Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
613955.444332.877878.01090.07660.41220.58410.4122
624943.736720.967266.50610.32520.65830.7190.1098
635844.122820.868967.37670.12110.34050.96890.1211
644737.990114.679161.30110.22440.04620.07630.0462
654248.652524.843572.46150.2920.55410.03940.2208
666246.153122.324169.98210.09620.63370.09620.1649
673948.32324.394972.25120.22250.13130.2140.214
684049.876425.04674.70690.21780.80470.80470.2607
697265.862640.979190.74610.31440.97920.90790.7321
707053.842128.935478.74880.10180.07650.37180.3718
715445.766720.833570.69990.25870.02840.46140.1681
726556.072431.088381.05660.24180.56460.86520.4399


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.2077-0.29660270.416200
620.26560.12030.208527.7028149.059512.209
630.26890.31450.2438192.5773163.565412.7893
640.31310.23720.242281.178142.968611.9569
650.2497-0.13670.221144.2556123.22611.1007
660.26340.34340.2415251.1251144.542512.0226
670.2526-0.19290.234586.9192136.310611.6752
680.254-0.1980.2397.5439131.464811.4658
690.19280.09320.214837.6678121.042911.0019
700.2360.30010.2233261.0768135.046311.6209
710.2780.17990.219367.7867128.931811.3548
720.22730.15920.214379.7013124.829211.1727