Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 6848 | NA | NA | -217.467592592593 | NA |
2 | 5772 | NA | NA | -2098.58564814815 | NA |
3 | 5251 | NA | NA | -2149.56481481481 | NA |
4 | 11232 | NA | NA | 3335.0462962963 | NA |
5 | 5908 | NA | NA | -1759.24537037037 | NA |
6 | 6812 | NA | NA | -103.821759259259 | NA |
7 | 9962 | 9821.60185185185 | 7453.29166666667 | 2368.31018518519 | 140.398148148148 |
8 | 6155 | 5912.30324074074 | 7460.375 | -1548.07175925926 | 242.69675925926 |
9 | 5673 | 5954.76851851852 | 7486.95833333333 | -1532.18981481482 | -281.768518518519 |
10 | 7985 | 8876.99768518519 | 7509.41666666667 | 1367.58101851852 | -891.997685185185 |
11 | 5780 | 5686.39351851852 | 7491.54166666667 | -1805.14814814815 | 93.6064814814808 |
12 | 11999 | 11621.4907407407 | 7478.33333333333 | 4143.15740740741 | 377.509259259259 |
13 | 6973 | 7244.90740740741 | 7462.375 | -217.467592592593 | -271.907407407408 |
14 | 5817 | 5312.41435185185 | 7411 | -2098.58564814815 | 504.585648148148 |
15 | 5844 | 5243.35185185185 | 7392.91666666667 | -2149.56481481481 | 600.648148148148 |
16 | 11178 | 10795.3796296296 | 7460.33333333333 | 3335.0462962963 | 382.62037037037 |
17 | 5533 | 5746.96296296296 | 7506.20833333333 | -1759.24537037037 | -213.962962962963 |
18 | 6870 | 7387.55324074074 | 7491.375 | -103.821759259259 | -517.55324074074 |
19 | 9521 | 9909.43518518519 | 7541.125 | 2368.31018518519 | -388.435185185186 |
20 | 5363 | 6070.55324074074 | 7618.625 | -1548.07175925926 | -707.553240740741 |
21 | 6031 | 6073.76851851852 | 7605.95833333333 | -1532.18981481482 | -42.7685185185182 |
22 | 9245 | 8924.45601851852 | 7556.875 | 1367.58101851852 | 320.543981481482 |
23 | 5621 | 5746.85185185185 | 7552 | -1805.14814814815 | -125.851851851852 |
24 | 11802 | 11745.6574074074 | 7602.5 | 4143.15740740741 | 56.3425925925922 |
25 | 8364 | 7469.99074074074 | 7687.45833333333 | -217.467592592593 | 894.00925925926 |
26 | 6286 | 5678.74768518518 | 7777.33333333333 | -2098.58564814815 | 607.252314814815 |
27 | 5071 | 5662.01851851852 | 7811.58333333333 | -2149.56481481481 | -591.018518518519 |
28 | 10773 | 11126.462962963 | 7791.41666666667 | 3335.0462962963 | -353.462962962964 |
29 | 5821 | 6046.46296296296 | 7805.70833333333 | -1759.24537037037 | -225.462962962962 |
30 | 7794 | 7733.34490740741 | 7837.16666666667 | -103.821759259259 | 60.655092592594 |
31 | 10636 | 10176.6018518519 | 7808.29166666667 | 2368.31018518519 | 459.398148148149 |
32 | 6405 | 6216.05324074074 | 7764.125 | -1548.07175925926 | 188.94675925926 |
33 | 5811 | 6212.56018518518 | 7744.75 | -1532.18981481482 | -401.560185185184 |
34 | 8981 | 9159.95601851852 | 7792.375 | 1367.58101851852 | -178.956018518517 |
35 | 6228 | 6093.76851851852 | 7898.91666666667 | -1805.14814814815 | 134.231481481482 |
36 | 11950 | 12099.8240740741 | 7956.66666666667 | 4143.15740740741 | -149.824074074074 |
37 | 7523 | 7758.99074074074 | 7976.45833333333 | -217.467592592593 | -235.990740740741 |
38 | 6067 | 5898.66435185185 | 7997.25 | -2098.58564814815 | 168.335648148148 |
39 | 4825 | 5863.06018518519 | 8012.625 | -2149.56481481481 | -1038.06018518519 |
40 | 12162 | 11353.962962963 | 8018.91666666667 | 3335.0462962963 | 808.037037037037 |
41 | 6989 | 6262.08796296296 | 8021.33333333333 | -1759.24537037037 | 726.912037037038 |
42 | 8012 | 7921.92824074074 | 8025.75 | -103.821759259259 | 90.0717592592591 |
43 | 10893 | 10403.7268518519 | 8035.41666666667 | 2368.31018518519 | 489.273148148148 |
44 | 6647 | 6491.38657407407 | 8039.45833333333 | -1548.07175925926 | 155.613425925925 |
45 | 5938 | 6500.43518518519 | 8032.625 | -1532.18981481482 | -562.435185185186 |
46 | 9005 | 9320.20601851852 | 7952.625 | 1367.58101851852 | -315.206018518519 |
47 | 6262 | 6055.64351851852 | 7860.79166666667 | -1805.14814814815 | 206.356481481482 |
48 | 12022 | 11955.7824074074 | 7812.625 | 4143.15740740741 | 66.2175925925931 |
49 | 7683 | 7497.94907407407 | 7715.41666666667 | -217.467592592593 | 185.050925925927 |
50 | 6004 | 5542.20601851852 | 7640.79166666667 | -2098.58564814815 | 461.793981481483 |
51 | 4724 | 5529.85185185185 | 7679.41666666667 | -2149.56481481481 | -805.851851851851 |
52 | 10343 | 11118.2546296296 | 7783.20833333333 | 3335.0462962963 | -775.25462962963 |
53 | 6604 | 6102.58796296296 | 7861.83333333333 | -1759.24537037037 | 501.412037037036 |
54 | 7241 | 7780.21990740741 | 7884.04166666667 | -103.821759259259 | -539.219907407408 |
55 | 9331 | 10243.1435185185 | 7874.83333333333 | 2368.31018518519 | -912.143518518519 |
56 | 6418 | 6295.34490740741 | 7843.41666666667 | -1548.07175925926 | 122.655092592592 |
57 | 7094 | 6357.22685185185 | 7889.41666666667 | -1532.18981481482 | 736.77314814815 |
58 | 10340 | 9371.08101851852 | 8003.5 | 1367.58101851852 | 968.918981481483 |
59 | 6814 | 6214.31018518519 | 8019.45833333333 | -1805.14814814815 | 599.689814814816 |
60 | 12003 | 12187.4490740741 | 8044.29166666667 | 4143.15740740741 | -184.449074074073 |
61 | 7481 | 7941.36574074074 | 8158.83333333333 | -217.467592592593 | -460.365740740741 |
62 | 5452 | 6131.41435185185 | 8230 | -2098.58564814815 | -679.414351851852 |
63 | 6380 | 6099.31018518519 | 8248.875 | -2149.56481481481 | 280.689814814814 |
64 | 11425 | 11570.087962963 | 8235.04166666667 | 3335.0462962963 | -145.087962962964 |
65 | 5905 | 6405.50462962963 | 8164.75 | -1759.24537037037 | -500.50462962963 |
66 | 8536 | 8027.80324074074 | 8131.625 | -103.821759259259 | 508.19675925926 |
67 | 10785 | 10539.8518518519 | 8171.54166666667 | 2368.31018518519 | 245.148148148149 |
68 | 6672 | 6640.71990740741 | 8188.79166666667 | -1548.07175925926 | 31.2800925925931 |
69 | 7293 | 6707.60185185185 | 8239.79166666667 | -1532.18981481482 | 585.39814814815 |
70 | 9809 | 9678.66435185185 | 8311.08333333333 | 1367.58101851852 | 130.33564814815 |
71 | 5658 | 6532.39351851852 | 8337.54166666667 | -1805.14814814815 | -874.393518518517 |
72 | 12364 | 12496.1574074074 | 8353 | 4143.15740740741 | -132.157407407407 |
73 | 8078 | 8155.15740740741 | 8372.625 | -217.467592592593 | -77.1574074074069 |
74 | 5269 | 6297.91435185185 | 8396.5 | -2098.58564814815 | -1028.91435185185 |
75 | 7787 | 6199.76851851852 | 8349.33333333333 | -2149.56481481481 | 1587.23148148148 |
76 | 11729 | 11612.212962963 | 8277.16666666667 | 3335.0462962963 | 116.787037037036 |
77 | 6236 | 6490.75462962963 | 8250 | -1759.24537037037 | -254.75462962963 |
78 | 8576 | 8144.51157407407 | 8248.33333333333 | -103.821759259259 | 431.488425925925 |
79 | 11216 | NA | NA | 2368.31018518519 | NA |
80 | 6814 | NA | NA | -1548.07175925926 | NA |
81 | 6019 | NA | NA | -1532.18981481482 | NA |
82 | 9351 | NA | NA | 1367.58101851852 | NA |
83 | 5464 | NA | NA | -1805.14814814815 | NA |
84 | 12518 | NA | NA | 4143.15740740741 | NA |