Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.8473 |
R-squared | 0.7178 |
RMSE | 43689.5286 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 244808.947368421 | -33901.947368421 |
2 | 120982 | 185081.75 | -64099.75 |
3 | 176508 | 185081.75 | -8573.75 |
4 | 179321 | 244808.947368421 | -65487.947368421 |
5 | 123185 | 131839.823529412 | -8654.82352941178 |
6 | 52746 | 86734.3896103896 | -33988.3896103896 |
7 | 385534 | 244808.947368421 | 140725.052631579 |
8 | 33170 | 33903.9523809524 | -733.952380952382 |
9 | 101645 | 86734.3896103896 | 14910.6103896104 |
10 | 149061 | 185081.75 | -36020.75 |
11 | 165446 | 185081.75 | -19635.75 |
12 | 237213 | 244808.947368421 | -7595.94736842104 |
13 | 173326 | 185081.75 | -11755.75 |
14 | 133131 | 131839.823529412 | 1291.17647058822 |
15 | 258873 | 244808.947368421 | 14064.052631579 |
16 | 180083 | 131839.823529412 | 48243.1764705882 |
17 | 324799 | 244808.947368421 | 79990.052631579 |
18 | 230964 | 244808.947368421 | -13844.947368421 |
19 | 236785 | 185081.75 | 51703.25 |
20 | 135473 | 244808.947368421 | -109335.947368421 |
21 | 202925 | 244808.947368421 | -41883.947368421 |
22 | 215147 | 244808.947368421 | -29661.947368421 |
23 | 344297 | 244808.947368421 | 99488.052631579 |
24 | 153935 | 185081.75 | -31146.75 |
25 | 132943 | 185081.75 | -52138.75 |
26 | 174724 | 244808.947368421 | -70084.947368421 |
27 | 174415 | 185081.75 | -10666.75 |
28 | 225548 | 185081.75 | 40466.25 |
29 | 223632 | 185081.75 | 38550.25 |
30 | 124817 | 86734.3896103896 | 38082.6103896104 |
31 | 221698 | 185081.75 | 36616.25 |
32 | 210767 | 244808.947368421 | -34041.947368421 |
33 | 170266 | 244808.947368421 | -74542.947368421 |
34 | 260561 | 244808.947368421 | 15752.052631579 |
35 | 84853 | 66366.5555555556 | 18486.4444444444 |
36 | 294424 | 244808.947368421 | 49615.052631579 |
37 | 101011 | 86734.3896103896 | 14276.6103896104 |
38 | 215641 | 131839.823529412 | 83801.1764705882 |
39 | 325107 | 185081.75 | 140025.25 |
40 | 7176 | 33903.9523809524 | -26727.9523809524 |
41 | 167542 | 185081.75 | -17539.75 |
42 | 106408 | 137744.65 | -31336.65 |
43 | 96560 | 86734.3896103896 | 9825.61038961039 |
44 | 265769 | 244808.947368421 | 20960.052631579 |
45 | 269651 | 185081.75 | 84569.25 |
46 | 149112 | 185081.75 | -35969.75 |
47 | 175824 | 185081.75 | -9257.75 |
48 | 152871 | 185081.75 | -32210.75 |
49 | 111665 | 137744.65 | -26079.65 |
50 | 116408 | 86734.3896103896 | 29673.6103896104 |
51 | 362301 | 185081.75 | 177219.25 |
52 | 78800 | 86734.3896103896 | -7934.38961038961 |
53 | 183167 | 244808.947368421 | -61641.947368421 |
54 | 277965 | 244808.947368421 | 33156.052631579 |
55 | 150629 | 185081.75 | -34452.75 |
56 | 168809 | 185081.75 | -16272.75 |
57 | 24188 | 33903.9523809524 | -9715.95238095238 |
58 | 329267 | 244808.947368421 | 84458.052631579 |
59 | 65029 | 66366.5555555556 | -1337.55555555556 |
60 | 101097 | 86734.3896103896 | 14362.6103896104 |
61 | 218946 | 185081.75 | 33864.25 |
62 | 244052 | 244808.947368421 | -756.947368421039 |
63 | 341570 | 244808.947368421 | 96761.052631579 |
64 | 103597 | 86734.3896103896 | 16862.6103896104 |
65 | 233328 | 244808.947368421 | -11480.947368421 |
66 | 256462 | 244808.947368421 | 11653.052631579 |
67 | 206161 | 185081.75 | 21079.25 |
68 | 311473 | 244808.947368421 | 66664.052631579 |
69 | 235800 | 244808.947368421 | -9008.94736842104 |
70 | 177939 | 131839.823529412 | 46099.1764705882 |
71 | 207176 | 185081.75 | 22094.25 |
72 | 196553 | 185081.75 | 11471.25 |
73 | 174184 | 185081.75 | -10897.75 |
74 | 143246 | 185081.75 | -41835.75 |
75 | 187559 | 185081.75 | 2477.25 |
76 | 187681 | 244808.947368421 | -57127.947368421 |
77 | 119016 | 185081.75 | -66065.75 |
78 | 182192 | 185081.75 | -2889.75 |
79 | 73566 | 66366.5555555556 | 7199.44444444444 |
80 | 194979 | 185081.75 | 9897.25 |
81 | 167488 | 185081.75 | -17593.75 |
82 | 143756 | 244808.947368421 | -101052.947368421 |
83 | 275541 | 185081.75 | 90459.25 |
84 | 243199 | 244808.947368421 | -1609.94736842104 |
85 | 182999 | 137744.65 | 45254.35 |
86 | 135649 | 185081.75 | -49432.75 |
87 | 152299 | 185081.75 | -32782.75 |
88 | 120221 | 137744.65 | -17523.65 |
89 | 346485 | 244808.947368421 | 101676.052631579 |
90 | 145790 | 137744.65 | 8045.35000000001 |
91 | 193339 | 244808.947368421 | -51469.947368421 |
92 | 80953 | 86734.3896103896 | -5781.38961038961 |
93 | 122774 | 86734.3896103896 | 36039.6103896104 |
94 | 130585 | 185081.75 | -54496.75 |
95 | 112611 | 86734.3896103896 | 25876.6103896104 |
96 | 286468 | 185081.75 | 101386.25 |
97 | 241066 | 137744.65 | 103321.35 |
98 | 148446 | 244808.947368421 | -96362.947368421 |
99 | 204713 | 131839.823529412 | 72873.1764705882 |
100 | 182079 | 244808.947368421 | -62729.947368421 |
101 | 140344 | 131839.823529412 | 8504.17647058822 |
102 | 220516 | 185081.75 | 35434.25 |
103 | 243060 | 244808.947368421 | -1748.94736842104 |
104 | 162765 | 185081.75 | -22316.75 |
105 | 182613 | 244808.947368421 | -62195.947368421 |
106 | 232138 | 244808.947368421 | -12670.947368421 |
107 | 265318 | 244808.947368421 | 20509.052631579 |
108 | 85574 | 86734.3896103896 | -1160.38961038961 |
109 | 310839 | 244808.947368421 | 66030.052631579 |
110 | 225060 | 185081.75 | 39978.25 |
111 | 232317 | 244808.947368421 | -12491.947368421 |
112 | 144966 | 86734.3896103896 | 58231.6103896104 |
113 | 43287 | 86734.3896103896 | -43447.3896103896 |
114 | 155754 | 185081.75 | -29327.75 |
115 | 164709 | 244808.947368421 | -80099.947368421 |
116 | 201940 | 185081.75 | 16858.25 |
117 | 235454 | 244808.947368421 | -9354.94736842104 |
118 | 220801 | 185081.75 | 35719.25 |
119 | 99466 | 137744.65 | -38278.65 |
120 | 92661 | 86734.3896103896 | 5926.61038961039 |
121 | 133328 | 185081.75 | -51753.75 |
122 | 61361 | 86734.3896103896 | -25373.3896103896 |
123 | 125930 | 131839.823529412 | -5909.82352941178 |
124 | 100750 | 86734.3896103896 | 14015.6103896104 |
125 | 224549 | 185081.75 | 39467.25 |
126 | 82316 | 66366.5555555556 | 15949.4444444444 |
127 | 102010 | 86734.3896103896 | 15275.6103896104 |
128 | 101523 | 185081.75 | -83558.75 |
129 | 243511 | 244808.947368421 | -1297.94736842104 |
130 | 22938 | 33903.9523809524 | -10965.9523809524 |
131 | 41566 | 33903.9523809524 | 7662.04761904762 |
132 | 152474 | 185081.75 | -32607.75 |
133 | 61857 | 66366.5555555556 | -4509.55555555556 |
134 | 99923 | 137744.65 | -37821.65 |
135 | 132487 | 131839.823529412 | 647.176470588223 |
136 | 317394 | 244808.947368421 | 72585.052631579 |
137 | 21054 | 33903.9523809524 | -12849.9523809524 |
138 | 209641 | 185081.75 | 24559.25 |
139 | 22648 | 66366.5555555556 | -43718.5555555556 |
140 | 31414 | 66366.5555555556 | -34952.5555555556 |
141 | 46698 | 66366.5555555556 | -19668.5555555556 |
142 | 131698 | 185081.75 | -53383.75 |
143 | 91735 | 66366.5555555556 | 25368.4444444444 |
144 | 244749 | 185081.75 | 59667.25 |
145 | 184510 | 185081.75 | -571.75 |
146 | 79863 | 66366.5555555556 | 13496.4444444444 |
147 | 128423 | 66366.5555555556 | 62056.4444444444 |
148 | 97839 | 185081.75 | -87242.75 |
149 | 38214 | 66366.5555555556 | -28152.5555555556 |
150 | 151101 | 137744.65 | 13356.35 |
151 | 272458 | 244808.947368421 | 27649.052631579 |
152 | 172494 | 244808.947368421 | -72314.947368421 |
153 | 108043 | 86734.3896103896 | 21308.6103896104 |
154 | 328107 | 244808.947368421 | 83298.052631579 |
155 | 250579 | 244808.947368421 | 5770.05263157896 |
156 | 351067 | 244808.947368421 | 106258.052631579 |
157 | 158015 | 185081.75 | -27066.75 |
158 | 98866 | 86734.3896103896 | 12131.6103896104 |
159 | 85439 | 86734.3896103896 | -1295.38961038961 |
160 | 229242 | 185081.75 | 44160.25 |
161 | 351619 | 244808.947368421 | 106810.052631579 |
162 | 84207 | 66366.5555555556 | 17840.4444444444 |
163 | 120445 | 137744.65 | -17299.65 |
164 | 324598 | 244808.947368421 | 79789.052631579 |
165 | 131069 | 185081.75 | -54012.75 |
166 | 204271 | 244808.947368421 | -40537.947368421 |
167 | 165543 | 244808.947368421 | -79265.947368421 |
168 | 141722 | 131839.823529412 | 9882.17647058822 |
169 | 116048 | 131839.823529412 | -15791.8235294118 |
170 | 250047 | 137744.65 | 112302.35 |
171 | 299775 | 185081.75 | 114693.25 |
172 | 195838 | 244808.947368421 | -48970.947368421 |
173 | 173260 | 66366.5555555556 | 106893.444444444 |
174 | 254488 | 244808.947368421 | 9679.05263157896 |
175 | 104389 | 185081.75 | -80692.75 |
176 | 136084 | 137744.65 | -1660.64999999999 |
177 | 199476 | 244808.947368421 | -45332.947368421 |
178 | 92499 | 86734.3896103896 | 5764.61038961039 |
179 | 224330 | 244808.947368421 | -20478.947368421 |
180 | 135781 | 86734.3896103896 | 49046.6103896104 |
181 | 74408 | 66366.5555555556 | 8041.44444444444 |
182 | 81240 | 66366.5555555556 | 14873.4444444444 |
183 | 14688 | 33903.9523809524 | -19215.9523809524 |
184 | 181633 | 185081.75 | -3448.75 |
185 | 271856 | 244808.947368421 | 27047.052631579 |
186 | 7199 | 33903.9523809524 | -26704.9523809524 |
187 | 46660 | 66366.5555555556 | -19706.5555555556 |
188 | 17547 | 33903.9523809524 | -16356.9523809524 |
189 | 133368 | 137744.65 | -4376.64999999999 |
190 | 95227 | 66366.5555555556 | 28860.4444444444 |
191 | 152601 | 137744.65 | 14856.35 |
192 | 98146 | 86734.3896103896 | 11411.6103896104 |
193 | 79619 | 86734.3896103896 | -7115.38961038961 |
194 | 59194 | 86734.3896103896 | -27540.3896103896 |
195 | 139942 | 185081.75 | -45139.75 |
196 | 118612 | 131839.823529412 | -13227.8235294118 |
197 | 72880 | 86734.3896103896 | -13854.3896103896 |
198 | 65475 | 86734.3896103896 | -21259.3896103896 |
199 | 99643 | 86734.3896103896 | 12908.6103896104 |
200 | 71965 | 131839.823529412 | -59874.8235294118 |
201 | 77272 | 137744.65 | -60472.65 |
202 | 49289 | 66366.5555555556 | -17077.5555555556 |
203 | 135131 | 86734.3896103896 | 48396.6103896104 |
204 | 108446 | 137744.65 | -29298.65 |
205 | 89746 | 86734.3896103896 | 3011.61038961039 |
206 | 44296 | 66366.5555555556 | -22070.5555555556 |
207 | 77648 | 86734.3896103896 | -9086.38961038961 |
208 | 181528 | 137744.65 | 43783.35 |
209 | 134019 | 86734.3896103896 | 47284.6103896104 |
210 | 124064 | 86734.3896103896 | 37329.6103896104 |
211 | 92630 | 86734.3896103896 | 5895.61038961039 |
212 | 121848 | 86734.3896103896 | 35113.6103896104 |
213 | 52915 | 86734.3896103896 | -33819.3896103896 |
214 | 81872 | 137744.65 | -55872.65 |
215 | 58981 | 66366.5555555556 | -7385.55555555556 |
216 | 53515 | 86734.3896103896 | -33219.3896103896 |
217 | 60812 | 86734.3896103896 | -25922.3896103896 |
218 | 56375 | 86734.3896103896 | -30359.3896103896 |
219 | 65490 | 86734.3896103896 | -21244.3896103896 |
220 | 80949 | 33903.9523809524 | 47045.0476190476 |
221 | 76302 | 86734.3896103896 | -10432.3896103896 |
222 | 104011 | 137744.65 | -33733.65 |
223 | 98104 | 131839.823529412 | -33735.8235294118 |
224 | 67989 | 86734.3896103896 | -18745.3896103896 |
225 | 30989 | 33903.9523809524 | -2914.95238095238 |
226 | 135458 | 131839.823529412 | 3618.17647058822 |
227 | 73504 | 66366.5555555556 | 7137.44444444444 |
228 | 63123 | 131839.823529412 | -68716.8235294118 |
229 | 61254 | 66366.5555555556 | -5112.55555555556 |
230 | 74914 | 86734.3896103896 | -11820.3896103896 |
231 | 31774 | 33903.9523809524 | -2129.95238095238 |
232 | 81437 | 86734.3896103896 | -5297.38961038961 |
233 | 87186 | 86734.3896103896 | 451.610389610389 |
234 | 50090 | 86734.3896103896 | -36644.3896103896 |
235 | 65745 | 86734.3896103896 | -20989.3896103896 |
236 | 56653 | 86734.3896103896 | -30081.3896103896 |
237 | 158399 | 86734.3896103896 | 71664.6103896104 |
238 | 46455 | 66366.5555555556 | -19911.5555555556 |
239 | 73624 | 86734.3896103896 | -13110.3896103896 |
240 | 38395 | 66366.5555555556 | -27971.5555555556 |
241 | 91899 | 86734.3896103896 | 5164.61038961039 |
242 | 139526 | 185081.75 | -45555.75 |
243 | 52164 | 86734.3896103896 | -34570.3896103896 |
244 | 51567 | 86734.3896103896 | -35167.3896103896 |
245 | 70551 | 86734.3896103896 | -16183.3896103896 |
246 | 84856 | 86734.3896103896 | -1878.38961038961 |
247 | 102538 | 86734.3896103896 | 15803.6103896104 |
248 | 86678 | 86734.3896103896 | -56.3896103896113 |
249 | 85709 | 66366.5555555556 | 19342.4444444444 |
250 | 34662 | 86734.3896103896 | -52072.3896103896 |
251 | 150580 | 137744.65 | 12835.35 |
252 | 99611 | 86734.3896103896 | 12876.6103896104 |
253 | 19349 | 66366.5555555556 | -47017.5555555556 |
254 | 99373 | 86734.3896103896 | 12638.6103896104 |
255 | 86230 | 86734.3896103896 | -504.389610389611 |
256 | 30837 | 33903.9523809524 | -3066.95238095238 |
257 | 31706 | 66366.5555555556 | -34660.5555555556 |
258 | 89806 | 86734.3896103896 | 3071.61038961039 |
259 | 62088 | 33903.9523809524 | 28184.0476190476 |
260 | 40151 | 66366.5555555556 | -26215.5555555556 |
261 | 27634 | 33903.9523809524 | -6269.95238095238 |
262 | 76990 | 86734.3896103896 | -9744.38961038961 |
263 | 37460 | 33903.9523809524 | 3556.04761904762 |
264 | 54157 | 86734.3896103896 | -32577.3896103896 |
265 | 49862 | 86734.3896103896 | -36872.3896103896 |
266 | 84337 | 86734.3896103896 | -2397.38961038961 |
267 | 64175 | 86734.3896103896 | -22559.3896103896 |
268 | 59382 | 66366.5555555556 | -6984.55555555556 |
269 | 119308 | 86734.3896103896 | 32573.6103896104 |
270 | 76702 | 86734.3896103896 | -10032.3896103896 |
271 | 103425 | 86734.3896103896 | 16690.6103896104 |
272 | 70344 | 86734.3896103896 | -16390.3896103896 |
273 | 43410 | 33903.9523809524 | 9506.04761904762 |
274 | 104838 | 86734.3896103896 | 18103.6103896104 |
275 | 62215 | 66366.5555555556 | -4151.55555555556 |
276 | 69304 | 66366.5555555556 | 2937.44444444444 |
277 | 53117 | 33903.9523809524 | 19213.0476190476 |
278 | 19764 | 33903.9523809524 | -14139.9523809524 |
279 | 86680 | 86734.3896103896 | -54.3896103896113 |
280 | 84105 | 86734.3896103896 | -2629.38961038961 |
281 | 77945 | 86734.3896103896 | -8789.38961038961 |
282 | 89113 | 66366.5555555556 | 22746.4444444444 |
283 | 91005 | 66366.5555555556 | 24638.4444444444 |
284 | 40248 | 33903.9523809524 | 6344.04761904762 |
285 | 64187 | 33903.9523809524 | 30283.0476190476 |
286 | 50857 | 66366.5555555556 | -15509.5555555556 |
287 | 56613 | 66366.5555555556 | -9753.55555555556 |
288 | 62792 | 131839.823529412 | -69047.8235294118 |