Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
Seasonal | 1081 | 0 | 109 |
Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
1 | 3464 | 3530.85904643502 | 1344.52855071154 | 2052.61240285344 | 66.85904643502 |
2 | 2582 | 2533.86944693545 | 541.621840874771 | 2088.50871218978 | -48.1305530645482 |
3 | 3015 | 3003.99120923858 | 901.603769235304 | 2124.40502152612 | -11.0087907614211 |
4 | 2629 | 2627.74155316709 | 471.468199812262 | 2158.79024702064 | -1.25844683290507 |
5 | 1881 | 1469.27002214289 | 99.5545053419439 | 2193.17547251517 | -411.729977857114 |
6 | 2654 | 2830.53761570876 | 251.832159054349 | 2225.6302252369 | 176.537615708755 |
7 | 2518 | 2944.91632651449 | -167.001304473108 | 2258.08497795862 | 426.916326514488 |
8 | 1612 | 1569.85885767049 | -636.385946734693 | 2290.5270890642 | -42.1411423295076 |
9 | 1631 | 1447.02339867019 | -507.992598839975 | 2322.96920016978 | -183.976601329807 |
10 | 1980 | 1776.16636592542 | -162.81860807623 | 2346.65224215081 | -203.833634074583 |
11 | 2320 | 2897.64271595819 | -627.978000090032 | 2370.33528413185 | 577.642715958186 |
12 | 988 | 1119.79943328186 | -1508.43278603533 | 2364.63335275348 | 131.799433281855 |
13 | 3395 | 3086.54002791335 | 1344.52855071154 | 2358.93142137511 | -308.459972086649 |
14 | 3017 | 3153.51621621429 | 541.621840874771 | 2338.86194291094 | 136.516216214286 |
15 | 3631 | 4041.60376631792 | 901.603769235304 | 2318.79246444678 | 410.603766317915 |
16 | 2570 | 2371.16882631122 | 471.468199812262 | 2297.36297387652 | -198.83117368878 |
17 | 2403 | 2430.5120113518 | 99.5545053419439 | 2275.93348330626 | 27.512011351801 |
18 | 2465 | 2430.86472034161 | 251.832159054349 | 2247.30312060404 | -34.1352796583938 |
19 | 1711 | 1370.32854657128 | -167.001304473108 | 2218.67275790183 | -340.671453428725 |
20 | 1541 | 1538.86957102905 | -636.385946734693 | 2179.51637570564 | -2.13042897095056 |
21 | 1751 | 1869.63260533052 | -507.992598839975 | 2140.35999350945 | 118.63260533052 |
22 | 2103 | 2265.37181659434 | -162.81860807623 | 2103.44679148189 | 162.371816594337 |
23 | 1410 | 1381.4444106357 | -627.978000090032 | 2066.53358945433 | -28.5555893643004 |
24 | 823 | 1107.16315686188 | -1508.43278603533 | 2047.26962917345 | 284.163156861881 |
25 | 3471 | 3569.46578039589 | 1344.52855071154 | 2028.00566889257 | 98.4657803958896 |
26 | 2207 | 1849.436724909 | 541.621840874771 | 2022.94143421623 | -357.563275090997 |
27 | 2483 | 2046.51903122481 | 901.603769235304 | 2017.87719953989 | -436.480968775189 |
28 | 2334 | 2170.14373628035 | 471.468199812262 | 2026.38806390739 | -163.856263719648 |
29 | 2273 | 2411.54656638317 | 99.5545053419439 | 2034.89892827489 | 138.546566383169 |
30 | 2247 | 2179.71294768277 | 251.832159054349 | 2062.45489326288 | -67.287052317228 |
31 | 1667 | 1410.99044622224 | -167.001304473108 | 2090.01085825087 | -256.009553777761 |
32 | 1692 | 1884.52951641438 | -636.385946734693 | 2135.85643032032 | 192.529516414375 |
33 | 1779 | 1884.29059645021 | -507.992598839975 | 2181.70200238977 | 105.290596450209 |
34 | 2000 | 1936.85485315769 | -162.81860807623 | 2225.96375491854 | -63.145146842312 |
35 | 1934 | 2225.75249264271 | -627.978000090032 | 2270.22550744732 | 291.752492642713 |
36 | 851 | 908.121108463261 | -1508.43278603533 | 2302.31167757207 | 57.1211084632614 |
37 | 3314 | 2949.07360159164 | 1344.52855071154 | 2334.39784769682 | -364.926398408363 |
38 | 3178 | 3460.81269720563 | 541.621840874771 | 2353.5654619196 | 282.812697205633 |
39 | 3360 | 3445.66315462232 | 901.603769235304 | 2372.73307614237 | 85.6631546223234 |
40 | 2787 | 2726.11616271772 | 471.468199812262 | 2376.41563747002 | -60.8838372822829 |
41 | 2474 | 2468.34729586039 | 99.5545053419439 | 2380.09819879767 | -5.65270413961343 |
42 | 2563 | 2504.86546709018 | 251.832159054349 | 2369.30237385547 | -58.1345329098226 |
43 | 2528 | 2864.49475555983 | -167.001304473108 | 2358.50654891328 | 336.494755559831 |
44 | 1649 | 1604.44924611689 | -636.385946734693 | 2329.93670061781 | -44.5507538831143 |
45 | 1902 | 2010.62574651764 | -507.992598839975 | 2301.36685232234 | 108.625746517636 |
46 | 2141 | 2175.88459483691 | -162.81860807623 | 2268.93401323932 | 34.8845948369053 |
47 | 1471 | 1333.47682593372 | -627.978000090032 | 2236.50117415631 | -137.52317406628 |
48 | 1178 | 1646.93911819926 | -1508.43278603533 | 2217.49366783607 | 468.939118199264 |
49 | 3038 | 2532.98528777263 | 1344.52855071154 | 2198.48616151582 | -505.014712227365 |
50 | 2633 | 2529.45286045258 | 541.621840874771 | 2194.92529867265 | -103.547139547425 |
51 | 2636 | 2179.03179493521 | 901.603769235304 | 2191.36443582949 | -456.968205064789 |
52 | 2708 | 2741.16238162816 | 471.468199812262 | 2203.36941855958 | 33.1623816281553 |
53 | 2252 | 2189.07109336838 | 99.5545053419439 | 2215.37440128968 | -62.9289066316242 |
54 | 2579 | 2666.68323806269 | 251.832159054349 | 2239.48460288296 | 87.6832380626897 |
55 | 2321 | 2545.40649999687 | -167.001304473108 | 2263.59480447624 | 224.406499996867 |
56 | 1490 | 1321.46768312337 | -636.385946734693 | 2294.91826361132 | -168.532316876625 |
57 | 2076 | 2333.75087609358 | -507.992598839975 | 2326.2417227464 | 257.750876093579 |
58 | 2333 | 2476.6557075847 | -162.81860807623 | 2352.16290049153 | 143.655707584696 |
59 | 1566 | 1381.89392185336 | -627.978000090032 | 2378.08407823667 | -184.106078146642 |
60 | 961 | 1037.2172110471 | -1508.43278603533 | 2393.21557498823 | 76.2172110470965 |
61 | 3683 | 3613.12437754866 | 1344.52855071154 | 2408.3470717398 | -69.8756224513381 |
62 | 2904 | 2843.02766912973 | 541.621840874771 | 2423.3504899955 | -60.9723308702719 |
63 | 3097 | 2854.04232251349 | 901.603769235304 | 2438.35390825121 | -242.95767748651 |
64 | 3269 | 3605.27658263609 | 471.468199812262 | 2461.25521755165 | 336.276582636086 |
65 | 2491 | 2398.28896780596 | 99.5545053419439 | 2484.1565268521 | -92.7110321940404 |
66 | 2692 | 2609.80828710533 | 251.832159054349 | 2522.35955384032 | -82.1917128946739 |
67 | 2293 | 2192.43872364456 | -167.001304473108 | 2560.56258082855 | -100.561276355444 |
68 | 1994 | 2022.44027579809 | -636.385946734693 | 2601.94567093661 | 28.4402757980861 |
69 | 2069 | 2002.66383779531 | -507.992598839975 | 2643.32876104466 | -66.3361622046873 |
70 | 2540 | 2560.43978627146 | -162.81860807623 | 2682.37882180477 | 20.4397862714604 |
71 | 2091 | 2088.54911752515 | -627.978000090032 | 2721.42888256488 | -2.45088247484637 |
72 | 1109 | 968.622275258163 | -1508.43278603533 | 2757.81051077717 | -140.377724741837 |
73 | 4761 | 5383.279310299 | 1344.52855071154 | 2794.19213898946 | 622.279310298999 |
74 | 3051 | 2743.75921297807 | 541.621840874771 | 2816.61894614716 | -307.240787021927 |
75 | 3737 | 3733.35047745984 | 901.603769235304 | 2839.04575330486 | -3.64952254015861 |
76 | 3505 | 3701.03188974134 | 471.468199812262 | 2837.4999104464 | 196.031889741335 |
77 | 2837 | 2738.49142707011 | 99.5545053419439 | 2835.95406758795 | -98.5085729298949 |
78 | 3419 | 3756.80017230639 | 251.832159054349 | 2829.36766863926 | 337.800172306393 |
79 | 2658 | 2660.22003478254 | -167.001304473108 | 2822.78126969056 | 2.22003478254419 |
80 | 2133 | 2066.3120820464 | -636.385946734693 | 2836.0738646883 | -66.6879179536045 |
81 | 2276 | 2210.62613915394 | -507.992598839975 | 2849.36645968603 | -65.3738608460562 |
82 | 2403 | 2099.89941460711 | -162.81860807623 | 2868.91919346912 | -303.100585392892 |
83 | 1975 | 1689.50607283782 | -627.978000090032 | 2888.47192725221 | -285.493927162183 |
84 | 996 | 609.369256855102 | -1508.43278603533 | 2891.06352918023 | -386.630743144898 |
85 | 4505 | 4771.81631818021 | 1344.52855071154 | 2893.65513110824 | 266.816318180214 |
86 | 3890 | 4351.08813532949 | 541.621840874771 | 2887.29002379574 | 461.088135329491 |
87 | 4352 | 4921.47131428146 | 901.603769235304 | 2880.92491648323 | 569.471314281464 |
88 | 3288 | 3238.06234164627 | 471.468199812262 | 2866.46945854147 | -49.9376583537287 |
89 | 3314 | 3676.43149405835 | 99.5545053419439 | 2852.0140005997 | 362.431494058354 |
90 | 2830 | 2586.66937595231 | 251.832159054349 | 2821.49846499334 | -243.330624047688 |
91 | 2414 | 2204.01837508613 | -167.001304473108 | 2790.98292938698 | -209.981624913868 |
92 | 2049 | 1981.39143281931 | -636.385946734693 | 2752.99451391538 | -67.6085671806904 |
93 | 1981 | 1754.98650039618 | -507.992598839975 | 2715.00609844379 | -226.013499603816 |
94 | 2527 | 2518.96641247303 | -162.81860807623 | 2697.8521956032 | -8.03358752697341 |
95 | 1813 | 1573.27970732742 | -627.978000090032 | 2680.69829276262 | -239.720292672585 |
96 | 926 | 672.915388784274 | -1508.43278603533 | 2687.51739725106 | -253.084611215726 |
97 | 4277 | 4515.13494754896 | 1344.52855071154 | 2694.3365017395 | 238.13494754896 |
98 | 3301 | 3345.02412131201 | 541.621840874771 | 2715.35403781322 | 44.0241213120066 |
99 | 3773 | 3908.02465687775 | 901.603769235304 | 2736.37157388695 | 135.024656877749 |
100 | 3175 | 3127.4408186844 | 471.468199812262 | 2751.09098150333 | -47.5591813155952 |
101 | 3045 | 3224.63510553834 | 99.5545053419439 | 2765.81038911972 | 179.635105538337 |
102 | 2933 | 2839.596116182 | 251.832159054349 | 2774.57172476365 | -93.403883817999 |
103 | 2544 | 2471.66824406553 | -167.001304473108 | 2783.33306040758 | -72.3317559344714 |
104 | 2324 | 2494.22394587543 | -636.385946734693 | 2790.16200085927 | 170.223945875427 |
105 | 2229 | 2169.00165752902 | -507.992598839975 | 2796.99094131095 | -59.998342470979 |
106 | 2844 | 3048.44646953508 | -162.81860807623 | 2802.37213854115 | 204.446469535081 |
107 | 2175 | 2170.22466431869 | -627.978000090032 | 2807.75333577134 | -4.77533568131321 |
108 | 1055 | 806.700525832705 | -1508.43278603533 | 2811.73226020263 | -248.299474167295 |