Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 369.82 | NA | NA | 0.990168789416101 | NA |
2 | 373.1 | NA | NA | 0.997916123677001 | NA |
3 | 374.55 | NA | NA | 1.00568910596935 | NA |
4 | 375.01 | NA | NA | 1.00644455780546 | NA |
5 | 374.81 | NA | NA | 1.00774720478385 | NA |
6 | 375.31 | NA | NA | 1.00548214421723 | NA |
7 | 375.31 | 376.194788700908 | 375.275833333333 | 1.00244874645781 | 0.997648056997377 |
8 | 375.39 | 376.092150887435 | 375.95125 | 1.00037478499522 | 0.998133034986828 |
9 | 375.59 | 376.4111209538 | 376.839166666667 | 0.998864115647392 | 0.997818552885156 |
10 | 376.26 | 376.695860396311 | 377.867083333333 | 0.996900436717878 | 0.998842938183998 |
11 | 377.18 | 377.104931658824 | 378.954583333333 | 0.995119067677611 | 1.00019906486199 |
12 | 377.26 | 377.39400671129 | 380.11375 | 0.992844922635106 | 0.999644915634835 |
13 | 377.26 | 377.519591489032 | 381.267916666667 | 0.990168789416101 | 0.999312376112698 |
14 | 381.87 | 381.632647379411 | 382.429583333333 | 0.997916123677001 | 1.00062194003113 |
15 | 387.09 | 385.775636455801 | 383.593333333333 | 1.00568910596935 | 1.00340706726914 |
16 | 387.14 | 387.181318147257 | 384.702083333333 | 1.00644455780546 | 0.999893284760084 |
17 | 388.78 | 388.711191091907 | 385.722916666667 | 1.00774720478385 | 1.00017701807838 |
18 | 389.16 | 388.827067333989 | 386.707083333333 | 1.00548214421723 | 1.00085624868735 |
19 | 389.16 | 388.64227832307 | 387.692916666667 | 1.00244874645781 | 1.00133212907037 |
20 | 389.42 | 388.743557335008 | 388.597916666667 | 1.00037478499522 | 1.00174007427835 |
21 | 389.49 | 388.72919646664 | 389.17125 | 0.998864115647392 | 1.00195715562473 |
22 | 388.97 | 388.317642612531 | 389.525 | 0.996900436717878 | 1.00167995814736 |
23 | 388.97 | 387.981997701485 | 389.885 | 0.995119067677611 | 1.002546515829 |
24 | 389.09 | 387.422981486058 | 390.215 | 0.992844922635106 | 1.00430283848301 |
25 | 389.09 | 386.700519018564 | 390.54 | 0.990168789416101 | 1.00617915121371 |
26 | 391.76 | 390.047990890702 | 390.8625 | 0.997916123677001 | 1.00438922683691 |
27 | 390.96 | 393.430606700738 | 391.205 | 1.00568910596935 | 0.993720349513587 |
28 | 391.76 | 394.140462912583 | 391.616666666667 | 1.00644455780546 | 0.99396036911564 |
29 | 392.8 | 395.116684262314 | 392.079166666667 | 1.00774720478385 | 0.994136708586125 |
30 | 393.06 | 394.692798792816 | 392.540833333333 | 1.00548214421723 | 0.99586311481281 |
31 | 393.06 | 393.959851236051 | 392.9975 | 1.00244874645781 | 0.997715880861393 |
32 | 393.26 | 393.698747103351 | 393.55125 | 1.00037478499522 | 0.998885576582147 |
33 | 393.87 | 394.060633683908 | 394.50875 | 0.998864115647392 | 0.999516232610891 |
34 | 394.47 | 394.550347217928 | 395.777083333333 | 0.996900436717878 | 0.999796357502929 |
35 | 394.57 | 395.169245167787 | 397.1075 | 0.995119067677611 | 0.998483573367324 |
36 | 394.57 | 395.652011153165 | 398.503333333333 | 0.992844922635106 | 0.997265245410957 |
37 | 394.57 | 395.975100012762 | 399.906666666667 | 0.990168789416101 | 0.996451544522077 |
38 | 399.57 | 400.475382786356 | 401.311666666667 | 0.997916123677001 | 0.997739229862127 |
39 | 406.13 | 405.000640827788 | 402.709583333333 | 1.00568910596935 | 1.00278853675368 |
40 | 407.03 | 406.684116918032 | 404.08 | 1.00644455780546 | 1.00085049567362 |
41 | 409.46 | 408.57262881419 | 405.431666666667 | 1.00774720478385 | 1.00217188113747 |
42 | 409.9 | 409.020919347912 | 406.790833333333 | 1.00548214421723 | 1.00214923151972 |
43 | 409.9 | 409.156974232352 | 408.1575 | 1.00244874645781 | 1.00181599194061 |
44 | 410.14 | 409.587199626038 | 409.43375 | 1.00037478499522 | 1.00134965246587 |
45 | 410.54 | 410.275944021299 | 410.7425 | 0.998864115647392 | 1.00064360580373 |
46 | 410.69 | 410.881653247277 | 412.159166666667 | 0.996900436717878 | 0.999533556084187 |
47 | 410.79 | 411.555539148878 | 413.574166666667 | 0.995119067677611 | 0.998139888602978 |
48 | 410.97 | 412.00085754589 | 414.97 | 0.992844922635106 | 0.997497923785813 |
49 | 410.97 | 412.240272660237 | 416.333333333333 | 0.990168789416101 | 0.996918610954627 |
50 | 413.8 | 416.818754101877 | 417.689166666667 | 0.997916123677001 | 0.992757633690497 |
51 | 423.31 | 421.439048301984 | 419.055 | 1.00568910596935 | 1.00443943603602 |
52 | 423.85 | 423.158775625509 | 420.449166666667 | 1.00644455780546 | 1.0016334870368 |
53 | 426.6 | 425.149230543547 | 421.880833333333 | 1.00774720478385 | 1.00341237700136 |
54 | 426.26 | 425.673798410616 | 423.352916666667 | 1.00548214421723 | 1.00137711456888 |
55 | 426.26 | 425.879072384201 | 424.83875 | 1.00244874645781 | 1.00089445018668 |
56 | 426.32 | 426.619413986236 | 426.459583333333 | 1.00037478499522 | 0.999298170743244 |
57 | 427.14 | 427.366092846644 | 427.852083333333 | 0.998864115647392 | 0.999470962131932 |
58 | 427.55 | 427.740901132904 | 429.070833333333 | 0.996900436717878 | 0.999553699137964 |
59 | 428.29 | 428.273954118807 | 430.374583333333 | 0.995119067677611 | 1.00003746639514 |
60 | 428.8 | 428.501940160085 | 431.59 | 0.992844922635106 | 1.00069558574181 |
61 | 428.8 | 428.566505716392 | 432.821666666667 | 0.990168789416101 | 1.00054482625332 |
62 | 434.87 | 433.1812521431 | 434.085833333333 | 0.997916123677001 | 1.00389847863578 |
63 | 435.66 | 437.826752283755 | 435.35 | 1.00568910596935 | 0.995051119484014 |
64 | 440.75 | 439.401532732792 | 436.587916666667 | 1.00644455780546 | 1.00306887247029 |
65 | 440.99 | 441.206842462441 | 437.815 | 1.00774720478385 | 0.999508524253091 |
66 | 441.04 | 441.410431869403 | 439.00375 | 1.00548214421723 | 0.999160799467666 |
67 | 441.04 | NA | NA | 1.00244874645781 | NA |
68 | 441.88 | NA | NA | 1.00037478499522 | NA |
69 | 441.92 | NA | NA | 0.998864115647392 | NA |
70 | 442.48 | NA | NA | 0.996900436717878 | NA |
71 | 442.81 | NA | NA | 0.995119067677611 | NA |
72 | 442.81 | NA | NA | 0.992844922635106 | NA |