Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 434.49 | NA | NA | 0.999375027923448 | NA |
2 | 434.43 | NA | NA | 0.998466848603676 | NA |
3 | 434.07 | NA | NA | 1.00015016020639 | NA |
4 | 434.52 | NA | NA | 1.00086335487526 | NA |
5 | 433.52 | NA | NA | 1.00084084764335 | NA |
6 | 433.52 | NA | NA | 0.999152068828718 | NA |
7 | 433.52 | 433.091444889256 | 433.66625 | 0.998674544973827 | 1.00098952568979 |
8 | 433.26 | 432.884141242941 | 433.435416666667 | 0.998728125569513 | 1.00086826640491 |
9 | 433.63 | 433.234164201504 | 433.18625 | 1.00011060877741 | 1.00091367632381 |
10 | 434.67 | 433.962156347626 | 433.050833333333 | 1.00210442503315 | 1.00163111838675 |
11 | 432.87 | 433.655413784975 | 433.05625 | 1.00138357034444 | 0.998188852807994 |
12 | 432.49 | 433.196817128213 | 433.131666666667 | 1.00015041722081 | 0.998368369525662 |
13 | 432.5 | 432.954246472136 | 433.225 | 0.999375027923448 | 0.998950821072118 |
14 | 430.88 | 432.703082012254 | 433.3675 | 0.998466848603676 | 0.995786759817435 |
15 | 431.64 | 433.590098203475 | 433.525 | 1.00015016020639 | 0.995502438336218 |
16 | 433.7 | 434.052751636713 | 433.678333333333 | 1.00086335487526 | 0.999187306991183 |
17 | 434.47 | 434.257754503112 | 433.892916666667 | 1.00084084764335 | 1.00048875465017 |
18 | 434.38 | 433.808098423794 | 434.17625 | 0.999152068828718 | 1.00131832849198 |
19 | 434.9 | 433.899122927503 | 434.475 | 0.998674544973827 | 1.00230670453018 |
20 | 435.3 | 434.284025165614 | 434.837083333333 | 0.998728125569513 | 1.00233942483608 |
21 | 435.37 | 435.351481702837 | 435.303333333333 | 1.00011060877741 | 1.00004253642848 |
22 | 436.61 | 436.683287405102 | 435.76625 | 1.00210442503315 | 0.999832172635832 |
23 | 436.08 | 436.713806106068 | 436.110416666667 | 1.00138357034444 | 0.998548692307853 |
24 | 436.08 | 436.466892263184 | 436.40125 | 1.00015041722081 | 0.999113581648363 |
25 | 436.08 | 436.419162975198 | 436.692083333333 | 0.999375027923448 | 0.999222850406279 |
26 | 435.99 | 436.282169636644 | 436.952083333333 | 0.998466848603676 | 0.999330319556979 |
27 | 437.72 | 437.322325217979 | 437.256666666667 | 1.00015016020639 | 1.00090934022594 |
28 | 438.73 | 438.038272921106 | 437.660416666667 | 1.00086335487526 | 1.0015791475806 |
29 | 437.7 | 438.525506684271 | 438.157083333333 | 1.00084084764335 | 0.99811754009359 |
30 | 438.13 | 438.315106880936 | 438.687083333333 | 0.999152068828718 | 0.999577685372851 |
31 | 438.13 | 438.620772953261 | 439.202916666667 | 0.998674544973827 | 0.998881099611502 |
32 | 438.31 | 439.223568019993 | 439.782916666667 | 0.998728125569513 | 0.997920038708051 |
33 | 439.67 | 440.408290968467 | 440.359583333333 | 1.00011060877741 | 0.99832362154935 |
34 | 442 | 441.761869122468 | 440.834166666667 | 1.00210442503315 | 1.00053904805774 |
35 | 442.61 | 441.969400877759 | 441.35875 | 1.00138357034444 | 1.00144941962264 |
36 | 442.27 | 442.011892867993 | 441.945416666667 | 1.00015041722081 | 1.00058393707539 |
37 | 442.27 | 442.231361575097 | 442.507916666667 | 0.999375027923448 | 1.00008737151695 |
38 | 443.72 | 442.402771418585 | 443.082083333333 | 0.998466848603676 | 1.00297744197486 |
39 | 443.83 | 443.78912946218 | 443.7225 | 1.00015016020639 | 1.00009209449963 |
40 | 444.01 | 444.747810636351 | 444.364166666667 | 1.00086335487526 | 0.998341058418488 |
41 | 445.01 | 445.285352576063 | 444.91125 | 1.00084084764335 | 0.999381626692929 |
42 | 444.9 | 445.009842055451 | 445.3875 | 0.999152068828718 | 0.999753169379483 |
43 | 444.86 | 445.246562444768 | 445.8375 | 0.998674544973827 | 0.999131801394163 |
44 | 445.36 | 445.681177625238 | 446.24875 | 0.998728125569513 | 0.999279355643984 |
45 | 447.99 | 446.76649416377 | 446.717083333333 | 1.00011060877741 | 1.00273858011336 |
46 | 449.08 | 448.206653205962 | 447.265416666667 | 1.00210442503315 | 1.00194853598846 |
47 | 448.66 | 448.324014117904 | 447.704583333333 | 1.00138357034444 | 1.00074942646728 |
48 | 447.65 | 448.105309284911 | 448.037916666667 | 1.00015041722081 | 0.998983923476298 |
49 | 447.69 | 448.078538300972 | 448.35875 | 0.999375027923448 | 0.999132879020617 |
50 | 448.17 | 448.006666606373 | 448.694583333333 | 0.998466848603676 | 1.0003645780427 |
51 | 450.62 | 449.008246381524 | 448.940833333333 | 1.00015016020639 | 1.00358958578482 |
52 | 450.38 | 449.435604374748 | 449.047916666667 | 1.00086335487526 | 1.00210129241222 |
53 | 449.18 | 449.609819071922 | 449.232083333333 | 1.00084084764335 | 0.9990440176044 |
54 | 448.73 | 449.221684338926 | 449.602916666667 | 0.999152068828718 | 0.998905475055931 |
55 | 448.73 | 449.444740563202 | 450.04125 | 0.998674544973827 | 0.998409725381798 |
56 | 449.55 | 449.85960642059 | 450.4325 | 0.998728125569513 | 0.999311771014399 |
57 | 449.71 | 450.74651767395 | 450.696666666667 | 1.00011060877741 | 0.997700442192434 |
58 | 449.93 | 451.84220455128 | 450.893333333333 | 1.00210442503315 | 0.995767981538646 |
59 | 452.23 | 451.8764223337 | 451.252083333333 | 1.00138357034444 | 1.00078246540165 |
60 | 452.98 | 451.774194398749 | 451.70625 | 1.00015041722081 | 1.00266904488172 |
61 | 452.88 | 451.829525905778 | 452.112083333333 | 0.999375027923448 | 1.00232493459146 |
62 | 452.37 | 451.800840631067 | 452.494583333333 | 0.998466848603676 | 1.00125975721545 |
63 | 452.76 | 452.929668467999 | 452.861666666667 | 1.00015016020639 | 0.999625397760819 |
64 | 452.96 | 453.635894254041 | 453.244583333333 | 1.00086335487526 | 0.998510051204937 |
65 | 455.21 | 453.990165848441 | 453.60875 | 1.00084084764335 | 1.00268691756633 |
66 | 453.6 | 453.525531875405 | 453.910416666667 | 0.999152068828718 | 1.00016419830718 |
67 | 453.6 | NA | NA | 0.998674544973827 | NA |
68 | 453.86 | NA | NA | 0.998728125569513 | NA |
69 | 454.21 | NA | NA | 1.00011060877741 | NA |
70 | 454.62 | NA | NA | 1.00210442503315 | NA |
71 | 456.28 | NA | NA | 1.00138357034444 | NA |
72 | 456.17 | NA | NA | 1.00015041722081 | NA |