Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.674901737704269 |
beta | 0 |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
3 | 938.12 | 1058.28 | -120.16 |
4 | 947.36 | 995.673807197455 | -48.3138071974549 |
5 | 956.6 | 981.556734764784 | -24.9567347647835 |
6 | 956.6 | 983.203391104607 | -26.6033911046065 |
7 | 942.74 | 983.738716219281 | -40.9987162192813 |
8 | 951.98 | 974.558611399244 | -22.5786113992441 |
9 | 919.63 | 977.810267330945 | -58.1802673309448 |
10 | 901.15 | 957.034303809191 | -55.8843038091912 |
11 | 887.28 | 937.807890057975 | -50.5278900579748 |
12 | 836.45 | 922.196529255317 | -85.7465292553172 |
13 | 841.07 | 882.816047658794 | -41.7460476587937 |
14 | 836.45 | 873.131567551589 | -36.6815675515886 |
15 | 831.83 | 866.865113869305 | -35.035113869305 |
16 | 817.97 | 861.709854638244 | -43.7398546382441 |
17 | 771.75 | 850.679750735961 | -78.9297507359611 |
18 | 707.05 | 815.899924807696 | -108.849924807696 |
19 | 716.3 | 760.926921406003 | -44.626921406003 |
20 | 725.54 | 749.2981346007 | -23.7581346006997 |
21 | 716.3 | 751.753728274075 | -35.4537282740755 |
22 | 707.05 | 746.315945453807 | -39.2659454538069 |
23 | 716.3 | 738.305290634432 | -22.0052906344316 |
24 | 780.99 | 741.943881746566 | 39.0461182534339 |
25 | 859.56 | 786.786174806415 | 72.7738251935849 |
26 | 961.22 | 854.391355888952 | 106.828644111048 |
27 | 938.12 | 944.980193436089 | -6.86019343608939 |
28 | 988.95 | 958.840236965085 | 30.1097630349147 |
29 | 910.39 | 997.651368359213 | -87.2613683592131 |
30 | 901.15 | 957.248519219128 | -56.0985192191279 |
31 | 896.53 | 937.877531115502 | -41.3475311155021 |
32 | 910.39 | 928.462010515868 | -18.0720105158683 |
33 | 988.95 | 934.755179214899 | 54.1948207851011 |
34 | 988.95 | 989.821357937335 | -0.871357937335119 |
35 | 965.85 | 1007.72327695127 | -41.8732769512653 |
36 | 975.09 | 997.952929573484 | -22.8629295734843 |
37 | 1002.82 | 1001.01269867533 | 1.80730132467056 |
38 | 1025.92 | 1020.7224494799 | 5.19755052009521 |
39 | 1081.38 | 1042.72028535772 | 38.6597146422773 |
40 | 1164.56 | 1087.30179394895 | 77.2582060510531 |
41 | 1201.53 | 1157.93349146472 | 43.596508535283 |
42 | 1229.26 | 1205.84685083302 | 23.4131491669814 |
43 | 1275.47 | 1240.13842589094 | 35.3315741090564 |
44 | 1275.47 | 1282.47376665297 | -7.0037666529729 |
45 | 1307.82 | 1296.23691236841 | 11.5830876315936 |
46 | 1252.36 | 1322.54435833895 | -70.1843583389498 |
47 | 1261.61 | 1293.66681293633 | -32.0568129363335 |
48 | 1340.17 | 1290.52161418034 | 49.6483858196589 |
49 | 1414.11 | 1342.51939604424 | 71.590603955759 |
50 | 1409.49 | 1409.32601905728 | 0.163980942719263 |
51 | 1432.59 | 1427.92669008047 | 4.66330991952759 |
52 | 1520.4 | 1449.56396604862 | 70.8360339513849 |
53 | 1529.64 | 1515.86132845448 | 13.7786715455165 |
54 | 1455.7 | 1543.65057782381 | -87.950577823809 |
55 | 1427.97 | 1502.78258001843 | -74.8125800184257 |
56 | 1538.88 | 1470.78143976185 | 68.0985602381495 |
57 | 1612.82 | 1535.23127640174 | 77.5887235982634 |
58 | 1635.93 | 1606.08604078446 | 29.8439592155394 |
59 | 1603.58 | 1644.717780719 | -41.1377807190036 |
60 | 1589.72 | 1635.44382102645 | -45.7238210264509 |
61 | 1557.37 | 1623.07473476122 | -65.7047347612204 |
62 | 1589.72 | 1597.22049509547 | -7.50049509547443 |
63 | 1668.28 | 1610.6483979219 | 57.6316020781035 |
64 | 1635.93 | 1668.03406631109 | -32.1040663110894 |
65 | 1615.68 | 1664.85697617036 | -49.176976170362 |
66 | 1644.69 | 1650.15734949794 | -5.46734949794313 |
67 | 1622.71 | 1664.95742582114 | -42.2474258211448 |
68 | 1626.11 | 1654.93456472092 | -28.8245647209221 |
69 | 1705.55 | 1653.9708159022 | 51.5791840977975 |
70 | 1841.35 | 1707.27169687917 | 134.078303120825 |
71 | 2029.03 | 1816.25137664386 | 212.778623356141 |
72 | 2024.21 | 1978.34603929324 | 45.8639607067591 |
73 | 1952.87 | 2027.78970607223 | -74.9197060722331 |
74 | 2153.06 | 1995.71626625579 | 157.34373374421 |
75 | 2339.29 | 2120.39782557664 | 218.892174423365 |
76 | 2502.89 | 2286.61853446483 | 216.27146553517 |
77 | 2515.37 | 2451.07052237037 | 64.2994776296346 |
78 | 2445.68 | 2512.95635155608 | -67.2763515560823 |
79 | 2491.11 | 2486.04142498448 | 5.06857501552122 |
80 | 2691.32 | 2507.95221507014 | 183.367784929862 |
81 | 2651.8 | 2650.19745175828 | 1.60254824171534 |
82 | 2593.49 | 2669.76901435137 | -76.2790143513739 |
83 | 2697.23 | 2636.77817501526 | 60.4518249847374 |
84 | 2751.63 | 2696.06721674486 | 55.5627832551436 |
85 | 2713.9 | 2752.05663571544 | -38.1566357154384 |
86 | 2747.21 | 2744.79465596614 | 2.41534403385958 |
87 | 2982.32 | 2764.91477585175 | 217.405224148255 |
88 | 3063.39 | 2930.13193941539 | 133.258060584611 |
89 | 3058.7 | 3038.55803606704 | 20.1419639329561 |
90 | 3074.38 | 3070.64188252617 | 3.73811747382751 |
91 | 3341.06 | 3091.654744505 | 249.405255494999 |
92 | 3500.03 | 3278.46878483115 | 221.561215168847 |
93 | 392.88 | 3446.49083395648 | -3053.61083395648 |
94 | 3071.52 | 1404.09357584667 | 1667.42642415333 |
95 | 2516.41 | 2547.93256700177 | -31.522567001768 |
96 | 2350.7 | 2545.14793175537 | -194.447931755375 |
97 | 2488.68 | 2432.40468472067 | 56.2753152793289 |
98 | 2872.65 | 2488.87499279255 | 383.775007207455 |
99 | 3220.21 | 2766.37541204433 | 453.834587955675 |
100 | 3078.04 | 3091.15916408591 | -13.1191640859115 |
101 | 3043.98 | 3100.7950174471 | -56.8150174471025 |
102 | 3134.34 | 3080.94046344435 | 53.3995365556457 |
103 | 3141.85 | 3135.46990345836 | 6.38009654163716 |
104 | 3128.01 | 3158.26584170103 | -30.2558417010341 |
105 | 3241.16 | 3156.3361215613 | 84.8238784386986 |
106 | 3389.48 | 3232.07390451839 | 157.406095481605 |
107 | 3406.36 | 3356.79755188417 | 49.5624481158261 |
108 | 3449.84 | 3408.73733424242 | 41.1026657575776 |
109 | 3606.24 | 3454.96759478649 | 151.27240521351 |
110 | 3653.99 | 3575.55160393179 | 78.438396068208 |
111 | 3607.31 | 3646.97981374096 | -39.6698137409617 |
112 | 3712.52 | 3638.69658751278 | 73.8234124872183 |
113 | 3803.47 | 3707.01013688366 | 96.4598631163358 |
114 | 3806.33 | 3790.6010661196 | 15.7289338804048 |
115 | 3768.4 | 3819.70655092772 | -51.3065509277153 |
116 | 3952.06 | 3803.56967055099 | 148.490329449012 |
117 | 4134.85 | 3922.27605192841 | 212.573948071595 |
118 | 4060.9 | 4084.23257887258 | -23.332578872582 |
119 | 3999.88 | 4086.97538084635 | -87.0953808463546 |
120 | 4004.03 | 4046.68455696713 | -42.6545569671348 |
121 | 3977.34 | 4036.38692234901 | -59.0469223490099 |
122 | 3650.08 | 4015.02605184957 | -364.946051849574 |
123 | 3708.85 | 3787.21332728798 | -78.3633272879838 |
124 | 3764.78 | 3752.81578152904 | 11.9642184709651 |
125 | 3761.86 | 3779.38045336536 | -17.5204533653628 |
126 | 3802.55 | 3786.04586894371 | 16.5041310562874 |
127 | 3773.52 | 3815.6745356729 | -42.1545356729007 |
128 | 3428.7 | 3805.71436629514 | -377.014366295143 |
129 | 3194.21 | 3569.75671534308 | -375.546715343077 |
130 | 3095.56 | 3334.7895845689 | -239.229584568904 |
131 | 3064.85 | 3191.82312223308 | -126.973122233081 |
132 | 3022.98 | 3124.61874139624 | -101.638741396238 |
133 | 2887.66 | 3074.51257820984 | -186.852578209842 |
134 | 3178.86 | 2966.8954484815 | 211.964551518503 |
135 | 3438.47 | 3128.44069263304 | 310.029307366959 |
136 | 3493.87 | 3356.17001091425 | 137.699989085747 |
137 | 3421.89 | 3467.59397283008 | -45.7039728300829 |
138 | 3390.28 | 3455.23828214707 | -64.9582821470708 |
139 | 3319.24 | 3429.88782464773 | -110.647824647729 |
140 | 3287.84 | 3373.70141551978 | -85.8614155197793 |
141 | 3222.82 | 3334.24339698373 | -111.423396983732 |
142 | 3182.69 | 3277.5335527385 | -94.8435527384986 |
143 | 3180.21 | 3232.01347418524 | -51.8034741852398 |
144 | 3116.34 | 3215.5412194385 | -99.2012194385034 |
145 | 3297.46 | 3167.08014405707 | 130.379855942925 |
146 | 3357.48 | 3273.56373539459 | 83.9162646054124 |
147 | 3386.03 | 3348.68896819843 | 37.3410318015681 |
148 | 3319.45 | 3392.38049544898 | -72.9304954489808 |
149 | 3363.59 | 3361.64957733883 | 1.94042266116958 |
150 | 3303.47 | 3381.44917196473 | -77.9791719647351 |
151 | 3210.55 | 3347.310893301 | -136.760893300995 |
152 | 3050.27 | 3273.50072876217 | -223.230728762166 |
153 | 3010.55 | 3141.33192201159 | -130.781922011589 |
154 | 3011.65 | 3071.55697558566 | -59.9069755856631 |
155 | 3104.98 | 3049.61565366229 | 55.364346337708 |
156 | 3087.85 | 3105.47114721247 | -17.6211472124719 |
157 | 3160.16 | 3112.06860433843 | 48.0913956615677 |
158 | 3319.22 | 3163.01557083905 | 156.204429160952 |
159 | 3432.49 | 3286.92821151688 | 145.561788483122 |
160 | 3475.68 | 3403.65811550748 | 72.0218844925216 |
161 | 3347.48 | 3470.75581050422 | -123.275810504217 |
162 | 3388.81 | 3406.04675177802 | -17.236751778019 |
163 | 3610.23 | 3412.90363805066 | 197.326361949343 |
164 | 3691.45 | 3564.56954262513 | 126.880457374869 |
165 | 3587.86 | 3668.69138378814 | -80.8313837881419 |
166 | 3704.62 | 3632.62814240848 | 71.9918575915153 |
167 | 3798.75 | 3699.70557219756 | 99.0444278024434 |
168 | 3956.54 | 3785.04082863135 | 171.49917136865 |
169 | 4121.94 | 3919.27591740289 | 202.664082597105 |
170 | 4148.56 | 4074.54425891792 | 74.0157410820784 |
171 | 4100.37 | 4142.98761119169 | -42.6176111916857 |
172 | 4060.71 | 4132.71491134161 | -72.0049113416117 |
173 | 4147.86 | 4102.60867155392 | 45.2513284460838 |
174 | 3926.61 | 4151.6388717556 | -225.028871755605 |
175 | 3865.41 | 4018.25649517412 | -152.846495174116 |
176 | 3978.57 | 3933.5901299791 | 44.9798700209026 |
177 | 3851.95 | 3982.43712241792 | -130.487122417917 |
178 | 3701.22 | 3912.86113675004 | -211.641136750035 |
179 | 3738.65 | 3788.51416578773 | -49.8641657877292 |
180 | 3766.9 | 3773.35075364842 | -6.4507536484175 |
181 | 3711.02 | 3787.4871288016 | -76.4671288015984 |
182 | 3675.22 | 3754.36933069614 | -79.1493306961434 |
183 | 3560.53 | 3719.44130987119 | -158.911309871186 |
184 | 3723.8 | 3630.68179069826 | 93.1182093017387 |
185 | 3914.27 | 3712.01743196791 | 202.252568032085 |
186 | 3870.77 | 3867.00804158792 | 3.76195841207982 |
187 | 3924.36 | 3888.0369938574 | 36.3230061425961 |
188 | 3968.89 | 3931.04145382168 | 37.8485461783152 |
189 | 3982.93 | 3975.07550340701 | 7.85449659299002 |
190 | 3917.09 | 3998.86651680641 | -81.7765168064107 |
191 | 3969.18 | 3962.16540351036 | 7.01459648963782 |
192 | 4149.81 | 3985.38956687051 | 164.420433129488 |
193 | 4406.88 | 4114.84720290369 | 292.032797096308 |
194 | 423.82 | 4330.43064513063 | -3906.61064513063 |
195 | 417.72 | 1712.34233219797 | -1294.62233219797 |
196 | 4527.16 | 857.089470526806 | 3670.07052947319 |
197 | 4617.39 | 3352.51644836549 | 1264.87355163451 |
198 | 4656.23 | 4224.67180633979 | 431.558193660207 |
199 | 4579.9 | 4534.42118116158 | 45.4788188384182 |
200 | 4652.4 | 4583.60491502437 | 68.7950849756326 |
201 | 4722.95 | 4648.52483741993 | 74.4251625800653 |
202 | 4845.81 | 4717.24450897414 | 128.565491025857 |
203 | 4975.21 | 4822.5035822763 | 152.706417723703 |
204 | 5083.64 | 4944.05540895662 | 139.584591043383 |
205 | 5378.04 | 5056.75129200854 | 321.288707991464 |
206 | 5684.44 | 5292.07959933673 | 392.360400663265 |
207 | 5841.87 | 5575.37431555072 | 266.495684449284 |
208 | 5857.23 | 5773.72271607623 | 83.5072839237737 |
209 | 6174.52 | 5848.57192710734 | 325.948072892656 |
210 | 6413.17 | 6087.04484790396 | 326.125152096044 |
211 | 6780.11 | 6325.63727976265 | 454.472720237354 |
212 | 6524.94 | 6650.85170839002 | -125.911708390023 |
213 | 6466.7 | 6584.36367760028 | -117.663677600282 |
214 | 6495.61 | 6523.44225712318 | -27.8322571231765 |
215 | 6399.52 | 6523.14821842651 | -123.628218426512 |
216 | 6729.98 | 6458.20131898118 | 271.778681018824 |
217 | 7060.77 | 6660.11522307175 | 400.654776928246 |
218 | 7423.27 | 6949.00782824014 | 474.262171759857 |
219 | 8069.17 | 7287.57819208827 | 781.591807911728 |
220 | 8650.68 | 7833.56586142332 | 817.114138576681 |
221 | 8938.07 | 8403.52761345145 | 534.542386548552 |
222 | 9482.08 | 8782.78119900965 | 699.298800990347 |
223 | 10225.26 | 9273.22917497255 | 952.03082502745 |
224 | 9390.27 | 9934.24643313161 | -543.976433131606 |
225 | 8546.11 | 9585.60579314091 | -1039.49579314091 |
226 | 8073.77 | 8902.53827601383 | -828.768276013832 |
227 | 8655.31 | 8361.69112637793 | 293.618873622074 |
228 | 9150.1 | 8578.34501440823 | 571.754985591768 |
229 | 9775.81 | 8982.7134477252 | 793.096552274803 |
230 | 9785.14 | 9536.46568902273 | 248.674310977274 |
231 | 9363.44 | 9722.7864136237 | -359.346413623698 |
232 | 9304.18 | 9498.75289463127 | -194.572894631267 |
233 | 9030.26 | 9385.92530993448 | -355.665309934475 |
234 | 8920.8 | 9164.37617421857 | -243.576174218571 |
235 | 8606.08 | 9018.4761909751 | -412.3961909751 |
236 | 8353.75 | 8758.63928506338 | -404.889285063384 |
237 | 8615.63 | 8503.86880299627 | 111.761197003732 |
238 | 8128.64 | 8597.78662906199 | -469.146629061995 |
239 | 8715.94 | 8299.64875386995 | 416.291246130046 |
240 | 8500.8 | 8599.0944392742 | -98.2944392741992 |
241 | 8142.58 | 8551.24535140137 | -408.665351401374 |
242 | 7614.66 | 8293.92639560106 | -679.26639560106 |
243 | 7558.95 | 7853.97832484579 | -295.028324845789 |
244 | 7820.75 | 7673.35319573539 | 147.396804264614 |
245 | 7828.9 | 7791.32155506563 | 37.5784449343701 |
246 | 7904.59 | 7835.17331285206 | 69.4166871479401 |
247 | 8140.97 | 7900.51275563388 | 240.457244366122 |
248 | 8483.01 | 8081.28776770015 | 401.722232299846 |
249 | 8322.68 | 8370.90080035376 | -48.220800353758 |
250 | 8268.01 | 8356.84649840152 | -88.8364984015152 |
251 | 8402.05 | 8315.38059125877 | 86.6694087412288 |
252 | 8177.78 | 8392.36392582403 | -214.583925824028 |
253 | 7950.54 | 8266.03086140199 | -315.490861401987 |
254 | 8049.94 | 8071.59553081197 | -21.6555308119696 |
255 | 7674.13 | 8075.47017543606 | -401.340175436062 |
256 | 7666.36 | 7823.09499362373 | -156.734993623728 |
257 | 7570.18 | 7735.80427406801 | -165.624274068005 |
258 | 7694.45 | 7642.5141636935 | 51.9358363064994 |
259 | 7810.64 | 7696.05574986588 | 114.584250134119 |
260 | 7748.43 | 7791.87885939494 | -43.4488593949382 |
261 | 7040.64 | 7781.04514868803 | -740.405148688025 |
262 | 7077.26 | 7299.83442723329 | -222.574427233289 |
263 | 7245.51 | 7168.10855952501 | 77.4014404749905 |
264 | 7289.12 | 7238.83692620239 | 50.2830737976055 |
265 | 7486.92 | 7291.26306008551 | 195.65693991449 |
266 | 7519.88 | 7441.8022688277 | 78.0777311723014 |
267 | 7554.84 | 7512.98706527189 | 41.8529347281083 |
268 | 7780.89 | 7559.72368364792 | 221.166316352085 |
269 | 7748.09 | 7727.47921487559 | 20.6107851244105 |
270 | 7152.25 | 7759.8794695715 | -607.629469571503 |
271 | 6484.66 | 7368.27928467737 | -883.619284677372 |
272 | 6254.58 | 6790.41309397961 | -535.83309397961 |
273 | 5867.32 | 6447.26840773332 | -579.948407733316 |
274 | 5544.16 | 6074.35021957528 | -530.190219575276 |
275 | 5822.74 | 5735.01391907011 | 87.7260809298859 |
276 | 5690.63 | 5812.71040353168 | -122.080403531679 |
277 | 5564.78 | 5748.80812704851 | -184.02812704851 |
278 | 5088.39 | 5643.09722431701 | -554.707224317008 |
279 | 4784.22 | 5287.21435470835 | -502.994354708348 |
280 | 5332.46 | 4966.23259066025 | 366.227409339754 |
281 | 5541.48 | 5231.89010561858 | 309.589894381421 |
282 | 5723.92 | 5459.32286331228 | 264.597136687719 |
283 | 5736.99 | 5656.3899306544 | 80.6000693456035 |
284 | 5992.07 | 5729.27705751483 | 262.792942485171 |
285 | 6091.43 | 5925.12647105449 | 166.303528945512 |
286 | 6158.17 | 6055.85501172617 | 102.314988273833 |
287 | 6303.79 | 6143.39757510537 | 160.392424894631 |
288 | 6349.71 | 6270.13670138136 | 79.5732986186431 |
289 | 6802.96 | 6342.33085889394 | 460.62914110606 |
290 | 7132.68 | 6671.70026666364 | 460.979733336356 |
291 | 7073.29 | 7001.3062897388 | 71.9837102611982 |
292 | 7264.5 | 7068.37822088049 | 196.121779119515 |
293 | 7105.33 | 7219.2311504099 | -113.901150409899 |
294 | 7218.71 | 7160.84906607174 | 57.8609339282575 |
295 | 7225.72 | 7218.38951092512 | 7.33048907488501 |
296 | 7354.25 | 7241.82687073998 | 112.423129260023 |
297 | 7745.46 | 7336.19143603572 | 409.268563964281 |
298 | 8070.26 | 7630.89750104294 | 439.362498957057 |
299 | 8366.33 | 7945.91401507115 | 420.415984928849 |
300 | 8667.51 | 8248.14349385828 | 419.366506141718 |
301 | 8854.34 | 8549.6646775883 | 304.675322411704 |
302 | 9218.1 | 8773.78058211956 | 444.319417880437 |
303 | 9332.9 | 9092.14252934282 | 240.75747065718 |
304 | 9358.31 | 9273.12016465463 | 85.1898353453653 |
305 | 9248.66 | 9349.10493256396 | -100.444932563962 |
306 | 9401.2 | 9299.80447303295 | 101.395526967046 |
307 | 9652.04 | 9386.72649037845 | 265.313509621546 |
308 | 9957.38 | 9584.27703905845 | 373.102960941545 |
309 | 10110.63 | 9854.57487574051 | 256.055124259488 |
310 | 10169.26 | 10045.8769240513 | 123.383075948677 |
311 | 10343.78 | 10147.6383764124 | 196.141623587619 |
312 | 10750.21 | 10298.5046990078 | 451.705300992196 |
313 | 11337.5 | 10621.8513915777 | 715.648608422334 |
314 | 11786.96 | 11123.3338809875 | 663.626119012459 |
315 | 12083.04 | 11589.706301895 | 493.333698105012 |
316 | 12007.74 | 11941.1480720141 | 66.5919279858645 |
317 | 11745.93 | 12004.5810799289 | -258.651079928872 |
318 | 11051.51 | 11848.5070166258 | -796.99701662579 |
319 | 11445.9 | 11329.1023451599 | 116.797654840073 |
320 | 11924.88 | 11426.4192853713 | 498.460714628724 |
321 | 12247.63 | 11781.3212878515 | 466.308712148486 |
322 | 12690.91 | 12114.5238479872 | 576.386152012834 |
323 | 12910.7 | 12522.0178635693 | 388.682136430696 |
324 | 13202.12 | 12802.830112861 | 399.289887139012 |
325 | 13654.67 | 13090.8015515388 | 563.868448461151 |
326 | 13862.82 | 13489.8473472419 | 372.97265275811 |
327 | 13523.93 | 13760.0572387045 | -236.127238704508 |
328 | 14211.17 | 13619.1845549835 | 591.985445016475 |
329 | 14510.35 | 14037.2065605208 | 473.143439479221 |
330 | 14289.23 | 14375.0218900087 | -85.7918900086806 |
331 | 14111.82 | 14335.6107943609 | -223.790794360888 |
332 | 13086.59 | 14203.0639983645 | -1116.4739983645 |
333 | 13351.54 | 13468.0437567667 | -116.503756766666 |
334 | 13747.69 | 13407.9051688758 | 339.784831124232 |
335 | 12855.61 | 13655.7165418471 | -800.106541847064 |
336 | 12926.93 | 13134.2132464059 | -207.283246405927 |
337 | 12121.95 | 13012.8074232096 | -890.857423209583 |
338 | 11731.65 | 12430.0562002387 | -698.406200238689 |
339 | 11639.51 | 11977.1906420742 | -337.680642074161 |
340 | 12163.78 | 11767.7793899492 | 396.000610050784 |
341 | 12029.53 | 12053.5308898044 | -24.0008898044416 |
342 | 11234.18 | 12055.822647569 | -821.642647568975 |
343 | 9852.13 | 11519.7845969527 | -1667.65459695274 |
344 | 9709.04 | 10412.7716115788 | -703.73161157882 |
345 | 9332.75 | 9956.31192404685 | -623.56192404685 |
346 | 7108.6 | 9553.95889794141 | -2445.35889794141 |
347 | 6691.49 | 7922.07192841016 | -1230.58192841016 |
348 | 6143.05 | 7110.04004653867 | -966.99004653867 |
349 | 6379.15 | 6475.90678378699 | -96.7567837869892 |
350 | 5994.58 | 6429.09546227447 | -434.515462274473 |
351 | 5607.94 | 6154.33022172606 | -546.390221726057 |
352 | 6046.13 | 5804.06051161852 | 242.06948838148 |
353 | 6624.96 | 5985.92362997236 | 639.036370027636 |
354 | 6652.54 | 6435.70038656024 | 216.839613439756 |
355 | 6696 | 6600.53581847386 | 95.464181526143 |
356 | 7315.16 | 6683.45476047437 | 631.705239525633 |
357 | 7907.79 | 7128.28372434711 | 779.506275652892 |
358 | 8066.35 | 7672.86386433663 | 393.486135663373 |
359 | 7939.64 | 7956.91834105838 | -17.2783410583752 |
360 | 8068.48 | 7963.74715865343 | 104.732841346568 |
361 | 8186.33 | 8052.92153527294 | 133.408464727065 |
362 | 7975.21 | 8161.44913994169 | -186.23913994169 |
363 | 8357.51 | 8054.24602076649 | 303.263979233506 |
364 | 8463.38 | 8277.4094073343 | 185.970592665701 |
365 | 7937.68 | 8421.41128348627 | -483.731283486273 |
366 | 8034.62 | 8113.43019967947 | -78.8101996794712 |
367 | 8056.61 | 8078.73105896698 | -22.1210589669754 |
368 | 8176.95 | 8082.2915178303 | 94.6584821696952 |
369 | 8441.04 | 8164.66669193508 | 276.373308064921 |
370 | 8697.39 | 8369.68151780317 | 327.708482196827 |
371 | 8665.57 | 8609.34254189824 | 56.2274581017609 |
372 | 8625.77 | 8665.78055107781 | -40.0105510778103 |
373 | 8718.42 | 8657.26736062889 | 61.1526393711083 |
374 | 8822.34 | 8717.02938320566 | 105.310616794344 |
375 | 8597.67 | 8806.59370147887 | -208.923701478867 |
376 | 8782.05 | 8684.08073230317 | 97.969267696828 |
377 | 8661.06 | 8768.69036131337 | -107.630361313375 |
378 | 8265.32 | 8714.54044343324 | -449.22044343324 |
379 | 8072.58 | 8429.85078554786 | -357.270785547864 |
380 | 721.85 | 8207.21811155064 | -7485.36811155064 |
381 | 7138.6 | 3173.82016570899 | 3964.77983429101 |
382 | 7351.11 | 5868.14696548684 | 1482.96303451316 |
383 | 7077 | 6887.49129443097 | 189.508705569033 |
384 | 7272.37 | 7033.88104912959 | 238.488950870405 |
385 | 7577.84 | 7213.3276564953 | 364.512343504701 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
386 | 7477.82767054128 | 6206.44586176293 | 8749.20947931963 |
387 | 7496.31767054128 | 5962.4744979333 | 9030.16084314925 |
388 | 7514.80767054128 | 5757.27017375218 | 9272.34516733037 |
389 | 7533.29767054128 | 5577.48550494785 | 9489.10983613471 |
390 | 7551.78767054128 | 5416.02916323132 | 9687.54617785123 |
391 | 7570.27767054128 | 5268.59837576313 | 9871.95696531942 |
392 | 7588.76767054128 | 5132.34939376633 | 10045.1859473162 |
393 | 7607.25767054128 | 5005.28650910663 | 10209.2288319759 |
394 | 7625.74767054128 | 4885.94528726595 | 10365.5500538166 |
395 | 7644.23767054128 | 4773.21341535555 | 10515.261925727 |
396 | 7662.72767054128 | 4666.22246475098 | 10659.2328763316 |
397 | 7681.21767054128 | 4564.27900852178 | 10798.1563325608 |