Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9553 |
R-squared | 0.9127 |
RMSE | 24445.1303 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 52746 | 67720 | -14974 |
2 | 385534 | 320569.294117647 | 64964.705882353 |
3 | 33170 | 19387.4 | 13782.6 |
4 | 101645 | 82336.8979591837 | 19308.1020408163 |
5 | 149061 | 199401.954545455 | -50340.9545454546 |
6 | 165446 | 169362.47826087 | -3916.47826086957 |
7 | 237213 | 236040.368421053 | 1172.63157894736 |
8 | 173326 | 141174.944444444 | 32151.0555555556 |
9 | 133131 | 141174.944444444 | -8043.94444444444 |
10 | 258873 | 233288.25 | 25584.75 |
11 | 180083 | 169362.47826087 | 10720.5217391304 |
12 | 324799 | 320569.294117647 | 4229.70588235295 |
13 | 230964 | 236040.368421053 | -5076.36842105264 |
14 | 236785 | 233288.25 | 3496.75 |
15 | 135473 | 169362.47826087 | -33889.4782608696 |
16 | 202925 | 199401.954545455 | 3523.04545454544 |
17 | 215147 | 236040.368421053 | -20893.3684210526 |
18 | 344297 | 320569.294117647 | 23727.705882353 |
19 | 153935 | 169362.47826087 | -15427.4782608696 |
20 | 132943 | 141174.944444444 | -8231.94444444444 |
21 | 174724 | 233288.25 | -58564.25 |
22 | 174415 | 199401.954545455 | -24986.9545454546 |
23 | 225548 | 263935.428571429 | -38387.4285714286 |
24 | 223632 | 169362.47826087 | 54269.5217391304 |
25 | 124817 | 141174.944444444 | -16357.9444444444 |
26 | 221698 | 236040.368421053 | -14342.3684210526 |
27 | 210767 | 236040.368421053 | -25273.3684210526 |
28 | 170266 | 169362.47826087 | 903.521739130432 |
29 | 260561 | 236040.368421053 | 24520.6315789474 |
30 | 84853 | 82336.8979591837 | 2516.10204081633 |
31 | 294424 | 320569.294117647 | -26145.294117647 |
32 | 101011 | 101660.5 | -649.5 |
33 | 215641 | 199401.954545455 | 16239.0454545454 |
34 | 325107 | 320569.294117647 | 4537.70588235295 |
35 | 7176 | 19387.4 | -12211.4 |
36 | 167542 | 169362.47826087 | -1820.47826086957 |
37 | 106408 | 101660.5 | 4747.5 |
38 | 96560 | 101726.181818182 | -5166.18181818182 |
39 | 265769 | 263935.428571429 | 1833.57142857142 |
40 | 269651 | 320569.294117647 | -50918.294117647 |
41 | 149112 | 141174.944444444 | 7937.05555555556 |
42 | 175824 | 233288.25 | -57464.25 |
43 | 152871 | 169362.47826087 | -16491.4782608696 |
44 | 111665 | 101660.5 | 10004.5 |
45 | 116408 | 142111.176470588 | -25703.1764705882 |
46 | 362301 | 233288.25 | 129012.75 |
47 | 78800 | 101660.5 | -22860.5 |
48 | 183167 | 199401.954545455 | -16234.9545454546 |
49 | 277965 | 320569.294117647 | -42604.294117647 |
50 | 150629 | 199401.954545455 | -48772.9545454546 |
51 | 168809 | 169362.47826087 | -553.478260869568 |
52 | 24188 | 36085.7857142857 | -11897.7857142857 |
53 | 329267 | 263935.428571429 | 65331.5714285714 |
54 | 65029 | 67720 | -2691 |
55 | 101097 | 101660.5 | -563.5 |
56 | 218946 | 233288.25 | -14342.25 |
57 | 244052 | 236040.368421053 | 8011.63157894736 |
58 | 341570 | 320569.294117647 | 21000.705882353 |
59 | 103597 | 82336.8979591837 | 21260.1020408163 |
60 | 233328 | 263935.428571429 | -30607.4285714286 |
61 | 256462 | 263935.428571429 | -7473.42857142858 |
62 | 206161 | 142111.176470588 | 64049.8235294118 |
63 | 311473 | 320569.294117647 | -9096.29411764705 |
64 | 235800 | 236040.368421053 | -240.368421052641 |
65 | 177939 | 142111.176470588 | 35827.8235294118 |
66 | 207176 | 199401.954545455 | 7774.04545454544 |
67 | 196553 | 169362.47826087 | 27190.5217391304 |
68 | 174184 | 169362.47826087 | 4821.52173913043 |
69 | 143246 | 141174.944444444 | 2071.05555555556 |
70 | 187559 | 233288.25 | -45729.25 |
71 | 187681 | 199401.954545455 | -11720.9545454546 |
72 | 119016 | 121861.375 | -2845.375 |
73 | 182192 | 199401.954545455 | -17209.9545454546 |
74 | 73566 | 82336.8979591837 | -8770.89795918367 |
75 | 194979 | 199401.954545455 | -4422.95454545456 |
76 | 167488 | 142111.176470588 | 25376.8235294118 |
77 | 143756 | 141174.944444444 | 2581.05555555556 |
78 | 275541 | 199401.954545455 | 76139.0454545454 |
79 | 243199 | 236040.368421053 | 7158.63157894736 |
80 | 182999 | 169362.47826087 | 13636.5217391304 |
81 | 135649 | 141174.944444444 | -5525.94444444444 |
82 | 152299 | 141174.944444444 | 11124.0555555556 |
83 | 120221 | 121861.375 | -1640.375 |
84 | 346485 | 320569.294117647 | 25915.705882353 |
85 | 145790 | 142111.176470588 | 3678.82352941178 |
86 | 193339 | 169362.47826087 | 23976.5217391304 |
87 | 80953 | 101660.5 | -20707.5 |
88 | 122774 | 142111.176470588 | -19337.1764705882 |
89 | 130585 | 101660.5 | 28924.5 |
90 | 112611 | 101660.5 | 10950.5 |
91 | 286468 | 233288.25 | 53179.75 |
92 | 241066 | 236040.368421053 | 5025.63157894736 |
93 | 148446 | 233288.25 | -84842.25 |
94 | 204713 | 199401.954545455 | 5311.04545454544 |
95 | 182079 | 169362.47826087 | 12716.5217391304 |
96 | 140344 | 141174.944444444 | -830.944444444438 |
97 | 220516 | 233288.25 | -12772.25 |
98 | 243060 | 236040.368421053 | 7019.63157894736 |
99 | 162765 | 169362.47826087 | -6597.47826086957 |
100 | 182613 | 169362.47826087 | 13250.5217391304 |
101 | 232138 | 236040.368421053 | -3902.36842105264 |
102 | 265318 | 263935.428571429 | 1382.57142857142 |
103 | 85574 | 82336.8979591837 | 3237.10204081633 |
104 | 310839 | 320569.294117647 | -9730.29411764705 |
105 | 225060 | 199401.954545455 | 25658.0454545454 |
106 | 232317 | 236040.368421053 | -3723.36842105264 |
107 | 144966 | 141174.944444444 | 3791.05555555556 |
108 | 43287 | 49946.2777777778 | -6659.27777777778 |
109 | 155754 | 142111.176470588 | 13642.8235294118 |
110 | 164709 | 199401.954545455 | -34692.9545454546 |
111 | 201940 | 199401.954545455 | 2538.04545454544 |
112 | 235454 | 236040.368421053 | -586.368421052641 |
113 | 220801 | 199401.954545455 | 21399.0454545454 |
114 | 99466 | 169362.47826087 | -69896.4782608696 |
115 | 92661 | 101726.181818182 | -9065.18181818182 |
116 | 133328 | 121861.375 | 11466.625 |
117 | 61361 | 101726.181818182 | -40365.1818181818 |
118 | 125930 | 142111.176470588 | -16181.1764705882 |
119 | 100750 | 141174.944444444 | -40424.9444444444 |
120 | 224549 | 169362.47826087 | 55186.5217391304 |
121 | 82316 | 82336.8979591837 | -20.8979591836687 |
122 | 102010 | 82336.8979591837 | 19673.1020408163 |
123 | 101523 | 121861.375 | -20338.375 |
124 | 243511 | 199401.954545455 | 44109.0454545454 |
125 | 22938 | 19387.4 | 3550.6 |
126 | 41566 | 36085.7857142857 | 5480.21428571428 |
127 | 152474 | 142111.176470588 | 10362.8235294118 |
128 | 61857 | 67720 | -5863 |
129 | 99923 | 142111.176470588 | -42188.1764705882 |
130 | 132487 | 141174.944444444 | -8687.94444444444 |
131 | 317394 | 320569.294117647 | -3175.29411764705 |
132 | 21054 | 19387.4 | 1666.6 |
133 | 209641 | 199401.954545455 | 10239.0454545454 |
134 | 22648 | 36085.7857142857 | -13437.7857142857 |
135 | 31414 | 36085.7857142857 | -4671.78571428572 |
136 | 46698 | 49946.2777777778 | -3248.27777777778 |
137 | 131698 | 121861.375 | 9836.625 |
138 | 91735 | 82336.8979591837 | 9398.10204081633 |
139 | 244749 | 320569.294117647 | -75820.294117647 |
140 | 184510 | 141174.944444444 | 43335.0555555556 |
141 | 79863 | 82336.8979591837 | -2473.89795918367 |
142 | 128423 | 82336.8979591837 | 46086.1020408163 |
143 | 97839 | 101660.5 | -3821.5 |
144 | 38214 | 36085.7857142857 | 2128.21428571428 |
145 | 151101 | 141174.944444444 | 9926.05555555556 |
146 | 272458 | 236040.368421053 | 36417.6315789474 |
147 | 172494 | 169362.47826087 | 3131.52173913043 |
148 | 108043 | 121861.375 | -13818.375 |
149 | 328107 | 320569.294117647 | 7537.70588235295 |
150 | 250579 | 236040.368421053 | 14538.6315789474 |
151 | 351067 | 320569.294117647 | 30497.705882353 |
152 | 158015 | 169362.47826087 | -11347.4782608696 |
153 | 98866 | 82336.8979591837 | 16529.1020408163 |
154 | 85439 | 101660.5 | -16221.5 |
155 | 229242 | 233288.25 | -4046.25 |
156 | 351619 | 320569.294117647 | 31049.705882353 |
157 | 84207 | 82336.8979591837 | 1870.10204081633 |
158 | 120445 | 121861.375 | -1416.375 |
159 | 324598 | 320569.294117647 | 4028.70588235295 |
160 | 131069 | 142111.176470588 | -11042.1764705882 |
161 | 204271 | 169362.47826087 | 34908.5217391304 |
162 | 165543 | 199401.954545455 | -33858.9545454546 |
163 | 141722 | 141174.944444444 | 547.055555555562 |
164 | 116048 | 101660.5 | 14387.5 |
165 | 250047 | 199401.954545455 | 50645.0454545454 |
166 | 299775 | 233288.25 | 66486.75 |
167 | 195838 | 199401.954545455 | -3563.95454545456 |
168 | 173260 | 142111.176470588 | 31148.8235294118 |
169 | 254488 | 236040.368421053 | 18447.6315789474 |
170 | 104389 | 141174.944444444 | -36785.9444444444 |
171 | 136084 | 142111.176470588 | -6027.17647058822 |
172 | 199476 | 236040.368421053 | -36564.3684210526 |
173 | 92499 | 82336.8979591837 | 10162.1020408163 |
174 | 224330 | 236040.368421053 | -11710.3684210526 |
175 | 135781 | 121861.375 | 13919.625 |
176 | 74408 | 82336.8979591837 | -7928.89795918367 |
177 | 81240 | 101726.181818182 | -20486.1818181818 |
178 | 14688 | 19387.4 | -4699.4 |
179 | 181633 | 199401.954545455 | -17768.9545454546 |
180 | 271856 | 263935.428571429 | 7920.57142857142 |
181 | 7199 | 19387.4 | -12188.4 |
182 | 46660 | 49946.2777777778 | -3286.27777777778 |
183 | 17547 | 19387.4 | -1840.4 |
184 | 133368 | 121861.375 | 11506.625 |
185 | 95227 | 82336.8979591837 | 12890.1020408163 |
186 | 152601 | 141174.944444444 | 11426.0555555556 |
187 | 98146 | 101726.181818182 | -3580.18181818182 |
188 | 79619 | 82336.8979591837 | -2717.89795918367 |
189 | 59194 | 82336.8979591837 | -23142.8979591837 |
190 | 139942 | 169362.47826087 | -29420.4782608696 |
191 | 118612 | 101726.181818182 | 16885.8181818182 |
192 | 72880 | 82336.8979591837 | -9456.89795918367 |
193 | 65475 | 67720 | -2245 |
194 | 99643 | 101726.181818182 | -2083.18181818182 |
195 | 71965 | 67720 | 4245 |
196 | 77272 | 67720 | 9552 |
197 | 49289 | 49946.2777777778 | -657.277777777781 |
198 | 135131 | 101726.181818182 | 33404.8181818182 |
199 | 108446 | 121861.375 | -13415.375 |
200 | 89746 | 142111.176470588 | -52365.1764705882 |
201 | 44296 | 36085.7857142857 | 8210.21428571428 |
202 | 77648 | 82336.8979591837 | -4688.89795918367 |
203 | 181528 | 142111.176470588 | 39416.8235294118 |
204 | 134019 | 121861.375 | 12157.625 |
205 | 124064 | 121861.375 | 2202.625 |
206 | 92630 | 82336.8979591837 | 10293.1020408163 |
207 | 121848 | 82336.8979591837 | 39511.1020408163 |
208 | 52915 | 49946.2777777778 | 2968.72222222222 |
209 | 81872 | 101660.5 | -19788.5 |
210 | 58981 | 82336.8979591837 | -23355.8979591837 |
211 | 53515 | 49946.2777777778 | 3568.72222222222 |
212 | 60812 | 82336.8979591837 | -21524.8979591837 |
213 | 56375 | 67720 | -11345 |
214 | 65490 | 67720 | -2230 |
215 | 80949 | 67720 | 13229 |
216 | 76302 | 82336.8979591837 | -6034.89795918367 |
217 | 104011 | 169362.47826087 | -65351.4782608696 |
218 | 98104 | 142111.176470588 | -44007.1764705882 |
219 | 67989 | 67720 | 269 |
220 | 30989 | 19387.4 | 11601.6 |
221 | 135458 | 142111.176470588 | -6653.17647058822 |
222 | 73504 | 67720 | 5784 |
223 | 63123 | 82336.8979591837 | -19213.8979591837 |
224 | 61254 | 82336.8979591837 | -21082.8979591837 |
225 | 74914 | 82336.8979591837 | -7422.89795918367 |
226 | 31774 | 36085.7857142857 | -4311.78571428572 |
227 | 81437 | 82336.8979591837 | -899.897959183669 |
228 | 87186 | 121861.375 | -34675.375 |
229 | 50090 | 49946.2777777778 | 143.722222222219 |
230 | 65745 | 82336.8979591837 | -16591.8979591837 |
231 | 56653 | 49946.2777777778 | 6706.72222222222 |
232 | 158399 | 101726.181818182 | 56672.8181818182 |
233 | 46455 | 67720 | -21265 |
234 | 73624 | 82336.8979591837 | -8712.89795918367 |
235 | 38395 | 36085.7857142857 | 2309.21428571428 |
236 | 91899 | 82336.8979591837 | 9562.10204081633 |
237 | 139526 | 121861.375 | 17664.625 |
238 | 52164 | 49946.2777777778 | 2217.72222222222 |
239 | 51567 | 49946.2777777778 | 1620.72222222222 |
240 | 70551 | 82336.8979591837 | -11785.8979591837 |
241 | 84856 | 82336.8979591837 | 2519.10204081633 |
242 | 102538 | 121861.375 | -19323.375 |
243 | 86678 | 67720 | 18958 |
244 | 85709 | 82336.8979591837 | 3372.10204081633 |
245 | 34662 | 49946.2777777778 | -15284.2777777778 |
246 | 150580 | 121861.375 | 28718.625 |
247 | 99611 | 101660.5 | -2049.5 |
248 | 19349 | 19387.4 | -38.4000000000015 |
249 | 99373 | 82336.8979591837 | 17036.1020408163 |
250 | 86230 | 101726.181818182 | -15496.1818181818 |
251 | 30837 | 36085.7857142857 | -5248.78571428572 |
252 | 31706 | 49946.2777777778 | -18240.2777777778 |
253 | 89806 | 82336.8979591837 | 7469.10204081633 |
254 | 62088 | 49946.2777777778 | 12141.7222222222 |
255 | 40151 | 49946.2777777778 | -9795.27777777778 |
256 | 27634 | 36085.7857142857 | -8451.78571428572 |
257 | 76990 | 82336.8979591837 | -5346.89795918367 |
258 | 37460 | 36085.7857142857 | 1374.21428571428 |
259 | 54157 | 49946.2777777778 | 4210.72222222222 |
260 | 49862 | 49946.2777777778 | -84.277777777781 |
261 | 84337 | 82336.8979591837 | 2000.10204081633 |
262 | 64175 | 82336.8979591837 | -18161.8979591837 |
263 | 59382 | 49946.2777777778 | 9435.72222222222 |
264 | 119308 | 101660.5 | 17647.5 |
265 | 76702 | 82336.8979591837 | -5634.89795918367 |
266 | 103425 | 82336.8979591837 | 21088.1020408163 |
267 | 70344 | 67720 | 2624 |
268 | 43410 | 36085.7857142857 | 7324.21428571428 |
269 | 104838 | 82336.8979591837 | 22501.1020408163 |
270 | 62215 | 67720 | -5505 |
271 | 69304 | 82336.8979591837 | -13032.8979591837 |
272 | 53117 | 36085.7857142857 | 17031.2142857143 |
273 | 19764 | 19387.4 | 376.599999999999 |
274 | 86680 | 82336.8979591837 | 4343.10204081633 |
275 | 84105 | 67720 | 16385 |
276 | 77945 | 82336.8979591837 | -4391.89795918367 |
277 | 89113 | 82336.8979591837 | 6776.10204081633 |
278 | 91005 | 101726.181818182 | -10721.1818181818 |
279 | 40248 | 36085.7857142857 | 4162.21428571428 |
280 | 64187 | 49946.2777777778 | 14240.7222222222 |
281 | 50857 | 82336.8979591837 | -31479.8979591837 |
282 | 56613 | 82336.8979591837 | -25723.8979591837 |
283 | 62792 | 67720 | -4928 |
284 | 72535 | 82336.8979591837 | -9801.89795918367 |