| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 155.28 | NA | NA | 0.980410274515189 | NA |
| 2 | 173.24 | NA | NA | 0.970517600299158 | NA |
| 3 | 180.16 | NA | NA | 0.963569710392736 | NA |
| 4 | 181.52 | NA | NA | 0.985991628835114 | NA |
| 5 | 182.25 | NA | NA | 0.991228916986892 | NA |
| 6 | 182.19 | NA | NA | 1.03371973716524 | NA |
| 7 | 182 | 184.226610698681 | 179.593333333333 | 1.02579871579502 | 0.987913740093051 |
| 8 | 181.65 | 186.145134044577 | 180.973333333333 | 1.0285776949343 | 0.975851455544893 |
| 9 | 180.07 | 184.827070707354 | 181.334583333333 | 1.01925990789965 | 0.974262045656253 |
| 10 | 182.62 | 185.101250576812 | 182.632916666667 | 1.01351527399987 | 0.986595171188307 |
| 11 | 180.38 | 185.179782349002 | 185.630833333333 | 0.997570172065536 | 0.974080419103441 |
| 12 | 181.15 | 187.302131033148 | 189.224583333333 | 0.989840367111291 | 0.967153972038583 |
| 13 | 180.5 | 189.173430501954 | 192.953333333333 | 0.980410274515189 | 0.95415090544724 |
| 14 | 181.14 | 191.104620674907 | 196.91 | 0.970517600299158 | 0.947857772147445 |
| 15 | 180.93 | 193.837705253293 | 201.16625 | 0.963569710392736 | 0.933409729358765 |
| 16 | 211.91 | 202.525967201495 | 205.403333333333 | 0.985991628835114 | 1.04633496103326 |
| 17 | 223.81 | 207.636438349683 | 209.47375 | 0.991228916986892 | 1.07789365767813 |
| 18 | 226.88 | 220.54927452289 | 213.355 | 1.03371973716524 | 1.02870435865548 |
| 19 | 226.8 | 222.722272005678 | 217.120833333333 | 1.02579871579502 | 1.01830857757332 |
| 20 | 231.81 | 226.928239648722 | 220.623333333333 | 1.0285776949343 | 1.02151235279855 |
| 21 | 232.06 | 228.151987167514 | 223.840833333333 | 1.01925990789965 | 1.01712898879823 |
| 22 | 232.32 | 228.625397124644 | 225.576666666667 | 1.01351527399987 | 1.01616007198597 |
| 23 | 228.37 | 224.749234532458 | 225.296666666667 | 0.997570172065536 | 1.01611024604855 |
| 24 | 226.31 | 222.051714421049 | 224.330833333333 | 0.989840367111291 | 1.01917699933123 |
| 25 | 225.72 | 218.85861959715 | 223.231666666667 | 0.980410274515189 | 1.03135074330396 |
| 26 | 219.98 | 215.376861476056 | 221.919583333333 | 0.970517600299158 | 1.02137248399107 |
| 27 | 219.31 | 212.551834978637 | 220.587916666667 | 0.963569710392736 | 1.03179537368869 |
| 28 | 215.19 | 216.428859997916 | 219.50375 | 0.985991628835114 | 0.994275902031145 |
| 29 | 213.81 | 216.767721735376 | 218.685833333333 | 0.991228916986892 | 0.986355340584394 |
| 30 | 213.7 | 225.438768879682 | 218.085 | 1.03371973716524 | 0.947929236226682 |
| 31 | 213.6 | 223.126180250022 | 217.514583333333 | 1.02579871579502 | 0.957305860570248 |
| 32 | 213.52 | 223.384360915634 | 217.177916666667 | 1.0285776949343 | 0.955841309233999 |
| 33 | 218.39 | 221.192565454701 | 217.012916666667 | 1.01925990789965 | 0.987329748407504 |
| 34 | 219.97 | 219.885517078519 | 216.953333333333 | 1.01351527399987 | 1.00038421321515 |
| 35 | 221.09 | 216.500160517953 | 217.0275 | 0.997570172065536 | 1.02120016664683 |
| 36 | 219.17 | 217.171388977704 | 219.400416666667 | 0.989840367111291 | 1.00920292047541 |
| 37 | 219.17 | 219.811660084835 | 224.20375 | 0.980410274515189 | 0.997080864206261 |
| 38 | 218.45 | 222.686476535642 | 229.45125 | 0.970517600299158 | 0.980975600307889 |
| 39 | 216.88 | 226.028160353238 | 234.57375 | 0.963569710392736 | 0.959526457504493 |
| 40 | 216.19 | 235.601467220614 | 238.94875 | 0.985991628835114 | 0.917608886525152 |
| 41 | 214.59 | 240.549368514135 | 242.677916666667 | 0.991228916986892 | 0.892082990387855 |
| 42 | 269.87 | 254.540133063669 | 246.237083333333 | 1.03371973716524 | 1.06022573631835 |
| 43 | 272.71 | 256.378727870913 | 249.930833333333 | 1.02579871579502 | 1.06369979391313 |
| 44 | 280.35 | 260.852446323814 | 253.605 | 1.0285776949343 | 1.07474552740817 |
| 45 | 274.5 | 262.356226218484 | 257.39875 | 1.01925990789965 | 1.04628734738471 |
| 46 | 268.86 | 264.995815030161 | 261.462083333333 | 1.01351527399987 | 1.01458206035971 |
| 47 | 261.7 | 265.154151735019 | 265.8 | 0.997570172065536 | 0.986973042992473 |
| 48 | 263.98 | 265.214940929395 | 267.937083333333 | 0.989840367111291 | 0.995343622327356 |
| 49 | 263.01 | 262.366368050166 | 267.60875 | 0.980410274515189 | 1.00245318008789 |
| 50 | 262.79 | 258.9919224335 | 266.859583333333 | 0.970517600299158 | 1.01466484950887 |
| 51 | 263.59 | 256.377394331575 | 266.070416666667 | 0.963569710392736 | 1.02813276766163 |
| 52 | 267 | 262.071234156384 | 265.794583333333 | 0.985991628835114 | 1.01880697001898 |
| 53 | 267.89 | 263.850682280205 | 266.185416666667 | 0.991228916986892 | 1.01530910469849 |
| 54 | 267.86 | 275.887737785803 | 266.888333333333 | 1.03371973716524 | 0.970902158065339 |
| 55 | 266.84 | 274.471252720747 | 267.568333333333 | 1.02579871579502 | 0.972196531895048 |
| 56 | 268.24 | 276.116539316639 | 268.445 | 1.0285776949343 | 0.971473859059176 |
| 57 | 267.67 | 274.697764936636 | 269.507083333333 | 1.01925990789965 | 0.974416373798101 |
| 58 | 269.07 | 274.084935547785 | 270.43 | 1.01351527399987 | 0.981702987295663 |
| 59 | 270.87 | 270.583011742248 | 271.242083333333 | 0.997570172065536 | 1.00106062925349 |
| 60 | 271.68 | 269.377632106585 | 272.1425 | 0.989840367111291 | 1.00854698987221 |
| 61 | 271.63 | 267.777007252647 | 273.1275 | 0.980410274515189 | 1.01438881099944 |
| 62 | 275.21 | 266.018065477332 | 274.099166666667 | 0.970517600299158 | 1.03455379808952 |
| 63 | 276.66 | 264.351736659833 | 274.34625 | 0.963569710392736 | 1.04656017583121 |
| 64 | 276.08 | 270.031884069691 | 273.868333333333 | 0.985991628835114 | 1.02239778443626 |
| 65 | 278.3 | 270.776894337651 | 273.172916666667 | 0.991228916986892 | 1.02778341069592 |
| 66 | 279.06 | 281.406078316036 | 272.226666666667 | 1.03371973716524 | 0.991663014778944 |
| 67 | 279.28 | NA | NA | 1.02579871579502 | NA |
| 68 | 279.12 | NA | NA | 1.0285776949343 | NA |
| 69 | 262.72 | NA | NA | 1.01925990789965 | NA |
| 70 | 262.55 | NA | NA | 1.01351527399987 | NA |
| 71 | 260.7 | NA | NA | 0.997570172065536 | NA |
| 72 | 259.14 | NA | NA | 0.989840367111291 | NA |
