| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 9700 | 9700 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 9081 | 9420.72572088135 | -4.57650590562583 | -334.77068502008 | -1.94832687028407 |
| 3 | 9084 | 9148.22896222675 | -22.2243875445831 | -61.4635790451628 | -1.35926283014435 |
| 4 | 9743 | 9343.35355583652 | -8.81461752562042 | 396.784788453786 | 1.35805752508255 |
| 5 | 8587 | 9095.71396620184 | -19.3902960412747 | -504.920651031314 | -1.70074936554354 |
| 6 | 9731 | 9271.82128915795 | -13.6798179021033 | 455.857775217391 | 1.45002004532437 |
| 7 | 9563 | 9434.35676669054 | -10.0348186806924 | 125.592546987779 | 1.31901459662823 |
| 8 | 9998 | 9698.07258538314 | -5.33029079398532 | 295.167550090146 | 2.05145162030975 |
| 9 | 9437 | 9674.89508662169 | -5.62166049542184 | -237.584831043575 | -0.133629936115216 |
| 10 | 10038 | 9807.96467915003 | -3.34401391015703 | 227.627651635858 | 1.03724069661718 |
| 11 | 9918 | 9889.11518580483 | -1.93839485651972 | 27.4196919882493 | 0.631405014655373 |
| 12 | 9252 | 9667.90745025653 | -5.59764314597327 | -412.107445483491 | -1.63795975603681 |
| 13 | 9737 | 9552.08375903964 | -3.60454864393269 | 186.883929022552 | -0.867939210236263 |
| 14 | 9035 | 9409.58737849509 | -2.67974580145488 | -372.124540115769 | -1.07955414058433 |
| 15 | 9133 | 9311.85260831709 | -4.16578471700865 | -177.346353697658 | -0.67260262783964 |
| 16 | 9487 | 9154.69504412586 | -8.33829473764172 | 334.598059687382 | -1.05056490127207 |
| 17 | 8700 | 9193.57731081212 | -6.97830915198858 | -494.30224905625 | 0.333409728930745 |
| 18 | 9627 | 9253.45730004762 | -5.3077628287418 | 372.474755364865 | 0.48735258280257 |
| 19 | 8947 | 9171.22093233486 | -6.85029544798299 | -222.960500206711 | -0.570797213653731 |
| 20 | 9283 | 9097.5457827484 | -7.92883151314275 | 186.562423078578 | -0.499482497733582 |
| 21 | 8829 | 9105.0035157116 | -7.72121733031172 | -276.259972475282 | 0.11528118429673 |
| 22 | 9947 | 9330.4210576024 | -5.0818419303781 | 612.685407331218 | 1.74695555872627 |
| 23 | 9628 | 9424.02459976685 | -4.23497529720333 | 202.325354263228 | 0.738987074020824 |
| 24 | 9318 | 9518.24229039398 | -3.76506232719794 | -201.892865568379 | 0.738153151287752 |
| 25 | 9605 | 9459.67413326003 | -3.82937372764132 | 146.249788945676 | -0.413062021293639 |
| 26 | 8640 | 9244.03549954723 | -4.56264527965705 | -600.495828111361 | -1.58338539719983 |
| 27 | 9214 | 9214.61328985033 | -4.8113126915217 | -0.210167812057477 | -0.181312783575778 |
| 28 | 9567 | 9224.50668800261 | -4.57503226375296 | 342.261022635839 | 0.105442009715022 |
| 29 | 8547 | 9155.48462432579 | -5.80637815883035 | -607.469429877878 | -0.463515977768877 |
| 30 | 9185 | 8982.93319758843 | -8.99054792563163 | 204.729986011092 | -1.21607829142995 |
| 31 | 9470 | 9195.95738085327 | -5.1769613828464 | 270.438745464098 | 1.64065882867935 |
| 32 | 9123 | 9183.67709105827 | -5.28013567594385 | -60.5604467156372 | -0.0529175082976271 |
| 33 | 9278 | 9382.20732402294 | -2.87427936202179 | -107.575648890438 | 1.52370115173463 |
| 34 | 10170 | 9524.11187032098 | -1.54142129368911 | 643.48809553436 | 1.08336129684396 |
| 35 | 9434 | 9459.8408060871 | -1.96807599454922 | -24.7993398517645 | -0.469425120516108 |
| 36 | 9655 | 9554.22704448629 | -1.49285885787086 | 99.171736424332 | 0.721136120008604 |
| 37 | 9429 | 9426.43967754841 | -2.04248225574352 | 4.6568154645284 | -0.943982807976881 |
| 38 | 8739 | 9354.03443009993 | -2.44846524725121 | -613.874673372187 | -0.522620841809225 |
| 39 | 9552 | 9400.48338530928 | -2.02148594044035 | 150.721305987909 | 0.359358549534025 |
| 40 | 9687 | 9364.45881927823 | -2.42573641654265 | 323.08748370094 | -0.247868888331268 |
| 41 | 9019 | 9439.23316278641 | -1.34211676916011 | -421.468677163817 | 0.562511911194633 |
| 42 | 9672 | 9526.30387261511 | -0.0438604609147463 | 144.274210703106 | 0.648123285400349 |
| 43 | 9206 | 9354.35504140844 | -2.4465944170306 | -145.565818218281 | -1.27009465068198 |
| 44 | 9069 | 9291.77971091598 | -3.19071119967936 | -221.796133069612 | -0.446964736972526 |
| 45 | 9788 | 9527.2849198331 | -0.71668869142766 | 256.788915559173 | 1.7803555324126 |
| 46 | 10312 | 9624.44042200431 | 0.0993269211548291 | 685.944750629991 | 0.731004447656152 |
| 47 | 10105 | 9836.1453846405 | 1.50094825665009 | 265.358033277189 | 1.58103251411231 |
| 48 | 9863 | 9824.45633018931 | 1.42770128298662 | 38.7616634808706 | -0.0985099258053247 |
| 49 | 9656 | 9747.28623095349 | 1.00155298250141 | -89.9896545216511 | -0.585877635757095 |
| 50 | 9295 | 9801.81087570147 | 1.33980741539451 | -507.689491013506 | 0.397278009267572 |
| 51 | 9946 | 9816.19609858694 | 1.44365870110054 | 129.591292219789 | 0.0962860833989687 |
| 52 | 9701 | 9676.98596332113 | 0.0702665582549311 | 26.2914908472161 | -1.03368270761176 |
| 53 | 9049 | 9569.02176377413 | -1.13320562813747 | -518.277126906325 | -0.793405203278772 |
| 54 | 10190 | 9686.25045124673 | 0.25460996684276 | 501.834441164578 | 0.871728956117933 |
| 55 | 9706 | 9795.0789773556 | 1.49863032220728 | -90.8441273525262 | 0.803221347283888 |
| 56 | 9765 | 9964.84872657975 | 3.26699000070155 | -202.598691584486 | 1.2499298240844 |
| 57 | 9893 | 9928.37892705858 | 2.90252604503863 | -34.7268604832437 | -0.295966261330206 |
| 58 | 9994 | 9736.87158805364 | 1.39225477947911 | 260.326960789066 | -1.44999649381141 |
| 59 | 10433 | 9841.18774283132 | 2.07126977318297 | 590.116688495433 | 0.76798106755937 |
| 60 | 10073 | 9924.94122240685 | 2.55338459304143 | 146.713100588801 | 0.609219810787897 |
| 61 | 10112 | 10052.8132706441 | 3.28399085571903 | 57.1252793317945 | 0.93323450938399 |
| 62 | 9266 | 9964.62182780775 | 2.70104439329983 | -697.121896116203 | -0.679342920495002 |
| 63 | 9820 | 9805.67089725743 | 1.51386933441251 | 16.9685497523312 | -1.19660501909699 |
| 64 | 10097 | 9863.90276177727 | 1.99201048491282 | 232.174591084731 | 0.418818861641066 |
| 65 | 9115 | 9841.3251277941 | 1.76344637881469 | -725.926126884434 | -0.181327852971248 |
| 66 | 10411 | 9901.65124060739 | 2.33314214817596 | 508.396942604828 | 0.432822110943608 |
| 67 | 9678 | 9895.08909514198 | 2.24753785445854 | -216.944135860392 | -0.0659119108685137 |
| 68 | 10408 | 10131.5307794712 | 4.36822757991437 | 272.640305354015 | 1.73986640983884 |
| 69 | 10153 | 10180.0122695507 | 4.72970004680046 | -27.7355548402914 | 0.328371402792495 |
| 70 | 10368 | 10200.9411957027 | 4.84730992876548 | 166.792668177107 | 0.120723392715742 |
| 71 | 10581 | 10156.2710577479 | 4.52693610955514 | 425.543313786251 | -0.369175546528211 |
| 72 | 10597 | 10266.9940206333 | 5.16344572117128 | 328.259379373369 | 0.791496624619376 |
| 73 | 10680 | 10388.5949601272 | 5.85285140561279 | 289.491977748363 | 0.866895756082703 |
| 74 | 9738 | 10404.4051843852 | 5.91494617666305 | -666.568450539532 | 0.0740051431809526 |
| 75 | 9556 | 10104.9725355273 | 3.83205984289739 | -543.978681308488 | -2.26496731138744 |
