |
126 | 3802.55 | 3681.96622162689 | 120.58377837311 |
127 | 3773.52 | 3811.94334393018 | -38.4233439301752 |
128 | 3428.7 | 3810.31574746428 | -381.615747464278 |
129 | 3194.21 | 3484.34515340551 | -290.135153405507 |
130 | 3095.56 | 3337.10274921918 | -241.542749219181 |
131 | 3064.85 | 3138.64095783099 | -73.7909578309941 |
132 | 3022.98 | 3048.15973978607 | -25.1797397860678 |
133 | 2887.66 | 3041.50487536782 | -153.844875367822 |
134 | 3178.86 | 2945.56033759591 | 233.299662404094 |
135 | 3438.47 | 3114.43401679374 | 324.035983206258 |
136 | 3493.87 | 3323.23296432482 | 170.637035675182 |
137 | 3421.89 | 3395.23908867865 | 26.650911321351 |
138 | 3390.28 | 3351.76688970061 | 38.513110299386 |
139 | 3319.24 | 3423.5366748046 | -104.296674804604 |
140 | 3287.84 | 3371.6563810861 | -83.8163810860951 |
141 | 3222.82 | 3247.36031074225 | -24.5403107422476 |
142 | 3182.69 | 3279.75840666622 | -97.0684066662175 |
143 | 3180.21 | 3181.43373851566 | -1.22373851565862 |
144 | 3116.34 | 3140.91464971728 | -24.57464971728 |
145 | 3297.46 | 3133.01905905619 | 164.440940943809 |
146 | 3357.48 | 3258.09088731868 | 99.3891126813228 |
147 | 3386.03 | 3338.8131112477 | 47.2168887523048 |
148 | 3319.45 | 3359.13250882512 | -39.682508825118 |
149 | 3363.59 | 3287.32162926637 | 76.2683707336319 |
150 | 3303.47 | 3277.49325167839 | 25.9767483216087 |
151 | 3210.55 | 3338.64320682903 | -128.093206829033 |
152 | 3050.27 | 3271.08062642305 | -220.81062642305 |
153 | 3010.55 | 3055.34818677572 | -44.7981867757198 |
154 | 3011.65 | 3072.81124416142 | -61.1612441614179 |
155 | 3104.98 | 3000.02497003837 | 104.955029961627 |
156 | 3087.85 | 3030.61375742254 | 57.2362425774581 |
157 | 3160.16 | 3080.82952128255 | 79.3304787174516 |
158 | 3319.22 | 3147.59147130413 | 171.628528695865 |
159 | 3432.49 | 3276.20762132464 | 156.28237867536 |
160 | 3475.68 | 3368.79699376152 | 106.883006238482 |
161 | 3347.48 | 3397.83301881398 | -50.3530188139821 |
162 | 3388.81 | 3302.21909552411 | 86.5909044758914 |
163 | 3610.23 | 3402.07244831361 | 208.157551686395 |
164 | 3691.45 | 3560.10646535886 | 131.343534641136 |
165 | 3587.86 | 3585.27884179184 | 2.58115820815965 |
166 | 3704.62 | 3635.54868672432 | 69.071313275681 |
167 | 3798.75 | 3654.33830550224 | 144.411694497759 |
168 | 3956.54 | 3712.11176837136 | 244.428231628638 |
169 | 4121.94 | 3890.26678042787 | 231.673219572132 |
170 | 4148.56 | 4062.78317896164 | 85.776821038361 |
171 | 4100.37 | 4135.03738820598 | -34.6673882059813 |
172 | 4060.71 | 4099.76393573782 | -39.0539357378193 |
173 | 4147.86 | 4029.38437555235 | 118.475624447645 |
174 | 3926.61 | 4051.01928354536 | -124.409283545364 |
175 | 3865.41 | 4011.9566053147 | -146.546605314703 |
176 | 3978.57 | 3930.83258998979 | 47.7374100102079 |
177 | 3851.95 | 3898.4249923652 | -46.4749923651989 |
178 | 3701.22 | 3917.35738718317 | -216.137387183172 |
179 | 3738.65 | 3745.64884244463 | -6.99884244462601 |
180 | 3766.9 | 3703.19511078617 | 63.7048892138268 |
181 | 3711.02 | 3759.42097275299 | -48.4009727529924 |
182 | 3675.22 | 3740.7266468658 | -65.5066468657997 |
183 | 3560.53 | 3708.68265294843 | -148.152652948432 |
184 | 3723.8 | 3596.22980861212 | 127.570191387884 |
185 | 3914.27 | 3639.94272706204 | 274.327272937957 |
186 | 3870.77 | 3762.36093761137 | 108.409062388627 |
187 | 3924.36 | 3879.60543296446 | 44.7545670355353 |
188 | 3968.89 | 3930.44028219546 | 38.4497178045381 |
189 | 3982.93 | 3890.46004641492 | 92.4699535850827 |
190 | 3917.09 | 4000.58816494263 | -83.498164942625 |
191 | 3969.18 | 3921.891132875 | 47.2888671249975 |
192 | 4149.81 | 3917.61371512992 | 232.196284870079 |
193 | 4406.88 | 4086.23946774357 | 320.64053225643 |
194 | 423.82 | 4316.85777324755 | -3893.03777324755 |
195 | 417.72 | 1703.7320430688 | -1286.0120430688 |
196 | 4527.16 | 824.962297661631 | 3702.19770233837 |
197 | 4617.39 | 3276.70439457369 | 1340.68560542631 |
198 | 4656.23 | 4115.12382969769 | 541.106170302308 |
199 | 4579.9 | 4523.93178511237 | 55.9682148876254 |
200 | 4652.4 | 4583.52102407376 | 68.8789759262363 |
201 | 4722.95 | 4566.20600567401 | 156.743994325991 |
202 | 4845.81 | 4718.27235197466 | 127.537648025337 |
203 | 4975.21 | 4785.33403335255 | 189.875966647447 |
204 | 5083.64 | 4881.75131146391 | 201.888688536092 |
205 | 5378.04 | 5033.1506961675 | 344.889303832504 |
206 | 5684.44 | 5216.23839544356 | 468.201604556443 |
207 | 5841.87 | 5586.41696390932 | 255.453036090681 |
208 | 5857.23 | 5831.78584190983 | 25.4441580901657 |
209 | 6174.52 | 5776.20406386372 | 398.315936136276 |
210 | 6413.17 | 5971.15170720224 | 442.018292797765 |
211 | 6780.11 | 6308.91672320554 | 471.193276794461 |
212 | 6524.94 | 6651.91779153244 | -126.977791532443 |
213 | 6466.7 | 6507.61056680114 | -40.9105668011425 |
214 | 6495.61 | 6529.41718335937 | -33.8071833593731 |
215 | 6399.52 | 6491.89760104463 | -92.377601044629 |
216 | 6729.98 | 6401.22890296296 | 328.751097037037 |
217 | 7060.77 | 6643.12444142688 | 417.645558573116 |
218 | 7423.27 | 6880.06616739339 | 543.203832606614 |
219 | 8069.17 | 7300.46072500281 | 768.709274997185 |
220 | 8650.68 | 7891.38556441854 | 759.294435581465 |
221 | 8938.07 | 8340.11035337551 | 597.959646624486 |
222 | 9482.08 | 8674.87448528984 | 807.205514710158 |
223 | 10225.26 | 9264.09276074664 | 961.167239253358 |
224 | 9390.27 | 9933.34386813133 | -543.073868131334 |
225 | 8546.11 | 9515.55280941992 | -969.442809419921 |
226 | 8073.77 | 8916.61235861421 | -842.842358614209 |
227 | 8655.31 | 8336.80796539235 | 318.502034607651 |
228 | 9150.1 | 8532.98491964955 | 617.115080350446 |
229 | 9775.81 | 8974.41710196119 | 801.392898038808 |
230 | 9785.14 | 9476.12458802585 | 309.015411974147 |
231 | 9363.44 | 9746.61169080398 | -383.17169080398 |
232 | 9304.18 | 9564.87903100788 | -260.699031007878 |
233 | 9030.26 | 9326.1564895988 | -295.896489598796 |
234 | 8920.8 | 9063.10539284537 | -142.305392845376 |
235 | 8606.08 | 9015.06613148586 | -408.986131485855 |
236 | 8353.75 | 8736.45113825301 | -382.701138253011 |
237 | 8615.63 | 8418.03731359765 | 197.592686402349 |
238 | 8128.64 | 8606.08852809748 | -477.448528097478 |
239 | 8715.94 | 8290.21942838188 | 425.720571618123 |
240 | 8500.8 | 8563.22317101104 | -62.4231710110398 |
241 | 8142.58 | 8549.3051771897 | -406.725177189703 |
242 | 7614.66 | 8227.88721619084 | -613.22721619084 |
243 | 7558.95 | 7863.48262102487 | -304.53262102487 |
244 | 7820.75 | 7733.37944415637 | 87.3705558436332 |
245 | 7828.9 | 7725.60206555081 | 103.297934449193 |
246 | 7904.59 | 7731.32252302765 | 173.267476972348 |
247 | 8140.97 | 7889.58665438624 | 251.383345613764 |
248 | 8483.01 | 8054.71394596717 | 428.296054032828 |
249 | 8322.68 | 8291.02510207973 | 31.6548979202726 |
250 | 8268.01 | 8356.4280601315 | -88.4180601315038 |
251 | 8402.05 | 8316.53760721327 | 85.5123927867317 |
252 | 8177.78 | 8352.55582194292 | -174.775821942917 |
253 | 7950.54 | 8257.14015417034 | -306.60015417034 |
254 | 8049.94 | 7999.51682275962 | 50.4231772403791 |
255 | 7674.13 | 8087.04795005844 | -412.91795005844 |
256 | 7666.36 | 7890.36400627691 | -224.004006276908 |
257 | 7570.18 | 7673.13957851143 | -102.959578511431 |
258 | 7694.45 | 7540.77081784452 | 153.679182155479 |
259 | 7810.64 | 7686.7036393427 | 123.936360657296 |
260 | 7748.43 | 7768.28589731047 | -19.8558973104673 |
261 | 7040.64 | 7695.70633120277 | -655.06633120277 |
262 | 7077.26 | 7295.13148623754 | -217.871486237545 |
263 | 7245.51 | 7168.81114869517 | 76.6988513048291 |
264 | 7289.12 | 7192.82817739302 | 96.2918226069778 |
265 | 7486.92 | 7276.13106493411 | 210.788935065889 |
266 | 7519.88 | 7371.26283372445 | 148.617166275554 |
267 | 7554.84 | 7516.70189349673 | 38.1381065032665 |
268 | 7780.89 | 7626.14783363693 | 154.742166363071 |
269 | 7748.09 | 7665.76662523534 | 82.3233747646564 |
270 | 7152.25 | 7662.34532628438 | -510.09532628438 |
271 | 6484.66 | 7360.44863110534 | -875.788631105335 |
272 | 6254.58 | 6765.10655652292 | -510.526556522923 |
273 | 5867.32 | 6350.02897192295 | -482.708971922954 |
274 | 5544.16 | 6070.18316191387 | -526.023161913869 |
275 | 5822.74 | 5738.55770541702 | 84.1822945829772 |
276 | 5690.63 | 5765.45809958648 | -74.8280995864816 |
277 | 5564.78 | 5732.69769509507 | -167.917695095071 |
278 | 5088.39 | 5568.83250162534 | -480.442501625344 |
279 | 4784.22 | 5285.25948650691 | -501.039486506914 |
280 | 5332.46 | 5029.10137202357 | 303.358627976429 |
281 | 5541.48 | 5163.32442947174 | 378.155570528256 |
282 | 5723.92 | 5345.84670614287 | 378.073293857134 |
283 | 5736.99 | 5633.19629654679 | 103.793703453207 |
284 | 5992.07 | 5701.18048357883 | 290.889516421173 |
285 | 6091.43 | 5825.18216693695 | 266.247833063047 |
286 | 6158.17 | 6048.87593241319 | 109.294067586809 |
287 | 6303.79 | 6155.22895863842 | 148.56104136158 |
288 | 6349.71 | 6223.87401875544 | 125.835981244561 |
289 | 6802.96 | 6325.86062437095 | 477.09937562905 |
290 | 7132.68 | 6593.19163105734 | 539.488368942657 |
291 | 7073.29 | 6998.93363371677 | 74.3563662832339 |
292 | 7264.5 | 7146.39369239811 | 118.106307601891 |
293 | 7105.33 | 7160.62419294946 | -55.2941929494609 |
294 | 7218.71 | 7054.40581515108 | 164.30418484892 |
295 | 7225.72 | 7196.36452892418 | 29.3554710758171 |
296 | 7354.25 | 7219.85043865721 | 134.399561342794 |
297 | 7745.46 | 7240.63731065294 | 504.822689347061 |
298 | 8070.26 | 7625.26746161337 | 444.992538386632 |
299 | 8366.33 | 7961.38787755645 | 404.942122443553 |
300 | 8667.51 | 8205.74427280476 | 461.765727195245 |
301 | 8854.34 | 8543.21398364064 | 311.126016359362 |
302 | 9218.1 | 8703.48052214084 | 514.619477859156 |
303 | 9332.9 | 9088.88904102504 | 244.010958974963 |
304 | 9358.31 | 9355.08811620931 | 3.22188379068575 |
305 | 9248.66 | 9293.00396980103 | -44.3439698010316 |
306 | 9401.2 | 9201.31343219619 | 199.886567803813 |
307 | 9652.04 | 9368.89639332193 | 283.143606678068 |
308 | 9957.38 | 9568.92832268704 | 388.451677312964 |
309 | 10110.63 | 9770.87428974218 | 339.755710257821 |
310 | 10169.26 | 10047.638363873 | 121.62163612698 |
311 | 10343.78 | 10169.2602418088 | 174.51975819122 |
312 | 10750.21 | 10262.9240333439 | 487.285966656082 |
313 | 11337.5 | 10618.7819342914 | 718.718065708588 |
314 | 11786.96 | 11060.6228399254 | 726.337160074634 |
315 | 12083.04 | 11588.6147751338 | 494.425224866189 |
316 | 12007.74 | 12024.2048334557 | -16.4648334557241 |
317 | 11745.93 | 11952.6852511325 | -206.755251132463 |
318 | 11051.51 | 11759.843158091 | -708.333158090962 |
319 | 11445.9 | 11320.6654108818 | 125.234589118163 |
320 | 11924.88 | 11419.1565234831 | 505.723476516865 |
321 | 12247.63 | 11702.5336525806 | 545.096347419381 |
322 | 12690.91 | 12117.6119097605 | 573.298090239499 |
323 | 12910.7 | 12548.1218002067 | 362.578199793312 |
324 | 13202.12 | 12777.4943569393 | 424.625643060701 |
325 | 13654.67 | 13098.9514332611 | 555.71856673888 |
326 | 13862.82 | 13435.1691372782 | 427.650862721845 |
327 | 13523.93 | 13762.1170360091 | -238.187036009067 |
328 | 14211.17 | 13699.3609002245 | 511.809099775548 |
329 | 14510.35 | 13983.8632213278 | 526.486778672186 |
330 | 14289.23 | 14281.0254860239 | 8.20451397605393 |
331 | 14111.82 | 14342.2616981679 | -230.441698167862 |
332 | 13086.59 | 14211.9391203421 | -1125.34912034207 |
333 | 13351.54 | 13400.7496936358 | -49.209693635783 |
334 | 13747.69 | 13418.274007956 | 329.415992044036 |
335 | 12855.61 | 13683.102299161 | -827.492299160982 |
336 | 12926.93 | 13112.7299238592 | -185.799923859202 |
337 | 12121.95 | 13024.980500663 | -903.030500662993 |
338 | 11731.65 | 12375.1976117026 | -643.547611702617 |
339 | 11639.51 | 11967.3769510075 | -327.866951007465 |
340 | 12163.78 | 11852.5117592314 | 311.26824076861 |
341 | 12029.53 | 11998.5831019044 | 30.946898095639 |
342 | 11234.18 | 11949.8492960714 | -715.669296071394 |
343 | 9852.13 | 11514.9962500614 | -1662.86625006139 |
344 | 9709.04 | 10399.7179701148 | -690.677970114792 |
345 | 9332.75 | 9891.61825578066 | -558.868255780657 |
346 | 7108.6 | 9565.09709586487 | -2456.49709586487 |
347 | 6691.49 | 7926.43603922568 | -1234.94603922568 |
348 | 6143.05 | 7081.15874605129 | -938.108746051292 |
349 | 6379.15 | 6464.30301195721 | -85.1530119572108 |
350 | 5994.58 | 6358.55085620887 | -363.970856208874 |
351 | 5607.94 | 6133.61564782467 | -525.675647824672 |
352 | 6046.13 | 5885.09891693806 | 161.031083061936 |
353 | 6624.96 | 5915.03263982363 | 709.927360176373 |
354 | 6652.54 | 6301.86927041274 | 350.67072958726 |
355 | 6696 | 6561.46112008182 | 134.538879918177 |
356 | 7315.16 | 6664.76708157602 | 650.392918423981 |
357 | 7907.79 | 7056.55526493135 | 851.23473506865 |
358 | 8066.35 | 7646.41674353922 | 419.933256460782 |
359 | 7939.64 | 7963.18076976287 | -23.5407697628698 |
360 | 8068.48 | 7939.55042483056 | 128.929575169443 |
361 | 8186.33 | 8057.08664354779 | 129.243356452214 |
362 | 7975.21 | 8094.39294053711 | -119.182940537114 |
363 | 8357.51 | 8035.08733811157 | 322.422661888434 |
364 | 8463.38 | 8372.53290827803 | 90.8470917219674 |
365 | 7937.68 | 8368.06839414237 | -430.388394142374 |
366 | 8034.62 | 7984.66425477074 | 49.9557452292584 |
367 | 8056.61 | 8041.05880228779 | 15.5511977122078 |
368 | 8176.95 | 8074.76422161836 | 102.18577838164 |
369 | 8441.04 | 8102.47316254684 | 338.566837453165 |
370 | 8697.39 | 8341.72177170074 | 355.668228299255 |
371 | 8665.57 | 8609.4441965475 | 56.1258034524963 |
372 | 8625.77 | 8643.04061728136 | -17.2706172813596 |
373 | 8718.42 | 8663.22061117659 | 55.1993888234119 |
374 | 8822.34 | 8647.77750574143 | 174.562494258565 |
375 | 8597.67 | 8794.39630846971 | -196.726308469706 |
376 | 8782.05 | 8779.47318448209 | 2.57681551791211 |
377 | 8661.06 | 8708.06166003112 | -47.0016600311174 |
378 | 8265.32 | 8591.26300289626 | -325.94300289626 |
379 | 8072.58 | 8394.69412418807 | -322.114124188074 |
380 | 721.85 | 8202.66174204811 | -7480.81174204811 |
381 | 7138.6 | 3120.94176196499 | 4017.65823803501 |
382 | 7351.11 | 5832.60306883294 | 1518.50693116705 |
383 | 7077 | 6875.38790758994 | 201.612092410056 |
384 | 7272.37 | 7002.92516313021 | 269.444836869788 |
385 | 7577.84 | 7214.72357389251 | 363.116426107485 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
386 | 7406.26370732677 | 6113.15058673647 | 8699.37682791706 |
387 | 7427.23771442809 | 5867.60220707646 | 8986.87322177973 |
388 | 7545.7233173334 | 5758.14388730695 | 9333.30274735984 |
389 | 7469.67986521257 | 5479.43413115189 | 9459.92559927324 |
390 | 7378.10264841137 | 5203.38861286784 | 9552.81668395491 |
391 | 7399.31203607212 | 5054.02868161309 | 9744.59539053115 |
392 | 7311.21812095667 | 4806.42245232354 | 9816.0137895898 |
393 | 7451.83173675003 | 4796.58640838375 | 10107.0770651163 |
394 | 7422.87255443395 | 4624.77715219252 | 10220.9679566754 |
395 | 7423.94928995971 | 4489.49255130718 | 10358.4060286122 |
396 | 7417.5756075246 | 4352.37939888386 | 10482.7718161654 |
397 | 7449.88802746665 | 4258.88241009605 | 10640.8936448372 |