Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
Parameter | Value |
alpha | 0.67682059831431 |
beta | FALSE |
gamma | FALSE |
Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
2 | 1039.79 | 1021.3 | 18.49 |
3 | 938.12 | 1033.81441286283 | -95.6944128628317 |
4 | 947.36 | 969.046463093673 | -21.6864630936733 |
5 | 956.6 | 954.368618167292 | 2.23138183270783 |
6 | 956.6 | 955.878863354373 | 0.721136645626871 |
7 | 942.74 | 956.366943490333 | -13.6269434903327 |
8 | 951.98 | 947.14394744401 | 4.83605255598957 |
9 | 919.63 | 950.417087428435 | -30.7870874284348 |
10 | 901.15 | 929.579752494767 | -28.4297524947666 |
11 | 887.28 | 910.337910401331 | -23.0579104013309 |
12 | 836.45 | 894.731841687624 | -58.2818416876243 |
13 | 841.07 | 855.285490725747 | -14.2154907257465 |
14 | 836.45 | 845.664153787415 | -9.21415378741517 |
15 | 831.83 | 839.427824708057 | -7.59782470805681 |
16 | 817.97 | 834.285460443263 | -16.3154604432625 |
17 | 771.75 | 823.24282074428 | -51.4928207442802 |
18 | 707.05 | 788.391418999245 | -81.341418999245 |
19 | 716.3 | 733.337871124441 | -17.037871124441 |
20 | 725.54 | 721.806288995995 | 3.73371100400527 |
21 | 716.3 | 724.333341511658 | -8.03334151165836 |
22 | 707.05 | 718.896210503275 | -11.8462105032746 |
23 | 716.3 | 710.878451222691 | 5.421548777309 |
24 | 780.99 | 714.547867109939 | 66.4421328900605 |
25 | 859.56 | 759.517271245869 | 100.042728754131 |
26 | 961.22 | 827.228250778236 | 133.991749221764 |
27 | 938.12 | 917.916626655691 | 20.2033733443086 |
28 | 988.95 | 931.590685890554 | 57.3593141094464 |
29 | 910.39 | 970.412651185008 | -60.0226511850076 |
30 | 901.15 | 929.78808449756 | -28.6380844975596 |
31 | 896.53 | 910.405239013346 | -13.8752390133455 |
32 | 910.39 | 901.014191442579 | 9.37580855742101 |
33 | 988.95 | 907.359931800093 | 81.5900681999069 |
34 | 988.95 | 962.58177057566 | 26.3682294243405 |
35 | 965.85 | 980.428331391131 | -14.5783313911306 |
36 | 975.09 | 970.561416416561 | 4.52858358343872 |
37 | 1002.82 | 973.626455067021 | 29.1935449329794 |
38 | 1025.92 | 993.385247615475 | 32.5347523845246 |
39 | 1081.38 | 1015.40543819038 | 65.9745618096227 |
40 | 1164.56 | 1060.05838058789 | 104.501619412109 |
41 | 1201.53 | 1130.78722916321 | 70.7427708367911 |
42 | 1229.26 | 1178.66739364738 | 50.5926063526219 |
43 | 1275.47 | 1212.90951174924 | 62.56048825076 |
44 | 1275.47 | 1255.25173883795 | 20.2182611620453 |
45 | 1307.82 | 1268.93587445453 | 38.8841255454747 |
46 | 1252.36 | 1295.25345157114 | -42.8934515711424 |
47 | 1261.61 | 1266.222280015 | -4.6122800149958 |
48 | 1340.17 | 1263.10059389565 | 77.0694061043469 |
49 | 1414.11 | 1315.26275544693 | 98.847244553074 |
50 | 1409.49 | 1382.16460664706 | 27.3253933529415 |
51 | 1432.59 | 1400.65899572537 | 31.9310042746297 |
52 | 1520.4 | 1422.2705571433 | 98.1294428566982 |
53 | 1529.64 | 1488.68658536982 | 40.9534146301778 |
54 | 1455.7 | 1516.40469996283 | -60.7046999628333 |
55 | 1427.97 | 1475.3185086135 | -47.3485086134979 |
56 | 1538.88 | 1443.27206268442 | 95.6079373155801 |
57 | 1612.82 | 1507.98148402195 | 104.838515978052 |
58 | 1635.93 | 1578.9383511326 | 56.9916488674025 |
59 | 1603.58 | 1617.51147301795 | -13.9314730179522 |
60 | 1589.72 | 1608.08236511454 | -18.3623651145419 |
61 | 1557.37 | 1595.65433817125 | -38.2843381712519 |
62 | 1589.72 | 1569.74270950412 | 19.9772904958822 |
63 | 1668.28 | 1583.26375121024 | 85.0162487897603 |
64 | 1635.93 | 1640.80449958256 | -4.87449958256343 |
65 | 1615.68 | 1637.50533785861 | -21.8253378586101 |
66 | 1644.69 | 1622.73349963073 | 21.9565003692665 |
67 | 1622.71 | 1637.59411134755 | -14.8841113475489 |
68 | 1626.11 | 1627.52023819992 | -1.41023819992415 |
69 | 1705.55 | 1626.56575993769 | 78.9842400623143 |
70 | 1841.35 | 1680.02392055406 | 161.326079445937 |
71 | 2029.03 | 1789.21273416836 | 239.817265831636 |
72 | 2024.21 | 1951.52599951463 | 72.6840004853661 |
73 | 1952.87 | 2000.72002821102 | -47.8500282110172 |
74 | 2153.06 | 1968.33414348788 | 184.72585651212 |
75 | 2339.29 | 2093.36040821654 | 245.929591783463 |
76 | 2502.89 | 2259.81062167061 | 243.079378329386 |
77 | 2515.37 | 2424.33175194938 | 91.0382480506205 |
78 | 2445.68 | 2485.94831346449 | -40.2683134644872 |
79 | 2491.11 | 2458.69388945234 | 32.4161105476555 |
80 | 2691.32 | 2480.63378078823 | 210.686219211769 |
81 | 2651.8 | 2623.23055373172 | 28.5694462682795 |
82 | 2593.49 | 2642.56694344853 | -49.0769434485264 |
83 | 2697.23 | 2609.35065722026 | 87.8793427797432 |
84 | 2751.63 | 2668.82920657991 | 82.8007934200891 |
85 | 2713.9 | 2724.8704891234 | -10.9704891233951 |
86 | 2747.21 | 2717.4454361111 | 29.7645638889016 |
87 | 2982.32 | 2737.59070605095 | 244.729293949051 |
88 | 3063.39 | 2903.22853320658 | 160.161466793415 |
89 | 3058.7 | 3011.6291129886 | 47.0708870113981 |
90 | 3074.38 | 3043.48765889884 | 30.8923411011588 |
91 | 3341.06 | 3064.39623168626 | 276.663768313742 |
92 | 3500.03 | 3251.64796888826 | 248.382031111744 |
93 | 392.88 | 3419.75804379583 | -3026.87804379583 |
94 | 3071.52 | 1371.10463516949 | 1700.41536483051 |
95 | 2516.41 | 2521.98077977692 | -5.57077977692143 |
96 | 2350.7 | 2518.21036127523 | -167.510361275228 |
97 | 2488.68 | 2404.83589833308 | 83.844101666918 |
98 | 2872.65 | 2461.58331338841 | 411.066686611589 |
99 | 3220.21 | 2739.80171416795 | 480.408285832052 |
100 | 3078.04 | 3064.95193761995 | 13.0880623800504 |
101 | 3043.98 | 3073.81020783079 | -29.8302078307902 |
102 | 3134.34 | 3053.62050871891 | 80.7194912810855 |
103 | 3141.85 | 3108.25312310341 | 33.596876896594 |
104 | 3128.01 | 3130.99218142605 | -2.98218142605083 |
105 | 3241.16 | 3128.97377960899 | 112.18622039101 |
106 | 3389.48 | 3204.90372441665 | 184.576275583346 |
107 | 3406.36 | 3329.8287496916 | 76.5312503083987 |
108 | 3449.84 | 3381.62667631507 | 68.2133236849259 |
109 | 3606.24 | 3427.79485886451 | 178.445141135486 |
110 | 3653.99 | 3548.57020605411 | 105.419793945885 |
111 | 3607.31 | 3619.92049406674 | -12.6104940667401 |
112 | 3712.52 | 3611.38545192745 | 101.13454807255 |
113 | 3803.47 | 3679.83539726416 | 123.634602735839 |
114 | 3806.33 | 3763.51384306018 | 42.8161569398167 |
115 | 3768.4 | 3792.49270001771 | -24.0927000177094 |
116 | 3952.06 | 3776.18626437672 | 175.873735623284 |
117 | 4134.85 | 3895.22123134904 | 239.62876865096 |
118 | 4060.9 | 4057.4069179207 | 3.49308207929562 |
119 | 3999.88 | 4059.77110782357 | -59.8911078235742 |
120 | 4004.03 | 4019.23557239272 | -15.2055723927156 |
121 | 3977.34 | 4008.94412778817 | -31.6041277881664 |
122 | 3650.08 | 3987.55380310938 | -337.473803109378 |
123 | 3708.85 | 3759.14458177348 | -50.2945817734831 |
124 | 3764.78 | 3725.10417284559 | 39.675827154414 |
125 | 3761.86 | 3751.95758991885 | 9.90241008114845 |
126 | 3802.55 | 3758.65974503473 | 43.8902549652721 |
127 | 3773.52 | 3788.36557366049 | -14.845573660491 |
128 | 3428.7 | 3778.31778361328 | -349.617783613278 |
129 | 3194.21 | 3541.68926612682 | -347.479266126816 |
130 | 3095.56 | 3306.50814132505 | -210.948141325047 |
131 | 3064.85 | 3163.73409410014 | -98.8840941001372 |
132 | 3022.98 | 3096.80730236751 | -73.8273023675138 |
133 | 2887.66 | 3046.8394634072 | -159.179463407202 |
134 | 3178.86 | 2939.10352374459 | 239.756476255412 |
135 | 3438.47 | 3101.37564545351 | 337.094354546493 |
136 | 3493.87 | 3329.52804818604 | 164.341951813959 |
137 | 3421.89 | 3440.75806634091 | -18.8680663409064 |
138 | 3390.28 | 3427.98777039102 | -37.7077703910195 |
139 | 3319.24 | 3402.46637467387 | -83.2263746738713 |
140 | 3287.84 | 3346.13704997157 | -58.2970499715702 |
141 | 3222.82 | 3306.68040572985 | -83.860405729853 |
142 | 3182.69 | 3249.92195574889 | -67.2319557488931 |
143 | 3180.21 | 3204.41798323309 | -24.207983233086 |
144 | 3116.34 | 3188.03352153729 | -71.693521537286 |
145 | 3297.46 | 3139.50986939516 | 157.95013060484 |
146 | 3357.48 | 3246.41377129495 | 111.066228705049 |
147 | 3386.03 | 3321.58568265962 | 64.4443173403838 |
148 | 3319.45 | 3365.20292407989 | -45.7529240798926 |
149 | 3363.59 | 3334.23640262951 | 29.3535973704898 |
150 | 3303.47 | 3354.10352196448 | -50.633521964483 |
151 | 3210.55 | 3319.83371133372 | -109.28371133372 |
152 | 3050.27 | 3245.86824444282 | -195.598244442824 |
153 | 3010.55 | 3113.4833236098 | -102.933323609803 |
154 | 3011.65 | 3043.81592993774 | -32.1659299377357 |
155 | 3104.98 | 3022.04536599194 | 82.9346340080588 |
156 | 3087.85 | 3078.17723460225 | 9.67276539774593 |
157 | 3160.16 | 3084.72396146611 | 75.4360385338896 |
158 | 3319.22 | 3135.78062620108 | 183.439373798921 |
159 | 3432.49 | 3259.93617293007 | 172.553827069933 |
160 | 3475.68 | 3376.72415740896 | 98.9558425910368 |
161 | 3347.48 | 3443.69950999813 | -96.2195099981254 |
162 | 3388.81 | 3378.57616367168 | 10.2338363283156 |
163 | 3610.23 | 3385.50263489847 | 224.727365101534 |
164 | 3691.45 | 3537.60274460408 | 153.847255395915 |
165 | 3587.86 | 3641.72973605016 | -53.8697360501624 |
166 | 3704.62 | 3605.26958906566 | 99.3504109343421 |
167 | 3798.75 | 3672.51199363701 | 126.238006362988 |
168 | 3956.54 | 3757.95247663362 | 198.587523366385 |
169 | 4121.94 | 3892.36060301621 | 229.579396983791 |
170 | 4148.56 | 4047.74466784342 | 100.815332156584 |
171 | 4100.37 | 4115.97856127289 | -15.6085612728921 |
172 | 4060.71 | 4105.41436549335 | -44.7043654933477 |
173 | 4147.86 | 4075.15753009288 | 72.7024699071212 |
174 | 3926.61 | 4124.36405927434 | -197.754059274344 |
175 | 3865.41 | 3990.5200385572 | -125.110038557199 |
176 | 3978.57 | 3905.84298740579 | 72.7270125942114 |
177 | 3851.95 | 3955.06612758342 | -103.116127583416 |
178 | 3701.22 | 3885.27500841655 | -184.055008416553 |
179 | 3738.65 | 3760.70278749732 | -22.0527874973159 |
180 | 3766.9 | 3745.77700666888 | 21.1229933311156 |
181 | 3711.02 | 3760.07348365344 | -49.0534836534393 |
182 | 3675.22 | 3726.87307549772 | -51.6530754977175 |
183 | 3560.53 | 3691.91321003458 | -131.383210034578 |
184 | 3723.8 | 3602.99034721052 | 120.80965278948 |
185 | 3914.27 | 3684.75680869364 | 229.51319130636 |
186 | 3870.77 | 3840.09606415464 | 30.6739358453624 |
187 | 3924.36 | 3860.85681576615 | 63.5031842338494 |
188 | 3968.89 | 3903.83707891417 | 65.0529210858313 |
189 | 3982.93 | 3947.86623588557 | 35.0637641144253 |
190 | 3917.09 | 3971.59811369265 | -54.5081136926515 |
191 | 3969.18 | 3934.70589957021 | 34.474100429793 |
192 | 4149.81 | 3958.03868084945 | 191.771319150554 |
193 | 4406.88 | 4087.83345981645 | 319.046540183551 |
194 | 423.82 | 4303.77073003359 | -3879.95073003359 |
195 | 417.72 | 1677.74015550221 | -1260.02015550221 |
196 | 4527.16 | 824.932559967114 | 3702.22744003289 |
197 | 4617.39 | 3330.67635102583 | 1286.71364897417 |
198 | 4656.23 | 4201.55065278372 | 454.679347216283 |
199 | 4579.9 | 4509.2870006078 | 70.6129993921986 |
200 | 4652.4 | 4557.0793331052 | 95.3206668948023 |
201 | 4722.95 | 4621.59432390466 | 101.355676095343 |
202 | 4845.81 | 4690.19393324206 | 155.616066757942 |
203 | 4975.21 | 4795.51809265249 | 179.691907347512 |
204 | 5083.64 | 4917.13727689567 | 166.50272310433 |
205 | 5378.04 | 5029.82974956811 | 348.210250431895 |
206 | 5684.44 | 5265.5056196046 | 418.934380395403 |
207 | 5841.87 | 5549.04903759825 | 292.820962401752 |
208 | 5857.23 | 5747.23629656997 | 109.993703430026 |
209 | 6174.52 | 5821.68230073629 | 352.83769926371 |
210 | 6413.17 | 6060.4901234598 | 352.679876540201 |
211 | 6780.11 | 6299.19112851315 | 480.918871486845 |
212 | 6524.94 | 6624.68692685352 | -99.7469268535242 |
213 | 6466.7 | 6557.17615214051 | -90.476152140508 |
214 | 6495.61 | 6495.94002871559 | -0.330028715592562 |
215 | 6399.52 | 6495.71665848284 | -96.1966584828433 |
216 | 6729.98 | 6430.60877853265 | 299.371221467351 |
217 | 7060.77 | 6633.22938776427 | 427.540612235734 |
218 | 7423.27 | 6922.59768074132 | 500.672319258678 |
219 | 8069.17 | 7261.46301942139 | 807.706980578606 |
220 | 8650.68 | 7808.13574127925 | 842.544258720749 |
221 | 8938.07 | 8378.38705057292 | 559.682949427084 |
222 | 9482.08 | 8757.19199927047 | 724.888000729527 |
223 | 10225.26 | 9247.8111296351 | 977.448870364904 |
224 | 9390.27 | 9909.36865889712 | -519.098658897117 |
225 | 8546.11 | 9558.03199399821 | -1011.92199399821 |
226 | 8073.77 | 8873.14234457293 | -799.372344572934 |
227 | 8655.31 | 8332.11067604317 | 323.199323956831 |
228 | 9150.1 | 8550.85863585841 | 599.24136414159 |
229 | 9775.81 | 8956.4375344714 | 819.372465528595 |
230 | 9785.14 | 9511.00569683274 | 274.13430316726 |
231 | 9363.44 | 9696.54543992088 | -333.105439920881 |
232 | 9304.18 | 9471.09281677188 | -166.912816771879 |
233 | 9030.26 | 9358.12278425801 | -327.86278425801 |
234 | 8920.8 | 9136.21849845151 | -215.418498451509 |
235 | 8606.08 | 8990.41882144159 | -384.338821441588 |
236 | 8353.75 | 8730.29039035808 | -376.540390358075 |
237 | 8615.63 | 8475.44009806642 | 140.18990193358 |
238 | 8128.64 | 8570.32351137073 | -441.683511370728 |
239 | 8715.94 | 8271.38301293923 | 444.556987060774 |
240 | 8500.8 | 8572.26833890651 | -71.4683389065067 |
241 | 8142.58 | 8523.89709500727 | -381.317095007274 |
242 | 7614.66 | 8265.81383061698 | -651.153830616977 |
243 | 7558.95 | 7825.09950538414 | -266.14950538414 |
244 | 7820.75 | 7644.96403790899 | 175.785962091011 |
245 | 7828.9 | 7763.93959794668 | 64.9604020533161 |
246 | 7904.59 | 7807.90613613115 | 96.6838638688532 |
247 | 8140.97 | 7873.3437667222 | 267.626233277797 |
248 | 8483.01 | 8054.47871405389 | 428.531285946113 |
249 | 8322.68 | 8344.51751540434 | -21.8375154043351 |
250 | 8268.01 | 8329.73743516267 | -61.7274351626747 |
251 | 8402.05 | 8287.95903556347 | 114.090964436533 |
252 | 8177.78 | 8365.17815037566 | -187.398150375658 |
253 | 7950.54 | 8238.34322211541 | -287.803222115409 |
254 | 8049.94 | 8043.55207312647 | 6.38792687352816 |
255 | 7674.13 | 8047.875553615 | -373.745553615001 |
256 | 7666.36 | 7794.91686439998 | -128.556864399983 |
257 | 7570.18 | 7707.90693051937 | -137.726930519374 |
258 | 7694.45 | 7614.69050700126 | 79.7594929987417 |
259 | 7810.64 | 7668.67337477391 | 141.966625226088 |
260 | 7748.43 | 7764.7593110001 | -16.3293110000968 |
261 | 7040.64 | 7753.70729695895 | -713.06729695895 |
262 | 7077.26 | 7271.08866239283 | -193.828662392826 |
263 | 7245.51 | 7139.90143114165 | 105.608568858349 |
264 | 7289.12 | 7211.37948590348 | 77.7405140965229 |
265 | 7486.92 | 7263.99586716755 | 222.924132832452 |
266 | 7519.88 | 7414.87551212991 | 105.004487870093 |
267 | 7554.84 | 7485.94471243583 | 68.8952875641689 |
268 | 7780.89 | 7532.57446218605 | 248.315537813952 |
269 | 7748.09 | 7700.63953306003 | 47.450466939973 |
270 | 7152.25 | 7732.75498648463 | -580.504986484633 |
271 | 6484.66 | 7339.85725420766 | -855.197254207664 |
272 | 6254.58 | 6761.04213693808 | -506.462136938077 |
273 | 5867.32 | 6418.2581303921 | -550.938130392104 |
274 | 5544.16 | 6045.37185534595 | -501.211855345952 |
275 | 5822.74 | 5706.14134752848 | 116.598652471521 |
276 | 5690.63 | 5785.0577172569 | -94.4277172568964 |
277 | 5564.78 | 5721.14709316563 | -156.36709316563 |
278 | 5088.39 | 5615.3146236126 | -526.924623612598 |
279 | 4784.22 | 5258.68118459258 | -474.461184592577 |
280 | 5332.46 | 4937.55608175971 | 394.903918240288 |
281 | 5541.48 | 5204.83518797977 | 336.64481202023 |
282 | 5723.92 | 5432.68333107071 | 291.23666892929 |
283 | 5736.99 | 5629.7983075865 | 107.191692413501 |
284 | 5992.07 | 5702.34785298013 | 289.722147019872 |
285 | 6091.43 | 5898.43776987102 | 192.992230128976 |
286 | 6158.17 | 6029.05888653693 | 129.111113463069 |
287 | 6303.79 | 6116.44394760003 | 187.346052399967 |
288 | 6349.71 | 6243.2436148772 | 106.466385122798 |
289 | 6802.96 | 6315.30225735638 | 487.657742643624 |
290 | 7132.68 | 6645.35906250504 | 487.320937494961 |
291 | 7073.29 | 6975.18791099147 | 98.1020890085301 |
292 | 7264.5 | 7041.58542557011 | 222.914574429893 |
293 | 7105.33 | 7192.45860120873 | -87.1286012087266 |
294 | 7218.71 | 7133.48816920835 | 85.2218307916528 |
295 | 7225.72 | 7191.16805971419 | 34.5519402858054 |
296 | 7354.25 | 7214.55352461135 | 139.696475388646 |
297 | 7745.46 | 7309.1029766663 | 436.357023333702 |
298 | 8070.26 | 7604.43839827767 | 465.821601722335 |
299 | 8366.33 | 7919.71605346311 | 446.613946536893 |
300 | 8667.51 | 8221.99357197372 | 445.516428026278 |
301 | 8854.34 | 8523.52826734932 | 330.811732650678 |
302 | 9218.1 | 8747.42846217135 | 470.671537828654 |
303 | 9332.9 | 9065.98865401405 | 266.911345985947 |
304 | 9358.31 | 9246.63975090114 | 111.670249098861 |
305 | 9248.66 | 9322.22047571014 | -73.5604757101373 |
306 | 9401.2 | 9272.43323052772 | 128.766769472284 |
307 | 9652.04 | 9359.58523248495 | 292.454767515052 |
308 | 9957.38 | 9557.52464321436 | 399.85535678564 |
309 | 10110.63 | 9828.1549850332 | 282.475014966802 |
310 | 10169.26 | 10019.3398936719 | 149.920106328129 |
311 | 10343.78 | 10120.8089097362 | 222.97109026378 |
312 | 10750.21 | 10271.7203364553 | 478.489663544653 |
313 | 11337.5 | 10595.5719968229 | 741.928003177149 |
314 | 11786.96 | 11097.7241518394 | 689.235848160648 |
315 | 12083.04 | 11564.2131709711 | 518.826829028889 |
316 | 12007.74 | 11915.365855816 | 92.3741441840393 |
317 | 11745.93 | 11977.8865793514 | -231.956579351374 |
318 | 11051.51 | 11820.8935885318 | -769.383588531837 |
319 | 11445.9 | 11300.1589278085 | 145.741072191491 |
320 | 11924.88 | 11398.7994874881 | 526.080512511877 |
321 | 12247.63 | 11754.8616147279 | 492.768385272089 |
322 | 12690.91 | 12088.3774080781 | 602.532591921858 |
323 | 12910.7 | 12496.1838774466 | 414.516122553434 |
324 | 13202.12 | 12776.7369275241 | 425.38307247589 |
325 | 13654.67 | 13064.64495315 | 590.025046849978 |
326 | 13862.82 | 13463.9860583795 | 398.833941620547 |
327 | 13523.93 | 13733.9250853751 | -209.995085375125 |
328 | 14211.17 | 13591.7960860485 | 619.373913951531 |
329 | 14510.35 | 14011.0011090694 | 499.34889093058 |
330 | 14289.23 | 14348.9707241966 | -59.740724196643 |
331 | 14111.82 | 14308.5369715021 | -196.716971502141 |
332 | 13086.59 | 14175.3948731515 | -1088.80487315148 |
333 | 13351.54 | 13438.4693074576 | -86.929307457558 |
334 | 13747.69 | 13379.6337615731 | 368.056238426914 |
335 | 12855.61 | 13628.7418050785 | -773.131805078505 |
336 | 12926.93 | 13105.4702741894 | -178.540274189449 |
337 | 12121.95 | 12984.6305389893 | -862.680538989345 |
338 | 11731.65 | 12400.7505804365 | -669.100580436467 |
339 | 11639.51 | 11947.889525253 | -308.379525253005 |
340 | 12163.78 | 11739.1719104634 | 424.608089536618 |
341 | 12029.53 | 12026.5554116727 | 2.9745883273481 |
342 | 11234.18 | 12028.5686743241 | -794.388674324107 |
343 | 9852.13 | 11490.910056474 | -1638.78005647395 |
344 | 9709.04 | 10381.7499581457 | -672.709958145691 |
345 | 9332.75 | 9926.44600178153 | -593.696001781531 |
346 | 7108.6 | 9524.62031863894 | -2416.02031863894 |
347 | 6691.49 | 7889.4080010382 | -1197.9180010382 |
348 | 6143.05 | 7078.63242284404 | -935.582422844043 |
349 | 6379.15 | 6445.41096764239 | -66.2609676423863 |
350 | 5994.58 | 6400.56417987778 | -405.984179877781 |
351 | 5607.94 | 6125.78572434676 | -517.845724346756 |
352 | 6046.13 | 5775.29707135988 | 270.832928640123 |
353 | 6624.96 | 5958.6023761653 | 666.357623834698 |
354 | 6652.54 | 6409.6069418204 | 242.933058179596 |
355 | 6696 | 6574.02903960784 | 121.970960392156 |
356 | 7315.16 | 6656.58149799743 | 658.578502002566 |
357 | 7907.79 | 7102.32099375975 | 805.469006240247 |
358 | 8066.35 | 7647.47900848691 | 418.87099151309 |
359 | 7939.64 | 7930.97952357931 | 8.66047642069225 |
360 | 8068.48 | 7936.84111241205 | 131.638887587952 |
361 | 8186.33 | 8025.93702307076 | 160.392976929244 |
362 | 7975.21 | 8134.49429368142 | -159.28429368142 |
363 | 8357.51 | 8026.68740272989 | 330.822597270111 |
364 | 8463.38 | 8250.59495095014 | 212.785049049859 |
365 | 7937.68 | 8394.61225516041 | -456.932255160405 |
366 | 8034.62 | 8085.35109283363 | -50.7310928336328 |
367 | 8056.61 | 8051.01524422883 | 5.59475577116518 |
368 | 8176.95 | 8054.8018901773 | 122.148109822703 |
369 | 8441.04 | 8137.47424695046 | 303.56575304954 |
370 | 8697.39 | 8342.93380155718 | 354.456198442815 |
371 | 8665.57 | 8582.83705786347 | 82.7329421365339 |
372 | 8625.77 | 8638.83241726062 | -13.0624172606167 |
373 | 8718.42 | 8629.99150419486 | 88.4284958051448 |
374 | 8822.34 | 8689.84173163373 | 132.498268366273 |
375 | 8597.67 | 8779.519288905 | -181.849288904998 |
376 | 8782.05 | 8656.43994438529 | 125.610055614714 |
377 | 8661.06 | 8741.45541738073 | -80.3954173807306 |
378 | 8265.32 | 8687.04214288738 | -421.722142887376 |
379 | 8072.58 | 8401.61190981595 | -329.031909815949 |
380 | 721.85 | 8178.91633574982 | -7457.06633574982 |
381 | 7138.6 | 3131.82023671812 | 4006.77976328188 |
382 | 7351.11 | 5843.69131341623 | 1507.41868658377 |
383 | 7077 | 6863.94333078003 | 213.05666921997 |
384 | 7272.37 | 7008.14447311634 | 264.225526883656 |
385 | 7577.84 | 7186.97775231165 | 390.862247688347 |
Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
386 | 7451.52137265056 | 6181.79462061798 | 8721.24812468313 |
387 | 7451.52137265056 | 5918.31061378761 | 8984.7321315135 |
388 | 7451.52137265056 | 5693.89102546177 | 9209.15171983934 |
389 | 7451.52137265056 | 5495.04657249982 | 9407.99617280129 |
390 | 7451.52137265056 | 5314.62576221687 | 9588.41698308424 |
391 | 7451.52137265056 | 5148.29492782221 | 9754.7478174789 |
392 | 7451.52137265056 | 4993.19241532558 | 9909.85032997554 |
393 | 7451.52137265056 | 4847.31122969197 | 10055.7315156091 |
394 | 7451.52137265056 | 4709.17936718255 | 10193.8633781186 |
395 | 7451.52137265056 | 4577.67919166355 | 10325.3635536376 |
396 | 7451.52137265056 | 4451.93838705305 | 10451.1043582481 |
397 | 7451.52137265056 | 4331.26059929331 | 10571.7821460078 |