Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9819 |
R-squared | 0.9641 |
RMSE | 7.6041 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 115 | 111.588235294118 | 3.41176470588235 |
2 | 109 | 106.133333333333 | 2.86666666666666 |
3 | 146 | 141.407407407407 | 4.59259259259258 |
4 | 116 | 111.588235294118 | 4.41176470588235 |
5 | 68 | 85.2608695652174 | -17.2608695652174 |
6 | 101 | 95 | 6 |
7 | 96 | 95 | 1 |
8 | 67 | 70 | -3 |
9 | 44 | 40.375 | 3.625 |
10 | 100 | 95 | 5 |
11 | 93 | 95 | -2 |
12 | 140 | 141.407407407407 | -1.40740740740742 |
13 | 166 | 165.285714285714 | 0.714285714285722 |
14 | 99 | 111.588235294118 | -12.5882352941177 |
15 | 139 | 141.407407407407 | -2.40740740740742 |
16 | 130 | 121.976744186047 | 8.02325581395348 |
17 | 181 | 165.285714285714 | 15.7142857142857 |
18 | 116 | 111.588235294118 | 4.41176470588235 |
19 | 116 | 121.976744186047 | -5.97674418604652 |
20 | 88 | 85.2608695652174 | 2.73913043478261 |
21 | 139 | 141.407407407407 | -2.40740740740742 |
22 | 135 | 141.407407407407 | -6.40740740740742 |
23 | 108 | 111.588235294118 | -3.58823529411765 |
24 | 89 | 95 | -6 |
25 | 156 | 141.407407407407 | 14.5925925925926 |
26 | 129 | 121.976744186047 | 7.02325581395348 |
27 | 118 | 121.976744186047 | -3.97674418604652 |
28 | 118 | 121.976744186047 | -3.97674418604652 |
29 | 125 | 121.976744186047 | 3.02325581395348 |
30 | 95 | 95 | 0 |
31 | 126 | 121.976744186047 | 4.02325581395348 |
32 | 135 | 121.976744186047 | 13.0232558139535 |
33 | 154 | 165.285714285714 | -11.2857142857143 |
34 | 165 | 165.285714285714 | -0.285714285714278 |
35 | 113 | 111.588235294118 | 1.41176470588235 |
36 | 127 | 121.976744186047 | 5.02325581395348 |
37 | 52 | 49.95 | 2.05 |
38 | 121 | 121.976744186047 | -0.976744186046517 |
39 | 136 | 141.407407407407 | -5.40740740740742 |
40 | 0 | 5.61538461538461 | -5.61538461538461 |
41 | 108 | 106.133333333333 | 1.86666666666666 |
42 | 46 | 49.95 | -3.95 |
43 | 54 | 63.0526315789474 | -9.05263157894737 |
44 | 124 | 121.976744186047 | 2.02325581395348 |
45 | 115 | 111.588235294118 | 3.41176470588235 |
46 | 128 | 121.976744186047 | 6.02325581395348 |
47 | 80 | 76.0952380952381 | 3.9047619047619 |
48 | 97 | 106.133333333333 | -9.13333333333334 |
49 | 104 | 106.133333333333 | -2.13333333333334 |
50 | 59 | 141.407407407407 | -82.4074074074074 |
51 | 125 | 121.976744186047 | 3.02325581395348 |
52 | 82 | 95 | -13 |
53 | 149 | 141.407407407407 | 7.59259259259258 |
54 | 149 | 141.407407407407 | 7.59259259259258 |
55 | 122 | 121.976744186047 | 0.0232558139534831 |
56 | 118 | 106.133333333333 | 11.8666666666667 |
57 | 12 | 5.61538461538461 | 6.38461538461539 |
58 | 144 | 141.407407407407 | 2.59259259259258 |
59 | 67 | 70 | -3 |
60 | 52 | 49.95 | 2.05 |
61 | 108 | 111.588235294118 | -3.58823529411765 |
62 | 166 | 165.285714285714 | 0.714285714285722 |
63 | 80 | 76.0952380952381 | 3.9047619047619 |
64 | 60 | 63.0526315789474 | -3.05263157894737 |
65 | 107 | 106.133333333333 | 0.86666666666666 |
66 | 127 | 121.976744186047 | 5.02325581395348 |
67 | 107 | 106.133333333333 | 0.86666666666666 |
68 | 146 | 141.407407407407 | 4.59259259259258 |
69 | 84 | 85.2608695652174 | -1.26086956521739 |
70 | 141 | 141.407407407407 | -0.407407407407419 |
71 | 123 | 121.976744186047 | 1.02325581395348 |
72 | 111 | 111.588235294118 | -0.588235294117652 |
73 | 98 | 95 | 3 |
74 | 105 | 106.133333333333 | -1.13333333333334 |
75 | 135 | 141.407407407407 | -6.40740740740742 |
76 | 107 | 106.133333333333 | 0.86666666666666 |
77 | 85 | 85.2608695652174 | -0.260869565217391 |
78 | 155 | 141.407407407407 | 13.5925925925926 |
79 | 88 | 85.2608695652174 | 2.73913043478261 |
80 | 155 | 141.407407407407 | 13.5925925925926 |
81 | 104 | 106.133333333333 | -2.13333333333334 |
82 | 132 | 121.976744186047 | 10.0232558139535 |
83 | 127 | 121.976744186047 | 5.02325581395348 |
84 | 108 | 106.133333333333 | 1.86666666666666 |
85 | 129 | 121.976744186047 | 7.02325581395348 |
86 | 116 | 111.588235294118 | 4.41176470588235 |
87 | 122 | 121.976744186047 | 0.0232558139534831 |
88 | 85 | 85.2608695652174 | -0.260869565217391 |
89 | 147 | 141.407407407407 | 5.59259259259258 |
90 | 99 | 95 | 4 |
91 | 87 | 121.976744186047 | -34.9767441860465 |
92 | 28 | 25.75 | 2.25 |
93 | 90 | 85.2608695652174 | 4.73913043478261 |
94 | 109 | 111.588235294118 | -2.58823529411765 |
95 | 78 | 76.0952380952381 | 1.9047619047619 |
96 | 111 | 111.588235294118 | -0.588235294117652 |
97 | 158 | 165.285714285714 | -7.28571428571428 |
98 | 141 | 141.407407407407 | -0.407407407407419 |
99 | 122 | 121.976744186047 | 0.0232558139534831 |
100 | 124 | 121.976744186047 | 2.02325581395348 |
101 | 93 | 95 | -2 |
102 | 124 | 121.976744186047 | 2.02325581395348 |
103 | 112 | 111.588235294118 | 0.411764705882348 |
104 | 108 | 106.133333333333 | 1.86666666666666 |
105 | 99 | 106.133333333333 | -7.13333333333334 |
106 | 117 | 121.976744186047 | -4.97674418604652 |
107 | 199 | 165.285714285714 | 33.7142857142857 |
108 | 78 | 76.0952380952381 | 1.9047619047619 |
109 | 91 | 85.2608695652174 | 5.73913043478261 |
110 | 158 | 165.285714285714 | -7.28571428571428 |
111 | 126 | 121.976744186047 | 4.02325581395348 |
112 | 122 | 121.976744186047 | 0.0232558139534831 |
113 | 71 | 76.0952380952381 | -5.0952380952381 |
114 | 75 | 76.0952380952381 | -1.0952380952381 |
115 | 115 | 121.976744186047 | -6.97674418604652 |
116 | 119 | 121.976744186047 | -2.97674418604652 |
117 | 124 | 121.976744186047 | 2.02325581395348 |
118 | 72 | 70 | 2 |
119 | 91 | 85.2608695652174 | 5.73913043478261 |
120 | 45 | 63.0526315789474 | -18.0526315789474 |
121 | 78 | 76.0952380952381 | 1.9047619047619 |
122 | 39 | 40.375 | -1.375 |
123 | 68 | 63.0526315789474 | 4.94736842105263 |
124 | 119 | 111.588235294118 | 7.41176470588235 |
125 | 117 | 121.976744186047 | -4.97674418604652 |
126 | 39 | 40.375 | -1.375 |
127 | 50 | 49.95 | 0.0499999999999972 |
128 | 88 | 85.2608695652174 | 2.73913043478261 |
129 | 155 | 165.285714285714 | -10.2857142857143 |
130 | 0 | 5.61538461538461 | -5.61538461538461 |
131 | 36 | 40.375 | -4.375 |
132 | 123 | 121.976744186047 | 1.02325581395348 |
133 | 32 | 40.375 | -8.375 |
134 | 99 | 95 | 4 |
135 | 136 | 141.407407407407 | -5.40740740740742 |
136 | 117 | 121.976744186047 | -4.97674418604652 |
137 | 0 | 5.61538461538461 | -5.61538461538461 |
138 | 88 | 85.2608695652174 | 2.73913043478261 |
139 | 39 | 49.95 | -10.95 |
140 | 25 | 25.75 | -0.75 |
141 | 52 | 49.95 | 2.05 |
142 | 75 | 76.0952380952381 | -1.0952380952381 |
143 | 71 | 70 | 1 |
144 | 124 | 121.976744186047 | 2.02325581395348 |
145 | 151 | 141.407407407407 | 9.59259259259258 |
146 | 71 | 85.2608695652174 | -14.2608695652174 |
147 | 145 | 141.407407407407 | 3.59259259259258 |
148 | 87 | 85.2608695652174 | 1.73913043478261 |
149 | 27 | 25.75 | 1.25 |
150 | 131 | 121.976744186047 | 9.02325581395348 |
151 | 162 | 165.285714285714 | -3.28571428571428 |
152 | 165 | 165.285714285714 | -0.285714285714278 |
153 | 54 | 49.95 | 4.05 |
154 | 159 | 165.285714285714 | -6.28571428571428 |
155 | 147 | 141.407407407407 | 5.59259259259258 |
156 | 170 | 165.285714285714 | 4.71428571428572 |
157 | 119 | 121.976744186047 | -2.97674418604652 |
158 | 49 | 49.95 | -0.950000000000003 |
159 | 104 | 106.133333333333 | -2.13333333333334 |
160 | 120 | 121.976744186047 | -1.97674418604652 |
161 | 150 | 141.407407407407 | 8.59259259259258 |
162 | 112 | 111.588235294118 | 0.411764705882348 |
163 | 59 | 63.0526315789474 | -4.05263157894737 |
164 | 136 | 141.407407407407 | -5.40740740740742 |
165 | 107 | 111.588235294118 | -4.58823529411765 |
166 | 130 | 121.976744186047 | 8.02325581395348 |
167 | 115 | 121.976744186047 | -6.97674418604652 |
168 | 107 | 106.133333333333 | 0.86666666666666 |
169 | 75 | 76.0952380952381 | -1.0952380952381 |
170 | 71 | 70 | 1 |
171 | 120 | 121.976744186047 | -1.97674418604652 |
172 | 116 | 121.976744186047 | -5.97674418604652 |
173 | 79 | 76.0952380952381 | 2.9047619047619 |
174 | 150 | 141.407407407407 | 8.59259259259258 |
175 | 156 | 165.285714285714 | -9.28571428571428 |
176 | 51 | 49.95 | 1.05 |
177 | 118 | 121.976744186047 | -3.97674418604652 |
178 | 71 | 70 | 1 |
179 | 144 | 141.407407407407 | 2.59259259259258 |
180 | 47 | 49.95 | -2.95 |
181 | 28 | 25.75 | 2.25 |
182 | 68 | 63.0526315789474 | 4.94736842105263 |
183 | 0 | 5.61538461538461 | -5.61538461538461 |
184 | 110 | 111.588235294118 | -1.58823529411765 |
185 | 147 | 141.407407407407 | 5.59259259259258 |
186 | 0 | 5.61538461538461 | -5.61538461538461 |
187 | 15 | 5.61538461538461 | 9.38461538461539 |
188 | 4 | 5.61538461538461 | -1.61538461538461 |
189 | 64 | 63.0526315789474 | 0.94736842105263 |
190 | 111 | 121.976744186047 | -10.9767441860465 |
191 | 85 | 85.2608695652174 | -0.260869565217391 |
192 | 68 | 63.0526315789474 | 4.94736842105263 |
193 | 40 | 40.375 | -0.375 |
194 | 80 | 85.2608695652174 | -5.26086956521739 |
195 | 88 | 85.2608695652174 | 2.73913043478261 |
196 | 48 | 40.375 | 7.625 |
197 | 76 | 76.0952380952381 | -0.095238095238102 |
198 | 51 | 49.95 | 1.05 |
199 | 67 | 63.0526315789474 | 3.94736842105263 |
200 | 59 | 58.1111111111111 | 0.888888888888886 |
201 | 61 | 63.0526315789474 | -2.05263157894737 |
202 | 76 | 85.2608695652174 | -9.26086956521739 |
203 | 60 | 58.1111111111111 | 1.88888888888889 |
204 | 68 | 63.0526315789474 | 4.94736842105263 |
205 | 71 | 70 | 1 |
206 | 76 | 76.0952380952381 | -0.095238095238102 |
207 | 62 | 63.0526315789474 | -1.05263157894737 |
208 | 61 | 63.0526315789474 | -2.05263157894737 |
209 | 67 | 70 | -3 |
210 | 88 | 85.2608695652174 | 2.73913043478261 |
211 | 30 | 25.75 | 4.25 |
212 | 64 | 63.0526315789474 | 0.94736842105263 |
213 | 68 | 70 | -2 |
214 | 64 | 63.0526315789474 | 0.94736842105263 |
215 | 91 | 85.2608695652174 | 5.73913043478261 |
216 | 88 | 85.2608695652174 | 2.73913043478261 |
217 | 52 | 49.95 | 2.05 |
218 | 49 | 49.95 | -0.950000000000003 |
219 | 62 | 63.0526315789474 | -1.05263157894737 |
220 | 61 | 63.0526315789474 | -2.05263157894737 |
221 | 76 | 76.0952380952381 | -0.095238095238102 |
222 | 88 | 85.2608695652174 | 2.73913043478261 |
223 | 66 | 63.0526315789474 | 2.94736842105263 |
224 | 71 | 70 | 1 |
225 | 68 | 63.0526315789474 | 4.94736842105263 |
226 | 48 | 40.375 | 7.625 |
227 | 25 | 25.75 | -0.75 |
228 | 68 | 63.0526315789474 | 4.94736842105263 |
229 | 41 | 49.95 | -8.95 |
230 | 90 | 85.2608695652174 | 4.73913043478261 |
231 | 66 | 63.0526315789474 | 2.94736842105263 |
232 | 54 | 49.95 | 4.05 |
233 | 59 | 58.1111111111111 | 0.888888888888886 |
234 | 60 | 63.0526315789474 | -3.05263157894737 |
235 | 77 | 76.0952380952381 | 0.904761904761898 |
236 | 68 | 70 | -2 |
237 | 72 | 70 | 2 |
238 | 67 | 63.0526315789474 | 3.94736842105263 |
239 | 64 | 63.0526315789474 | 0.94736842105263 |
240 | 63 | 63.0526315789474 | -0.0526315789473699 |
241 | 59 | 58.1111111111111 | 0.888888888888886 |
242 | 84 | 76.0952380952381 | 7.9047619047619 |
243 | 64 | 63.0526315789474 | 0.94736842105263 |
244 | 56 | 49.95 | 6.05 |
245 | 54 | 58.1111111111111 | -4.11111111111111 |
246 | 67 | 63.0526315789474 | 3.94736842105263 |
247 | 58 | 58.1111111111111 | -0.111111111111114 |
248 | 59 | 58.1111111111111 | 0.888888888888886 |
249 | 40 | 40.375 | -0.375 |
250 | 22 | 25.75 | -3.75 |
251 | 83 | 85.2608695652174 | -2.26086956521739 |
252 | 81 | 76.0952380952381 | 4.9047619047619 |
253 | 2 | 5.61538461538461 | -3.61538461538461 |
254 | 72 | 70 | 2 |
255 | 61 | 63.0526315789474 | -2.05263157894737 |
256 | 15 | 5.61538461538461 | 9.38461538461539 |
257 | 32 | 40.375 | -8.375 |
258 | 62 | 63.0526315789474 | -1.05263157894737 |
259 | 58 | 63.0526315789474 | -5.05263157894737 |
260 | 36 | 40.375 | -4.375 |
261 | 59 | 63.0526315789474 | -4.05263157894737 |
262 | 68 | 63.0526315789474 | 4.94736842105263 |
263 | 21 | 25.75 | -4.75 |
264 | 55 | 58.1111111111111 | -3.11111111111111 |
265 | 54 | 49.95 | 4.05 |
266 | 55 | 49.95 | 5.05 |
267 | 72 | 70 | 2 |
268 | 41 | 40.375 | 0.625 |
269 | 61 | 63.0526315789474 | -2.05263157894737 |
270 | 67 | 76.0952380952381 | -9.0952380952381 |
271 | 76 | 76.0952380952381 | -0.095238095238102 |
272 | 64 | 63.0526315789474 | 0.94736842105263 |
273 | 3 | 5.61538461538461 | -2.61538461538461 |
274 | 63 | 63.0526315789474 | -0.0526315789473699 |
275 | 40 | 40.375 | -0.375 |
276 | 69 | 76.0952380952381 | -7.0952380952381 |
277 | 48 | 40.375 | 7.625 |
278 | 8 | 5.61538461538461 | 2.38461538461539 |
279 | 52 | 49.95 | 2.05 |
280 | 66 | 63.0526315789474 | 2.94736842105263 |
281 | 76 | 76.0952380952381 | -0.095238095238102 |
282 | 43 | 49.95 | -6.95 |
283 | 39 | 40.375 | -1.375 |
284 | 14 | 5.61538461538461 | 8.38461538461539 |
285 | 61 | 63.0526315789474 | -2.05263157894737 |
286 | 71 | 76.0952380952381 | -5.0952380952381 |
287 | 44 | 40.375 | 3.625 |
288 | 60 | 58.1111111111111 | 1.88888888888889 |
289 | 64 | 63.0526315789474 | 0.94736842105263 |