| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 246.24 | NA | NA | 0.995925625983787 | NA |
| 2 | 247.57 | NA | NA | 0.99962516234586 | NA |
| 3 | 247.84 | NA | NA | 1.00295847369832 | NA |
| 4 | 248.27 | NA | NA | 1.0040549854012 | NA |
| 5 | 248.3 | NA | NA | 1.00274854069997 | NA |
| 6 | 248.31 | NA | NA | 1.00180465386442 | NA |
| 7 | 248.31 | 248.048777902092 | 248.22375 | 0.999295103317439 | 1.00105310778032 |
| 8 | 248.38 | 248.140460231857 | 248.344166666667 | 0.999179741414731 | 1.00096533942074 |
| 9 | 248.37 | 247.991671738858 | 248.372083333333 | 0.998468380224663 | 1.0015255684132 |
| 10 | 248.41 | 248.27440486014 | 248.367083333333 | 0.999626848808024 | 1.00054615029663 |
| 11 | 248.68 | 247.942864817592 | 248.26375 | 0.998707482737984 | 1.00297300421591 |
| 12 | 248.75 | 247.486264441763 | 248.080416666667 | 0.997605001503597 | 1.00510628564008 |
| 13 | 248.75 | 246.876268704023 | 247.88625 | 0.995925625983787 | 1.00758975865041 |
| 14 | 247.95 | 247.608402244522 | 247.70125 | 0.99962516234586 | 1.00137958870693 |
| 15 | 248.13 | 248.25980359836 | 247.5275 | 1.00295847369832 | 0.999477146132885 |
| 16 | 247.86 | 248.356765845181 | 247.35375 | 1.0040549854012 | 0.997999789361522 |
| 17 | 246.23 | 247.861473349679 | 247.182083333333 | 1.00274854069997 | 0.993417801776004 |
| 18 | 245.98 | 247.462028830138 | 247.01625 | 1.00180465386442 | 0.994011085914294 |
| 19 | 245.98 | 246.678078118708 | 246.852083333333 | 0.999295103317439 | 0.997170084492176 |
| 20 | 246.27 | 246.565919489344 | 246.768333333333 | 0.999179741414731 | 0.998799836206248 |
| 21 | 246.31 | 246.382889561222 | 246.760833333333 | 0.998468380224663 | 0.999704161432024 |
| 22 | 246.3 | 246.693744905462 | 246.785833333333 | 0.999626848808024 | 0.998403912082922 |
| 23 | 246.67 | 246.59960325331 | 246.91875 | 0.998707482737984 | 1.00028546982948 |
| 24 | 246.78 | 246.544359052843 | 247.13625 | 0.997605001503597 | 1.00095577505023 |
| 25 | 246.78 | 246.359217316534 | 247.367083333333 | 0.995925625983787 | 1.00170800462857 |
| 26 | 247.91 | 247.504691133929 | 247.5975 | 0.99962516234586 | 1.00163758054126 |
| 27 | 247.99 | 248.559855341742 | 247.826666666667 | 1.00295847369832 | 0.997707371767825 |
| 28 | 248.6 | 249.083032284622 | 248.077083333333 | 1.0040549854012 | 0.998060757972186 |
| 29 | 248.68 | 249.007531369321 | 248.325 | 1.00274854069997 | 0.998684652759217 |
| 30 | 248.75 | 248.99687704358 | 248.548333333333 | 1.00180465386442 | 0.999008513494182 |
| 31 | 248.75 | 248.596308344118 | 248.771666666667 | 0.999295103317439 | 1.00061823788497 |
| 32 | 249.03 | 248.800335186083 | 249.004583333333 | 0.999179741414731 | 1.0009230888445 |
| 33 | 249.05 | 249.002204945344 | 249.384166666667 | 0.998468380224663 | 1.00019194631094 |
| 34 | 249.57 | 249.823409964605 | 249.916666666667 | 0.999626848808024 | 0.998985643640677 |
| 35 | 249.35 | 250.200359856698 | 250.524166666667 | 0.998707482737984 | 0.996601284437861 |
| 36 | 249.46 | 250.588400327689 | 251.19 | 0.997605001503597 | 0.995496996963096 |
| 37 | 249.46 | 250.828848532147 | 251.855 | 0.995925625983787 | 0.994542698975189 |
| 38 | 250.82 | 252.44117339398 | 252.535833333333 | 0.99962516234586 | 0.993578015138401 |
| 39 | 254.19 | 253.997143967279 | 253.247916666667 | 1.00295847369832 | 1.00075928425694 |
| 40 | 255.18 | 255.020762454538 | 253.990833333333 | 1.0040549854012 | 1.00062441012226 |
| 41 | 256.68 | 255.460218228725 | 254.76 | 1.00274854069997 | 1.00477484040268 |
| 42 | 256.73 | 256.004918015967 | 255.54375 | 1.00180465386442 | 1.00283229708887 |
| 43 | 256.73 | 256.150562952238 | 256.33125 | 0.999295103317439 | 1.00226209554679 |
| 44 | 257.39 | 256.954058200919 | 257.165 | 0.999179741414731 | 1.00169657487464 |
| 45 | 257.78 | 257.552838536493 | 257.947916666667 | 0.998468380224663 | 1.0008819994561 |
| 46 | 258.67 | 258.510583791934 | 258.607083333333 | 0.999626848808024 | 1.00061667188139 |
| 47 | 258.71 | 258.861650500743 | 259.196666666667 | 0.998707482737984 | 0.999414163896237 |
| 48 | 258.91 | 259.10212767802 | 259.724166666667 | 0.997605001503597 | 0.999258486683447 |
| 49 | 258.91 | 259.172215463826 | 260.2325 | 0.995925625983787 | 0.998988257813993 |
| 50 | 261.38 | 260.626437431656 | 260.724166666667 | 0.99962516234586 | 1.00289135122196 |
| 51 | 262.42 | 261.976932323641 | 261.204166666667 | 1.00295847369832 | 1.00169124690647 |
| 52 | 262.77 | 262.800096810178 | 261.73875 | 1.0040549854012 | 0.999885476411375 |
| 53 | 263.24 | 263.058963107771 | 262.337916666667 | 1.00274854069997 | 1.0006881989121 |
| 54 | 262.83 | 263.426620826679 | 262.952083333333 | 1.00180465386442 | 0.997735153627196 |
| 55 | 262.83 | 263.38046302474 | 263.56625 | 0.999295103317439 | 0.997910008136449 |
| 56 | 263.09 | 263.979957082634 | 264.196666666667 | 0.999179741414731 | 0.996628694494577 |
| 57 | 263.6 | 264.470144268991 | 264.875833333333 | 0.998468380224663 | 0.996709858228435 |
| 58 | 265.68 | 265.557536564844 | 265.656666666667 | 0.999626848808024 | 1.00046115593909 |
| 59 | 266.08 | 266.149302227905 | 266.49375 | 0.998707482737984 | 0.999739611461216 |
| 60 | 266.28 | 266.761240077064 | 267.401666666667 | 0.997605001503597 | 0.998195989503853 |
| 61 | 266.28 | 267.299798509875 | 268.393333333333 | 0.995925625983787 | 0.99618481377255 |
| 62 | 269.14 | 269.267363939167 | 269.368333333333 | 0.99962516234586 | 0.999526998232152 |
| 63 | 270.96 | 271.128510496774 | 270.32875 | 1.00295847369832 | 0.999378484776589 |
| 64 | 272.97 | 272.304732315732 | 271.205 | 1.0040549854012 | 1.00244309997337 |
| 65 | 273.13 | 272.735068713634 | 271.9875 | 1.00274854069997 | 1.00144803999071 |
| 66 | 274.73 | 273.247228364791 | 272.755 | 1.00180465386442 | 1.00542648371617 |
| 67 | 274.73 | NA | NA | 0.999295103317439 | NA |
| 68 | 274.59 | NA | NA | 0.999179741414731 | NA |
| 69 | 275.15 | NA | NA | 0.998468380224663 | NA |
| 70 | 275.16 | NA | NA | 0.999626848808024 | NA |
| 71 | 275.38 | NA | NA | 0.998707482737984 | NA |
| 72 | 275.4 | NA | NA | 0.997605001503597 | NA |
