Goodness of Fit | |
Correlation | 0.9262 |
R-squared | 0.8578 |
RMSE | 30992.4574 |
Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals | |||
# | Actuals | Forecasts | Residuals |
1 | 210907 | 156134.43902439 | 54772.5609756098 |
2 | 120982 | 107346.75 | 13635.25 |
3 | 176508 | 156134.43902439 | 20373.5609756098 |
4 | 179321 | 217099.565217391 | -37778.5652173913 |
5 | 123185 | 108090.821428571 | 15094.1785714286 |
6 | 52746 | 33226.6111111111 | 19519.3888888889 |
7 | 385534 | 322592.294117647 | 62941.705882353 |
8 | 33170 | 33226.6111111111 | -56.6111111111095 |
9 | 149061 | 156134.43902439 | -7073.43902439025 |
10 | 165446 | 156134.43902439 | 9311.56097560975 |
11 | 237213 | 217099.565217391 | 20113.4347826087 |
12 | 173326 | 156134.43902439 | 17191.5609756098 |
13 | 133131 | 156134.43902439 | -23003.4390243902 |
14 | 258873 | 217099.565217391 | 41773.4347826087 |
15 | 180083 | 156134.43902439 | 23948.5609756098 |
16 | 324799 | 322592.294117647 | 2206.70588235295 |
17 | 230964 | 217099.565217391 | 13864.4347826087 |
18 | 236785 | 249646.538461538 | -12861.5384615385 |
19 | 135473 | 108090.821428571 | 27382.1785714286 |
20 | 202925 | 217099.565217391 | -14174.5652173913 |
21 | 215147 | 217099.565217391 | -1952.5652173913 |
22 | 344297 | 217099.565217391 | 127197.434782609 |
23 | 153935 | 156134.43902439 | -2199.43902439025 |
24 | 132943 | 156134.43902439 | -23191.4390243902 |
25 | 174724 | 217099.565217391 | -42375.5652173913 |
26 | 174415 | 249646.538461538 | -75231.5384615385 |
27 | 225548 | 249646.538461538 | -24098.5384615385 |
28 | 223632 | 217099.565217391 | 6532.4347826087 |
29 | 124817 | 156134.43902439 | -31317.4390243902 |
30 | 221698 | 217099.565217391 | 4598.4347826087 |
31 | 210767 | 217099.565217391 | -6332.5652173913 |
32 | 170266 | 156134.43902439 | 14131.5609756098 |
33 | 260561 | 217099.565217391 | 43461.4347826087 |
34 | 84853 | 107346.75 | -22493.75 |
35 | 294424 | 322592.294117647 | -28168.294117647 |
36 | 215641 | 217099.565217391 | -1458.5652173913 |
37 | 325107 | 249646.538461538 | 75460.4615384615 |
38 | 167542 | 156134.43902439 | 11407.5609756098 |
39 | 106408 | 108090.821428571 | -1682.82142857143 |
40 | 265769 | 249646.538461538 | 16122.4615384615 |
41 | 269651 | 322592.294117647 | -52941.294117647 |
42 | 149112 | 156134.43902439 | -7022.43902439025 |
43 | 152871 | 156134.43902439 | -3263.43902439025 |
44 | 111665 | 156134.43902439 | -44469.4390243902 |
45 | 116408 | 162741.8 | -46333.8 |
46 | 362301 | 322592.294117647 | 39708.705882353 |
47 | 78800 | 108090.821428571 | -29290.8214285714 |
48 | 183167 | 217099.565217391 | -33932.5652173913 |
49 | 277965 | 322592.294117647 | -44627.294117647 |
50 | 150629 | 217099.565217391 | -66470.5652173913 |
51 | 168809 | 156134.43902439 | 12674.5609756098 |
52 | 24188 | 33226.6111111111 | -9038.61111111111 |
53 | 329267 | 249646.538461538 | 79620.4615384615 |
54 | 65029 | 33226.6111111111 | 31802.3888888889 |
55 | 101097 | 108090.821428571 | -6993.82142857143 |
56 | 218946 | 217099.565217391 | 1846.4347826087 |
57 | 244052 | 217099.565217391 | 26952.4347826087 |
58 | 233328 | 249646.538461538 | -16318.5384615385 |
59 | 256462 | 249646.538461538 | 6815.46153846153 |
60 | 206161 | 217099.565217391 | -10938.5652173913 |
61 | 311473 | 322592.294117647 | -11119.294117647 |
62 | 235800 | 162741.8 | 73058.2 |
63 | 177939 | 217099.565217391 | -39160.5652173913 |
64 | 207176 | 217099.565217391 | -9923.5652173913 |
65 | 196553 | 156134.43902439 | 40418.5609756098 |
66 | 174184 | 156134.43902439 | 18049.5609756098 |
67 | 143246 | 156134.43902439 | -12888.4390243902 |
68 | 187559 | 249646.538461538 | -62087.5384615385 |
69 | 187681 | 217099.565217391 | -29418.5652173913 |
70 | 119016 | 108090.821428571 | 10925.1785714286 |
71 | 182192 | 217099.565217391 | -34907.5652173913 |
72 | 73566 | 85787.0909090909 | -12221.0909090909 |
73 | 194979 | 217099.565217391 | -22120.5652173913 |
74 | 167488 | 156134.43902439 | 11353.5609756098 |
75 | 143756 | 156134.43902439 | -12378.4390243902 |
76 | 275541 | 217099.565217391 | 58441.4347826087 |
77 | 243199 | 217099.565217391 | 26099.4347826087 |
78 | 182999 | 156134.43902439 | 26864.5609756098 |
79 | 135649 | 156134.43902439 | -20485.4390243902 |
80 | 152299 | 156134.43902439 | -3835.43902439025 |
81 | 120221 | 108090.821428571 | 12130.1785714286 |
82 | 346485 | 322592.294117647 | 23892.705882353 |
83 | 145790 | 156134.43902439 | -10344.4390243902 |
84 | 193339 | 162741.8 | 30597.2 |
85 | 80953 | 108090.821428571 | -27137.8214285714 |
86 | 122774 | 162741.8 | -39967.8 |
87 | 130585 | 107346.75 | 23238.25 |
88 | 286468 | 322592.294117647 | -36124.294117647 |
89 | 241066 | 217099.565217391 | 23966.4347826087 |
90 | 148446 | 217099.565217391 | -68653.5652173913 |
91 | 204713 | 217099.565217391 | -12386.5652173913 |
92 | 182079 | 217099.565217391 | -35020.5652173913 |
93 | 140344 | 156134.43902439 | -15790.4390243902 |
94 | 220516 | 217099.565217391 | 3416.4347826087 |
95 | 243060 | 217099.565217391 | 25960.4347826087 |
96 | 162765 | 156134.43902439 | 6630.56097560975 |
97 | 182613 | 156134.43902439 | 26478.5609756098 |
98 | 232138 | 217099.565217391 | 15038.4347826087 |
99 | 265318 | 249646.538461538 | 15671.4615384615 |
100 | 310839 | 322592.294117647 | -11753.294117647 |
101 | 225060 | 217099.565217391 | 7960.4347826087 |
102 | 232317 | 217099.565217391 | 15217.4347826087 |
103 | 144966 | 156134.43902439 | -11168.4390243902 |
104 | 43287 | 33226.6111111111 | 10060.3888888889 |
105 | 155754 | 162741.8 | -6987.79999999999 |
106 | 164709 | 156134.43902439 | 8574.56097560975 |
107 | 201940 | 217099.565217391 | -15159.5652173913 |
108 | 235454 | 217099.565217391 | 18354.4347826087 |
109 | 99466 | 107346.75 | -7880.75 |
110 | 100750 | 156134.43902439 | -55384.4390243902 |
111 | 224549 | 156134.43902439 | 68414.5609756098 |
112 | 243511 | 217099.565217391 | 26411.4347826087 |
113 | 22938 | 33226.6111111111 | -10288.6111111111 |
114 | 152474 | 156134.43902439 | -3660.43902439025 |
115 | 61857 | 33226.6111111111 | 28630.3888888889 |
116 | 132487 | 156134.43902439 | -23647.4390243902 |
117 | 317394 | 322592.294117647 | -5198.29411764705 |
118 | 21054 | 33226.6111111111 | -12172.6111111111 |
119 | 209641 | 162741.8 | 46899.2 |
120 | 31414 | 33226.6111111111 | -1812.61111111111 |
121 | 244749 | 249646.538461538 | -4897.53846153847 |
122 | 184510 | 217099.565217391 | -32589.5652173913 |
123 | 128423 | 156134.43902439 | -27711.4390243902 |
124 | 97839 | 108090.821428571 | -10251.8214285714 |
125 | 38214 | 33226.6111111111 | 4987.38888888889 |
126 | 151101 | 156134.43902439 | -5033.43902439025 |
127 | 272458 | 217099.565217391 | 55358.4347826087 |
128 | 172494 | 156134.43902439 | 16359.5609756098 |
129 | 328107 | 322592.294117647 | 5514.70588235295 |
130 | 250579 | 217099.565217391 | 33479.4347826087 |
131 | 351067 | 322592.294117647 | 28474.705882353 |
132 | 158015 | 107346.75 | 50668.25 |
133 | 85439 | 107346.75 | -21907.75 |
134 | 229242 | 249646.538461538 | -20404.5384615385 |
135 | 351619 | 322592.294117647 | 29026.705882353 |
136 | 84207 | 107346.75 | -23139.75 |
137 | 324598 | 322592.294117647 | 2005.70588235295 |
138 | 131069 | 156134.43902439 | -25065.4390243902 |
139 | 204271 | 156134.43902439 | 48136.5609756098 |
140 | 165543 | 217099.565217391 | -51556.5652173913 |
141 | 141722 | 156134.43902439 | -14412.4390243902 |
142 | 299775 | 322592.294117647 | -22817.294117647 |
143 | 195838 | 217099.565217391 | -21261.5652173913 |
144 | 173260 | 162741.8 | 10518.2 |
145 | 254488 | 217099.565217391 | 37388.4347826087 |
146 | 104389 | 156134.43902439 | -51745.4390243902 |
147 | 199476 | 217099.565217391 | -17623.5652173913 |
148 | 224330 | 217099.565217391 | 7230.4347826087 |
149 | 14688 | 33226.6111111111 | -18538.6111111111 |
150 | 181633 | 217099.565217391 | -35466.5652173913 |
151 | 271856 | 249646.538461538 | 22209.4615384615 |
152 | 7199 | 33226.6111111111 | -26027.6111111111 |
153 | 46660 | 33226.6111111111 | 13433.3888888889 |
154 | 17547 | 33226.6111111111 | -15679.6111111111 |
155 | 95227 | 107346.75 | -12119.75 |
156 | 152601 | 108090.821428571 | 44510.1785714286 |
157 | 101645 | 85787.0909090909 | 15857.9090909091 |
158 | 101011 | 108090.821428571 | -7079.82142857143 |
159 | 7176 | 33226.6111111111 | -26050.6111111111 |
160 | 96560 | 162741.8 | -66181.8 |
161 | 175824 | 162741.8 | 13082.2 |
162 | 341570 | 322592.294117647 | 18977.705882353 |
163 | 103597 | 85787.0909090909 | 17809.9090909091 |
164 | 112611 | 108090.821428571 | 4520.17857142857 |
165 | 85574 | 85787.0909090909 | -213.090909090912 |
166 | 220801 | 162741.8 | 58059.2 |
167 | 92661 | 108090.821428571 | -15429.8214285714 |
168 | 133328 | 108090.821428571 | 25237.1785714286 |
169 | 61361 | 85787.0909090909 | -24426.0909090909 |
170 | 125930 | 162741.8 | -36811.8 |
171 | 82316 | 85787.0909090909 | -3471.09090909091 |
172 | 102010 | 108090.821428571 | -6080.82142857143 |
173 | 101523 | 108090.821428571 | -6567.82142857143 |
174 | 41566 | 33226.6111111111 | 8339.38888888889 |
175 | 99923 | 162741.8 | -62818.8 |
176 | 22648 | 33226.6111111111 | -10578.6111111111 |
177 | 46698 | 33226.6111111111 | 13471.3888888889 |
178 | 131698 | 162741.8 | -31043.8 |
179 | 91735 | 85787.0909090909 | 5947.90909090909 |
180 | 79863 | 108090.821428571 | -28227.8214285714 |
181 | 108043 | 108090.821428571 | -47.8214285714348 |
182 | 98866 | 85787.0909090909 | 13078.9090909091 |
183 | 120445 | 108090.821428571 | 12354.1785714286 |
184 | 116048 | 108090.821428571 | 7957.17857142857 |
185 | 250047 | 162741.8 | 87305.2 |
186 | 136084 | 108090.821428571 | 27993.1785714286 |
187 | 92499 | 85787.0909090909 | 6711.90909090909 |
188 | 135781 | 108090.821428571 | 27690.1785714286 |
189 | 74408 | 108090.821428571 | -33682.8214285714 |
190 | 81240 | 108090.821428571 | -26850.8214285714 |
191 | 133368 | 162741.8 | -29373.8 |
192 | 98146 | 108090.821428571 | -9944.82142857143 |
193 | 79619 | 85787.0909090909 | -6168.09090909091 |
194 | 59194 | 108090.821428571 | -48896.8214285714 |
195 | 139942 | 108090.821428571 | 31851.1785714286 |
196 | 118612 | 108090.821428571 | 10521.1785714286 |
197 | 72880 | 85787.0909090909 | -12907.0909090909 |