Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8661 |
R-squared | 0.7502 |
RMSE | 49695.4918 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 255202 | 189475.634146341 | 65726.3658536585 |
2 | 135248 | 189475.634146341 | -54227.6341463415 |
3 | 207223 | 189475.634146341 | 17747.3658536585 |
4 | 189326 | 281991.019230769 | -92665.0192307692 |
5 | 141365 | 151925 | -10560 |
6 | 65295 | 47292.3 | 18002.7 |
7 | 439387 | 281991.019230769 | 157395.980769231 |
8 | 33186 | 47292.3 | -14106.3 |
9 | 183696 | 189475.634146341 | -5779.63414634147 |
10 | 186657 | 189475.634146341 | -2818.63414634147 |
11 | 276696 | 281991.019230769 | -5295.01923076925 |
12 | 194414 | 281991.019230769 | -87577.0192307692 |
13 | 141409 | 151925 | -10516 |
14 | 306730 | 243250.363636364 | 63479.6363636364 |
15 | 192691 | 189475.634146341 | 3215.36585365853 |
16 | 333497 | 281991.019230769 | 51505.9807692308 |
17 | 261835 | 243250.363636364 | 18584.6363636364 |
18 | 263451 | 281991.019230769 | -18540.0192307692 |
19 | 157448 | 189475.634146341 | -32027.6341463415 |
20 | 232190 | 243250.363636364 | -11060.3636363636 |
21 | 245725 | 243250.363636364 | 2474.63636363635 |
22 | 388603 | 281991.019230769 | 106611.980769231 |
23 | 156540 | 96570.4444444444 | 59969.5555555556 |
24 | 156189 | 189475.634146341 | -33286.6341463415 |
25 | 189726 | 281991.019230769 | -92265.0192307692 |
26 | 192167 | 281991.019230769 | -89824.0192307692 |
27 | 249893 | 281991.019230769 | -32098.0192307692 |
28 | 236812 | 243250.363636364 | -6438.36363636365 |
29 | 143160 | 151925 | -8765 |
30 | 259667 | 243250.363636364 | 16416.6363636364 |
31 | 243020 | 243250.363636364 | -230.363636363647 |
32 | 176062 | 151925 | 24137 |
33 | 286683 | 281991.019230769 | 4691.98076923075 |
34 | 87485 | 96570.4444444444 | -9085.44444444444 |
35 | 329737 | 281991.019230769 | 47745.9807692308 |
36 | 247082 | 189475.634146341 | 57606.3658536585 |
37 | 378463 | 281991.019230769 | 96471.9807692308 |
38 | 191653 | 189475.634146341 | 2177.36585365853 |
39 | 114673 | 96570.4444444444 | 18102.5555555556 |
40 | 301596 | 281991.019230769 | 19604.9807692308 |
41 | 284195 | 243250.363636364 | 40944.6363636364 |
42 | 155568 | 189475.634146341 | -33907.6341463415 |
43 | 177306 | 189475.634146341 | -12169.6341463415 |
44 | 144595 | 189475.634146341 | -44880.6341463415 |
45 | 140319 | 151925 | -11606 |
46 | 405267 | 281991.019230769 | 123275.980769231 |
47 | 78800 | 96570.4444444444 | -17770.4444444444 |
48 | 201970 | 189475.634146341 | 12494.3658536585 |
49 | 302705 | 281991.019230769 | 20713.9807692308 |
50 | 164733 | 189475.634146341 | -24742.6341463415 |
51 | 194221 | 189475.634146341 | 4745.36585365853 |
52 | 24188 | 47292.3 | -23104.3 |
53 | 346142 | 281991.019230769 | 64150.9807692308 |
54 | 65029 | 47292.3 | 17736.7 |
55 | 101097 | 151925 | -50828 |
56 | 253745 | 189475.634146341 | 64269.3658536585 |
57 | 273513 | 243250.363636364 | 30262.6363636364 |
58 | 282220 | 281991.019230769 | 228.980769230751 |
59 | 280928 | 281991.019230769 | -1063.01923076925 |
60 | 214872 | 189475.634146341 | 25396.3658536585 |
61 | 342048 | 281991.019230769 | 60056.9807692308 |
62 | 273924 | 281991.019230769 | -8067.01923076925 |
63 | 195726 | 281991.019230769 | -86265.0192307692 |
64 | 231162 | 281991.019230769 | -50829.0192307692 |
65 | 209798 | 151925 | 57873 |
66 | 201345 | 189475.634146341 | 11869.3658536585 |
67 | 180231 | 281991.019230769 | -101760.019230769 |
68 | 204441 | 281991.019230769 | -77550.0192307692 |
69 | 197813 | 243250.363636364 | -45437.3636363636 |
70 | 136421 | 243250.363636364 | -106829.363636364 |
71 | 216092 | 189475.634146341 | 26616.3658536585 |
72 | 73566 | 96570.4444444444 | -23004.4444444444 |
73 | 213998 | 189475.634146341 | 24522.3658536585 |
74 | 181728 | 189475.634146341 | -7747.63414634147 |
75 | 148758 | 189475.634146341 | -40717.6341463415 |
76 | 308343 | 243250.363636364 | 65092.6363636364 |
77 | 251437 | 281991.019230769 | -30554.0192307692 |
78 | 202388 | 281991.019230769 | -79603.0192307692 |
79 | 173286 | 243250.363636364 | -69964.3636363636 |
80 | 155529 | 189475.634146341 | -33946.6341463415 |
81 | 132672 | 189475.634146341 | -56803.6341463415 |
82 | 390163 | 281991.019230769 | 108171.980769231 |
83 | 145905 | 151925 | -6020 |
84 | 228012 | 281991.019230769 | -53979.0192307692 |
85 | 80953 | 47292.3 | 33660.7 |
86 | 130805 | 151925 | -21120 |
87 | 135163 | 189475.634146341 | -54312.6341463415 |
88 | 333790 | 281991.019230769 | 51798.9807692308 |
89 | 271806 | 281991.019230769 | -10185.0192307692 |
90 | 164235 | 281991.019230769 | -117756.019230769 |
91 | 234092 | 281991.019230769 | -47899.0192307692 |
92 | 207158 | 243250.363636364 | -36092.3636363636 |
93 | 156583 | 151925 | 4658 |
94 | 242395 | 243250.363636364 | -855.363636363647 |
95 | 261601 | 189475.634146341 | 72125.3658536585 |
96 | 178489 | 189475.634146341 | -10986.6341463415 |
97 | 204221 | 189475.634146341 | 14745.3658536585 |
98 | 268066 | 243250.363636364 | 24815.6363636364 |
99 | 327622 | 281991.019230769 | 45630.9807692308 |
100 | 361799 | 281991.019230769 | 79807.9807692308 |
101 | 247131 | 281991.019230769 | -34860.0192307692 |
102 | 265849 | 243250.363636364 | 22598.6363636364 |
103 | 162336 | 281991.019230769 | -119655.019230769 |
104 | 43287 | 47292.3 | -4005.3 |
105 | 172244 | 189475.634146341 | -17231.6341463415 |
106 | 189021 | 281991.019230769 | -92970.0192307692 |
107 | 227681 | 243250.363636364 | -15569.3636363636 |
108 | 269329 | 281991.019230769 | -12662.0192307692 |
109 | 106503 | 151925 | -45422 |
110 | 117891 | 189475.634146341 | -71584.6341463415 |
111 | 287201 | 189475.634146341 | 97725.3658536585 |
112 | 266805 | 281991.019230769 | -15186.0192307692 |
113 | 23623 | 5398.58333333333 | 18224.4166666667 |
114 | 174954 | 243250.363636364 | -68296.3636363636 |
115 | 61857 | 47292.3 | 14564.7 |
116 | 144889 | 189475.634146341 | -44586.6341463415 |
117 | 347988 | 281991.019230769 | 65996.9807692308 |
118 | 21054 | 47292.3 | -26238.3 |
119 | 224051 | 189475.634146341 | 34575.3658536585 |
120 | 31414 | 47292.3 | -15878.3 |
121 | 278660 | 281991.019230769 | -3331.01923076925 |
122 | 209481 | 189475.634146341 | 20005.3658536585 |
123 | 156870 | 151925 | 4945 |
124 | 112933 | 151925 | -38992 |
125 | 38214 | 96570.4444444444 | -58356.4444444444 |
126 | 166011 | 189475.634146341 | -23464.6341463415 |
127 | 316044 | 243250.363636364 | 72793.6363636364 |
128 | 181578 | 151925 | 29653 |
129 | 358903 | 243250.363636364 | 115652.636363636 |
130 | 275578 | 281991.019230769 | -6413.01923076925 |
131 | 368796 | 281991.019230769 | 86804.9807692308 |
132 | 172464 | 189475.634146341 | -17011.6341463415 |
133 | 94381 | 96570.4444444444 | -2189.44444444444 |
134 | 250563 | 281991.019230769 | -31428.0192307692 |
135 | 382499 | 281991.019230769 | 100507.980769231 |
136 | 118010 | 96570.4444444444 | 21439.5555555556 |
137 | 365575 | 281991.019230769 | 83583.9807692308 |
138 | 147989 | 151925 | -3936 |
139 | 231681 | 189475.634146341 | 42205.3658536585 |
140 | 193119 | 189475.634146341 | 3643.36585365853 |
141 | 189020 | 151925 | 37095 |
142 | 341958 | 281991.019230769 | 59966.9807692308 |
143 | 222060 | 281991.019230769 | -59931.0192307692 |
144 | 173260 | 151925 | 21335 |
145 | 274787 | 281991.019230769 | -7204.01923076925 |
146 | 130908 | 243250.363636364 | -112342.363636364 |
147 | 204009 | 189475.634146341 | 14533.3658536585 |
148 | 262412 | 281991.019230769 | -19579.0192307692 |
149 | 1 | 5398.58333333333 | -5397.58333333333 |
150 | 14688 | 5398.58333333333 | 9289.41666666667 |
151 | 98 | 5398.58333333333 | -5300.58333333333 |
152 | 455 | 5398.58333333333 | -4943.58333333333 |
153 | 0 | 5398.58333333333 | -5398.58333333333 |
154 | 0 | 5398.58333333333 | -5398.58333333333 |
155 | 195765 | 189475.634146341 | 6289.36585365853 |
156 | 334258 | 281991.019230769 | 52266.9807692308 |
157 | 0 | 5398.58333333333 | -5398.58333333333 |
158 | 203 | 5398.58333333333 | -5195.58333333333 |
159 | 7199 | 5398.58333333333 | 1800.41666666667 |
160 | 46660 | 47292.3 | -632.300000000003 |
161 | 17547 | 5398.58333333333 | 12148.4166666667 |
162 | 107465 | 96570.4444444444 | 10894.5555555556 |
163 | 969 | 5398.58333333333 | -4429.58333333333 |
164 | 179994 | 151925 | 28069 |