Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 9081 | NA | NA | -557.577893518518 | NA |
2 | 9084 | NA | NA | -28.9612268518526 | NA |
3 | 9743 | NA | NA | 137.122106481482 | NA |
4 | 8587 | NA | NA | -692.952893518518 | NA |
5 | 9731 | NA | NA | 221.313773148148 | NA |
6 | 9563 | NA | NA | -213.352893518519 | NA |
7 | 9998 | 9510.45127314815 | 9512.16666666667 | -1.71539351851867 | 487.54872685185 |
8 | 9437 | 9458.0693287037 | 9512.29166666667 | -54.2223379629624 | -21.0693287037029 |
9 | 10038 | 10071.7054398148 | 9503.66666666667 | 568.038773148148 | -33.7054398148157 |
10 | 9918 | 9869.79710648148 | 9497.70833333333 | 372.088773148149 | 48.202893518519 |
11 | 9252 | 9588.70543981482 | 9498.08333333333 | 90.622106481481 | -336.705439814816 |
12 | 9737 | 9627.68043981481 | 9468.08333333333 | 159.597106481481 | 109.319560185186 |
13 | 9035 | 8855.04710648148 | 9412.625 | -557.577893518518 | 179.952893518519 |
14 | 9133 | 9328.53877314815 | 9357.5 | -28.9612268518526 | -195.538773148148 |
15 | 9487 | 9465.49710648148 | 9328.375 | 137.122106481482 | 21.5028935185182 |
16 | 8700 | 8619.54710648148 | 9312.5 | -692.952893518518 | 80.452893518519 |
17 | 9627 | 9524.48043981481 | 9303.16666666667 | 221.313773148148 | 102.519560185186 |
18 | 8947 | 9087.06377314815 | 9300.41666666667 | -213.352893518519 | -140.063773148147 |
19 | 9283 | 9276.74293981481 | 9278.45833333333 | -1.71539351851867 | 6.25706018518576 |
20 | 8829 | 9211.15266203704 | 9265.375 | -54.2223379629624 | -382.152662037035 |
21 | 9947 | 9840.12210648148 | 9272.08333333333 | 568.038773148148 | 106.87789351852 |
22 | 9628 | 9641.13043981481 | 9269.04166666666 | 372.088773148149 | -13.1304398148131 |
23 | 9318 | 9334.87210648148 | 9244.25 | 90.622106481481 | -16.8721064814818 |
24 | 9605 | 9407.22210648148 | 9247.625 | 159.597106481481 | 197.77789351852 |
25 | 8640 | 8705.17210648148 | 9262.75 | -557.577893518518 | -65.1721064814792 |
26 | 9214 | 9245.83043981481 | 9274.79166666667 | -28.9612268518526 | -31.8304398148139 |
27 | 9567 | 9439.91377314815 | 9302.79166666667 | 137.122106481482 | 127.086226851852 |
28 | 8547 | 8611.04710648148 | 9304 | -692.952893518518 | -64.0471064814792 |
29 | 9185 | 9531.27210648148 | 9309.95833333333 | 221.313773148148 | -346.272106481481 |
30 | 9470 | 9103.31377314815 | 9316.66666666667 | -213.352893518519 | 366.686226851851 |
31 | 9123 | 9311.74293981482 | 9313.45833333333 | -1.71539351851867 | -188.742939814816 |
32 | 9278 | 9277.4443287037 | 9331.66666666667 | -54.2223379629624 | 0.555671296297078 |
33 | 10170 | 9918.78877314815 | 9350.75 | 568.038773148148 | 251.211226851852 |
34 | 9434 | 9747.50543981481 | 9375.41666666667 | 372.088773148149 | -313.505439814815 |
35 | 9655 | 9505.99710648148 | 9415.375 | 90.622106481481 | 149.002893518518 |
36 | 9429 | 9584.26377314815 | 9424.66666666667 | 159.597106481481 | -155.263773148146 |
37 | 8739 | 8853.83877314815 | 9411.41666666667 | -557.577893518518 | -114.838773148147 |
38 | 9552 | 9401.45543981481 | 9430.41666666667 | -28.9612268518526 | 150.544560185186 |
39 | 9687 | 9594.70543981481 | 9457.58333333333 | 137.122106481482 | 92.2945601851861 |
40 | 9019 | 8798.50543981481 | 9491.45833333333 | -692.952893518518 | 220.494560185185 |
41 | 9672 | 9749.39710648148 | 9528.08333333333 | 221.313773148148 | -77.3971064814796 |
42 | 9206 | 9332.85543981481 | 9546.20833333333 | -213.352893518519 | -126.855439814814 |
43 | 9069 | 9577.11793981481 | 9578.83333333333 | -1.71539351851867 | -508.117939814814 |
44 | 9788 | 9564.1943287037 | 9618.41666666667 | -54.2223379629624 | 223.805671296295 |
45 | 10312 | 10203.4554398148 | 9635.41666666667 | 568.038773148148 | 108.544560185186 |
46 | 10105 | 10009.3387731481 | 9637.25 | 372.088773148149 | 95.6612268518529 |
47 | 9863 | 9750.70543981481 | 9660.08333333333 | 90.622106481481 | 112.294560185186 |
48 | 9656 | 9862.09710648148 | 9702.5 | 159.597106481481 | -206.09710648148 |
49 | 9295 | 9194.75543981481 | 9752.33333333333 | -557.577893518518 | 100.244560185187 |
50 | 9946 | 9756.74710648148 | 9785.70833333333 | -28.9612268518526 | 189.252893518518 |
51 | 9701 | 9913.95543981481 | 9776.83333333333 | 137.122106481482 | -212.955439814814 |
52 | 9049 | 9084.29710648148 | 9777.25 | -692.952893518518 | -35.2971064814792 |
53 | 10190 | 10020.9804398148 | 9799.66666666667 | 221.313773148148 | 169.019560185186 |
54 | 9706 | 9614.06377314815 | 9827.41666666667 | -213.352893518519 | 91.9362268518507 |
55 | 9765 | 9843.49293981481 | 9845.20833333333 | -1.71539351851867 | -78.4929398148142 |
56 | 9893 | 9784.52766203704 | 9838.75 | -54.2223379629624 | 108.472337962965 |
57 | 9994 | 10418.0387731481 | 9850 | 568.038773148148 | -424.038773148148 |
58 | 10433 | 10241.3387731481 | 9869.25 | 372.088773148149 | 191.661226851853 |
59 | 10073 | 9971.83043981482 | 9881.20833333333 | 90.622106481481 | 101.169560185184 |
60 | 10112 | 10048.8471064815 | 9889.25 | 159.597106481481 | 63.1528935185197 |
61 | 9266 | 9357.29710648148 | 9914.875 | -557.577893518518 | -91.297106481481 |
62 | 9820 | 9923.53877314815 | 9952.5 | -28.9612268518526 | -103.53877314815 |
63 | 10097 | 10116.0387731481 | 9978.91666666667 | 137.122106481482 | -19.0387731481478 |
64 | 9115 | 9307.71377314815 | 10000.6666666667 | -692.952893518518 | -192.713773148147 |
65 | 10411 | 10249.9804398148 | 10028.6666666667 | 221.313773148148 | 161.019560185186 |
66 | 9678 | 9860.81377314815 | 10074.1666666667 | -213.352893518519 | -182.813773148147 |
67 | 10408 | 10115.7846064815 | 10117.5 | -1.71539351851867 | 292.215393518518 |
68 | 10153 | 10071.9443287037 | 10126.1666666667 | -54.2223379629624 | 81.0556712962989 |
69 | 10368 | NA | NA | 568.038773148148 | NA |
70 | 10581 | NA | NA | 372.088773148149 | NA |
71 | 10597 | NA | NA | 90.622106481481 | NA |
72 | 10680 | NA | NA | 159.597106481481 | NA |
73 | 9738 | NA | NA | -557.577893518518 | NA |
74 | 9556 | NA | NA | -28.9612268518526 | NA |