Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 99.42 | NA | NA | 0.973268293614967 | NA |
2 | 99.42 | NA | NA | 0.972917625529058 | NA |
3 | 99.42 | NA | NA | 0.970971583304606 | NA |
4 | 99.42 | NA | NA | 0.973082563817366 | NA |
5 | 99.42 | NA | NA | 0.974919798892322 | NA |
6 | 109.26 | NA | NA | 1.0332470318984 | NA |
7 | 110 | 109.979482557688 | 103.010416666667 | 1.06765399186349 | 1.00018655699986 |
8 | 110 | 109.839389049698 | 103.062916666667 | 1.06575083067897 | 1.00146223455622 |
9 | 109.26 | 106.748079004024 | 103.115416666667 | 1.03522909041914 | 1.02353129929281 |
10 | 100.07 | 101.308005151197 | 103.167916666667 | 0.981971996958329 | 0.987779789471232 |
11 | 100.07 | 100.860302455465 | 103.220416666667 | 0.977135199726783 | 0.992164385429896 |
12 | 100.05 | 100.52708932303 | 103.22625 | 0.97385199329657 | 0.995254121787044 |
13 | 100.05 | 100.500495055593 | 103.260833333333 | 0.973268293614967 | 0.995517484213947 |
14 | 100.05 | 100.582656421258 | 103.3825 | 0.972917625529058 | 0.994704291572624 |
15 | 100.05 | 100.41626285939 | 103.418333333333 | 0.970971583304606 | 0.996352554367582 |
16 | 100.05 | 100.728641593555 | 103.515 | 0.973082563817366 | 0.993262675016576 |
17 | 100.05 | 101.156865899902 | 103.759166666667 | 0.974919798892322 | 0.989057926122416 |
18 | 108.77 | 107.445636768728 | 103.988333333333 | 1.0332470318984 | 1.01232589122369 |
19 | 111.32 | 111.263781338734 | 104.213333333333 | 1.06765399186349 | 1.00050527368916 |
20 | 111.6 | 111.305240504727 | 104.438333333333 | 1.06575083067897 | 1.00264820860128 |
21 | 108.52 | 108.350527366902 | 104.663333333333 | 1.03522909041914 | 1.00156411451995 |
22 | 103.13 | 102.997406140964 | 104.888333333333 | 0.981971996958329 | 1.00128735143926 |
23 | 102.87 | 102.709937960615 | 105.113333333333 | 0.977135199726783 | 1.00155838901827 |
24 | 102.75 | 102.736110261158 | 105.494583333333 | 0.97385199329657 | 1.00013519821616 |
25 | 102.75 | 103.106826440203 | 105.93875 | 0.973268293614967 | 0.996539254940511 |
26 | 102.75 | 103.394388359037 | 106.2725 | 0.972917625529058 | 0.993767666028458 |
27 | 102.75 | 103.481701062181 | 106.575416666667 | 0.970971583304606 | 0.992929174388603 |
28 | 102.75 | 104.041987723353 | 106.92 | 0.973082563817366 | 0.987582054595226 |
29 | 102.75 | 104.618643619135 | 107.31 | 0.974919798892322 | 0.982138521830412 |
30 | 115.22 | 111.25616571845 | 107.67625 | 1.0332470318984 | 1.03562799648858 |
31 | 115.53 | 115.337326173523 | 108.02875 | 1.06765399186349 | 1.00167052447694 |
32 | 115.4 | 115.507407217525 | 108.38125 | 1.06575083067897 | 0.999070127015118 |
33 | 111.99 | 112.564341110362 | 108.73375 | 1.03522909041914 | 0.994897663818787 |
34 | 107.93 | 107.119642753196 | 109.08625 | 0.981971996958329 | 1.00756497338842 |
35 | 107.43 | 106.936454839099 | 109.43875 | 0.977135199726783 | 1.00461531253905 |
36 | 106.98 | 106.687514723959 | 109.552083333333 | 0.97385199329657 | 1.00274151363258 |
37 | 106.98 | 106.693725630629 | 109.624166666667 | 0.973268293614967 | 1.00268314155944 |
38 | 106.98 | 106.913917869388 | 109.89 | 0.972917625529058 | 1.00061808726056 |
39 | 106.98 | 106.995809050758 | 110.194583333333 | 0.970971583304606 | 0.999852246074886 |
40 | 106.98 | 107.502512590928 | 110.47625 | 0.973082563817366 | 0.995139531362243 |
41 | 106.98 | 107.917528488637 | 110.69375 | 0.974919798892322 | 0.991312546703331 |
42 | 113.71 | 114.61292701333 | 110.925 | 1.0332470318984 | 0.992121944383942 |
43 | 118.77 | 118.689314852144 | 111.168333333333 | 1.06765399186349 | 1.00067980127745 |
44 | 118.54 | 118.77348945071 | 111.445833333333 | 1.06575083067897 | 0.998034161901026 |
45 | 116.16 | 115.667440308893 | 111.73125 | 1.03522909041914 | 1.00425841265088 |
46 | 110.52 | 109.970634784365 | 111.989583333333 | 0.981971996958329 | 1.00499556283105 |
47 | 110.06 | 109.777475432305 | 112.34625 | 0.977135199726783 | 1.00257361144973 |
48 | 109.9 | 109.604201443882 | 112.547083333333 | 0.97385199329657 | 1.0026987884791 |
49 | 109.9 | 109.555134413857 | 112.564166666667 | 0.973268293614967 | 1.00314787242047 |
50 | 110.72 | 109.611331986168 | 112.6625 | 0.972917625529058 | 1.0101145382849 |
51 | 110.09 | 109.346369425341 | 112.615416666667 | 0.970971583304606 | 1.00680068829506 |
52 | 110.07 | 109.484762863638 | 112.513333333333 | 0.973082563817366 | 1.00534537520158 |
53 | 112.45 | 109.69310117237 | 112.515 | 0.974919798892322 | 1.02513283696208 |
54 | 113.06 | 116.256650833242 | 112.515833333333 | 1.0332470318984 | 0.972503501431267 |
55 | 119.83 | 120.146662551038 | 112.533333333333 | 1.06765399186349 | 0.997364366647278 |
56 | 119.84 | 119.936934107535 | 112.5375 | 1.06575083067897 | 0.999191791017036 |
57 | 113.73 | 116.508132599404 | 112.543333333333 | 1.03522909041914 | 0.976155032808253 |
58 | 110.5 | 110.635102502306 | 112.66625 | 0.981971996958329 | 0.998778845960725 |
59 | 110.12 | 110.175658026194 | 112.75375 | 0.977135199726783 | 0.999494824653731 |
60 | 109.86 | 109.906501333468 | 112.8575 | 0.97385199329657 | 0.999576900975798 |
61 | 110.36 | 110.082726934688 | 113.10625 | 0.973268293614967 | 1.00251876995631 |
62 | 110.36 | 110.227513149003 | 113.295833333333 | 0.972917625529058 | 1.00120193994414 |
63 | 110.59 | 110.097658687923 | 113.389166666667 | 0.970971583304606 | 1.00447185996455 |
64 | 112.52 | 110.413651261015 | 113.467916666667 | 0.973082563817366 | 1.01907688691506 |
65 | 112.1 | 110.687113150657 | 113.534583333333 | 0.974919798892322 | 1.01276469147244 |
66 | 115.9 | 117.32821410924 | 113.552916666667 | 1.0332470318984 | 0.987827189563202 |
67 | 122.96 | NA | NA | 1.06765399186349 | NA |
68 | 121.26 | NA | NA | 1.06575083067897 | NA |
69 | 114.55 | NA | NA | 1.03522909041914 | NA |
70 | 111.57 | NA | NA | 0.981971996958329 | NA |
71 | 110.65 | NA | NA | 0.977135199726783 | NA |
72 | 109.77 | NA | NA | 0.97385199329657 | NA |