| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||
| Iteration | ar1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.2532 | -0.5739 | -0.3375 |
| (p-val) | (0.0476 ) | (0 ) | (0.0331 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -0.5949 | -0.3893 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0115 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 867.887523644982 |
| -2282.88455296738 |
| 34011.080017037 |
| 9314.3467692656 |
| 23.4242399807264 |
| 23883.5477855826 |
| 19787.2734650427 |
| 268056.987978597 |
| -114675.425365111 |
| -40028.2619758415 |
| 73804.6683690033 |
| 28911.4806602198 |
| -76472.1119735568 |
| -20575.0228298114 |
| -50680.1460175509 |
| 23565.8620562796 |
| 100216.798698565 |
| -185266.791267954 |
| 88638.5436914313 |
| -164801.375916072 |
| 124381.490251249 |
| 184867.592051181 |
| 112164.839208114 |
| 104256.829665983 |
| 136643.015288473 |
| 83277.8475894845 |
| 29482.544325302 |
| -21073.2251068203 |
| -27202.154005362 |
| -107776.25305422 |
| -102368.731286164 |
| -153072.385115761 |
| 27670.5760682764 |
| 47338.5148567505 |
| -3510.40530289299 |
| -32417.1975350531 |
| -9960.71393751425 |
| -48725.1821831382 |
| 56559.7752177555 |
| 63994.4611629703 |
| -174978.22811708 |
| 60177.4678551377 |
| -11894.9476497243 |
| -113496.149947453 |
| 151386.157661735 |
| 65658.4039749558 |
| 8333.27472029539 |
| 9776.05763722833 |
| -1703.65401947984 |
| 27105.1551661413 |
| -45890.4823996471 |
| -81600.154687936 |
| -30122.4989932078 |
| -53959.9146613293 |
| -52011.3648967885 |
| -55633.8155972554 |
| 48793.3021038017 |
| -17049.608111787 |
| -19460.1936143543 |
| -33027.0563456654 |
| -32966.4534403037 |
