Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1211 | 0 | 122 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 563278 | 566406.602243937 | -5834.68843751659 | 565984.08619358 | 3128.60224393662 |
2 | 571477 | 570726.182310716 | 7693.64238228667 | 564534.175306997 | -750.817689284217 |
3 | 583775 | 580828.386482344 | 23637.3490972411 | 563084.264420415 | -2946.61351765622 |
4 | 598714 | 600505.067820391 | 35323.3458099259 | 561599.586369683 | 1791.06782039104 |
5 | 581744 | 577179.74945326 | 26193.3422277886 | 560114.908318951 | -4564.25054673955 |
6 | 530455 | 528834.248755544 | -26494.263397863 | 558570.014642319 | -1620.75124445616 |
7 | 527676 | 527541.049172591 | -29214.1701382785 | 557025.120965687 | -134.950827408815 |
8 | 536352 | 535697.117854925 | -18444.2411351737 | 555451.123280249 | -654.882145075011 |
9 | 545732 | 548854.190235371 | -11267.3158301807 | 553877.12559481 | 3122.19023537054 |
10 | 558685 | 566887.269389811 | -1962.52463856041 | 552445.255248749 | 8202.26938981144 |
11 | 561649 | 569667.747801699 | 2616.86729561385 | 551013.384902688 | 8018.74780169851 |
12 | 540735 | 533793.394971121 | -2247.34668741154 | 549923.951716291 | -6941.60502887901 |
13 | 538712 | 534424.169907623 | -5834.68843751659 | 548834.518529894 | -4287.83009237703 |
14 | 547612 | 539453.206230684 | 7693.64238228667 | 548077.151387029 | -8158.79376931593 |
15 | 563280 | 555602.866658594 | 23637.3490972411 | 547319.784244165 | -7677.13334140589 |
16 | 581302 | 580215.547781774 | 35323.3458099259 | 547065.1064083 | -1086.45221822627 |
17 | 572273 | 571542.229199776 | 26193.3422277886 | 546810.428572436 | -730.770800224389 |
18 | 518654 | 516415.001308677 | -26494.263397863 | 547387.262089186 | -2238.9986913231 |
19 | 520579 | 522408.074532342 | -29214.1701382785 | 547964.095605937 | 1829.07453234191 |
20 | 530577 | 530323.61867745 | -18444.2411351737 | 549274.622457724 | -253.381322550238 |
21 | 540324 | 541330.166520669 | -11267.3158301807 | 550585.149309511 | 1006.16652066936 |
22 | 547970 | 545495.706720751 | -1962.52463856041 | 552406.817917809 | -2474.29327924852 |
23 | 555654 | 554462.64617828 | 2616.86729561385 | 554228.486526106 | -1191.35382172023 |
24 | 551174 | 548368.916880206 | -2247.34668741154 | 556226.429807206 | -2805.08311979438 |
25 | 548604 | 544818.315349211 | -5834.68843751659 | 558224.373088305 | -3785.68465078878 |
26 | 563668 | 559420.915967049 | 7693.64238228667 | 560221.441650664 | -4247.08403295092 |
27 | 586111 | 586366.140689736 | 23637.3490972411 | 562218.510213023 | 255.140689735999 |
28 | 604378 | 609160.319552709 | 35323.3458099259 | 564272.334637365 | 4782.319552709 |
29 | 600991 | 609462.498710504 | 26193.3422277886 | 566326.159061707 | 8471.49871050403 |
30 | 544686 | 547952.660858544 | -26494.263397863 | 567913.602539319 | 3266.66085854417 |
31 | 537034 | 533781.124121348 | -29214.1701382785 | 569501.04601693 | -3252.87587865186 |
32 | 551531 | 551671.358331347 | -18444.2411351737 | 569834.882803827 | 140.358331346884 |
33 | 563250 | 567598.596239457 | -11267.3158301807 | 570168.719590723 | 4348.59623945749 |
34 | 574761 | 582024.005833897 | -1962.52463856041 | 569460.518804664 | 7263.00583389681 |
35 | 580112 | 588854.814685782 | 2616.86729561385 | 568752.318018604 | 8742.81468578218 |
36 | 575093 | 584859.30225995 | -2247.34668741154 | 567574.044427462 | 9766.30225994985 |
37 | 557560 | 554558.917601197 | -5834.68843751659 | 566395.770836319 | -3001.08239880274 |
38 | 564478 | 556687.542661615 | 7693.64238228667 | 564574.814956098 | -7790.45733838505 |
39 | 580523 | 574654.791826881 | 23637.3490972411 | 562753.859075877 | -5868.20817311853 |
40 | 596594 | 598167.586562913 | 35323.3458099259 | 559697.067627161 | 1573.58656291349 |
41 | 586570 | 590306.381593768 | 26193.3422277886 | 556640.276178444 | 3736.38159376767 |
42 | 536214 | 546436.098680085 | -26494.263397863 | 552486.164717778 | 10222.0986800847 |
43 | 523597 | 528076.116881166 | -29214.1701382785 | 548332.053257113 | 4479.11688116565 |
44 | 536535 | 548217.768225882 | -18444.2411351737 | 543296.472909292 | 11682.7682258815 |
45 | 536322 | 545650.423268709 | -11267.3158301807 | 538260.892561471 | 9328.42326870922 |
46 | 532638 | 534521.007452795 | -1962.52463856041 | 532717.517185766 | 1883.0074527947 |
47 | 528222 | 526652.990894326 | 2616.86729561385 | 527174.14181006 | -1569.00910567376 |
48 | 516141 | 512556.038735037 | -2247.34668741154 | 521973.307952375 | -3584.96126496309 |
49 | 501866 | 492794.214342827 | -5834.68843751659 | 516772.474094689 | -9071.78565717279 |
50 | 506174 | 491805.87795404 | 7693.64238228667 | 512848.479663673 | -14368.1220459596 |
51 | 517945 | 503328.165670102 | 23637.3490972411 | 508924.485232657 | -14616.8343298977 |
52 | 533590 | 524904.506649396 | 35323.3458099259 | 506952.147540678 | -8685.49335060356 |
53 | 528379 | 525584.847923513 | 26193.3422277886 | 504979.809848699 | -2794.15207648743 |
54 | 477580 | 476568.097466627 | -26494.263397863 | 505086.165931236 | -1011.90253337275 |
55 | 469357 | 462735.648124506 | -29214.1701382785 | 505192.522013773 | -6621.35187549418 |
56 | 490243 | 492212.799999341 | -18444.2411351737 | 506717.441135833 | 1969.79999934079 |
57 | 492622 | 488268.955572288 | -11267.3158301807 | 508242.360257893 | -4353.04442771233 |
58 | 507561 | 506669.851330556 | -1962.52463856041 | 510414.673308004 | -891.148669443734 |
59 | 516922 | 518640.146346271 | 2616.86729561385 | 512586.986358115 | 1718.14634627092 |
60 | 514258 | 515656.563812953 | -2247.34668741154 | 515106.782874458 | 1398.56381295342 |
61 | 509846 | 507900.109046715 | -5834.68843751659 | 517626.579390801 | -1945.89095328451 |
62 | 527070 | 525834.533225755 | 7693.64238228667 | 520611.824391959 | -1235.46677424549 |
63 | 541657 | 536079.581509642 | 23637.3490972411 | 523597.069393117 | -5577.41849035764 |
64 | 564591 | 566847.686987213 | 35323.3458099259 | 527010.967202861 | 2256.68698721309 |
65 | 555362 | 554105.792759606 | 26193.3422277886 | 530424.865012605 | -1256.20724039397 |
66 | 498662 | 489357.059193736 | -26494.263397863 | 534461.204204127 | -9304.94080626371 |
67 | 511038 | 512792.62674263 | -29214.1701382785 | 538497.543395648 | 1754.62674263027 |
68 | 525919 | 526743.493911214 | -18444.2411351737 | 543538.74722396 | 824.493911213707 |
69 | 531673 | 526033.364777909 | -11267.3158301807 | 548579.951052272 | -5639.63522209099 |
70 | 548854 | 545423.048858937 | -1962.52463856041 | 554247.475779624 | -3430.95114106336 |
71 | 560576 | 558620.13219741 | 2616.86729561385 | 559915.000506976 | -1955.86780258967 |
72 | 557274 | 551247.504215116 | -2247.34668741154 | 565547.842472296 | -6026.4957848842 |
73 | 565742 | 566138.003999901 | -5834.68843751659 | 571180.684437616 | 396.003999900771 |
74 | 587625 | 591594.310366913 | 7693.64238228667 | 575962.0472508 | 3969.31036691298 |
75 | 619916 | 635451.240838774 | 23637.3490972411 | 580743.410063985 | 15535.240838774 |
76 | 625809 | 631945.914477028 | 35323.3458099259 | 584348.739713046 | 6136.9144770283 |
77 | 619567 | 624986.588410105 | 26193.3422277886 | 587954.069362107 | 5419.58841010474 |
78 | 572942 | 581951.220305354 | -26494.263397863 | 590427.043092509 | 9009.22030535399 |
79 | 572775 | 581864.153315367 | -29214.1701382785 | 592900.016822912 | 9089.15331536694 |
80 | 574205 | 572503.679906768 | -18444.2411351737 | 594350.561228405 | -1701.32009323162 |
81 | 579799 | 575064.210196282 | -11267.3158301807 | 595801.105633899 | -4734.78980371845 |
82 | 590072 | 585803.166191225 | -1962.52463856041 | 596303.358447336 | -4268.83380877529 |
83 | 593408 | 587393.521443614 | 2616.86729561385 | 596805.611260772 | -6014.47855638596 |
84 | 597141 | 599664.668761161 | -2247.34668741154 | 596864.677926251 | 2523.66876116081 |
85 | 595404 | 599718.943845787 | -5834.68843751659 | 596923.744591729 | 4314.9438457872 |
86 | 612117 | 619621.702676261 | 7693.64238228667 | 596918.654941453 | 7504.70267626061 |
87 | 628232 | 635913.085611583 | 23637.3490972411 | 596913.565291176 | 7681.08561158297 |
88 | 628884 | 625685.980342443 | 35323.3458099259 | 596758.673847632 | -3198.01965755748 |
89 | 620735 | 618672.875368124 | 26193.3422277886 | 596603.782404087 | -2062.12463187578 |
90 | 569028 | 568313.440387841 | -26494.263397863 | 596236.823010022 | -714.559612158802 |
91 | 567456 | 568256.306522322 | -29214.1701382785 | 595869.863615957 | 800.306522322004 |
92 | 573100 | 569291.617995225 | -18444.2411351737 | 595352.623139949 | -3808.38200477534 |
93 | 584428 | 585287.933166239 | -11267.3158301807 | 594835.382663941 | 859.933166239178 |
94 | 589379 | 587054.036174446 | -1962.52463856041 | 593666.488464114 | -2324.963825554 |
95 | 590865 | 586615.538440099 | 2616.86729561385 | 592497.594264287 | -4249.46155990113 |
96 | 595454 | 602721.561183134 | -2247.34668741154 | 590433.785504277 | 7267.56118313444 |
97 | 594167 | 605798.71169325 | -5834.68843751659 | 588369.976744267 | 11631.7116932495 |
98 | 611324 | 629190.456136151 | 7693.64238228667 | 585763.901481563 | 17866.4561361508 |
99 | 612613 | 618430.824683901 | 23637.3490972411 | 583157.826218858 | 5817.82468390081 |
100 | 610763 | 606004.912398967 | 35323.3458099259 | 580197.741791107 | -4758.08760103292 |
101 | 593530 | 583629.000408855 | 26193.3422277886 | 577237.657363356 | -9900.9995911445 |
102 | 542722 | 538076.909263468 | -26494.263397863 | 573861.354134395 | -4645.09073653189 |
103 | 536662 | 532053.119232845 | -29214.1701382785 | 570485.050905434 | -4608.88076715544 |
104 | 543599 | 538324.390993546 | -18444.2411351737 | 567317.850141628 | -5274.609006454 |
105 | 555332 | 557780.666452359 | -11267.3158301807 | 564150.649377821 | 2448.66645235929 |
106 | 560854 | 562040.52481479 | -1962.52463856041 | 561629.99982377 | 1186.52481479011 |
107 | 562325 | 562923.782434667 | 2616.86729561385 | 559109.350269719 | 598.782434667111 |
108 | 554788 | 555319.381501461 | -2247.34668741154 | 556503.965185951 | 531.381501460797 |
109 | 547344 | 546624.108335334 | -5834.68843751659 | 553898.580102182 | -719.891664665891 |
110 | 565464 | 572547.975069651 | 7693.64238228667 | 550686.382548062 | 7083.97506965126 |
111 | 577992 | 584872.465908817 | 23637.3490972411 | 547474.184993942 | 6880.46590881736 |
112 | 579714 | 580354.133013563 | 35323.3458099259 | 543750.521176511 | 640.133013562649 |
113 | 569323 | 572425.80041313 | 26193.3422277886 | 540026.857359081 | 3102.8004131302 |
114 | 506971 | 504136.552066604 | -26494.263397863 | 536299.711331259 | -2834.44793339551 |
115 | 500857 | 498355.604834843 | -29214.1701382785 | 532572.565303436 | -2501.39516515739 |
116 | 509127 | 507885.580586406 | -18444.2411351737 | 528812.660548768 | -1241.41941359406 |
117 | 509933 | 506080.560036081 | -11267.3158301807 | 525052.7557941 | -3852.43996391882 |
118 | 517009 | 514721.496177411 | -1962.52463856041 | 521259.028461149 | -2287.50382258906 |
119 | 519164 | 518245.831576187 | 2616.86729561385 | 517465.301128199 | -918.168423813302 |
120 | 512238 | 513039.386575467 | -2247.34668741154 | 513683.960111945 | 801.386575466953 |
121 | 509239 | 514410.069341827 | -5834.68843751659 | 509902.61909569 | 5171.06934182678 |