Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[119])
107	-4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
108	-5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
109	-1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
110	-2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
111	-4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
112	-1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
113	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
114	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
115	-2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
116	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
117	1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
118	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
119	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
120	1	3	-0.4204	6.4204	0.1259	0.5	1	0.5
121	1	3	-1.1945	7.1945	0.175	0.825	0.9692	0.5
122	0	3	-1.997	7.997	0.1197	0.7836	0.9751	0.5
123	2	3	-2.6479	8.6479	0.3643	0.8511	0.9924	0.5
124	2	3	-3.2415	9.2415	0.3768	0.6232	0.8955	0.5
125	-1	3	-3.7806	9.7806	0.1238	0.6137	0.7184	0.5
126	1	3	-4.2806	10.2806	0.2951	0.8592	0.7049	0.5
127	0	3	-4.7482	10.7482	0.224	0.6935	0.897	0.5
128	1	3	-5.1892	11.1892	0.3161	0.7636	0.6839	0.5
129	1	3	-5.6077	11.6077	0.3244	0.6756	0.6756	0.5
130	3	3	-6.0067	12.0067	0.5	0.6683	0.5	0.5
131	2	3	-6.3888	12.3888	0.4173	0.5	0.5	0.5

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
120	0.5817	-0.6667	0	4	0	0
121	0.7133	-0.6667	0.6667	4	4	2
122	0.8498	-1	0.7778	9	5.6667	2.3805
123	0.9605	-0.3333	0.6667	1	4.5	2.1213
124	1.0615	-0.3333	0.6	1	3.8	1.9494
125	1.1532	-1.3333	0.7222	16	5.8333	2.4152
126	1.2382	-0.6667	0.7143	4	5.5714	2.3604
127	1.3177	-1	0.75	9	6	2.4495
128	1.3927	-0.6667	0.7407	4	5.7778	2.4037
129	1.4639	-0.6667	0.7333	4	5.6	2.3664
130	1.5317	0	0.6667	0	5.0909	2.2563
131	1.5967	-0.3333	0.6389	1	4.75	2.1794