| Structural Time Series Model | |||||
| t | Observed | Level | Slope | Seasonal | Stand. Residuals |
| 1 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | 30 | 34.0671084683152 | -0.315647737605578 | -0.315647736427373 | -0.291557373517879 |
| 3 | 47 | 39.2754264764508 | 0.113018011723658 | 0.113018011723659 | 0.578107229803196 |
| 4 | 35 | 37.5988246308343 | 0.00609094563953931 | 0.00609094563953918 | -0.194826689667111 |
| 5 | 30 | 34.6319916351207 | -0.138701841033797 | -0.138701841033797 | -0.332719357331009 |
| 6 | 43 | 37.8293313154751 | 0.000285651478039925 | 0.000285651478039441 | 0.380389932390595 |
| 7 | 82 | 54.7345619495909 | 0.626347559156922 | 0.626347559156927 | 1.95163537628377 |
| 8 | 40 | 49.2755392312059 | 0.420159263049224 | 0.420159263049225 | -0.708355608548318 |
| 9 | 47 | 48.5140116904391 | 0.382764616908484 | 0.382764616908483 | -0.138315762937479 |
| 10 | 19 | 37.4418372120646 | 0.0393364740124896 | 0.0393364740124888 | -1.34590443528714 |
| 11 | 52 | 42.9493181839653 | 0.196170716196749 | 0.196170716196749 | 0.644219298247049 |
| 12 | 136 | 78.0934247492387 | 1.16140934468356 | 1.16140934468356 | 4.12554663261248 |
| 13 | 80 | 82.4051286708224 | 0.80364042060951 | -8.84004463046803 | 0.530695410877487 |
| 14 | 42 | 65.0516154526565 | 0.0542732848642011 | 0.0542732963455695 | -1.77265794230896 |
| 15 | 54 | 60.6291425143458 | -0.0882433308543582 | -0.0882433308543578 | -0.486103540577851 |
| 16 | 66 | 62.6908737068595 | -0.0332820722718497 | -0.0332820722718471 | 0.244989299768335 |
| 17 | 81 | 69.6599818228498 | 0.117306979808654 | 0.117306979808654 | 0.817044166011647 |
| 18 | 63 | 67.1730867901086 | 0.0681274579056146 | 0.0681274579056192 | -0.307662324769699 |
| 19 | 137 | 93.4364576199204 | 0.517994326337198 | 0.517994326337212 | 3.1162063703195 |
| 20 | 72 | 85.5313682451499 | 0.38294713691471 | 0.382947136914715 | -1.00607626554196 |
| 21 | 107 | 93.6608381430816 | 0.501077594993005 | 0.501077594993009 | 0.9275531513865 |
| 22 | 58 | 80.4581273622528 | 0.299769564099028 | 0.299769564099028 | -1.64344369578804 |
| 23 | 36 | 63.9281949779611 | 0.0595839553565228 | 0.0595839553565231 | -2.02042797110162 |
| 24 | 52 | 59.4900687927589 | -0.00312603724857599 | -0.00312603724857725 | -0.540347391451251 |
| 25 | 79 | 65.1690061308232 | -0.296958211399415 | 3.26654031184217 | 0.816165034938507 |
| 26 | 77 | 69.9327176459754 | -0.163315952086191 | -0.163315940683743 | 0.539272848318194 |
| 27 | 54 | 63.6966200267842 | -0.286952606481319 | -0.286952606481318 | -0.689459782507756 |
| 28 | 84 | 71.3619353166006 | -0.156428681746955 | -0.156428681746952 | 0.929872417151113 |
| 29 | 48 | 62.5185472531176 | -0.277017599763187 | -0.277017599763188 | -1.03081304137439 |
| 30 | 96 | 74.9979214913174 | -0.120646338805327 | -0.12064633880532 | 1.52551249199436 |
| 31 | 83 | 77.9573560353658 | -0.0861220408536572 | -0.0861220408536415 | 0.369942031745338 |
| 32 | 66 | 73.4756554429748 | -0.132363329073147 | -0.132363329073143 | -0.529281927821184 |
| 33 | 61 | 68.7937784892558 | -0.178117807681694 | -0.178117807681693 | -0.548659557440484 |
| 34 | 53 | 62.8678232746454 | -0.234077740099448 | -0.234077740099449 | -0.693843430345268 |
| 35 | 30 | 50.5756045527 | -0.348675410251912 | -0.348675410251913 | -1.45649856799668 |
| 36 | 74 | 59.201717621918 | -0.264959389992083 | -0.264959389992084 | 1.08452209063264 |
| 37 | 69 | 61.189327537834 | -0.340371242450991 | 3.74408365558586 | 0.306763104031148 |
| 38 | 59 | 60.2507045208828 | -0.351987472511584 | -0.351987460882836 | -0.0662477604985646 |
| 39 | 42 | 53.1654628941224 | -0.45275420241595 | -0.452754202415951 | -0.780050188218372 |
| 40 | 65 | 57.5263499866064 | -0.394569173721769 | -0.394569173721767 | 0.569637433888833 |
| 41 | 70 | 62.1044147537634 | -0.34360563927063 | -0.343605639270632 | 0.594750079697018 |
| 42 | 100 | 76.1680237099654 | -0.212868233469965 | -0.212868233469959 | 1.73293648233913 |
| 43 | 63 | 71.2077588744987 | -0.252364397715427 | -0.252364397715412 | -0.57283475820073 |
| 44 | 105 | 83.716784145225 | -0.152464752571454 | -0.152464752571448 | 1.54266391815988 |
| 45 | 82 | 83.0393997196763 | -0.15640294683904 | -0.156402946839037 | -0.0635256851394398 |
| 46 | 81 | 82.2413689994438 | -0.161074340705346 | -0.161074340705344 | -0.0777035772676028 |
| 47 | 75 | 79.5098014793877 | -0.179386210190529 | -0.179386210190526 | -0.31143553132203 |
| 48 | 102 | 87.8171010789431 | -0.119908844213833 | -0.119908844213829 | 1.02853430230651 |
| 49 | 121 | 98.1776819174024 | -0.379309687955933 | 4.17240655080475 | 1.38956317594774 |
| 50 | 98 | 98.0252746964262 | -0.375826139151869 | -0.375826122537597 | 0.0256752901354777 |
| 51 | 76 | 89.5513253908031 | -0.471636486457162 | -0.471636486457159 | -0.949061240999819 |
| 52 | 77 | 84.7142597425776 | -0.513397333758966 | -0.513397333758954 | -0.520171727264672 |
| 53 | 63 | 76.4679979986347 | -0.576211521288825 | -0.576211521288825 | -0.929148216676307 |
| 54 | 37 | 61.6153897904082 | -0.679051357237957 | -0.679051357237949 | -1.72302404684088 |
| 55 | 35 | 51.5421476914966 | -0.741189246903016 | -0.74118924690301 | -1.13660581211524 |
| 56 | 23 | 40.7466736898813 | -0.803861374442624 | -0.803861374442622 | -1.21823087130073 |
| 57 | 40 | 40.2625459278629 | -0.801948470484995 | -0.801948470484997 | 0.0387744145950826 |
| 58 | 29 | 35.8754051750071 | -0.822793627867969 | -0.822793627867971 | -0.435015167393195 |
| 59 | 37 | 36.0806287833306 | -0.816936800784508 | -0.816936800784508 | 0.124779243972586 |
| 60 | 51 | 41.405660220916 | -0.782464314722718 | -0.782464314722717 | 0.745672599417945 |
| 61 | 20 | 30.8153767838903 | -0.589909228834445 | 6.48900150919837 | -1.279585966529 |
| 62 | 28 | 29.5928933412231 | -0.597939928812293 | -0.597939920563781 | -0.0725787026247534 |
| 63 | 13 | 23.1643183552676 | -0.654977398415994 | -0.654977398415999 | -0.688443432850374 |
| 64 | 22 | 22.5639431529498 | -0.654545207506706 | -0.654545207506708 | 0.00653550060775628 |
| 65 | 25 | 23.3065338911663 | -0.645145844215529 | -0.645145844215536 | 0.168379160131107 |
| 66 | 13 | 19.3067220412691 | -0.665180437087382 | -0.665180437087384 | -0.405776123833527 |
| 67 | 16 | 17.9072739523356 | -0.669211175911668 | -0.669211175911662 | -0.0889978050842206 |
| 68 | 13 | 15.9132663149514 | -0.676071447352509 | -0.676071447352512 | -0.16076479784892 |
| 69 | 16 | 15.7710514379218 | -0.673415469723601 | -0.673415469723608 | 0.0648302157182754 |
| 70 | 17 | 16.0530129291284 | -0.668791873285651 | -0.668791873285656 | 0.116070036320855 |
| 71 | 9 | 13.2647382267234 | -0.678852257083944 | -0.678852257083948 | -0.257571299026808 |
| 72 | 17 | 14.474298716351 | -0.670013552461919 | -0.670013552461924 | 0.229532515874097 |
| 73 | 25 | 15.108449006495 | -0.691230650992304 | 7.60353715383314 | 0.168326295847529 |
| 74 | 14 | 14.5224713509079 | -0.690091593231922 | -0.690091586194264 | 0.0121933502692135 |
| 75 | 8 | 11.8921752132776 | -0.70626982489225 | -0.706269824892256 | -0.230287014259581 |
| 76 | 7 | 9.88411968581251 | -0.715057227382575 | -0.715057227382578 | -0.156306743880956 |
| 77 | 10 | 9.74499100932264 | -0.711750640282349 | -0.711750640282357 | 0.0695565560216735 |
| 78 | 7 | 8.5420505169198 | -0.714255871124857 | -0.714255871124858 | -0.0595069935749557 |
| 79 | 10 | 8.89933968796462 | -0.709228708394633 | -0.709228708394627 | 0.13004200098421 |
| 80 | 3 | 6.52786353797613 | -0.716590430051621 | -0.716590430051623 | -0.201933369810557 |
