| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 13328 | 13328 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 12873 | 13200.6096239819 | 3.82153144452669 | -327.609623981897 | -1.30910987071981 |
| 3 | 14000 | 13460.2526804861 | 21.9988245017758 | 539.747319513884 | 1.31766722495341 |
| 4 | 13477 | 13535.9869238967 | 26.2778743429412 | -58.9869238966891 | 0.311902089354995 |
| 5 | 14237 | 13789.3806698119 | 42.162266105722 | 447.619330188116 | 1.58143730484835 |
| 6 | 13674 | 13834.0785943572 | 42.3048934237142 | -160.078594357214 | 0.0192400152934595 |
| 7 | 13529 | 13756.1942489213 | 36.7695964292128 | -227.194248921304 | -0.936875366433657 |
| 8 | 14058 | 13824.1081482884 | 38.0414004936403 | 233.891851711636 | 0.2439324857269 |
| 9 | 12975 | 13582.4983939218 | 27.0307080074523 | -607.498393921793 | -2.18563591932464 |
| 10 | 14326 | 13729.7469899238 | 31.8414508160075 | 596.253010076151 | 0.935635744398642 |
| 11 | 14008 | 13869.9949589271 | 36.34164807476 | 138.005041072916 | 0.839892793994035 |
| 12 | 16193 | 14657.7514394269 | 68.7552050689005 | 1535.24856057315 | 5.79778367420672 |
| 13 | 14483 | 14940.9687240461 | 73.3773688856586 | -457.968724046069 | 1.70441394890217 |
| 14 | 14011 | 14973.3054641555 | 72.3109559091014 | -962.305464155451 | -0.329020905473217 |
| 15 | 15057 | 14910.204221348 | 66.7406339803371 | 146.795778652028 | -1.0136695735579 |
| 16 | 14884 | 14966.7665760511 | 66.2096005385596 | -82.766576051059 | -0.0721891529657442 |
| 17 | 15414 | 14983.3851551016 | 63.3971124474737 | 430.614844898437 | -0.352185026007329 |
| 18 | 14440 | 14841.9017195639 | 51.759856817248 | -401.901719563874 | -1.49386934689329 |
| 19 | 14900 | 14877.5725079918 | 50.8781882612131 | 22.4274920081985 | -0.119895985779129 |
| 20 | 15074 | 14855.2830559794 | 47.0434564549557 | 218.716944020602 | -0.550705437135385 |
| 21 | 14442 | 14996.13900226 | 51.7712074561959 | -554.139002259997 | 0.707319370754378 |
| 22 | 15307 | 15086.8744911342 | 53.673257910205 | 220.125508865847 | 0.293174817589811 |
| 23 | 14938 | 15227.8681895679 | 57.8172199390118 | -289.868189567872 | 0.655220582876502 |
| 24 | 17193 | 15465.188547745 | 66.1192135716279 | 1727.81145225504 | 1.34613444850409 |
| 25 | 15528 | 15699.3575494334 | 73.7857412914154 | -171.357549433356 | 1.26382724031705 |
| 26 | 14765 | 15768.8975002548 | 73.5871636587702 | -1003.89750025478 | -0.0318833028520451 |
| 27 | 15838 | 15770.225586119 | 70.0234038580706 | 67.7744138810036 | -0.535995445382637 |
| 28 | 15723 | 15767.7944164121 | 66.2590497762195 | -44.7944164121311 | -0.529671417573312 |
| 29 | 16150 | 15725.550138103 | 60.428796881512 | 424.449861897001 | -0.789148624610837 |
| 30 | 15486 | 15780.1555417944 | 60.1118023747269 | -294.155541794421 | -0.0425744042741396 |
| 31 | 15986 | 15877.2291798004 | 62.1179348420207 | 108.770820199551 | 0.272498060749683 |
| 32 | 15983 | 15928.5484002362 | 61.5390097466118 | 54.4515997637581 | -0.0800450045473509 |
| 33 | 15692 | 16100.1922402312 | 67.3476185737285 | -408.192240231223 | 0.816983235586892 |
| 34 | 16490 | 16281.836458339 | 73.2829286966797 | 208.163541661023 | 0.846801035866773 |
| 35 | 15686 | 16325.1017687063 | 71.7437696253494 | -639.101768706257 | -0.22207404222866 |
| 36 | 18897 | 16660.8629058044 | 85.1838055091375 | 2236.13709419562 | 1.9534965495236 |
| 37 | 16316 | 16722.8211862499 | 84.0013479153592 | -406.821186249865 | -0.172023099503823 |
| 38 | 15636 | 16713.5770980734 | 79.2168336365953 | -1077.57709807335 | -0.690276530194596 |
| 39 | 17163 | 16831.7757045743 | 81.2428556262029 | 331.22429542575 | 0.287592548695499 |
| 40 | 16534 | 16796.0361369211 | 75.0810413731387 | -262.036136921077 | -0.859207121563809 |
| 41 | 16518 | 16595.7633394461 | 60.4295321398447 | -77.7633394461416 | -2.0177261009118 |
| 42 | 16375 | 16599.6935452012 | 57.4074944227417 | -224.693545201208 | -0.414444627151398 |
| 43 | 16290 | 16513.5740433994 | 49.7271513998338 | -223.574043399373 | -1.05580413949883 |
| 44 | 16352 | 16484.4587637292 | 45.5214004998715 | -132.458763729166 | -0.581262800499785 |
| 45 | 15943 | 16491.1322839393 | 43.4596854976379 | -548.132283939343 | -0.286538977905852 |
| 46 | 16362 | 16429.6652258033 | 37.9215806764241 | -67.6652258033373 | -0.773355926909379 |
| 47 | 16393 | 16668.180407978 | 48.4615500582029 | -275.180407978013 | 1.47741619172089 |
| 48 | 19051 | 16787.4624949557 | 52.1734549858896 | 2263.53750504426 | 0.521645125342458 |
| 49 | 16747 | 16927.7722162851 | 56.7927426547764 | -180.772216285066 | 0.649524975671401 |
| 50 | 16320 | 17113.1041998859 | 63.5443793766792 | -793.104199885855 | 0.947300948414592 |
| 51 | 17910 | 17270.6208583525 | 68.4980115177112 | 639.379141647545 | 0.69187121811033 |
| 52 | 16961 | 17247.8655206498 | 63.6694055181696 | -286.865520649841 | -0.670858755156991 |
| 53 | 17480 | 17325.0681969303 | 64.387687293961 | 154.931803069736 | 0.0993984253574095 |
| 54 | 17049 | 17312.0279357308 | 60.2710359663591 | -263.027935730802 | -0.568791385336734 |
| 55 | 16879 | 17242.3233974727 | 53.3581123888634 | -363.323397472748 | -0.955697416482515 |
| 56 | 17473 | 17351.4635731847 | 56.3226237715685 | 121.536426815333 | 0.410503256727105 |
| 57 | 16998 | 17478.6721954513 | 60.0841637128221 | -480.672195451297 | 0.52176264608561 |
| 58 | 17307 | 17568.3845180198 | 61.6536516719484 | -261.384518019843 | 0.218014334097787 |
| 59 | 17418 | 17693.2392645971 | 64.9966147934322 | -275.239264597098 | 0.464905026736286 |
| 60 | 20169 | 17860.1595346668 | 70.382991996846 | 2308.8404653332 | 0.749746336702257 |
| 61 | 17871 | 18029.5456680165 | 75.6143925259649 | -158.54566801651 | 0.728431951259421 |
| 62 | 17226 | 18110.4405021265 | 75.89357581055 | -884.440502126515 | 0.0388556250502212 |
| 63 | 19062 | 18234.4704266078 | 78.4411845774433 | 827.52957339223 | 0.354112683608188 |
| 64 | 17804 | 18242.0994625201 | 74.6892886411142 | -438.099462520128 | -0.520666553506449 |
| 65 | 19100 | 18466.8235862712 | 82.6460180413301 | 633.176413728767 | 1.10276755193253 |
| 66 | 18522 | 18650.0230031238 | 87.9815924889895 | -128.023003123785 | 0.739079367833474 |
| 67 | 18060 | 18689.5261290307 | 85.4088258900366 | -629.526129030696 | -0.356430015846306 |
| 68 | 18869 | 18776.5962932827 | 85.4969765777413 | 92.4037067173252 | 0.0122184896605663 |
| 69 | 18127 | 18804.5211763966 | 82.4435102460089 | -677.521176396598 | -0.423458969600661 |
| 70 | 18871 | 18980.913675628 | 87.4236906699088 | -109.913675628044 | 0.690942650567986 |
| 71 | 18890 | 19161.2269862655 | 92.3453701354828 | -271.226986265458 | 0.68305593088137 |
| 72 | 21263 | 19208.3405738709 | 89.9495387726389 | 2054.65942612915 | -0.332602261746061 |
| 73 | 19547 | 19420.0267580554 | 96.3971761350063 | 126.973241944558 | 0.895246564622811 |
| 74 | 18450 | 19505.233761956 | 95.8044173027641 | -1055.23376195603 | -0.0822976071641925 |
| 75 | 20254 | 19548.7938274288 | 93.0361670993899 | 705.206172571227 | -0.384204519783857 |
| 76 | 19240 | 19679.9063138151 | 95.0543650686325 | -439.906313815147 | 0.279966504492501 |
| 77 | 20216 | 19740.4702844739 | 93.2257239640508 | 475.529715526084 | -0.253563754270562 |
| 78 | 19420 | 19722.5544626307 | 87.3320848555325 | -302.554462630712 | -0.817066538903295 |
| 79 | 19415 | 19854.6263207732 | 89.7046957134652 | -439.626320773165 | 0.328939929482861 |
| 80 | 20018 | 19957.1134637402 | 90.3825353738943 | 60.8865362598414 | 0.0939909178015415 |
| 81 | 18652 | 19856.4046648398 | 80.2503842979406 | -1204.40466483976 | -1.40517485279381 |
| 82 | 19978 | 19952.8814589478 | 81.1106154847823 | 25.1185410521824 | 0.119314827562374 |
| 83 | 19509 | 19964.5283886575 | 77.4285995720264 | -455.528388657524 | -0.510745599513183 |
| 84 | 21971 | 20006.5733389334 | 75.5532369519448 | 1964.42666106661 | -0.260161605777078 |
