Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
4869-------
4960-------
5056-------
5158-------
5250-------
5351-------
5453-------
5537-------
5622-------
5755-------
5870-------
5962-------
6058-------
61396037.385682.61440.03440.56880.50.5688
62495633.385678.61440.2720.92970.50.4312
63585835.385680.61440.50.78230.50.5
64475027.385672.61440.39740.2440.50.244
65425128.385673.61440.21770.63560.50.272
66625330.385675.61440.21770.82980.50.3324
67393714.385659.61440.43120.01510.50.0344
684022-0.614444.61440.05940.07030.59e-04
69725532.385677.61440.07030.90320.50.3974
70707047.385692.61440.50.43120.50.8508
71546239.385684.61440.2440.2440.50.6356
72655835.385680.61440.2720.63560.50.5


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.1923-0.35044100
620.206-0.1250.23754924515.6525
630.198900.15830163.333312.7802
640.2308-0.060.13379124.7511.1692
650.2262-0.17650.14238111610.7703
660.21770.16980.146981110.166710.496
670.31180.05410.13364959.7468
680.52450.81820.2192324123.62511.1187
690.20980.30910.229228914211.9164
700.164800.20630127.811.3049
710.1861-0.1290.19926412211.0454
720.19890.12070.192749115.916710.7665