Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[63])
519946-------
529701-------
539049-------
5410190-------
559706-------
569765-------
579893-------
589994-------
5910433-------
6010073-------
6110112-------
629266-------
639820-------
641009710020.95299458.423810635.19980.40410.73930.84640.7393
6591159122.79978626.07049663.70370.48872e-040.60540.0058
661041110232.5829638.835610882.92880.29540.99960.55110.8931
6796789816.61519234.555110455.49220.33530.03410.63280.4959
68104089916.84899318.951510574.18890.07150.76180.67460.6136
69101539934.71679319.130310613.37530.26420.08580.54790.6298
701036810354.7269689.620811090.73780.48590.70440.83160.9228
711058110461.29949772.482111225.5960.37940.59450.52890.95
721059710097.23729432.480210834.82630.09210.09930.52570.7693
731068010192.70999507.458810954.80610.10510.14920.58220.8311
7497389399.39578781.54410084.82360.16651e-040.64860.1145
7595569888.50819212.022510642.34140.19360.65220.57070.5707


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
640.03130.007605783.156100
650.0303-9e-040.004260.83462921.995454.0555
660.03240.01740.008631832.97112558.9872112.0669
670.0332-0.01410.0119214.134614222.7741119.2593
680.03380.04950.0179241229.405859624.1004244.1805
690.03490.0220.018647647.5857628.0137240.0584
700.03630.00130.0161176.199249420.6116222.3075
710.03730.01140.015514328.234845034.0645212.2123
720.03730.04950.0193249762.830667781.7052260.3492
730.03810.04780.0222237451.595584748.6942291.1163
740.03720.0360.0234114652.878887467.2564295.7486
750.0389-0.03360.0243110561.628689391.7875298.9846