Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9293 |
R-squared | 0.8635 |
RMSE | 17017.5508 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 178421 | 165099.944444444 | 13321.0555555556 |
2 | 139871 | 135773.3125 | 4097.6875 |
3 | 118159 | 112972.294117647 | 5186.70588235294 |
4 | 109763 | 112972.294117647 | -3209.29411764706 |
5 | 97415 | 101190.2 | -3775.2 |
6 | 119190 | 112972.294117647 | 6217.70588235294 |
7 | 97903 | 101190.2 | -3287.2 |
8 | 96953 | 101190.2 | -4237.2 |
9 | 87888 | 101190.2 | -13302.2 |
10 | 84637 | 83749.9230769231 | 887.076923076922 |
11 | 90549 | 83749.9230769231 | 6799.07692307692 |
12 | 95680 | 101190.2 | -5510.2 |
13 | 99371 | 112972.294117647 | -13601.2941176471 |
14 | 79984 | 83749.9230769231 | -3765.92307692308 |
15 | 86752 | 83749.9230769231 | 3002.07692307692 |
16 | 85733 | 83749.9230769231 | 1983.07692307692 |
17 | 84906 | 88560.5 | -3654.5 |
18 | 78356 | 88560.5 | -10204.5 |
19 | 108895 | 147076.444444444 | -38181.4444444444 |
20 | 101768 | 99678.8571428571 | 2089.14285714286 |
21 | 73285 | 73200.75 | 84.25 |
22 | 65724 | 73200.75 | -7476.75 |
23 | 67457 | 73200.75 | -5743.75 |
24 | 67203 | 73200.75 | -5997.75 |
25 | 69273 | 73200.75 | -3927.75 |
26 | 80807 | 83749.9230769231 | -2942.92307692308 |
27 | 75129 | 73200.75 | 1928.25 |
28 | 74991 | 73200.75 | 1790.25 |
29 | 68157 | 73200.75 | -5043.75 |
30 | 73858 | 73200.75 | 657.25 |
31 | 71349 | 73200.75 | -1851.75 |
32 | 85634 | 83749.9230769231 | 1884.07692307692 |
33 | 91624 | 83749.9230769231 | 7874.07692307692 |
34 | 116014 | 112972.294117647 | 3041.70588235294 |
35 | 120033 | 135773.3125 | -15740.3125 |
36 | 108651 | 101190.2 | 7460.8 |
37 | 105378 | 112972.294117647 | -7594.29411764706 |
38 | 138939 | 165099.944444444 | -26160.9444444444 |
39 | 132974 | 135773.3125 | -2799.3125 |
40 | 135277 | 135773.3125 | -496.3125 |
41 | 152741 | 135773.3125 | 16967.6875 |
42 | 158417 | 165099.944444444 | -6682.94444444444 |
43 | 157460 | 165099.944444444 | -7639.94444444444 |
44 | 193997 | 165099.944444444 | 28897.0555555556 |
45 | 154089 | 135773.3125 | 18315.6875 |
46 | 147570 | 135773.3125 | 11796.6875 |
47 | 162924 | 165099.944444444 | -2175.94444444444 |
48 | 153629 | 165099.944444444 | -11470.9444444444 |
49 | 155907 | 165099.944444444 | -9192.94444444444 |
50 | 197675 | 220598 | -22923 |
51 | 250708 | 220598 | 30110 |
52 | 266652 | 220598 | 46054 |
53 | 209842 | 220598 | -10756 |
54 | 165826 | 135773.3125 | 30052.6875 |
55 | 137152 | 135773.3125 | 1378.6875 |
56 | 150581 | 165099.944444444 | -14518.9444444444 |
57 | 145973 | 165099.944444444 | -19126.9444444444 |
58 | 126532 | 112972.294117647 | 13559.7058823529 |
59 | 115437 | 101190.2 | 14246.8 |
60 | 119526 | 112972.294117647 | 6553.70588235294 |
61 | 110856 | 101190.2 | 9665.8 |
62 | 97243 | 101190.2 | -3947.2 |
63 | 103876 | 101190.2 | 2685.8 |
64 | 116370 | 135773.3125 | -19403.3125 |
65 | 109616 | 112972.294117647 | -3356.29411764706 |
66 | 98365 | 88560.5 | 9804.5 |
67 | 90440 | 88560.5 | 1879.5 |
68 | 88899 | 88560.5 | 338.5 |
69 | 92358 | 99678.8571428571 | -7320.85714285714 |
70 | 88394 | 88560.5 | -166.5 |
71 | 98219 | 99678.8571428571 | -1459.85714285714 |
72 | 113546 | 147076.444444444 | -33530.4444444444 |
73 | 107168 | 99678.8571428571 | 7489.14285714286 |
74 | 77540 | 73200.75 | 4339.25 |
75 | 74944 | 73200.75 | 1743.25 |
76 | 75641 | 73200.75 | 2440.25 |
77 | 75910 | 73200.75 | 2709.25 |
78 | 87384 | 88560.5 | -1176.5 |
79 | 84615 | 88560.5 | -3945.5 |
80 | 80420 | 83749.9230769231 | -3329.92307692308 |
81 | 80784 | 83749.9230769231 | -2965.92307692308 |
82 | 79933 | 83749.9230769231 | -3816.92307692308 |
83 | 82118 | 88560.5 | -6442.5 |
84 | 91420 | 88560.5 | 2859.5 |
85 | 112426 | 135773.3125 | -23347.3125 |
86 | 114528 | 112972.294117647 | 1555.70588235294 |
87 | 131025 | 135773.3125 | -4748.3125 |
88 | 116460 | 112972.294117647 | 3487.70588235294 |
89 | 111258 | 112972.294117647 | -1714.29411764706 |
90 | 155318 | 165099.944444444 | -9781.94444444444 |
91 | 155078 | 165099.944444444 | -10021.9444444444 |
92 | 134794 | 147076.444444444 | -12282.4444444444 |
93 | 139985 | 165099.944444444 | -25114.9444444444 |
94 | 198778 | 220598 | -21820 |
95 | 172436 | 165099.944444444 | 7336.05555555556 |
96 | 169585 | 165099.944444444 | 4485.05555555556 |
97 | 203702 | 220598 | -16896 |
98 | 282392 | 220598 | 61794 |
99 | 220658 | 220598 | 60 |
100 | 194472 | 147076.444444444 | 47395.5555555556 |
101 | 269246 | 220598 | 48648 |
102 | 215340 | 165099.944444444 | 50240.0555555556 |
103 | 218319 | 220598 | -2279 |
104 | 195724 | 165099.944444444 | 30624.0555555556 |
105 | 174614 | 147076.444444444 | 27537.5555555556 |
106 | 172085 | 165099.944444444 | 6985.05555555556 |
107 | 152347 | 147076.444444444 | 5270.55555555556 |
108 | 189615 | 220598 | -30983 |
109 | 173804 | 147076.444444444 | 26727.5555555556 |
110 | 145683 | 135773.3125 | 9909.6875 |
111 | 133550 | 135773.3125 | -2223.3125 |
112 | 121156 | 112972.294117647 | 8183.70588235294 |
113 | 112040 | 112972.294117647 | -932.294117647063 |
114 | 120767 | 135773.3125 | -15006.3125 |
115 | 127019 | 135773.3125 | -8754.3125 |
116 | 136295 | 147076.444444444 | -10781.4444444444 |
117 | 113425 | 112972.294117647 | 452.705882352937 |
118 | 107815 | 112972.294117647 | -5157.29411764706 |
119 | 100298 | 112972.294117647 | -12674.2941176471 |
120 | 97048 | 88560.5 | 8487.5 |
121 | 98750 | 99678.8571428571 | -928.857142857145 |
122 | 98235 | 99678.8571428571 | -1443.85714285714 |
123 | 101254 | 99678.8571428571 | 1575.14285714286 |
124 | 139589 | 220598 | -81009 |
125 | 134921 | 147076.444444444 | -12155.4444444444 |
126 | 80355 | 73200.75 | 7154.25 |
127 | 80396 | 73200.75 | 7195.25 |
128 | 82183 | 83749.9230769231 | -1566.92307692308 |
129 | 79709 | 83749.9230769231 | -4040.92307692308 |
130 | 90781 | 88560.5 | 2220.5 |