Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.787 |
R-squared | 0.6194 |
RMSE | 11.3193 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 127 | 122.8 | 4.2 |
2 | 108 | 113.6875 | -5.6875 |
3 | 110 | 97.3571428571429 | 12.6428571428571 |
4 | 102 | 97.3571428571429 | 4.64285714285714 |
5 | 104 | 107.888888888889 | -3.88888888888889 |
6 | 140 | 128.352941176471 | 11.6470588235294 |
7 | 112 | 107.888888888889 | 4.11111111111111 |
8 | 115 | 101 | 14 |
9 | 121 | 122.8 | -1.8 |
10 | 112 | 113.6875 | -1.6875 |
11 | 118 | 114.555555555556 | 3.44444444444444 |
12 | 122 | 122.8 | -0.799999999999997 |
13 | 105 | 113.6875 | -8.6875 |
14 | 111 | 122.8 | -11.8 |
15 | 151 | 141.4 | 9.59999999999999 |
16 | 106 | 107.888888888889 | -1.88888888888889 |
17 | 100 | 101 | -1 |
18 | 149 | 141.4 | 7.59999999999999 |
19 | 122 | 120.25 | 1.75 |
20 | 115 | 113.6875 | 1.3125 |
21 | 86 | 97.3571428571429 | -11.3571428571429 |
22 | 124 | 113.6875 | 10.3125 |
23 | 69 | 97.3571428571429 | -28.3571428571429 |
24 | 117 | 113.6875 | 3.3125 |
25 | 113 | 107.888888888889 | 5.11111111111111 |
26 | 123 | 128.352941176471 | -5.35294117647058 |
27 | 123 | 128.352941176471 | -5.35294117647058 |
28 | 84 | 97.3571428571429 | -13.3571428571429 |
29 | 97 | 97.3571428571429 | -0.357142857142861 |
30 | 121 | 122.8 | -1.8 |
31 | 132 | 128.352941176471 | 3.64705882352942 |
32 | 119 | 122.8 | -3.8 |
33 | 98 | 97.3571428571429 | 0.642857142857139 |
34 | 87 | 97.3571428571429 | -10.3571428571429 |
35 | 101 | 97.3571428571429 | 3.64285714285714 |
36 | 115 | 122.8 | -7.8 |
37 | 109 | 101 | 8 |
38 | 109 | 113.6875 | -4.6875 |
39 | 159 | 141.4 | 17.6 |
40 | 129 | 120.25 | 8.75 |
41 | 119 | 114.555555555556 | 4.44444444444444 |
42 | 119 | 122.8 | -3.8 |
43 | 122 | 120.25 | 1.75 |
44 | 131 | 128.352941176471 | 2.64705882352942 |
45 | 120 | 120.25 | -0.25 |
46 | 82 | 97.3571428571429 | -15.3571428571429 |
47 | 86 | 97.3571428571429 | -11.3571428571429 |
48 | 105 | 97.3571428571429 | 7.64285714285714 |
49 | 114 | 113.6875 | 0.3125 |
50 | 100 | 97.3571428571429 | 2.64285714285714 |
51 | 100 | 97.3571428571429 | 2.64285714285714 |
52 | 99 | 101 | -2 |
53 | 132 | 122.8 | 9.2 |
54 | 82 | 101 | -19 |
55 | 132 | 128.352941176471 | 3.64705882352942 |
56 | 107 | 97.3571428571429 | 9.64285714285714 |
57 | 114 | 114.555555555556 | -0.555555555555557 |
58 | 110 | 107.888888888889 | 2.11111111111111 |
59 | 105 | 97.3571428571429 | 7.64285714285714 |
60 | 121 | 128.352941176471 | -7.35294117647058 |
61 | 109 | 97.3571428571429 | 11.6428571428571 |
62 | 106 | 97.3571428571429 | 8.64285714285714 |
63 | 124 | 128.352941176471 | -4.35294117647058 |
64 | 120 | 120.25 | -0.25 |
65 | 91 | 97.3571428571429 | -6.35714285714286 |
66 | 126 | 120.25 | 5.75 |
67 | 138 | 141.4 | -3.40000000000001 |
68 | 118 | 114.555555555556 | 3.44444444444444 |
69 | 128 | 122.8 | 5.2 |
70 | 98 | 101 | -3 |
71 | 133 | 128.352941176471 | 4.64705882352942 |
72 | 130 | 128.352941176471 | 1.64705882352942 |
73 | 103 | 97.3571428571429 | 5.64285714285714 |
74 | 124 | 122.8 | 1.2 |
75 | 142 | 141.4 | 0.599999999999994 |
76 | 96 | 97.3571428571429 | -1.35714285714286 |
77 | 93 | 97.3571428571429 | -4.35714285714286 |
78 | 129 | 128.352941176471 | 0.64705882352942 |
79 | 150 | 141.4 | 8.59999999999999 |
80 | 88 | 97.3571428571429 | -9.35714285714286 |
81 | 125 | 120.25 | 4.75 |
82 | 92 | 97.3571428571429 | -5.35714285714286 |
83 | 0 | 97.3571428571429 | -97.3571428571429 |
84 | 117 | 114.555555555556 | 2.44444444444444 |
85 | 112 | 97.3571428571429 | 14.6428571428571 |
86 | 144 | 141.4 | 2.59999999999999 |
87 | 130 | 122.8 | 7.2 |
88 | 87 | 97.3571428571429 | -10.3571428571429 |
89 | 92 | 101 | -9 |
90 | 114 | 97.3571428571429 | 16.6428571428571 |
91 | 81 | 97.3571428571429 | -16.3571428571429 |
92 | 127 | 128.352941176471 | -1.35294117647058 |
93 | 115 | 113.6875 | 1.3125 |
94 | 123 | 122.8 | 0.200000000000003 |
95 | 115 | 114.555555555556 | 0.444444444444443 |
96 | 117 | 114.555555555556 | 2.44444444444444 |
97 | 117 | 97.3571428571429 | 19.6428571428571 |
98 | 103 | 97.3571428571429 | 5.64285714285714 |
99 | 108 | 107.888888888889 | 0.111111111111114 |
100 | 139 | 141.4 | -2.40000000000001 |
101 | 113 | 107.888888888889 | 5.11111111111111 |
102 | 97 | 120.25 | -23.25 |
103 | 117 | 97.3571428571429 | 19.6428571428571 |
104 | 133 | 128.352941176471 | 4.64705882352942 |
105 | 115 | 97.3571428571429 | 17.6428571428571 |
106 | 103 | 97.3571428571429 | 5.64285714285714 |
107 | 95 | 97.3571428571429 | -2.35714285714286 |
108 | 117 | 113.6875 | 3.3125 |
109 | 113 | 101 | 12 |
110 | 127 | 128.352941176471 | -1.35294117647058 |
111 | 126 | 122.8 | 3.2 |
112 | 119 | 122.8 | -3.8 |
113 | 97 | 97.3571428571429 | -0.357142857142861 |
114 | 105 | 97.3571428571429 | 7.64285714285714 |
115 | 140 | 141.4 | -1.40000000000001 |
116 | 91 | 97.3571428571429 | -6.35714285714286 |
117 | 112 | 97.3571428571429 | 14.6428571428571 |
118 | 113 | 113.6875 | -0.6875 |
119 | 102 | 120.25 | -18.25 |
120 | 92 | 97.3571428571429 | -5.35714285714286 |
121 | 98 | 97.3571428571429 | 0.642857142857139 |
122 | 122 | 128.352941176471 | -6.35294117647058 |
123 | 100 | 107.888888888889 | -7.88888888888889 |
124 | 84 | 97.3571428571429 | -13.3571428571429 |
125 | 142 | 120.25 | 21.75 |
126 | 124 | 122.8 | 1.2 |
127 | 137 | 141.4 | -4.40000000000001 |
128 | 105 | 107.888888888889 | -2.88888888888889 |
129 | 106 | 97.3571428571429 | 8.64285714285714 |
130 | 125 | 128.352941176471 | -3.35294117647058 |
131 | 104 | 97.3571428571429 | 6.64285714285714 |
132 | 130 | 141.4 | -11.4 |
133 | 79 | 97.3571428571429 | -18.3571428571429 |
134 | 108 | 113.6875 | -5.6875 |
135 | 136 | 141.4 | -5.40000000000001 |
136 | 98 | 97.3571428571429 | 0.642857142857139 |
137 | 120 | 120.25 | -0.25 |
138 | 108 | 114.555555555556 | -6.55555555555556 |
139 | 139 | 141.4 | -2.40000000000001 |
140 | 123 | 122.8 | 0.200000000000003 |
141 | 90 | 97.3571428571429 | -7.35714285714286 |
142 | 119 | 113.6875 | 5.3125 |
143 | 105 | 114.555555555556 | -9.55555555555556 |
144 | 110 | 97.3571428571429 | 12.6428571428571 |
145 | 135 | 141.4 | -6.40000000000001 |
146 | 101 | 97.3571428571429 | 3.64285714285714 |
147 | 114 | 113.6875 | 0.3125 |
148 | 118 | 120.25 | -2.25 |
149 | 120 | 122.8 | -2.8 |
150 | 108 | 97.3571428571429 | 10.6428571428571 |
151 | 114 | 97.3571428571429 | 16.6428571428571 |
152 | 122 | 122.8 | -0.799999999999997 |
153 | 132 | 141.4 | -9.40000000000001 |
154 | 130 | 122.8 | 7.2 |
155 | 130 | 128.352941176471 | 1.64705882352942 |
156 | 112 | 97.3571428571429 | 14.6428571428571 |
157 | 114 | 113.6875 | 0.3125 |
158 | 103 | 97.3571428571429 | 5.64285714285714 |
159 | 115 | 113.6875 | 1.3125 |
160 | 108 | 97.3571428571429 | 10.6428571428571 |
161 | 94 | 97.3571428571429 | -3.35714285714286 |
162 | 105 | 97.3571428571429 | 7.64285714285714 |