| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 15579 | NA | NA | 1.01817252762577 | NA |
| 2 | 16348 | NA | NA | 1.04342138187056 | NA |
| 3 | 15928 | NA | NA | 1.02033226444408 | NA |
| 4 | 16171 | NA | NA | 0.984073887013832 | NA |
| 5 | 15937 | NA | NA | 1.00425740007019 | NA |
| 6 | 15713 | NA | NA | 1.0007460869195 | NA |
| 7 | 15594 | 16030.2785879962 | 16480.9583333333 | 0.972654518249366 | 0.972784091954403 |
| 8 | 15683 | 16303.9195339427 | 16798.25 | 0.97057250213223 | 0.961915934837016 |
| 9 | 16438 | 16971.8637218297 | 17130.75 | 0.990725083363525 | 0.968544189926352 |
| 10 | 17032 | 17151.4421400178 | 17405.4583333333 | 0.985405946315757 | 0.993036029329619 |
| 11 | 17696 | 17697.2417548214 | 17610.3333333333 | 1.0049350810029 | 0.999929833426099 |
| 12 | 17745 | 17910.092575839 | 17826.25 | 1.0047033209923 | 0.990782148381426 |
| 13 | 19394 | 18415.8562025886 | 18087.1666666667 | 1.01817252762577 | 1.05311421780509 |
| 14 | 20148 | 19132.5222651058 | 18336.3333333333 | 1.04342138187056 | 1.05307599911937 |
| 15 | 20108 | 18897.956494368 | 18521.375 | 1.02033226444408 | 1.06403038899961 |
| 16 | 18584 | 18417.3528262501 | 18715.4166666667 | 0.984073887013832 | 1.00904837819648 |
| 17 | 18441 | 18967.1166067172 | 18886.7083333333 | 1.00425740007019 | 0.9722616453715 |
| 18 | 18391 | 19042.7386127012 | 19028.5416666667 | 1.0007460869195 | 0.965774953594829 |
| 19 | 19178 | 18643.5986421743 | 19167.75 | 0.972654518249366 | 1.02866406685117 |
| 20 | 18079 | 18801.162141408 | 19371.2083333333 | 0.97057250213223 | 0.961589494522919 |
| 21 | 18483 | 19450.6166001934 | 19632.7083333333 | 0.990725083363525 | 0.950252651621141 |
| 22 | 19644 | 19594.9614768132 | 19885.1666666667 | 0.985405946315757 | 1.00250260880813 |
| 23 | 19195 | 20264.5577807186 | 20165.0416666667 | 1.0049350810029 | 0.947220275305676 |
| 24 | 19650 | 20547.6062439973 | 20451.4166666667 | 1.0047033209923 | 0.956315775505017 |
| 25 | 20830 | 21060.2623761093 | 20684.375 | 1.01817252762577 | 0.989066500122502 |
| 26 | 23595 | 21825.6798034956 | 20917.4166666667 | 1.04342138187056 | 1.08106598339361 |
| 27 | 22937 | 21638.483928976 | 21207.2916666667 | 1.02033226444408 | 1.0600095679201 |
| 28 | 21814 | 21140.3672777746 | 21482.5 | 0.984073887013832 | 1.0318647596503 |
| 29 | 21928 | 21915.44895709 | 21822.5416666667 | 1.00425740007019 | 1.00057270297928 |
| 30 | 21777 | 22274.6481004078 | 22258.0416666667 | 1.0007460869195 | 0.977658542655107 |
| 31 | 21383 | 22042.5398561967 | 22662.25 | 0.972654518249366 | 0.97007877220595 |
| 32 | 21467 | 22258.9480018169 | 22933.8333333333 | 0.97057250213223 | 0.964421139680446 |
| 33 | 22052 | 22953.9856158141 | 23168.875 | 0.990725083363525 | 0.960704618757247 |
| 34 | 22680 | 23208.814609183 | 23552.5416666667 | 0.985405946315757 | 0.977214923808572 |
| 35 | 24320 | 24275.0024552309 | 24155.7916666667 | 1.0049350810029 | 1.00185365768148 |
| 36 | 24977 | 25082.6277217647 | 24965.2083333333 | 1.0047033209923 | 0.995788809572252 |
| 37 | 25204 | 26243.4393234095 | 25775.0416666667 | 1.01817252762577 | 0.960392412343517 |
| 38 | 25739 | 27657.0575755337 | 26506.125 | 1.04342138187056 | 0.930648530838996 |
| 39 | 26434 | 27810.7288796644 | 27256.5416666667 | 1.02033226444408 | 0.950496483367213 |
| 40 | 27525 | 27545.663205269 | 27991.4583333333 | 0.984073887013832 | 0.999249856316217 |
| 41 | 30695 | 28792.8128530623 | 28670.75 | 1.00425740007019 | 1.06606465150331 |
| 42 | 32436 | 29392.412945869 | 29370.5 | 1.0007460869195 | 1.10355009164223 |
| 43 | 30160 | 29235.8063459099 | 30057.75 | 0.972654518249366 | 1.03161170392071 |
| 44 | 30236 | 29743.800935656 | 30645.625 | 0.97057250213223 | 1.0165479544934 |
| 45 | 31293 | 30888.4964074135 | 31177.6666666667 | 0.990725083363525 | 1.01309560644361 |
| 46 | 31077 | 31197.2953230593 | 31659.3333333333 | 0.985405946315757 | 0.996144046404869 |
| 47 | 32226 | 32173.4153412583 | 32015.4166666667 | 1.0049350810029 | 1.00163441332491 |
| 48 | 33865 | 32373.8015848442 | 32222.25 | 1.0047033209923 | 1.04606188776588 |
| 49 | 32810 | 33096.8434545692 | 32506.125 | 1.01817252762577 | 0.991333208105995 |
| 50 | 32242 | 34542.377895043 | 33104.9166666667 | 1.04342138187056 | 0.933404182478905 |
| 51 | 32700 | 34609.9254930093 | 33920.25 | 1.02033226444408 | 0.94481567163746 |
| 52 | 32819 | 34133.2178172541 | 34685.625 | 0.984073887013832 | 0.9614973945823 |
| 53 | 33947 | 35547.1970615843 | 35396.5 | 1.00425740007019 | 0.954983875133332 |
| 54 | 34148 | 36062.9693837382 | 36036.0833333333 | 1.0007460869195 | 0.946899287095264 |
| 55 | 35261 | 35645.4375120868 | 36647.5833333333 | 0.972654518249366 | 0.989214958802049 |
| 56 | 39506 | 36314.698096654 | 37415.75 | 0.97057250213223 | 1.08787907020051 |
| 57 | 41591 | 37818.3706842706 | 38172.4166666667 | 0.990725083363525 | 1.09975652698593 |
| 58 | 39148 | 38250.7900282064 | 38817.2916666667 | 0.985405946315757 | 1.0234559853831 |
| 59 | 41216 | 39565.5084356404 | 39371.2083333333 | 1.0049350810029 | 1.04171541399612 |
| 60 | 40225 | 40088.4997603603 | 39900.8333333333 | 1.0047033209923 | 1.00340497250971 |
| 61 | 41126 | 41189.9574858239 | 40454.7916666667 | 1.01817252762577 | 0.998447255357184 |
| 62 | 42362 | 42610.8945857026 | 40837.6666666667 | 1.04342138187056 | 0.9941588979034 |
| 63 | 40740 | 41870.4398314159 | 41036.0833333333 | 1.02033226444408 | 0.973001481809901 |
| 64 | 40256 | 40634.173927182 | 41291.7916666667 | 0.984073887013832 | 0.99069320498899 |
| 65 | 39804 | NA | NA | 1.00425740007019 | NA |
| 66 | 41002 | NA | NA | 1.0007460869195 | NA |
| 67 | 41702 | NA | NA | 0.972654518249366 | NA |
| 68 | 42254 | NA | NA | 0.97057250213223 | NA |
| 69 | 43605 | NA | NA | 0.990725083363525 | NA |
| 70 | 43271 | NA | NA | 0.985405946315757 | NA |
