Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 45.3 | NA | NA | 1.0144221989448 | NA |
2 | 49.9 | NA | NA | 1.03874577251358 | NA |
3 | 53.8 | NA | NA | 0.985353334328181 | NA |
4 | 55.1 | NA | NA | 0.990547560539078 | NA |
5 | 52.9 | NA | NA | 0.991061310368471 | NA |
6 | 53.5 | NA | NA | 1.05921569883422 | NA |
7 | 53.8 | 55.811997997833 | 50.975 | 1.09488961251266 | 0.963950439511034 |
8 | 52 | 53.275344152793 | 51.4708333333333 | 1.03505890040236 | 0.976061268621085 |
9 | 48.2 | 50.2139371066659 | 51.7125 | 0.971021263846572 | 0.959892865950985 |
10 | 45.5 | 47.5680162012548 | 51.7416666666667 | 0.919336760211077 | 0.956525069439405 |
11 | 45.7 | 48.627012291859 | 51.8166666666667 | 0.938443466552441 | 0.939806865486798 |
12 | 52.5 | 50.3516727977148 | 52.3458333333333 | 0.961904120946553 | 1.04266645143878 |
13 | 52.3 | 54.085610240407 | 53.3166666666667 | 1.0144221989448 | 0.966985484078481 |
14 | 54.8 | 56.6679099980014 | 54.5541666666667 | 1.03874577251358 | 0.96703760562076 |
15 | 54.7 | 55.282427694704 | 56.1041666666667 | 0.985353334328181 | 0.989464505829584 |
16 | 54.9 | 57.7159045274103 | 58.2666666666667 | 0.990547560539078 | 0.95121094349179 |
17 | 54.9 | 60.8718115672568 | 61.4208333333333 | 0.991061310368471 | 0.901895287596976 |
18 | 64.2 | 68.7828194430474 | 64.9375 | 1.05921569883422 | 0.933372614263916 |
19 | 66.4 | 74.9451939764917 | 68.45 | 1.09488961251266 | 0.885980761098943 |
20 | 69.1 | 76.0380144708082 | 73.4625 | 1.03505890040236 | 0.908755975296123 |
21 | 68.3 | 77.2852007583218 | 79.5916666666667 | 0.971021263846572 | 0.883739698284289 |
22 | 77.3 | 78.5994624282129 | 85.4958333333333 | 0.919336760211077 | 0.983467286059371 |
23 | 89.6 | 86.2742360250544 | 91.9333333333333 | 0.938443466552441 | 1.03854875021994 |
24 | 93 | 95.7335076372056 | 99.525 | 0.961904120946553 | 0.971446699231322 |
25 | 96.1 | 110.0436747897 | 108.479166666667 | 1.0144221989448 | 0.873289629627992 |
26 | 131.3 | 121.840551008458 | 117.295833333333 | 1.03874577251358 | 1.07763793673984 |
27 | 125.3 | 122.803764929543 | 124.629166666667 | 0.985353334328181 | 1.02032702394662 |
28 | 126 | 128.094308703712 | 129.316666666667 | 0.990547560539078 | 0.983650259524363 |
29 | 138.3 | 129.643207662576 | 130.8125 | 0.991061310368471 | 1.06677397523174 |
30 | 163 | 138.165861115434 | 130.441666666667 | 1.05921569883422 | 1.1797414982549 |
31 | 182.5 | 141.683277899191 | 129.404166666667 | 1.09488961251266 | 1.28808425882023 |
32 | 164.6 | 131.012580318428 | 126.575 | 1.03505890040236 | 1.25636789688392 |
33 | 148.8 | 118.104507137272 | 121.629166666667 | 0.971021263846572 | 1.25990111306295 |
34 | 109.3 | 107.041443447243 | 116.433333333333 | 0.919336760211077 | 1.02109983273787 |
35 | 93.5 | 103.971715731789 | 110.791666666667 | 0.938443466552441 | 0.899283034255176 |
36 | 80.2 | 99.9338222986723 | 103.891666666667 | 0.961904120946553 | 0.802531096632191 |
37 | 84 | 96.9026805542022 | 95.525 | 1.0144221989448 | 0.866849085284229 |
38 | 75.5 | 90.5353502893297 | 87.1583333333333 | 1.03874577251358 | 0.833928402096195 |
39 | 62.4 | 78.7913159962172 | 79.9625 | 0.985353334328181 | 0.791965449631478 |
40 | 64.2 | 74.3488489814623 | 75.0583333333333 | 0.990547560539078 | 0.863496891740816 |
41 | 64.7 | 72.2401106816085 | 72.8916666666667 | 0.991061310368471 | 0.89562431991777 |
42 | 71 | 76.6210156144206 | 72.3375 | 1.05921569883422 | 0.926638722165898 |
43 | 73.7 | 79.9086935532158 | 72.9833333333333 | 1.09488961251266 | 0.92230265222543 |
44 | 72.6 | 76.8962508090584 | 74.2916666666667 | 1.03505890040236 | 0.944129255147608 |
45 | 68.1 | 74.1374734946858 | 76.35 | 0.971021263846572 | 0.918563808421141 |
46 | 72.3 | 72.82296311822 | 79.2125 | 0.919336760211077 | 0.992818705861076 |
47 | 78.5 | 77.1987056672702 | 82.2625 | 0.938443466552441 | 1.01685642682066 |
48 | 81.9 | 81.733794743596 | 84.9708333333333 | 0.961904120946553 | 1.00203349492001 |
49 | 97.8 | 88.3984411197149 | 87.1416666666667 | 1.0144221989448 | 1.10635435151569 |
50 | 93.1 | 92.3574834986139 | 88.9125 | 1.03874577251358 | 1.00803959217227 |
51 | 94.2 | 89.4988222292501 | 90.8291666666667 | 0.985353334328181 | 1.05252781716734 |
52 | 101.1 | 92.1787050711657 | 93.0583333333333 | 0.990547560539078 | 1.09678260203316 |
53 | 101 | 94.5844138082909 | 95.4375 | 0.991061310368471 | 1.06782921131924 |
54 | 99.7 | 104.200344372817 | 98.375 | 1.05921569883422 | 0.956810657393655 |
55 | 97.1 | 111.071989149357 | 101.445833333333 | 1.09488961251266 | 0.874207806519343 |
56 | 91.7 | 107.982519784476 | 104.325 | 1.03505890040236 | 0.849211522226241 |
57 | 95 | 104.117755015949 | 107.225 | 0.971021263846572 | 0.912428432455617 |
58 | 98.9 | 100.855073164989 | 109.704166666667 | 0.919336760211077 | 0.980615024077261 |
59 | 109 | 104.804584308354 | 111.679166666667 | 0.938443466552441 | 1.04003084139241 |
60 | 121.9 | 109.244252602667 | 113.570833333333 | 0.961904120946553 | 1.11584817595268 |
61 | 131.5 | 117.301020271317 | 115.633333333333 | 1.0144221989448 | 1.12104736766859 |
62 | 128.5 | 122.628266552614 | 118.054166666667 | 1.03874577251358 | 1.04788238154591 |
63 | 128.4 | 118.86235159223 | 120.629166666667 | 0.985353334328181 | 1.08024112159997 |
64 | 126.4 | 121.610349463683 | 122.770833333333 | 0.990547560539078 | 1.03938522138486 |
65 | 123.1 | 122.804884621033 | 123.9125 | 0.991061310368471 | 1.00240312410925 |
66 | 123 | 131.135316914422 | 123.804166666667 | 1.05921569883422 | 0.937962426096618 |
67 | 123.3 | NA | NA | 1.09488961251266 | NA |
68 | 123.6 | NA | NA | 1.03505890040236 | NA |
69 | 124.9 | NA | NA | 0.971021263846572 | NA |
70 | 120.4 | NA | NA | 0.919336760211077 | NA |
71 | 114.9 | NA | NA | 0.938443466552441 | NA |
72 | 113.4 | NA | NA | 0.961904120946553 | NA |