Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	9963	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	10158	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	9225	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	10474	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	9757	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	10490	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	10281	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	10444	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	10640	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	10695	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	10786	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	9832	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	9747	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	10411	10412.5367	9905.4318	10919.6416	0.4976	0.9949	0.8374	0.9949
86	9511	9599.8364	9088.0131	10111.6597	0.3669	9e-04	0.9244	0.2865
87	10402	10530.1771	10017.449	11042.9053	0.3121	1	0.585	0.9986
88	9701	10053.2727	9519.1808	10587.3646	0.098	0.1003	0.8615	0.8695
89	10540	10548.9471	10011.33	11086.5641	0.487	0.999	0.5851	0.9983
90	10112	10357.3349	9808.7214	10905.9484	0.1904	0.257	0.6075	0.9854
91	10915	10723.6205	10167.9546	11279.2865	0.2498	0.9845	0.838	0.9997
92	11183	10778.0745	10214.1872	11341.9618	0.0796	0.3171	0.6844	0.9998
93	10384	10661.6145	10090.0389	11233.19	0.1706	0.0369	0.4544	0.9991
94	10834	10781.3118	10201.9752	11360.6484	0.4293	0.9106	0.4937	0.9998
95	9886	9958.6782	9371.8987	10545.4578	0.4041	0.0017	0.6639	0.7602
96	10216	10075.5026	9481.2845	10669.7207	0.3215	0.734	0.8607	0.8607

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.0248	-1e-04	0	2.3614	0	0
86	0.0272	-0.0093	0.0047	7891.9064	3947.1339	62.8262
87	0.0248	-0.0122	0.0072	16429.3724	8107.8801	90.0438
88	0.0271	-0.035	0.0142	124096.085	37104.9313	192.6264
89	0.026	-8e-04	0.0115	80.0501	29699.9551	172.3367
90	0.027	-0.0237	0.0135	60189.2265	34781.5003	186.498
91	0.0264	0.0178	0.0141	36626.103	35045.015	187.2031
92	0.0267	0.0376	0.0171	163964.6454	51159.9688	226.1857
93	0.0274	-0.026	0.0181	77069.787	54038.8375	232.4626
94	0.0274	0.0049	0.0167	2776.047	48912.5584	221.1618
95	0.0301	-0.0073	0.0159	5282.1271	44946.1556	212.0051
96	0.0301	0.0139	0.0157	19739.5222	42845.6028	206.9918