Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing
ParameterValue
alpha0.104061953366341
beta0
gamma0.18072841430039


Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tObservedFittedResiduals
1339974405199021.44239531-1201581.44239531
1423229112710388.045695-387477.045695004
1520194572188600.03734388-169143.037343879
1630477483370649.73003884-322901.730038843
1757287676706464.15207789-977697.152077889
1826051732696659.60612581-91486.6061258125
1956467436689257.50568599-1042514.50568599
20131215442543939.4428651310577604.5571349
21345340910652204.8957212-7198795.89572123
2218783333170839.09055161-1292506.09055161
23424736215619609.4783212-11372247.4783212
24230225523736211.2482767919286340.7517232
2576462036959067.7831789687135.216821096
2690166023830250.374103055186351.62589695
2736065683643446.09030305-36878.0903030466
2831735105668291.65310226-2494781.65310226
291756877210843731.53191376725040.46808631
30108050454836166.248736315968878.75126369
313105626913420816.446023917635452.5539761
32156233858984106.562870666639278.43712934
33666344317062807.7358462-10399364.7358462
34354357455431412.046758130004332.9532419
35282325041610461.9713074-38787211.9713074
36519708917379597.4881269-12182508.4881269
37412063212903743.9848737-8783111.98487373
3888327677696654.1358851136112.864115
3936953745472322.95551125-1776948.95551125
4083858057653175.18658847732629.813411528
41377790418387562.0404157-14609658.0404157
4251995327617909.6864939-2418377.6864939
43529727518288955.0566455-12991680.0566455
44148473829330478.816376215516903.18362379
45590015814056479.1963427-8156321.19634266
4644167187863054.93069217-3446336.93069217
47392642919321981.1697738-15395552.1697738
4848768848603131.63436503-3726247.63436503
4927952976582319.38208744-3787022.38208744
5033855274593973.52452517-1208446.52452517
5138779412877246.47150291000694.5284971
5235567294614727.67709759-1057998.67709759
5349828369033260.3246842-4050424.3246842
5429763254263986.90925505-1287661.90925505
5522950269439521.97661811-7144495.97661811
5622187525931743.86293089-3712991.86293089
5741460626453200.46241083-2307138.46241083
5833020913777725.88990451-475634.889904513
5938645058849440.90154334-4984935.90154334
6054547944329067.306816711125726.69318329
6117498363440656.1334871-1690820.1334871
6266840482554053.595282574129994.40471743
6328099182109020.29328518700897.706714822
6440926643067573.035048681025090.96495132
6550704706089534.44100143-1019064.44100143
6698144773033718.269665376780758.73033463
6766653187799185.43693058-1133867.43693058
6839125545389524.85281981-1476970.85281981
6961881296427997.68435002-239868.684350016
7036279914061946.99227661-433955.992276608
7133087678804309.26246915-5495542.26246915
7238203324938107.45422925-1117775.45422925
7349329793285888.836904531647090.16309547
7455679173622410.73649091945506.2635091
7550208142324954.93687032695859.0631297
7638032733670417.33876169132855.661238305
7739999846540299.77178926-2540315.77178926
7848831044237654.33147554645449.668524465
79137317476764497.918049436967249.08195057
80475318245137743.9480680342394080.051932
81841557012286956.0708454-3871386.07084543
82221781587498705.5999151714679452.4000848
836121165418098981.403604843112672.5963952
841822374814766259.51115593457488.48884408
851767808511660059.04378896018025.95621108
864929958013070305.059889436229274.9401106
872589994811161685.976693214738262.0233068
883412175415559532.914640418562221.0853596
89985923129144934.0912639-19285703.0912639
902974089220303507.35758049437384.64241957
912108521237985414.1463971-16900202.1463971
924300386637481122.01721355522743.98278654
935954924727089943.871551832459303.1284482
941802646525754946.8666541-7728481.86665411
95468059752009426.0530406-47328829.0530406
96556472824429173.3006678-18864445.3006678
971179234718050217.4108313-6257870.41083129
981037162423147644.9323892-12776020.9323892
99372844612739139.5645956-9010693.56459563
100573297814255218.1263054-8522240.12630545
101406763816796864.6461203-12729226.6461203
102239550813997051.3898511-11601543.3898511
103501880119643007.1937647-14624206.1937647
1042206888820704733.43465221364154.56534784
105767858016956682.570343-9278102.57034301
1061551009510915188.45999644594906.54000359
107647123920872346.0765858-14401107.0765858
1081434920410341323.35307894007880.64692106
109351515749396438.0622447825755135.9377552
110821048815423815.4679112-7213327.46791121
11150226648284191.06716441-3261527.06716441
112139968719808449.398073484188421.60192652
1131282243112432174.4055896390256.594410408
1141401155211101871.14350032909680.85649966
1152026098017852294.84397422408685.15602583
1162371897624062362.042582-343386.042581979
1174583304917533451.352690528299597.6473095
1183068842016463082.473452214225337.5265478
1191657606227192632.7423135-10616570.7423135
1201484440516821226.4409191-1976821.44091908
1211672828618447002.480406-1718716.48040597
1224347768015970398.622081127507281.3779189
1235749742710799271.376113446698155.6238866
1242423372622139142.18880522094583.81119477
1252492120825640814.8604709-719606.860470891
126951672523636033.4525482-14119308.4525482
1272797723934116607.0670602-6139368.06706015
1282163204643552524.6431124-21920478.6431124
1292295680937017415.5573498-14060606.5573498
130970432426387182.0713703-16682858.0713703
1311987114930947419.9538056-11076270.9538056
132555384220185162.4747352-14631320.4747352
133566785820815617.0750501-15147759.0750501
134434818821124624.9469788-16776436.9469788
1351002504213317162.8675378-3292120.86753783
1361063979612534119.4544354-1894323.45443544
137863918413845977.0253207-5206793.02532068
1381076437811057292.6583727-292914.658372713
1391209773318322840.2904579-6225107.29045792
140398841421611817.348394-17623403.348394
141460710218119501.8554884-13512399.8554884
142712689511766313.0878914-4639418.08789142
143600962514906853.0621802-8897228.06218024
144215332378770142.589609212763094.4103908
145598677111231794.1425524-5245023.14255239
146545531011537028.6785456-6081718.67854559
14718228748338305.48134393-6515431.48134393
14833740627505005.46161815-4130943.46161815
14929207487603233.19547829-4682485.19547829
15022959426265253.8864319-3969311.8864319
15168098299171693.27004-2361864.27004
15233182819862256.10154987-6543975.10154987
153137846458504310.70751975280334.2924803
15473665776821597.48995481544979.510045192
15516286378703632.72352854-7074995.72352854
15642589766687034.5677593-2428058.5677593
15771597795440702.632063251719076.36793675
15880984015968423.025110692129977.97488931
15968942404469320.474324052424919.52567595
16037712464843868.60258647-1072622.60258647
16132497265004590.59857285-1754864.59857285
16231473804218951.68640799-1071571.68640799
16340630376905267.45801667-2842230.45801667
16496219166731158.582630222890757.41736978
16558901588046259.38461345-2156101.38461345
16621429015440305.20417669-3297404.20417669
16731450075433675.16961791-2288668.16961791
16815621684766146.50506681-3203978.50506681
16933031034173268.93864484-870165.938644844
17058869104340996.329132161545913.67086784
17134542703319241.86474536135028.135254644
17269953483025011.309133683970336.69086632
17364878693540244.272487982947624.72751202
174120919763418929.57541628673046.4245838
17539346257064417.95979354-3129792.95979354
17639997497875527.83055396-3875778.83055396
17736135267658258.81616429-4044732.81616429
17842717064715176.4804209-443470.4804209
17942533905164582.43710537-911192.43710537
18055515914424799.04864461126791.9513554
18146630414685514.23340201-22473.2334020128
18221041045457547.34182711-3353443.34182711
18353853993595378.333924571790020.66607543
18462058774054065.912427172151811.08757283
18575295004174128.840632253355371.15936775
186172227054741141.8396184712481563.1603815
18762309136895275.85189847-664362.851898473
18865082757909345.99239934-1401070.99239934
18945188847911105.92288389-3392221.92288389
19042349915339298.18219165-1104307.18219165
19156253885706961.20492203-81573.2049220316
19258101395337819.83660429472319.163395714
19369421875346784.551410781595402.44858922
19437111885757270.99735026-2046082.99735026
19542612814712486.93117531-451205.931175309
19619899455032611.32119024-3042666.32119024
19750333424767200.07293887266141.927061127
19872395655984106.444965881255458.55503412
199110587955132218.500870675926576.49912933
20073847726559199.74257719825572.257422806
20138847716459531.62890784-2574760.62890784
20232392014548852.23441886-1309651.23441886
20323164034971501.82707089-2655098.82707089
20440349474460278.4207559-425331.420755898
20532452714512175.2363791-1266904.2363791
20623872514094319.33680553-1707068.33680553
20721748863471799.36775386-1296913.36775386
20834360803260056.5649866176023.435013395
20937389563720067.9726915118888.0273084906
21018847304738470.05916108-2853740.05916108
21115091444187431.39915948-2678287.39915948
212427283663866379.656759738861986.3432403
21334463177041892.40435815-3595575.40435815
21446006835008039.9491623-407356.949162297
21529536155349383.54845669-2395768.54845669
21635700605261750.16968418-1691690.16968418
21721302085041747.69130101-2911539.69130101
21824429434326503.87561303-1883560.87561303
21948920203698202.164680141193817.83531986
22032221924031894.78338247-809702.783382474
22131216174456466.29378066-1334849.29378066
22236655424932073.9813557-1266531.9813557
22355194324504779.615251961014652.38474804
22441134689255223.34598284-5141755.34598284
22517146143921544.06810672-2206930.06810672
22636519852977433.67837329674551.321626706
22724195483054246.92882461-634698.928824611
22823788543136318.29566259-757464.295662592
22923039492865214.80758219-561265.807582187
23025555342618032.6705716-62498.6705716033
23117130052635519.83810532-922514.838105316
23217059602445942.62986463-739982.62986463
23361150462605497.767665043509548.23233496
23439510443400917.59774114550126.402258856
23537855683493516.61392871292051.386071287
23646705306145785.03997748-1475255.03997748
23722651002677125.25015166-412025.250151659
23811056432425146.65693936-1319503.65693936
23928141522123280.15376044690871.846239564
24037286732277345.321716751451327.67828325
24120389492284980.50165681-246031.50165681
24224029192160901.00218834242017.997811665
24323488142076535.59778297272278.402217027
24427978222039166.08722571758655.912774289
2459025052919054.16823341-2016549.16823341
24613313192654157.11993164-1322838.11993164
24742042382490921.890496751713316.10950325
24822124854380046.26414514-2167561.26414514
24967973821868696.839325694928685.16067431
25045323242035903.221387742496420.77861226
25117788082475523.06609659-696715.066096593
25218907202604122.25571988-713402.255719877
25354637362129613.326988733334122.67301127
254113689312460390.848330218908540.15166979
25520401643253750.96018361-1213586.96018361
25642763993163576.206837291112822.79316271
25737144453785245.94121895-70800.9412189461
25820681683887637.52899509-1819469.52899509
25910038424464893.24830303-3461051.24830303
26028585355629306.86589574-2770771.86589574
26123554843533437.70158062-1177953.70158062
26227192622572665.05011281146596.949887193
26318977412259321.30386962-361580.303869618
26439451852409169.849939271536015.15006073
26537999162763987.890030511035928.10996949
26610176543336326.06103063-2318672.06103063
26730522411936918.71473571115322.2852643
26839329702321170.238759711611799.76124029
26935981512697797.06317001900353.936829994
27022960052636538.13630799-340533.136307994
27122020182930194.83578849-728176.835788491
27224617774133123.43479902-1671346.43479902
27324520422686201.65791975-234159.657919746
27421851422136104.7945864749037.2054135315
275119685021794547.2829611310173954.7170389
276203959723505315.061620516890656.9383795
277217569005521583.8163385316235316.1836615
278300243007044577.8103171622979722.1896828
279108113447439385.327599743371958.67240026
28018192029096163.42021406-7276961.42021406
28112768858738835.28775911-7461950.28775911
28229467017094342.90024964-4147641.90024964
28335874597456889.78183161-3869430.78183161
284283269110074390.3903891-7241699.39038908
28566748056796851.2011331-122046.201133104
28638683625635466.63170524-1767104.63170524
28743029097301119.90948443-2998210.90948443
288232652298324551.8992647814940677.1007352
289223480029328101.2205203313019900.7794797
2901188395310671878.34045071212074.65954925
29166349796523613.99990694111365.000093057
29229354936112019.10369585-3176526.10369585
29334256695974542.67611469-2548873.67611469
29411716115384419.71717822-4212808.71717822
29568758795598955.871515911276923.12848409
296194519087844678.8090761811607229.1909238
297138859337536862.464906316349070.53509369
29876433176482659.667062641160657.33293736
299107979668705694.019907382092271.98009262
300729744514262627.6509036-6965182.65090365
301873973612305288.0091652-3565552.00916523
3021245553710131698.18658722323838.81341277
303242911816169129.8227969218122051.1772031
30442151506855175.8168919-2640025.8168919
305286521766937299.1506012221714876.8493988
30668511728092999.88548814-1241827.88548814
307374687110887935.624968-7141064.62496801
308732786116253462.0009138-8925601.00091382
3091682971011921468.70790334908241.29209667
310137785949004186.534879234774407.46512077
311646371712671805.8257685-6208088.8257685
312895686717007714.704153-8050847.704153
3132120491515289006.10039285915908.89960721
3141611585514741898.31162891373956.68837108
315253611311683188.3451196-9147075.34511956
316166457176258338.3685211210387378.6314789
3171700373011451839.33136085551890.66863915
318159690067462181.570589328506824.42941068
3193102042710377706.318834620642720.6811654
3202379889720549040.53085173249856.46914833
3212077032119129321.69941771640999.30058232
3224441040214235564.317703530174837.6822965
3232703749119687365.3016977350125.69830295
3242962777129103781.4343764523989.565623641
3251818979231898296.1852621-13708504.1852621
326465461027116395.923048-22461785.923048
3271230720116559751.0824475-4252550.08244747
3281530057813443855.29082421856722.70917581
3291062386418643496.5738873-8019632.57388732
330688017811994457.5706514-5114279.57065139
3312994735715508102.406962614439254.5930374
3321861139922589953.6602886-3978554.66028857
3334243260420086199.765544422346404.2344556
3342020827820902715.867667-694437.867667031
3351400439219488984.3358007-5484592.33580067
3362573776525501967.1774122235797.822587766
3371673573825803043.1715099-9067305.17150988
3382245082520348023.75580492102801.2441951
339688084015419361.742057-8538521.74205698
340851037912937417.6168006-4427038.61680055
341818248115465037.2639548-7282556.26395477
342109486839907398.369700071041284.63029993
343480527716609275.6022388-11803998.6022388
344258922917417502.7011929-14828273.7011929
345565840717174032.9535127-11515625.9535127
3461286261112729506.4691103133104.530889733
347566618811397668.9810664-5731480.98106636
348687555615260164.9276153-8384608.92761531
349709876613622539.8220779-6523773.82207789
3503608330911408330.047400924674978.9525991
351102003309307980.46313147892349.536868528
35277849768703613.77348107-918637.773481065


Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing
tForecast95% Lower Bound95% Upper Bound
35310395306.43039115124527.0255686915666085.8352136
3547730191.533115172238216.2997967113222166.7664336
35511023687.84164614586369.6886232217461005.994669
35612084884.5073835043806.336165219125962.6786008
35713597343.96999345775891.4026849421418796.5373019
35812283981.08314224609466.0162168419958496.1500675
35910023435.51126282837821.7960241217209049.2265015
36014031868.3558484890214.5891607323173522.1225353
36113479465.74120594319303.9735732122639627.5088386
36216649040.61780025644454.8507902627653626.3848101
3638751362.027347711328755.5039712516173968.5507242
3647837458.921060392772531.5398715312902386.3022493