Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.939 |
R-squared | 0.8818 |
RMSE | 28262.0895 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 161692.710526316 | 49214.2894736842 |
2 | 120982 | 87325.8723404255 | 33656.1276595745 |
3 | 176508 | 204881.741935484 | -28373.7419354839 |
4 | 179321 | 237560.35483871 | -58239.3548387097 |
5 | 123185 | 87325.8723404255 | 35859.1276595745 |
6 | 52746 | 51607.6944444444 | 1138.30555555555 |
7 | 385534 | 322592.294117647 | 62941.705882353 |
8 | 33170 | 51607.6944444444 | -18437.6944444444 |
9 | 101645 | 104038.568627451 | -2393.56862745098 |
10 | 149061 | 204881.741935484 | -55820.7419354839 |
11 | 165446 | 161692.710526316 | 3753.28947368421 |
12 | 237213 | 237560.35483871 | -347.354838709667 |
13 | 173326 | 161692.710526316 | 11633.2894736842 |
14 | 133131 | 161692.710526316 | -28561.7105263158 |
15 | 258873 | 204881.741935484 | 53991.2580645161 |
16 | 180083 | 161692.710526316 | 18390.2894736842 |
17 | 324799 | 322592.294117647 | 2206.70588235295 |
18 | 230964 | 204881.741935484 | 26082.2580645161 |
19 | 236785 | 237560.35483871 | -775.354838709667 |
20 | 135473 | 104038.568627451 | 31434.431372549 |
21 | 202925 | 204881.741935484 | -1956.74193548388 |
22 | 215147 | 204881.741935484 | 10265.2580645161 |
23 | 344297 | 237560.35483871 | 106736.64516129 |
24 | 153935 | 161692.710526316 | -7757.71052631579 |
25 | 132943 | 161692.710526316 | -28749.7105263158 |
26 | 174724 | 237560.35483871 | -62836.3548387097 |
27 | 174415 | 237560.35483871 | -63145.3548387097 |
28 | 225548 | 237560.35483871 | -12012.3548387097 |
29 | 223632 | 161692.710526316 | 61939.2894736842 |
30 | 124817 | 161692.710526316 | -36875.7105263158 |
31 | 221698 | 204881.741935484 | 16816.2580645161 |
32 | 210767 | 204881.741935484 | 5885.25806451612 |
33 | 170266 | 161692.710526316 | 8573.28947368421 |
34 | 260561 | 237560.35483871 | 23000.6451612903 |
35 | 84853 | 87325.8723404255 | -2472.87234042553 |
36 | 294424 | 322592.294117647 | -28168.294117647 |
37 | 101011 | 87325.8723404255 | 13685.1276595745 |
38 | 215641 | 204881.741935484 | 10759.2580645161 |
39 | 325107 | 237560.35483871 | 87546.6451612903 |
40 | 7176 | 22604.7692307692 | -15428.7692307692 |
41 | 167542 | 161692.710526316 | 5849.28947368421 |
42 | 106408 | 87325.8723404255 | 19082.1276595745 |
43 | 96560 | 104038.568627451 | -7478.56862745098 |
44 | 265769 | 237560.35483871 | 28208.6451612903 |
45 | 269651 | 322592.294117647 | -52941.294117647 |
46 | 149112 | 161692.710526316 | -12580.7105263158 |
47 | 175824 | 149425.882352941 | 26398.1176470588 |
48 | 152871 | 161692.710526316 | -8821.71052631579 |
49 | 111665 | 87325.8723404255 | 24339.1276595745 |
50 | 116408 | 204881.741935484 | -88473.7419354839 |
51 | 362301 | 322592.294117647 | 39708.705882353 |
52 | 78800 | 87325.8723404255 | -8525.87234042553 |
53 | 183167 | 204881.741935484 | -21714.7419354839 |
54 | 277965 | 322592.294117647 | -44627.294117647 |
55 | 150629 | 204881.741935484 | -54252.7419354839 |
56 | 168809 | 161692.710526316 | 7116.28947368421 |
57 | 24188 | 22604.7692307692 | 1583.23076923077 |
58 | 329267 | 237560.35483871 | 91706.6451612903 |
59 | 65029 | 87325.8723404255 | -22296.8723404255 |
60 | 101097 | 104038.568627451 | -2941.56862745098 |
61 | 218946 | 204881.741935484 | 14064.2580645161 |
62 | 244052 | 204881.741935484 | 39170.2580645161 |
63 | 341570 | 322592.294117647 | 18977.705882353 |
64 | 103597 | 104038.568627451 | -441.568627450979 |
65 | 233328 | 237560.35483871 | -4232.35483870967 |
66 | 256462 | 237560.35483871 | 18901.6451612903 |
67 | 206161 | 237560.35483871 | -31399.3548387097 |
68 | 311473 | 322592.294117647 | -11119.294117647 |
69 | 235800 | 237560.35483871 | -1760.35483870967 |
70 | 177939 | 149425.882352941 | 28513.1176470588 |
71 | 207176 | 204881.741935484 | 2294.25806451612 |
72 | 196553 | 161692.710526316 | 34860.2894736842 |
73 | 174184 | 161692.710526316 | 12491.2894736842 |
74 | 143246 | 161692.710526316 | -18446.7105263158 |
75 | 187559 | 237560.35483871 | -50001.3548387097 |
76 | 187681 | 204881.741935484 | -17200.7419354839 |
77 | 119016 | 104038.568627451 | 14977.431372549 |
78 | 182192 | 204881.741935484 | -22689.7419354839 |
79 | 73566 | 104038.568627451 | -30472.568627451 |
80 | 194979 | 204881.741935484 | -9902.74193548388 |
81 | 167488 | 204881.741935484 | -37393.7419354839 |
82 | 143756 | 161692.710526316 | -17936.7105263158 |
83 | 275541 | 204881.741935484 | 70659.2580645161 |
84 | 243199 | 237560.35483871 | 5638.64516129033 |
85 | 182999 | 161692.710526316 | 21306.2894736842 |
86 | 135649 | 161692.710526316 | -26043.7105263158 |
87 | 152299 | 161692.710526316 | -9393.71052631579 |
88 | 120221 | 104038.568627451 | 16182.431372549 |
89 | 346485 | 322592.294117647 | 23892.705882353 |
90 | 145790 | 149425.882352941 | -3635.88235294117 |
91 | 193339 | 161692.710526316 | 31646.2894736842 |
92 | 80953 | 104038.568627451 | -23085.568627451 |
93 | 122774 | 149425.882352941 | -26651.8823529412 |
94 | 130585 | 87325.8723404255 | 43259.1276595745 |
95 | 112611 | 87325.8723404255 | 25285.1276595745 |
96 | 286468 | 322592.294117647 | -36124.294117647 |
97 | 241066 | 237560.35483871 | 3505.64516129033 |
98 | 148446 | 237560.35483871 | -89114.3548387097 |
99 | 204713 | 149425.882352941 | 55287.1176470588 |
100 | 182079 | 161692.710526316 | 20386.2894736842 |
101 | 140344 | 161692.710526316 | -21348.7105263158 |
102 | 220516 | 204881.741935484 | 15634.2580645161 |
103 | 243060 | 204881.741935484 | 38178.2580645161 |
104 | 162765 | 161692.710526316 | 1072.28947368421 |
105 | 182613 | 161692.710526316 | 20920.2894736842 |
106 | 232138 | 204881.741935484 | 27256.2580645161 |
107 | 265318 | 237560.35483871 | 27757.6451612903 |
108 | 85574 | 87325.8723404255 | -1751.87234042553 |
109 | 310839 | 322592.294117647 | -11753.294117647 |
110 | 225060 | 237560.35483871 | -12500.3548387097 |
111 | 232317 | 204881.741935484 | 27435.2580645161 |
112 | 144966 | 161692.710526316 | -16726.7105263158 |
113 | 43287 | 51607.6944444444 | -8320.69444444445 |
114 | 155754 | 149425.882352941 | 6328.11764705883 |
115 | 164709 | 237560.35483871 | -72851.3548387097 |
116 | 201940 | 204881.741935484 | -2941.74193548388 |
117 | 235454 | 237560.35483871 | -2106.35483870967 |
118 | 220801 | 149425.882352941 | 71375.1176470588 |
119 | 99466 | 87325.8723404255 | 12140.1276595745 |
120 | 92661 | 104038.568627451 | -11377.568627451 |
121 | 133328 | 104038.568627451 | 29289.431372549 |
122 | 61361 | 104038.568627451 | -42677.568627451 |
123 | 125930 | 149425.882352941 | -23495.8823529412 |
124 | 100750 | 161692.710526316 | -60942.7105263158 |
125 | 224549 | 161692.710526316 | 62856.2894736842 |
126 | 82316 | 57636 | 24680 |
127 | 102010 | 104038.568627451 | -2028.56862745098 |
128 | 101523 | 87325.8723404255 | 14197.1276595745 |
129 | 243511 | 237560.35483871 | 5950.64516129033 |
130 | 22938 | 22604.7692307692 | 333.23076923077 |
131 | 41566 | 51607.6944444444 | -10041.6944444444 |
132 | 152474 | 204881.741935484 | -52407.7419354839 |
133 | 61857 | 51607.6944444444 | 10249.3055555556 |
134 | 99923 | 149425.882352941 | -49502.8823529412 |
135 | 132487 | 161692.710526316 | -29205.7105263158 |
136 | 317394 | 322592.294117647 | -5198.29411764705 |
137 | 21054 | 22604.7692307692 | -1550.76923076923 |
138 | 209641 | 204881.741935484 | 4759.25806451612 |
139 | 22648 | 51607.6944444444 | -28959.6944444444 |
140 | 31414 | 22604.7692307692 | 8809.23076923077 |
141 | 46698 | 87325.8723404255 | -40627.8723404255 |
142 | 131698 | 104038.568627451 | 27659.431372549 |
143 | 91735 | 104038.568627451 | -12303.568627451 |
144 | 244749 | 237560.35483871 | 7188.64516129033 |
145 | 184510 | 161692.710526316 | 22817.2894736842 |
146 | 79863 | 104038.568627451 | -24175.568627451 |
147 | 128423 | 161692.710526316 | -33269.7105263158 |
148 | 97839 | 104038.568627451 | -6199.56862745098 |
149 | 38214 | 57636 | -19422 |
150 | 151101 | 161692.710526316 | -10591.7105263158 |
151 | 272458 | 204881.741935484 | 67576.2580645161 |
152 | 172494 | 161692.710526316 | 10801.2894736842 |
153 | 108043 | 104038.568627451 | 4004.43137254902 |
154 | 328107 | 322592.294117647 | 5514.70588235295 |
155 | 250579 | 237560.35483871 | 13018.6451612903 |
156 | 351067 | 322592.294117647 | 28474.705882353 |
157 | 158015 | 161692.710526316 | -3677.71052631579 |
158 | 98866 | 104038.568627451 | -5172.56862745098 |
159 | 85439 | 87325.8723404255 | -1886.87234042553 |
160 | 229242 | 237560.35483871 | -8318.35483870967 |
161 | 351619 | 322592.294117647 | 29026.705882353 |
162 | 84207 | 87325.8723404255 | -3118.87234042553 |
163 | 120445 | 104038.568627451 | 16406.431372549 |
164 | 324598 | 322592.294117647 | 2005.70588235295 |
165 | 131069 | 149425.882352941 | -18356.8823529412 |
166 | 204271 | 161692.710526316 | 42578.2894736842 |
167 | 165543 | 149425.882352941 | 16117.1176470588 |
168 | 141722 | 161692.710526316 | -19970.7105263158 |
169 | 116048 | 87325.8723404255 | 28722.1276595745 |
170 | 250047 | 237560.35483871 | 12486.6451612903 |
171 | 299775 | 322592.294117647 | -22817.294117647 |
172 | 195838 | 204881.741935484 | -9043.74193548388 |
173 | 173260 | 149425.882352941 | 23834.1176470588 |
174 | 254488 | 237560.35483871 | 16927.6451612903 |
175 | 104389 | 161692.710526316 | -57303.7105263158 |
176 | 136084 | 149425.882352941 | -13341.8823529412 |
177 | 199476 | 204881.741935484 | -5405.74193548388 |
178 | 92499 | 87325.8723404255 | 5173.12765957447 |
179 | 224330 | 237560.35483871 | -13230.3548387097 |
180 | 135781 | 104038.568627451 | 31742.431372549 |
181 | 74408 | 104038.568627451 | -29630.568627451 |
182 | 81240 | 104038.568627451 | -22798.568627451 |
183 | 14688 | 22604.7692307692 | -7916.76923076923 |
184 | 181633 | 204881.741935484 | -23248.7419354839 |
185 | 271856 | 237560.35483871 | 34295.6451612903 |
186 | 7199 | 22604.7692307692 | -15405.7692307692 |
187 | 46660 | 57636 | -10976 |
188 | 17547 | 22604.7692307692 | -5057.76923076923 |
189 | 133368 | 104038.568627451 | 29329.431372549 |
190 | 95227 | 87325.8723404255 | 7901.12765957447 |
191 | 152601 | 104038.568627451 | 48562.431372549 |
192 | 98146 | 104038.568627451 | -5892.56862745098 |
193 | 79619 | 104038.568627451 | -24419.568627451 |
194 | 59194 | 87325.8723404255 | -28131.8723404255 |
195 | 139942 | 104038.568627451 | 35903.431372549 |
196 | 118612 | 104038.568627451 | 14573.431372549 |
197 | 72880 | 104038.568627451 | -31158.568627451 |
198 | 65475 | 51607.6944444444 | 13867.3055555556 |
199 | 99643 | 104038.568627451 | -4395.56862745098 |
200 | 71965 | 87325.8723404255 | -15360.8723404255 |
201 | 77272 | 51607.6944444444 | 25664.3055555556 |
202 | 49289 | 51607.6944444444 | -2318.69444444445 |
203 | 135131 | 104038.568627451 | 31092.431372549 |
204 | 108446 | 104038.568627451 | 4407.43137254902 |
205 | 89746 | 149425.882352941 | -59679.8823529412 |
206 | 44296 | 51607.6944444444 | -7311.69444444445 |
207 | 77648 | 87325.8723404255 | -9677.87234042553 |
208 | 181528 | 149425.882352941 | 32102.1176470588 |
209 | 134019 | 104038.568627451 | 29980.431372549 |
210 | 124064 | 104038.568627451 | 20025.431372549 |
211 | 92630 | 104038.568627451 | -11408.568627451 |
212 | 121848 | 87325.8723404255 | 34522.1276595745 |
213 | 52915 | 51607.6944444444 | 1307.30555555555 |
214 | 81872 | 87325.8723404255 | -5453.87234042553 |
215 | 58981 | 104038.568627451 | -45057.568627451 |
216 | 53515 | 51607.6944444444 | 1907.30555555555 |
217 | 60812 | 104038.568627451 | -43226.568627451 |
218 | 56375 | 51607.6944444444 | 4767.30555555555 |
219 | 65490 | 51607.6944444444 | 13882.3055555556 |
220 | 80949 | 51607.6944444444 | 29341.3055555556 |
221 | 76302 | 87325.8723404255 | -11023.8723404255 |
222 | 104011 | 104038.568627451 | -27.568627450979 |
223 | 98104 | 149425.882352941 | -51321.8823529412 |
224 | 67989 | 51607.6944444444 | 16381.3055555556 |
225 | 30989 | 51607.6944444444 | -20618.6944444444 |
226 | 135458 | 149425.882352941 | -13967.8823529412 |
227 | 73504 | 57636 | 15868 |
228 | 63123 | 87325.8723404255 | -24202.8723404255 |
229 | 61254 | 87325.8723404255 | -26071.8723404255 |
230 | 74914 | 104038.568627451 | -29124.568627451 |
231 | 31774 | 51607.6944444444 | -19833.6944444444 |
232 | 81437 | 87325.8723404255 | -5888.87234042553 |
233 | 87186 | 104038.568627451 | -16852.568627451 |
234 | 50090 | 51607.6944444444 | -1517.69444444445 |
235 | 65745 | 87325.8723404255 | -21580.8723404255 |
236 | 56653 | 51607.6944444444 | 5045.30555555555 |
237 | 158399 | 104038.568627451 | 54360.431372549 |
238 | 46455 | 51607.6944444444 | -5152.69444444445 |
239 | 73624 | 104038.568627451 | -30414.568627451 |
240 | 38395 | 51607.6944444444 | -13212.6944444444 |
241 | 91899 | 87325.8723404255 | 4573.12765957447 |
242 | 139526 | 104038.568627451 | 35487.431372549 |
243 | 52164 | 51607.6944444444 | 556.305555555555 |
244 | 51567 | 51607.6944444444 | -40.6944444444453 |
245 | 70551 | 87325.8723404255 | -16774.8723404255 |
246 | 84856 | 104038.568627451 | -19182.568627451 |
247 | 102538 | 104038.568627451 | -1500.56862745098 |
248 | 86678 | 87325.8723404255 | -647.872340425529 |
249 | 85709 | 57636 | 28073 |
250 | 34662 | 57636 | -22974 |
251 | 150580 | 104038.568627451 | 46541.431372549 |
252 | 99611 | 87325.8723404255 | 12285.1276595745 |
253 | 19349 | 22604.7692307692 | -3255.76923076923 |
254 | 99373 | 104038.568627451 | -4665.56862745098 |
255 | 86230 | 104038.568627451 | -17808.568627451 |
256 | 30837 | 22604.7692307692 | 8232.23076923077 |
257 | 31706 | 51607.6944444444 | -19901.6944444444 |
258 | 89806 | 87325.8723404255 | 2480.12765957447 |
259 | 62088 | 51607.6944444444 | 10480.3055555556 |
260 | 40151 | 51607.6944444444 | -11456.6944444444 |
261 | 27634 | 51607.6944444444 | -23973.6944444444 |
262 | 76990 | 51607.6944444444 | 25382.3055555556 |
263 | 37460 | 22604.7692307692 | 14855.2307692308 |
264 | 54157 | 51607.6944444444 | 2549.30555555555 |
265 | 49862 | 51607.6944444444 | -1745.69444444445 |
266 | 84337 | 87325.8723404255 | -2988.87234042553 |
267 | 64175 | 87325.8723404255 | -23150.8723404255 |
268 | 59382 | 51607.6944444444 | 7774.30555555555 |
269 | 119308 | 87325.8723404255 | 31982.1276595745 |
270 | 76702 | 87325.8723404255 | -10623.8723404255 |
271 | 103425 | 104038.568627451 | -613.568627450979 |
272 | 70344 | 87325.8723404255 | -16981.8723404255 |
273 | 43410 | 57636 | -14226 |
274 | 104838 | 87325.8723404255 | 17512.1276595745 |
275 | 62215 | 51607.6944444444 | 10607.3055555556 |
276 | 69304 | 87325.8723404255 | -18021.8723404255 |
277 | 53117 | 51607.6944444444 | 1509.30555555555 |
278 | 19764 | 22604.7692307692 | -2840.76923076923 |
279 | 86680 | 87325.8723404255 | -645.872340425529 |
280 | 84105 | 87325.8723404255 | -3220.87234042553 |
281 | 77945 | 87325.8723404255 | -9380.87234042553 |
282 | 89113 | 87325.8723404255 | 1787.12765957447 |
283 | 91005 | 104038.568627451 | -13033.568627451 |
284 | 40248 | 22604.7692307692 | 17643.2307692308 |
285 | 64187 | 87325.8723404255 | -23138.8723404255 |
286 | 50857 | 51607.6944444444 | -750.694444444445 |
287 | 56613 | 57636 | -1023 |
288 | 62792 | 51607.6944444444 | 11184.3055555556 |
289 | 72535 | 87325.8723404255 | -14790.8723404255 |