Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.67682059831431
betaFALSE
gammaFALSE


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
21039.791021.318.49
3938.121033.81441286283-95.6944128628317
4947.36969.046463093673-21.6864630936733
5956.6954.3686181672922.23138183270783
6956.6955.8788633543730.721136645626871
7942.74956.366943490333-13.6269434903327
8951.98947.143947444014.83605255598957
9919.63950.417087428435-30.7870874284348
10901.15929.579752494767-28.4297524947666
11887.28910.337910401331-23.0579104013309
12836.45894.731841687624-58.2818416876243
13841.07855.285490725747-14.2154907257465
14836.45845.664153787415-9.21415378741517
15831.83839.427824708057-7.59782470805681
16817.97834.285460443263-16.3154604432625
17771.75823.24282074428-51.4928207442802
18707.05788.391418999245-81.341418999245
19716.3733.337871124441-17.037871124441
20725.54721.8062889959953.73371100400527
21716.3724.333341511658-8.03334151165836
22707.05718.896210503275-11.8462105032746
23716.3710.8784512226915.421548777309
24780.99714.54786710993966.4421328900605
25859.56759.517271245869100.042728754131
26961.22827.228250778236133.991749221764
27938.12917.91662665569120.2033733443086
28988.95931.59068589055457.3593141094464
29910.39970.412651185008-60.0226511850076
30901.15929.78808449756-28.6380844975596
31896.53910.405239013346-13.8752390133455
32910.39901.0141914425799.37580855742101
33988.95907.35993180009381.5900681999069
34988.95962.5817705756626.3682294243405
35965.85980.428331391131-14.5783313911306
36975.09970.5614164165614.52858358343872
371002.82973.62645506702129.1935449329794
381025.92993.38524761547532.5347523845246
391081.381015.4054381903865.9745618096227
401164.561060.05838058789104.501619412109
411201.531130.7872291632170.7427708367911
421229.261178.6673936473850.5926063526219
431275.471212.9095117492462.56048825076
441275.471255.2517388379520.2182611620453
451307.821268.9358744545338.8841255454747
461252.361295.25345157114-42.8934515711424
471261.611266.222280015-4.6122800149958
481340.171263.1005938956577.0694061043469
491414.111315.2627554469398.847244553074
501409.491382.1646066470627.3253933529415
511432.591400.6589957253731.9310042746297
521520.41422.270557143398.1294428566982
531529.641488.6865853698240.9534146301778
541455.71516.40469996283-60.7046999628333
551427.971475.3185086135-47.3485086134979
561538.881443.2720626844295.6079373155801
571612.821507.98148402195104.838515978052
581635.931578.938351132656.9916488674025
591603.581617.51147301795-13.9314730179522
601589.721608.08236511454-18.3623651145419
611557.371595.65433817125-38.2843381712519
621589.721569.7427095041219.9772904958822
631668.281583.2637512102485.0162487897603
641635.931640.80449958256-4.87449958256343
651615.681637.50533785861-21.8253378586101
661644.691622.7334996307321.9565003692665
671622.711637.59411134755-14.8841113475489
681626.111627.52023819992-1.41023819992415
691705.551626.5657599376978.9842400623143
701841.351680.02392055406161.326079445937
712029.031789.21273416836239.817265831636
722024.211951.5259995146372.6840004853661
731952.872000.72002821102-47.8500282110172
742153.061968.33414348788184.72585651212
752339.292093.36040821654245.929591783463
762502.892259.81062167061243.079378329386
772515.372424.3317519493891.0382480506205
782445.682485.94831346449-40.2683134644872
792491.112458.6938894523432.4161105476555
802691.322480.63378078823210.686219211769
812651.82623.2305537317228.5694462682795
822593.492642.56694344853-49.0769434485264
832697.232609.3506572202687.8793427797432
842751.632668.8292065799182.8007934200891
852713.92724.8704891234-10.9704891233951
862747.212717.445436111129.7645638889016
872982.322737.59070605095244.729293949051
883063.392903.22853320658160.161466793415
893058.73011.629112988647.0708870113981
903074.383043.4876588988430.8923411011588
913341.063064.39623168626276.663768313742
923500.033251.64796888826248.382031111744
93392.883419.75804379583-3026.87804379583
943071.521371.104635169491700.41536483051
952516.412521.98077977692-5.57077977692143
962350.72518.21036127523-167.510361275228
972488.682404.8358983330883.844101666918
982872.652461.58331338841411.066686611589
993220.212739.80171416795480.408285832052
1003078.043064.9519376199513.0880623800504
1013043.983073.81020783079-29.8302078307902
1023134.343053.6205087189180.7194912810855
1033141.853108.2531231034133.596876896594
1043128.013130.99218142605-2.98218142605083
1053241.163128.97377960899112.18622039101
1063389.483204.90372441665184.576275583346
1073406.363329.828749691676.5312503083987
1083449.843381.6266763150768.2133236849259
1093606.243427.79485886451178.445141135486
1103653.993548.57020605411105.419793945885
1113607.313619.92049406674-12.6104940667401
1123712.523611.38545192745101.13454807255
1133803.473679.83539726416123.634602735839
1143806.333763.5138430601842.8161569398167
1153768.43792.49270001771-24.0927000177094
1163952.063776.18626437672175.873735623284
1174134.853895.22123134904239.62876865096
1184060.94057.40691792073.49308207929562
1193999.884059.77110782357-59.8911078235742
1204004.034019.23557239272-15.2055723927156
1213977.344008.94412778817-31.6041277881664
1223650.083987.55380310938-337.473803109378
1233708.853759.14458177348-50.2945817734831
1243764.783725.1041728455939.675827154414
1253761.863751.957589918859.90241008114845
1263802.553758.6597450347343.8902549652721
1273773.523788.36557366049-14.845573660491
1283428.73778.31778361328-349.617783613278
1293194.213541.68926612682-347.479266126816
1303095.563306.50814132505-210.948141325047
1313064.853163.73409410014-98.8840941001372
1323022.983096.80730236751-73.8273023675138
1332887.663046.8394634072-159.179463407202
1343178.862939.10352374459239.756476255412
1353438.473101.37564545351337.094354546493
1363493.873329.52804818604164.341951813959
1373421.893440.75806634091-18.8680663409064
1383390.283427.98777039102-37.7077703910195
1393319.243402.46637467387-83.2263746738713
1403287.843346.13704997157-58.2970499715702
1413222.823306.68040572985-83.860405729853
1423182.693249.92195574889-67.2319557488931
1433180.213204.41798323309-24.207983233086
1443116.343188.03352153729-71.693521537286
1453297.463139.50986939516157.95013060484
1463357.483246.41377129495111.066228705049
1473386.033321.5856826596264.4443173403838
1483319.453365.20292407989-45.7529240798926
1493363.593334.2364026295129.3535973704898
1503303.473354.10352196448-50.633521964483
1513210.553319.83371133372-109.28371133372
1523050.273245.86824444282-195.598244442824
1533010.553113.4833236098-102.933323609803
1543011.653043.81592993774-32.1659299377357
1553104.983022.0453659919482.9346340080588
1563087.853078.177234602259.67276539774593
1573160.163084.7239614661175.4360385338896
1583319.223135.78062620108183.439373798921
1593432.493259.93617293007172.553827069933
1603475.683376.7241574089698.9558425910368
1613347.483443.69950999813-96.2195099981254
1623388.813378.5761636716810.2338363283156
1633610.233385.50263489847224.727365101534
1643691.453537.60274460408153.847255395915
1653587.863641.72973605016-53.8697360501624
1663704.623605.2695890656699.3504109343421
1673798.753672.51199363701126.238006362988
1683956.543757.95247663362198.587523366385
1694121.943892.36060301621229.579396983791
1704148.564047.74466784342100.815332156584
1714100.374115.97856127289-15.6085612728921
1724060.714105.41436549335-44.7043654933477
1734147.864075.1575300928872.7024699071212
1743926.614124.36405927434-197.754059274344
1753865.413990.5200385572-125.110038557199
1763978.573905.8429874057972.7270125942114
1773851.953955.06612758342-103.116127583416
1783701.223885.27500841655-184.055008416553
1793738.653760.70278749732-22.0527874973159
1803766.93745.7770066688821.1229933311156
1813711.023760.07348365344-49.0534836534393
1823675.223726.87307549772-51.6530754977175
1833560.533691.91321003458-131.383210034578
1843723.83602.99034721052120.80965278948
1853914.273684.75680869364229.51319130636
1863870.773840.0960641546430.6739358453624
1873924.363860.8568157661563.5031842338494
1883968.893903.8370789141765.0529210858313
1893982.933947.8662358855735.0637641144253
1903917.093971.59811369265-54.5081136926515
1913969.183934.7058995702134.474100429793
1924149.813958.03868084945191.771319150554
1934406.884087.83345981645319.046540183551
194423.824303.77073003359-3879.95073003359
195417.721677.74015550221-1260.02015550221
1964527.16824.9325599671143702.22744003289
1974617.393330.676351025831286.71364897417
1984656.234201.55065278372454.679347216283
1994579.94509.287000607870.6129993921986
2004652.44557.079333105295.3206668948023
2014722.954621.59432390466101.355676095343
2024845.814690.19393324206155.616066757942
2034975.214795.51809265249179.691907347512
2045083.644917.13727689567166.50272310433
2055378.045029.82974956811348.210250431895
2065684.445265.5056196046418.934380395403
2075841.875549.04903759825292.820962401752
2085857.235747.23629656997109.993703430026
2096174.525821.68230073629352.83769926371
2106413.176060.4901234598352.679876540201
2116780.116299.19112851315480.918871486845
2126524.946624.68692685352-99.7469268535242
2136466.76557.17615214051-90.476152140508
2146495.616495.94002871559-0.330028715592562
2156399.526495.71665848284-96.1966584828433
2166729.986430.60877853265299.371221467351
2177060.776633.22938776427427.540612235734
2187423.276922.59768074132500.672319258678
2198069.177261.46301942139807.706980578606
2208650.687808.13574127925842.544258720749
2218938.078378.38705057292559.682949427084
2229482.088757.19199927047724.888000729527
22310225.269247.8111296351977.448870364904
2249390.279909.36865889712-519.098658897117
2258546.119558.03199399821-1011.92199399821
2268073.778873.14234457293-799.372344572934
2278655.318332.11067604317323.199323956831
2289150.18550.85863585841599.24136414159
2299775.818956.4375344714819.372465528595
2309785.149511.00569683274274.13430316726
2319363.449696.54543992088-333.105439920881
2329304.189471.09281677188-166.912816771879
2339030.269358.12278425801-327.86278425801
2348920.89136.21849845151-215.418498451509
2358606.088990.41882144159-384.338821441588
2368353.758730.29039035808-376.540390358075
2378615.638475.44009806642140.18990193358
2388128.648570.32351137073-441.683511370728
2398715.948271.38301293923444.556987060774
2408500.88572.26833890651-71.4683389065067
2418142.588523.89709500727-381.317095007274
2427614.668265.81383061698-651.153830616977
2437558.957825.09950538414-266.14950538414
2447820.757644.96403790899175.785962091011
2457828.97763.9395979466864.9604020533161
2467904.597807.9061361311596.6838638688532
2478140.977873.3437667222267.626233277797
2488483.018054.47871405389428.531285946113
2498322.688344.51751540434-21.8375154043351
2508268.018329.73743516267-61.7274351626747
2518402.058287.95903556347114.090964436533
2528177.788365.17815037566-187.398150375658
2537950.548238.34322211541-287.803222115409
2548049.948043.552073126476.38792687352816
2557674.138047.875553615-373.745553615001
2567666.367794.91686439998-128.556864399983
2577570.187707.90693051937-137.726930519374
2587694.457614.6905070012679.7594929987417
2597810.647668.67337477391141.966625226088
2607748.437764.7593110001-16.3293110000968
2617040.647753.70729695895-713.06729695895
2627077.267271.08866239283-193.828662392826
2637245.517139.90143114165105.608568858349
2647289.127211.3794859034877.7405140965229
2657486.927263.99586716755222.924132832452
2667519.887414.87551212991105.004487870093
2677554.847485.9447124358368.8952875641689
2687780.897532.57446218605248.315537813952
2697748.097700.6395330600347.450466939973
2707152.257732.75498648463-580.504986484633
2716484.667339.85725420766-855.197254207664
2726254.586761.04213693808-506.462136938077
2735867.326418.2581303921-550.938130392104
2745544.166045.37185534595-501.211855345952
2755822.745706.14134752848116.598652471521
2765690.635785.0577172569-94.4277172568964
2775564.785721.14709316563-156.36709316563
2785088.395615.3146236126-526.924623612598
2794784.225258.68118459258-474.461184592577
2805332.464937.55608175971394.903918240288
2815541.485204.83518797977336.64481202023
2825723.925432.68333107071291.23666892929
2835736.995629.7983075865107.191692413501
2845992.075702.34785298013289.722147019872
2856091.435898.43776987102192.992230128976
2866158.176029.05888653693129.111113463069
2876303.796116.44394760003187.346052399967
2886349.716243.2436148772106.466385122798
2896802.966315.30225735638487.657742643624
2907132.686645.35906250504487.320937494961
2917073.296975.1879109914798.1020890085301
2927264.57041.58542557011222.914574429893
2937105.337192.45860120873-87.1286012087266
2947218.717133.4881692083585.2218307916528
2957225.727191.1680597141934.5519402858054
2967354.257214.55352461135139.696475388646
2977745.467309.1029766663436.357023333702
2988070.267604.43839827767465.821601722335
2998366.337919.71605346311446.613946536893
3008667.518221.99357197372445.516428026278
3018854.348523.52826734932330.811732650678
3029218.18747.42846217135470.671537828654
3039332.99065.98865401405266.911345985947
3049358.319246.63975090114111.670249098861
3059248.669322.22047571014-73.5604757101373
3069401.29272.43323052772128.766769472284
3079652.049359.58523248495292.454767515052
3089957.389557.52464321436399.85535678564
30910110.639828.1549850332282.475014966802
31010169.2610019.3398936719149.920106328129
31110343.7810120.8089097362222.97109026378
31210750.2110271.7203364553478.489663544653
31311337.510595.5719968229741.928003177149
31411786.9611097.7241518394689.235848160648
31512083.0411564.2131709711518.826829028889
31612007.7411915.36585581692.3741441840393
31711745.9311977.8865793514-231.956579351374
31811051.5111820.8935885318-769.383588531837
31911445.911300.1589278085145.741072191491
32011924.8811398.7994874881526.080512511877
32112247.6311754.8616147279492.768385272089
32212690.9112088.3774080781602.532591921858
32312910.712496.1838774466414.516122553434
32413202.1212776.7369275241425.38307247589
32513654.6713064.64495315590.025046849978
32613862.8213463.9860583795398.833941620547
32713523.9313733.9250853751-209.995085375125
32814211.1713591.7960860485619.373913951531
32914510.3514011.0011090694499.34889093058
33014289.2314348.9707241966-59.740724196643
33114111.8214308.5369715021-196.716971502141
33213086.5914175.3948731515-1088.80487315148
33313351.5413438.4693074576-86.929307457558
33413747.6913379.6337615731368.056238426914
33512855.6113628.7418050785-773.131805078505
33612926.9313105.4702741894-178.540274189449
33712121.9512984.6305389893-862.680538989345
33811731.6512400.7505804365-669.100580436467
33911639.5111947.889525253-308.379525253005
34012163.7811739.1719104634424.608089536618
34112029.5312026.55541167272.9745883273481
34211234.1812028.5686743241-794.388674324107
3439852.1311490.910056474-1638.78005647395
3449709.0410381.7499581457-672.709958145691
3459332.759926.44600178153-593.696001781531
3467108.69524.62031863894-2416.02031863894
3476691.497889.4080010382-1197.9180010382
3486143.057078.63242284404-935.582422844043
3496379.156445.41096764239-66.2609676423863
3505994.586400.56417987778-405.984179877781
3515607.946125.78572434676-517.845724346756
3526046.135775.29707135988270.832928640123
3536624.965958.6023761653666.357623834698
3546652.546409.6069418204242.933058179596
35566966574.02903960784121.970960392156
3567315.166656.58149799743658.578502002566
3577907.797102.32099375975805.469006240247
3588066.357647.47900848691418.87099151309
3597939.647930.979523579318.66047642069225
3608068.487936.84111241205131.638887587952
3618186.338025.93702307076160.392976929244
3627975.218134.49429368142-159.28429368142
3638357.518026.68740272989330.822597270111
3648463.388250.59495095014212.785049049859
3657937.688394.61225516041-456.932255160405
3668034.628085.35109283363-50.7310928336328
3678056.618051.015244228835.59475577116518
3688176.958054.8018901773122.148109822703
3698441.048137.47424695046303.56575304954
3708697.398342.93380155718354.456198442815
3718665.578582.8370578634782.7329421365339
3728625.778638.83241726062-13.0624172606167
3738718.428629.9915041948688.4284958051448
3748822.348689.84173163373132.498268366273
3758597.678779.519288905-181.849288904998
3768782.058656.43994438529125.610055614714
3778661.068741.45541738073-80.3954173807306
3788265.328687.04214288738-421.722142887376
3798072.588401.61190981595-329.031909815949
380721.858178.91633574982-7457.06633574982
3817138.63131.820236718124006.77976328188
3827351.115843.691313416231507.41868658377
38370776863.94333078003213.05666921997
3847272.377008.14447311634264.225526883656
3857577.847186.97775231165390.862247688347


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
3867451.521372650566181.794620617988721.24812468313
3877451.521372650565918.310613787618984.7321315135
3887451.521372650565693.891025461779209.15171983934
3897451.521372650565495.046572499829407.99617280129
3907451.521372650565314.625762216879588.41698308424
3917451.521372650565148.294927822219754.7478174789
3927451.521372650564993.192415325589909.85032997554
3937451.521372650564847.3112296919710055.7315156091
3947451.521372650564709.1793671825510193.8633781186
3957451.521372650564577.6791916635510325.3635536376
3967451.521372650564451.9383870530510451.1043582481
3977451.521372650564331.2605992933110571.7821460078