Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 65 | NA | NA | 1.02410131716589 | NA |
2 | 65.3 | NA | NA | 1.0415858558711 | NA |
3 | 62.9 | NA | NA | 1.00587881468006 | NA |
4 | 63.5 | NA | NA | 0.981615631454441 | NA |
5 | 62.1 | NA | NA | 0.97830125723152 | NA |
6 | 59.3 | NA | NA | 0.996780283464658 | NA |
7 | 61.6 | 62.800633519598 | 62.3666666666667 | 1.00695831405021 | 0.980881824715616 |
8 | 61.5 | 62.6951071121938 | 62.2541666666666 | 1.00708290656091 | 0.980937792959583 |
9 | 60.1 | 62.2192367905136 | 62.1833333333333 | 1.00057738071048 | 0.965939203053087 |
10 | 59.5 | 60.6017004947154 | 62.125 | 0.975480088446123 | 0.981820633980206 |
11 | 62.7 | 60.7374414711076 | 62.0875 | 0.978255550168836 | 1.03231216991295 |
12 | 65.5 | 62.5400013180361 | 62.3291666666667 | 1.00338260019578 | 1.04732968691368 |
13 | 63.8 | 64.2708918298023 | 62.7583333333333 | 1.02410131716589 | 0.992673326658523 |
14 | 63.8 | 65.7327473875984 | 63.1083333333333 | 1.0415858558711 | 0.970596887177074 |
15 | 62.7 | 63.9361721581015 | 63.5625 | 1.00587881468006 | 0.980665527566388 |
16 | 62.3 | 63.0728943860789 | 64.2541666666667 | 0.981615631454441 | 0.987746013662416 |
17 | 62.4 | 63.4795228286102 | 64.8875 | 0.97830125723152 | 0.982994156532574 |
18 | 64.8 | 65.1728175338642 | 65.3833333333333 | 0.996780283464658 | 0.994279554759612 |
19 | 66.4 | 66.5599445587188 | 66.1 | 1.00695831405021 | 0.997596984796499 |
20 | 65.1 | 67.8983687960918 | 67.4208333333333 | 1.00708290656091 | 0.9587859201081 |
21 | 67.4 | 69.2024330933889 | 69.1625 | 1.00057738071048 | 0.973954194775833 |
22 | 68.8 | 69.0152162575632 | 70.75 | 0.975480088446123 | 0.996881611487531 |
23 | 68.6 | 70.564833685512 | 72.1333333333333 | 0.978255550168836 | 0.972155625077092 |
24 | 71.5 | 73.811332526902 | 73.5625 | 1.00338260019578 | 0.96868593957358 |
25 | 75 | 76.9057418303364 | 75.0958333333333 | 1.02410131716589 | 0.975219771827431 |
26 | 84.3 | 79.8809552631808 | 76.6916666666667 | 1.0415858558711 | 1.05532037921004 |
27 | 84 | 78.5172238092346 | 78.0583333333333 | 1.00587881468006 | 1.06982896140198 |
28 | 79.1 | 77.2245197395471 | 78.6708333333333 | 0.981615631454441 | 1.0242860721799 |
29 | 78.8 | 77.0004614545975 | 78.7083333333333 | 0.97830125723152 | 1.02337049040237 |
30 | 82.7 | 78.2970912661489 | 78.55 | 0.996780283464658 | 1.05623336272972 |
31 | 85.3 | 78.8406403304895 | 78.2958333333333 | 1.00695831405021 | 1.0819293151658 |
32 | 84.5 | 78.2671265548918 | 77.7166666666667 | 1.00708290656091 | 1.07963590487427 |
33 | 80.8 | 76.7734686074315 | 76.7291666666667 | 1.00057738071048 | 1.05244691252856 |
34 | 70.1 | 74.1364867219053 | 76 | 0.975480088446123 | 0.945553304447152 |
35 | 68.2 | 74.2047595450986 | 75.8541666666667 | 0.978255550168836 | 0.919078512188304 |
36 | 68.1 | 76.0856664206791 | 75.8291666666667 | 1.00338260019578 | 0.895043747444805 |
37 | 72.3 | 77.4007241336333 | 75.5791666666667 | 1.02410131716589 | 0.93409978794479 |
38 | 73.1 | 78.6787915878629 | 75.5375 | 1.0415858558711 | 0.92909408653496 |
39 | 71.5 | 76.4593634008683 | 76.0125 | 1.00587881468006 | 0.935137265335746 |
40 | 74.1 | 75.9075187673457 | 77.3291666666667 | 0.981615631454441 | 0.976187882350816 |
41 | 80.3 | 77.5955947194134 | 79.3166666666667 | 0.97830125723152 | 1.03485256206059 |
42 | 80.6 | 81.2749723629996 | 81.5375 | 0.996780283464658 | 0.99169520033812 |
43 | 81.4 | 84.4838025488125 | 83.9 | 1.00695831405021 | 0.963498298421987 |
44 | 87.4 | 86.6133261430153 | 86.0041666666666 | 1.00708290656091 | 1.00908259608557 |
45 | 89.3 | 87.7214527813721 | 87.6708333333333 | 1.00057738071048 | 1.01799499630452 |
46 | 93.2 | 86.7730183676511 | 88.9541666666667 | 0.975480088446123 | 1.07406659066668 |
47 | 92.8 | 87.8228920164072 | 89.775 | 0.978255550168836 | 1.05667210301686 |
48 | 96.8 | 90.8562944477278 | 90.55 | 1.00338260019578 | 1.06541875374074 |
49 | 100.3 | 93.9868983828991 | 91.775 | 1.02410131716589 | 1.0671700175846 |
50 | 95.6 | 96.9195638888055 | 93.05 | 1.0415858558711 | 0.986384958455659 |
51 | 89 | 94.8376075774186 | 94.2833333333333 | 1.00587881468006 | 0.938446279629596 |
52 | 87.4 | 93.8097338459961 | 95.5666666666667 | 0.981615631454441 | 0.931673040917921 |
53 | 86.7 | 94.9400607590805 | 97.0458333333333 | 0.97830125723152 | 0.913207757682077 |
54 | 92.8 | 98.5774167834736 | 98.8958333333333 | 0.996780283464658 | 0.941392085814505 |
55 | 98.6 | 101.669224441936 | 100.966666666667 | 1.00695831405021 | 0.96981166662003 |
56 | 100.8 | 104.426105052811 | 103.691666666667 | 1.00708290656091 | 0.965275875692409 |
57 | 105.5 | 107.282740574262 | 107.220833333333 | 1.00057738071048 | 0.983382783057933 |
58 | 107.8 | 108.298612319362 | 111.020833333333 | 0.975480088446123 | 0.99539594913837 |
59 | 113.7 | 112.185531280404 | 114.679166666667 | 0.978255550168836 | 1.01349967952472 |
60 | 120.3 | 118.261181715575 | 117.8625 | 1.00338260019578 | 1.01723996204713 |
61 | 126.5 | 123.468215050812 | 120.5625 | 1.02410131716589 | 1.0245551857046 |
62 | 134.8 | 128.09770050788 | 122.983333333333 | 1.0415858558711 | 1.05232177834221 |
63 | 134.5 | 125.743234158464 | 125.008333333333 | 1.00587881468006 | 1.06964005578623 |
64 | 133.1 | 123.949423796778 | 126.270833333333 | 0.981615631454441 | 1.07382508060888 |
65 | 128.8 | 123.930388015041 | 126.679166666667 | 0.97830125723152 | 1.03929312304233 |
66 | 127.1 | 125.826897782689 | 126.233333333333 | 0.996780283464658 | 1.01011788607798 |
67 | 129.1 | NA | NA | 1.00695831405021 | NA |
68 | 128.4 | NA | NA | 1.00708290656091 | NA |
69 | 126.5 | NA | NA | 1.00057738071048 | NA |
70 | 117.1 | NA | NA | 0.975480088446123 | NA |
71 | 114.2 | NA | NA | 0.978255550168836 | NA |
72 | 109.1 | NA | NA | 1.00338260019578 | NA |