Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9567 |
R-squared | 0.9153 |
RMSE | 23918.7772 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 162554.1 | 48352.9 |
2 | 120982 | 162554.1 | -41572.1 |
3 | 176508 | 162554.1 | 13953.9 |
4 | 179321 | 201692.291666667 | -22371.2916666667 |
5 | 123185 | 162554.1 | -39369.1 |
6 | 52746 | 51240.4 | 1505.6 |
7 | 385534 | 322592.294117647 | 62941.705882353 |
8 | 33170 | 18098.3333333333 | 15071.6666666667 |
9 | 101645 | 96095.3157894737 | 5549.68421052632 |
10 | 149061 | 162554.1 | -13493.1 |
11 | 165446 | 162554.1 | 2891.89999999999 |
12 | 237213 | 234333.285714286 | 2879.71428571429 |
13 | 173326 | 127902.84375 | 45423.15625 |
14 | 133131 | 127902.84375 | 5228.15625 |
15 | 258873 | 201692.291666667 | 57180.7083333333 |
16 | 180083 | 162554.1 | 17528.9 |
17 | 324799 | 322592.294117647 | 2206.70588235295 |
18 | 230964 | 234333.285714286 | -3369.28571428571 |
19 | 236785 | 234333.285714286 | 2451.71428571429 |
20 | 135473 | 162554.1 | -27081.1 |
21 | 202925 | 201692.291666667 | 1232.70833333334 |
22 | 215147 | 234333.285714286 | -19186.2857142857 |
23 | 344297 | 253151.466666667 | 91145.5333333333 |
24 | 153935 | 162554.1 | -8619.10000000001 |
25 | 132943 | 162554.1 | -29611.1 |
26 | 174724 | 253151.466666667 | -78427.4666666667 |
27 | 174415 | 201692.291666667 | -27277.2916666667 |
28 | 225548 | 253151.466666667 | -27603.4666666667 |
29 | 223632 | 234333.285714286 | -10701.2857142857 |
30 | 124817 | 127902.84375 | -3085.84375 |
31 | 221698 | 234333.285714286 | -12635.2857142857 |
32 | 210767 | 234333.285714286 | -23566.2857142857 |
33 | 170266 | 162554.1 | 7711.89999999999 |
34 | 260561 | 234333.285714286 | 26227.7142857143 |
35 | 84853 | 76272.5882352941 | 8580.41176470589 |
36 | 294424 | 322592.294117647 | -28168.294117647 |
37 | 101011 | 95754.8 | 5256.2 |
38 | 215641 | 201692.291666667 | 13948.7083333333 |
39 | 325107 | 253151.466666667 | 71955.5333333333 |
40 | 7176 | 18098.3333333333 | -10922.3333333333 |
41 | 167542 | 162554.1 | 4987.89999999999 |
42 | 106408 | 95754.8 | 10653.2 |
43 | 96560 | 96095.3157894737 | 464.68421052632 |
44 | 265769 | 253151.466666667 | 12617.5333333333 |
45 | 269651 | 322592.294117647 | -52941.294117647 |
46 | 149112 | 149311.055555556 | -199.055555555562 |
47 | 175824 | 149311.055555556 | 26512.9444444444 |
48 | 152871 | 162554.1 | -9683.10000000001 |
49 | 111665 | 95754.8 | 15910.2 |
50 | 116408 | 201692.291666667 | -85284.2916666667 |
51 | 362301 | 322592.294117647 | 39708.705882353 |
52 | 78800 | 95754.8 | -16954.8 |
53 | 183167 | 201692.291666667 | -18525.2916666667 |
54 | 277965 | 322592.294117647 | -44627.294117647 |
55 | 150629 | 201692.291666667 | -51063.2916666667 |
56 | 168809 | 162554.1 | 6254.89999999999 |
57 | 24188 | 33818.5 | -9630.5 |
58 | 329267 | 253151.466666667 | 76115.5333333333 |
59 | 65029 | 76272.5882352941 | -11243.5882352941 |
60 | 101097 | 95754.8 | 5342.2 |
61 | 218946 | 253151.466666667 | -34205.4666666667 |
62 | 244052 | 234333.285714286 | 9718.71428571429 |
63 | 341570 | 322592.294117647 | 18977.705882353 |
64 | 103597 | 95754.8 | 7842.2 |
65 | 233328 | 253151.466666667 | -19823.4666666667 |
66 | 256462 | 234333.285714286 | 22128.7142857143 |
67 | 206161 | 149311.055555556 | 56849.9444444444 |
68 | 311473 | 322592.294117647 | -11119.294117647 |
69 | 235800 | 253151.466666667 | -17351.4666666667 |
70 | 177939 | 149311.055555556 | 28627.9444444444 |
71 | 207176 | 201692.291666667 | 5483.70833333334 |
72 | 196553 | 162554.1 | 33998.9 |
73 | 174184 | 162554.1 | 11629.9 |
74 | 143246 | 127902.84375 | 15343.15625 |
75 | 187559 | 253151.466666667 | -65592.4666666667 |
76 | 187681 | 201692.291666667 | -14011.2916666667 |
77 | 119016 | 127902.84375 | -8886.84375 |
78 | 182192 | 201692.291666667 | -19500.2916666667 |
79 | 73566 | 76272.5882352941 | -2706.58823529411 |
80 | 194979 | 201692.291666667 | -6713.29166666666 |
81 | 167488 | 162554.1 | 4933.89999999999 |
82 | 143756 | 127902.84375 | 15853.15625 |
83 | 275541 | 201692.291666667 | 73848.7083333333 |
84 | 243199 | 234333.285714286 | 8865.71428571429 |
85 | 182999 | 162554.1 | 20444.9 |
86 | 135649 | 127902.84375 | 7746.15625 |
87 | 152299 | 149311.055555556 | 2987.94444444444 |
88 | 120221 | 127902.84375 | -7681.84375 |
89 | 346485 | 322592.294117647 | 23892.705882353 |
90 | 145790 | 149311.055555556 | -3521.05555555556 |
91 | 193339 | 201692.291666667 | -8353.29166666666 |
92 | 80953 | 95754.8 | -14801.8 |
93 | 122774 | 96095.3157894737 | 26678.6842105263 |
94 | 130585 | 95754.8 | 34830.2 |
95 | 112611 | 95754.8 | 16856.2 |
96 | 286468 | 322592.294117647 | -36124.294117647 |
97 | 241066 | 234333.285714286 | 6732.71428571429 |
98 | 148446 | 149311.055555556 | -865.055555555562 |
99 | 204713 | 201692.291666667 | 3020.70833333334 |
100 | 182079 | 162554.1 | 19524.9 |
101 | 140344 | 127902.84375 | 12441.15625 |
102 | 220516 | 253151.466666667 | -32635.4666666667 |
103 | 243060 | 234333.285714286 | 8726.71428571429 |
104 | 162765 | 162554.1 | 210.899999999994 |
105 | 182613 | 162554.1 | 20058.9 |
106 | 232138 | 234333.285714286 | -2195.28571428571 |
107 | 265318 | 253151.466666667 | 12166.5333333333 |
108 | 85574 | 96095.3157894737 | -10521.3157894737 |
109 | 310839 | 322592.294117647 | -11753.294117647 |
110 | 225060 | 201692.291666667 | 23367.7083333333 |
111 | 232317 | 234333.285714286 | -2016.28571428571 |
112 | 144966 | 127902.84375 | 17063.15625 |
113 | 43287 | 51240.4 | -7953.4 |
114 | 155754 | 149311.055555556 | 6442.94444444444 |
115 | 164709 | 162554.1 | 2154.89999999999 |
116 | 201940 | 201692.291666667 | 247.708333333343 |
117 | 235454 | 234333.285714286 | 1120.71428571429 |
118 | 220801 | 201692.291666667 | 19108.7083333333 |
119 | 99466 | 162554.1 | -63088.1 |
120 | 92661 | 96095.3157894737 | -3434.31578947368 |
121 | 133328 | 127902.84375 | 5425.15625 |
122 | 61361 | 96095.3157894737 | -34734.3157894737 |
123 | 125930 | 149311.055555556 | -23381.0555555556 |
124 | 100750 | 127902.84375 | -27152.84375 |
125 | 224549 | 162554.1 | 61994.9 |
126 | 82316 | 76272.5882352941 | 6043.41176470589 |
127 | 102010 | 95754.8 | 6255.2 |
128 | 101523 | 127902.84375 | -26379.84375 |
129 | 243511 | 201692.291666667 | 41818.7083333333 |
130 | 22938 | 18098.3333333333 | 4839.66666666667 |
131 | 41566 | 58728.7222222222 | -17162.7222222222 |
132 | 152474 | 162554.1 | -10080.1 |
133 | 61857 | 51240.4 | 10616.6 |
134 | 99923 | 96095.3157894737 | 3827.68421052632 |
135 | 132487 | 127902.84375 | 4584.15625 |
136 | 317394 | 322592.294117647 | -5198.29411764705 |
137 | 21054 | 18098.3333333333 | 2955.66666666667 |
138 | 209641 | 234333.285714286 | -24692.2857142857 |
139 | 22648 | 33818.5 | -11170.5 |
140 | 31414 | 33818.5 | -2404.5 |
141 | 46698 | 76272.5882352941 | -29574.5882352941 |
142 | 131698 | 127902.84375 | 3795.15625 |
143 | 91735 | 76272.5882352941 | 15462.4117647059 |
144 | 244749 | 253151.466666667 | -8402.46666666667 |
145 | 184510 | 149311.055555556 | 35198.9444444444 |
146 | 79863 | 96095.3157894737 | -16232.3157894737 |
147 | 128423 | 96095.3157894737 | 32327.6842105263 |
148 | 97839 | 95754.8 | 2084.2 |
149 | 38214 | 33818.5 | 4395.5 |
150 | 151101 | 127902.84375 | 23198.15625 |
151 | 272458 | 234333.285714286 | 38124.7142857143 |
152 | 172494 | 162554.1 | 9939.89999999999 |
153 | 108043 | 127902.84375 | -19859.84375 |
154 | 328107 | 322592.294117647 | 5514.70588235295 |
155 | 250579 | 234333.285714286 | 16245.7142857143 |
156 | 351067 | 322592.294117647 | 28474.705882353 |
157 | 158015 | 162554.1 | -4539.10000000001 |
158 | 98866 | 76272.5882352941 | 22593.4117647059 |
159 | 85439 | 95754.8 | -10315.8 |
160 | 229242 | 201692.291666667 | 27549.7083333333 |
161 | 351619 | 322592.294117647 | 29026.705882353 |
162 | 84207 | 76272.5882352941 | 7934.41176470589 |
163 | 120445 | 127902.84375 | -7457.84375 |
164 | 324598 | 322592.294117647 | 2005.70588235295 |
165 | 131069 | 149311.055555556 | -18242.0555555556 |
166 | 204271 | 162554.1 | 41716.9 |
167 | 165543 | 201692.291666667 | -36149.2916666667 |
168 | 141722 | 127902.84375 | 13819.15625 |
169 | 116048 | 95754.8 | 20293.2 |
170 | 250047 | 201692.291666667 | 48354.7083333333 |
171 | 299775 | 322592.294117647 | -22817.294117647 |
172 | 195838 | 201692.291666667 | -5854.29166666666 |
173 | 173260 | 96095.3157894737 | 77164.6842105263 |
174 | 254488 | 253151.466666667 | 1336.53333333333 |
175 | 104389 | 127902.84375 | -23513.84375 |
176 | 136084 | 149311.055555556 | -13227.0555555556 |
177 | 199476 | 234333.285714286 | -34857.2857142857 |
178 | 92499 | 76272.5882352941 | 16226.4117647059 |
179 | 224330 | 234333.285714286 | -10003.2857142857 |
180 | 135781 | 127902.84375 | 7878.15625 |
181 | 74408 | 96095.3157894737 | -21687.3157894737 |
182 | 81240 | 96095.3157894737 | -14855.3157894737 |
183 | 14688 | 18098.3333333333 | -3410.33333333333 |
184 | 181633 | 201692.291666667 | -20059.2916666667 |
185 | 271856 | 253151.466666667 | 18704.5333333333 |
186 | 7199 | 18098.3333333333 | -10899.3333333333 |
187 | 46660 | 33818.5 | 12841.5 |
188 | 17547 | 18098.3333333333 | -551.333333333332 |
189 | 133368 | 149311.055555556 | -15943.0555555556 |
190 | 95227 | 76272.5882352941 | 18954.4117647059 |
191 | 152601 | 127902.84375 | 24698.15625 |
192 | 98146 | 76272.5882352941 | 21873.4117647059 |
193 | 79619 | 96095.3157894737 | -16476.3157894737 |
194 | 59194 | 96095.3157894737 | -36901.3157894737 |
195 | 139942 | 162554.1 | -22612.1 |
196 | 118612 | 127902.84375 | -9290.84375 |
197 | 72880 | 76272.5882352941 | -3392.58823529411 |
198 | 65475 | 51240.4 | 14234.6 |
199 | 99643 | 149311.055555556 | -49668.0555555556 |
200 | 71965 | 76272.5882352941 | -4307.58823529411 |
201 | 77272 | 58728.7222222222 | 18543.2777777778 |
202 | 49289 | 51240.4 | -1951.4 |
203 | 135131 | 127902.84375 | 7228.15625 |
204 | 108446 | 127902.84375 | -19456.84375 |
205 | 89746 | 96095.3157894737 | -6349.31578947368 |
206 | 44296 | 51240.4 | -6944.4 |
207 | 77648 | 76272.5882352941 | 1375.41176470589 |
208 | 181528 | 149311.055555556 | 32216.9444444444 |
209 | 134019 | 127902.84375 | 6116.15625 |
210 | 124064 | 127902.84375 | -3838.84375 |
211 | 92630 | 127902.84375 | -35272.84375 |
212 | 121848 | 96095.3157894737 | 25752.6842105263 |
213 | 52915 | 51240.4 | 1674.6 |
214 | 81872 | 95754.8 | -13882.8 |
215 | 58981 | 76272.5882352941 | -17291.5882352941 |
216 | 53515 | 58728.7222222222 | -5213.72222222222 |
217 | 60812 | 76272.5882352941 | -15460.5882352941 |
218 | 56375 | 58728.7222222222 | -2353.72222222222 |
219 | 65490 | 58728.7222222222 | 6761.27777777778 |
220 | 80949 | 51240.4 | 29708.6 |
221 | 76302 | 95754.8 | -19452.8 |
222 | 104011 | 162554.1 | -58543.1 |
223 | 98104 | 149311.055555556 | -51207.0555555556 |
224 | 67989 | 95754.8 | -27765.8 |
225 | 30989 | 51240.4 | -20251.4 |
226 | 135458 | 149311.055555556 | -13853.0555555556 |
227 | 73504 | 76272.5882352941 | -2768.58823529411 |
228 | 63123 | 76272.5882352941 | -13149.5882352941 |
229 | 61254 | 76272.5882352941 | -15018.5882352941 |
230 | 74914 | 96095.3157894737 | -21181.3157894737 |
231 | 31774 | 51240.4 | -19466.4 |
232 | 81437 | 95754.8 | -14317.8 |
233 | 87186 | 127902.84375 | -40716.84375 |
234 | 50090 | 58728.7222222222 | -8638.72222222222 |
235 | 65745 | 76272.5882352941 | -10527.5882352941 |
236 | 56653 | 58728.7222222222 | -2075.72222222222 |
237 | 158399 | 127902.84375 | 30496.15625 |
238 | 46455 | 58728.7222222222 | -12273.7222222222 |
239 | 73624 | 76272.5882352941 | -2648.58823529411 |
240 | 38395 | 51240.4 | -12845.4 |
241 | 91899 | 95754.8 | -3855.8 |
242 | 139526 | 127902.84375 | 11623.15625 |
243 | 52164 | 58728.7222222222 | -6564.72222222222 |
244 | 51567 | 51240.4 | 326.599999999999 |
245 | 70551 | 76272.5882352941 | -5721.58823529411 |
246 | 84856 | 95754.8 | -10898.8 |
247 | 102538 | 127902.84375 | -25364.84375 |
248 | 86678 | 95754.8 | -9076.8 |
249 | 85709 | 76272.5882352941 | 9436.41176470589 |
250 | 34662 | 33818.5 | 843.5 |
251 | 150580 | 149311.055555556 | 1268.94444444444 |
252 | 99611 | 95754.8 | 3856.2 |
253 | 19349 | 18098.3333333333 | 1250.66666666667 |
254 | 99373 | 96095.3157894737 | 3277.68421052632 |
255 | 86230 | 76272.5882352941 | 9957.41176470589 |
256 | 30837 | 33818.5 | -2981.5 |
257 | 31706 | 33818.5 | -2112.5 |
258 | 89806 | 76272.5882352941 | 13533.4117647059 |
259 | 62088 | 51240.4 | 10847.6 |
260 | 40151 | 33818.5 | 6332.5 |
261 | 27634 | 33818.5 | -6184.5 |
262 | 76990 | 58728.7222222222 | 18261.2777777778 |
263 | 37460 | 33818.5 | 3641.5 |
264 | 54157 | 58728.7222222222 | -4571.72222222222 |
265 | 49862 | 51240.4 | -1378.4 |
266 | 84337 | 95754.8 | -11417.8 |
267 | 64175 | 76272.5882352941 | -12097.5882352941 |
268 | 59382 | 58728.7222222222 | 653.277777777781 |
269 | 119308 | 95754.8 | 23553.2 |
270 | 76702 | 76272.5882352941 | 429.411764705888 |
271 | 103425 | 96095.3157894737 | 7329.68421052632 |
272 | 70344 | 58728.7222222222 | 11615.2777777778 |
273 | 43410 | 76272.5882352941 | -32862.5882352941 |
274 | 104838 | 95754.8 | 9083.2 |
275 | 62215 | 58728.7222222222 | 3486.27777777778 |
276 | 69304 | 76272.5882352941 | -6968.58823529411 |
277 | 53117 | 51240.4 | 1876.6 |
278 | 19764 | 18098.3333333333 | 1665.66666666667 |
279 | 86680 | 95754.8 | -9074.8 |
280 | 84105 | 76272.5882352941 | 7832.41176470589 |
281 | 77945 | 76272.5882352941 | 1672.41176470589 |
282 | 89113 | 76272.5882352941 | 12840.4117647059 |
283 | 91005 | 76272.5882352941 | 14732.4117647059 |
284 | 40248 | 33818.5 | 6429.5 |
285 | 64187 | 58728.7222222222 | 5458.27777777778 |
286 | 50857 | 58728.7222222222 | -7871.72222222222 |
287 | 56613 | 58728.7222222222 | -2115.72222222222 |
288 | 62792 | 58728.7222222222 | 4063.27777777778 |
289 | 72535 | 76272.5882352941 | -3737.58823529411 |