| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Parameters | |||
| Component | Window | Degree | Jump |
| Seasonal | 1551 | 0 | 156 |
| Trend | 19 | 1 | 2 |
| Low-pass | 13 | 1 | 2 |
| Seasonal Decomposition by Loess - Time Series Components | |||||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Seasonal | Trend | Remainder |
| 1 | 1.0137 | 1.04135776961306 | 0.00576662175191341 | 0.980275608635024 | 0.0276577696130624 |
| 2 | 0.9834 | 1.00003067911525 | -0.00386860175318995 | 0.970637922637941 | 0.0166306791152488 |
| 3 | 0.9643 | 0.964942035002983 | 0.00265772835615863 | 0.961000236640858 | 0.000642035002983321 |
| 4 | 0.947 | 0.938279524950977 | 0.00374063037384602 | 0.951979844675177 | -0.00872047504902307 |
| 5 | 0.906 | 0.869540071409466 | -0.000499524118961996 | 0.942959452709496 | -0.0364599285905338 |
| 6 | 0.9492 | 0.966813708003882 | -0.00293391482648429 | 0.934520206822603 | 0.0176137080038817 |
| 7 | 0.9397 | 0.950848866342623 | 0.00247017272166796 | 0.926080960935709 | 0.0111488663426228 |
| 8 | 0.9041 | 0.892023373752536 | -0.00208257183720092 | 0.918259198084665 | -0.0120766262474642 |
| 9 | 0.8721 | 0.838274799892646 | -0.00451223512626713 | 0.910437435233621 | -0.033825200107354 |
| 10 | 0.8552 | 0.806958270629268 | -0.0016499518996109 | 0.905091681270343 | -0.0482417293707318 |
| 11 | 0.8564 | 0.816203265134885 | -0.00314919244194911 | 0.899745927307064 | -0.0401967348651152 |
| 12 | 0.8973 | 0.894580422072477 | 0.00406085145571251 | 0.895958726471811 | -0.00271957792752309 |
| 13 | 0.9383 | 0.97866185261153 | 0.00576662175191341 | 0.892171525636557 | 0.0403618526115299 |
| 14 | 0.9217 | 0.956127520018859 | -0.00386860175318995 | 0.89114108173433 | 0.0344275200188595 |
| 15 | 0.9095 | 0.926231633811737 | 0.00265772835615863 | 0.890110637832104 | 0.0167316338117374 |
| 16 | 0.892 | 0.888985137139102 | 0.00374063037384602 | 0.891274232487052 | -0.00301486286089814 |
| 17 | 0.8742 | 0.856461696976962 | -0.000499524118961996 | 0.892437827142 | -0.0177383030230384 |
| 18 | 0.8532 | 0.817557503950065 | -0.00293391482648429 | 0.891776410876419 | -0.0356424960499352 |
| 19 | 0.8607 | 0.827814832667494 | 0.00247017272166796 | 0.891114994610838 | -0.0328851673325063 |
| 20 | 0.9005 | 0.914000643626033 | -0.00208257183720092 | 0.889081928211168 | 0.013500643626033 |
| 21 | 0.9111 | 0.93966337331477 | -0.00451223512626713 | 0.887048861811497 | 0.0285633733147697 |
| 22 | 0.9059 | 0.925725194421342 | -0.0016499518996109 | 0.887724757478269 | 0.0198251944213422 |
| 23 | 0.8883 | 0.891348539296909 | -0.00314919244194911 | 0.88840065314504 | 0.00304853929690896 |
| 24 | 0.8924 | 0.887509286203021 | 0.00406085145571251 | 0.893229862341266 | -0.00489071379697881 |
| 25 | 0.8833 | 0.862774306710594 | 0.00576662175191341 | 0.898059071537492 | -0.0205256932894058 |
| 26 | 0.87 | 0.838743693809431 | -0.00386860175318995 | 0.905124907943759 | -0.0312563061905687 |
| 27 | 0.8758 | 0.836751527293816 | 0.00265772835615863 | 0.912190744350025 | -0.0390484727061836 |
| 28 | 0.8858 | 0.846845065660144 | 0.00374063037384602 | 0.92101430396601 | -0.0389549343398562 |
| 29 | 0.917 | 0.904661660536967 | -0.000499524118961996 | 0.929837863581995 | -0.0123383394630334 |
| 30 | 0.9554 | 0.971444513239007 | -0.00293391482648429 | 0.942289401587477 | 0.0160445132390069 |
| 31 | 0.9922 | 1.02718888768537 | 0.00247017272166796 | 0.954740939592959 | 0.0349888876853726 |
| 32 | 0.9778 | 0.987291323789103 | -0.00208257183720092 | 0.970391248048098 | 0.00949132378910345 |
| 33 | 0.9808 | 0.980070678623032 | -0.00451223512626713 | 0.986041556503236 | -0.000729321376968461 |
| 34 | 0.9811 | 0.961002917516668 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.00284703438294 | -0.0200970824833319 |
| 35 | 1.0014 | 0.986296680179299 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.01965251226265 | -0.0151033198207009 |
| 36 | 1.0183 | 0.996883083145764 | 0.00406085145571251 | 1.03565606539852 | -0.0214169168542364 |
| 37 | 1.0622 | 1.06697375971369 | 0.00576662175191341 | 1.0516596185344 | 0.00477375971368876 |
| 38 | 1.0773 | 1.0923521214203 | -0.00386860175318995 | 1.06611648033289 | 0.0150521214202999 |
| 39 | 1.0807 | 1.07816892951246 | 0.00265772835615863 | 1.08057334213138 | -0.00253107048754098 |
| 40 | 1.0848 | 1.07116639848645 | 0.00374063037384602 | 1.09469297113971 | -0.013633601513555 |
| 41 | 1.1582 | 1.20808692397093 | -0.000499524118961996 | 1.10881260014804 | 0.0498869239709265 |
| 42 | 1.1663 | 1.21193632772366 | -0.00293391482648429 | 1.12359758710283 | 0.0456363277236562 |
| 43 | 1.1372 | 1.13354725322071 | 0.00247017272166796 | 1.13838257405762 | -0.00365274677928862 |
| 44 | 1.1139 | 1.07772708542221 | -0.00208257183720092 | 1.15215548641499 | -0.0361729145777863 |
| 45 | 1.1222 | 1.08298383635391 | -0.00451223512626713 | 1.16592839877235 | -0.0392161636460859 |
| 46 | 1.1692 | 1.16410382239988 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.17594612949973 | -0.00509617760011616 |
| 47 | 1.1702 | 1.15758533221485 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.1859638602271 | -0.0126146677851522 |
| 48 | 1.2286 | 1.25991347105582 | 0.00406085145571251 | 1.19322567748847 | 0.0313134710558163 |
| 49 | 1.2613 | 1.31634588349825 | 0.00576662175191341 | 1.20048749474984 | 0.0550458834982457 |
| 50 | 1.2646 | 1.32559454196201 | -0.00386860175318995 | 1.20747405979118 | 0.0609945419620108 |
| 51 | 1.2262 | 1.23528164681132 | 0.00265772835615863 | 1.21446062483252 | 0.0090816468113244 |
| 52 | 1.1985 | 1.17232007017825 | 0.00374063037384602 | 1.2209392994479 | -0.0261799298217487 |
| 53 | 1.2007 | 1.17448155005567 | -0.000499524118961996 | 1.22741797406329 | -0.0262184499443261 |
| 54 | 1.2138 | 1.1967688681852 | -0.00293391482648429 | 1.23376504664128 | -0.0170311318147978 |
| 55 | 1.2266 | 1.21061770805906 | 0.00247017272166796 | 1.24011211921928 | -0.0159822919409436 |
| 56 | 1.2176 | 1.18986165627798 | -0.00208257183720092 | 1.24742091555922 | -0.0277383437220222 |
| 57 | 1.2218 | 1.1933825232271 | -0.00451223512626713 | 1.25472971189917 | -0.0284174767729033 |
| 58 | 1.249 | 1.23751175850675 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.26213819339286 | -0.0114882414932505 |
| 59 | 1.2991 | 1.3318025175554 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.26954667488655 | 0.0327025175553965 |
| 60 | 1.3408 | 1.40448373793363 | 0.00406085145571251 | 1.27305541061065 | 0.0636837379336335 |
| 61 | 1.3119 | 1.34146923191333 | 0.00576662175191341 | 1.27656414633476 | 0.0295692319133312 |
| 62 | 1.3014 | 1.33141620805747 | -0.00386860175318995 | 1.27525239369572 | 0.0300162080574697 |
| 63 | 1.3201 | 1.36360163058716 | 0.00265772835615863 | 1.27394064105668 | 0.0435016305871565 |
| 64 | 1.2938 | 1.31647416648881 | 0.00374063037384602 | 1.26738520313735 | 0.0226741664888053 |
| 65 | 1.2694 | 1.27846975890095 | -0.000499524118961996 | 1.26082976521801 | 0.00906975890094941 |
| 66 | 1.2165 | 1.18547128274434 | -0.00293391482648429 | 1.25046263208214 | -0.0310287172556596 |
| 67 | 1.2037 | 1.16483432833206 | 0.00247017272166796 | 1.24009549894627 | -0.0388656716679425 |
| 68 | 1.2292 | 1.22988083347912 | -0.00208257183720092 | 1.23060173835808 | 0.000680833479123066 |
| 69 | 1.2256 | 1.23460425735639 | -0.00451223512626713 | 1.22110797776988 | 0.00900425735638621 |
| 70 | 1.2015 | 1.18784048928191 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.2168094626177 | -0.0136595107180919 |
| 71 | 1.1786 | 1.14783824497642 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.21251094746552 | -0.0307617550235753 |
| 72 | 1.1856 | 1.15273003404895 | 0.00406085145571251 | 1.21440911449533 | -0.0328699659510452 |
| 73 | 1.2103 | 1.19852609672295 | 0.00576662175191341 | 1.21630728152514 | -0.0117739032770541 |
| 74 | 1.1938 | 1.16973264011321 | -0.00386860175318995 | 1.22173596163998 | -0.0240673598867922 |
| 75 | 1.202 | 1.17417762988902 | 0.00265772835615863 | 1.22716464175482 | -0.0278223701109821 |
| 76 | 1.2271 | 1.21586910330262 | 0.00374063037384602 | 1.23459026632354 | -0.0112308966973811 |
| 77 | 1.277 | 1.31248363322672 | -0.000499524118961996 | 1.24201589089225 | 0.0354836332267152 |
| 78 | 1.265 | 1.28177684222244 | -0.00293391482648429 | 1.25115707260405 | 0.0167768422224368 |
| 79 | 1.2684 | 1.27403157296248 | 0.00247017272166796 | 1.26029825431585 | 0.00563157296248429 |
| 80 | 1.2811 | 1.29502302303203 | -0.00208257183720092 | 1.26925954880517 | 0.0139230230320306 |
| 81 | 1.2727 | 1.27169139183177 | -0.00451223512626713 | 1.27822084329449 | -0.00100860816822568 |
| 82 | 1.2611 | 1.23749020914524 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.28635974275438 | -0.023609790854765 |
| 83 | 1.2881 | 1.28485055022769 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.29449864221426 | -0.00324944977231012 |
| 84 | 1.3213 | 1.33643779809321 | 0.00406085145571251 | 1.30210135045108 | 0.0151377980932084 |
| 85 | 1.2999 | 1.28432931956019 | 0.00576662175191341 | 1.3097040586879 | -0.0155706804398121 |
| 86 | 1.3074 | 1.30009813060769 | -0.00386860175318995 | 1.3185704711455 | -0.00730186939231081 |
| 87 | 1.3242 | 1.31830538804074 | 0.00265772835615863 | 1.3274368836031 | -0.00589461195926089 |
| 88 | 1.3516 | 1.36057040210801 | 0.00374063037384602 | 1.33888896751815 | 0.00897040210800704 |
| 89 | 1.3511 | 1.35235847268577 | -0.000499524118961996 | 1.35034105143319 | 0.00125847268577051 |
| 90 | 1.3419 | 1.32297582624161 | -0.00293391482648429 | 1.36375808858488 | -0.0189241737583945 |
| 91 | 1.3716 | 1.36355470154177 | 0.00247017272166796 | 1.37717512573657 | -0.00804529845823421 |
| 92 | 1.3622 | 1.33371086983386 | -0.00208257183720092 | 1.39277170200334 | -0.0284891301661381 |
| 93 | 1.3896 | 1.37534395685616 | -0.00451223512626713 | 1.40836827827011 | -0.0142560431438448 |
| 94 | 1.4227 | 1.42090677090838 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.42614318099123 | -0.00179322909162227 |
| 95 | 1.4684 | 1.49603110872959 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.44391808371235 | 0.0276311087295942 |
| 96 | 1.457 | 1.44830602657028 | 0.00406085145571251 | 1.461633121974 | -0.00869397342971667 |
| 97 | 1.4718 | 1.45848521801243 | 0.00576662175191341 | 1.47934816023565 | -0.013314781987567 |
| 98 | 1.4748 | 1.46324308634977 | -0.00386860175318995 | 1.49022551540342 | -0.0115569136502269 |
| 99 | 1.5527 | 1.60163940107266 | 0.00265772835615863 | 1.50110287057118 | 0.0489394010726609 |
| 100 | 1.575 | 1.64741526418261 | 0.00374063037384602 | 1.49884410544355 | 0.0724152641826064 |
| 101 | 1.5557 | 1.61531418380305 | -0.000499524118961996 | 1.49658534031591 | 0.0596141838030475 |
| 102 | 1.5553 | 1.63011628607516 | -0.00293391482648429 | 1.48341762875133 | 0.0748162860751564 |
| 103 | 1.577 | 1.68127991009159 | 0.00247017272166796 | 1.47024991718674 | 0.104279910091591 |
| 104 | 1.4975 | 1.54671454892912 | -0.00208257183720092 | 1.45036802290808 | 0.0492145489291205 |
| 105 | 1.4369 | 1.44782610649685 | -0.00451223512626713 | 1.43048612862942 | 0.0109261064968469 |
| 106 | 1.3322 | 1.25709214137159 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.40895781052802 | -0.0751078586284075 |
| 107 | 1.2732 | 1.16211970001533 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.38742949242662 | -0.111080299984667 |
| 108 | 1.3449 | 1.31342592514249 | 0.00406085145571251 | 1.3723132234018 | -0.0314740748575102 |
| 109 | 1.3239 | 1.28483642387111 | 0.00576662175191341 | 1.35719695437698 | -0.039063576128892 |
| 110 | 1.2785 | 1.20632144701844 | -0.00386860175318995 | 1.35454715473475 | -0.0721785529815611 |
| 111 | 1.305 | 1.25544491655132 | 0.00265772835615863 | 1.35189735509252 | -0.0495550834486818 |
| 112 | 1.319 | 1.27243136598022 | 0.00374063037384602 | 1.36182800364594 | -0.0465686340197826 |
| 113 | 1.365 | 1.35874087191961 | -0.000499524118961996 | 1.37175865219935 | -0.00625912808038787 |
| 114 | 1.4016 | 1.42080247269361 | -0.00293391482648429 | 1.38533144213287 | 0.0192024726936129 |
| 115 | 1.4088 | 1.41622559521194 | 0.00247017272166796 | 1.39890423206639 | 0.00742559521193931 |
| 116 | 1.4268 | 1.44813092053778 | -0.00208257183720092 | 1.40755165129942 | 0.0213309205377792 |
| 117 | 1.4562 | 1.50071316459382 | -0.00451223512626713 | 1.41619907053245 | 0.0445131645938162 |
| 118 | 1.4816 | 1.54976563687383 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.41508431502578 | 0.0681656368738324 |
| 119 | 1.4914 | 1.57197963292284 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.41396955951911 | 0.080579632922843 |
| 120 | 1.4614 | 1.51608548297011 | 0.00406085145571251 | 1.40265366557418 | 0.0546854829701056 |
| 121 | 1.4272 | 1.45729560661883 | 0.00576662175191341 | 1.39133777162926 | 0.0300956066188287 |
| 122 | 1.3686 | 1.36484861680371 | -0.00386860175318995 | 1.37621998494948 | -0.00375138319629054 |
| 123 | 1.3569 | 1.35004007337414 | 0.00265772835615863 | 1.3611021982697 | -0.00685992662586177 |
| 124 | 1.3406 | 1.32906287098198 | 0.00374063037384602 | 1.34839649864417 | -0.0115371290180197 |
| 125 | 1.2565 | 1.17780872510032 | -0.000499524118961996 | 1.33569079901864 | -0.0786912748996824 |
| 126 | 1.2208 | 1.11645366147412 | -0.00293391482648429 | 1.32808025335237 | -0.104346338525881 |
| 127 | 1.277 | 1.23106011959225 | 0.00247017272166796 | 1.32046970768609 | -0.0459398804077547 |
| 128 | 1.2894 | 1.25981549186976 | -0.00208257183720092 | 1.32106707996744 | -0.0295845081302386 |
| 129 | 1.3067 | 1.29624778287747 | -0.00451223512626713 | 1.32166445224879 | -0.0104522171225254 |
| 130 | 1.3898 | 1.44994272048462 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.33130723141499 | 0.0601427204846168 |
| 131 | 1.3661 | 1.39439918186075 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.3409500105812 | 0.0282991818607534 |
| 132 | 1.322 | 1.28508781257155 | 0.00406085145571251 | 1.35485133597274 | -0.0369121874284537 |
| 133 | 1.336 | 1.2974807168838 | 0.00576662175191341 | 1.36875266136429 | -0.0385192831162 |
| 134 | 1.3649 | 1.35477398884548 | -0.00386860175318995 | 1.37889461290771 | -0.0101260111545158 |
| 135 | 1.3999 | 1.40810570719272 | 0.00265772835615863 | 1.38903656445112 | 0.0082057071927164 |
| 136 | 1.4442 | 1.49166018265993 | 0.00374063037384602 | 1.39299918696622 | 0.0474601826599321 |
| 137 | 1.4349 | 1.47333771463764 | -0.000499524118961996 | 1.39696180948132 | 0.0384377146376436 |
| 138 | 1.4388 | 1.4849975304964 | -0.00293391482648429 | 1.39553638433008 | 0.0461975304964033 |
| 139 | 1.4264 | 1.45621886809949 | 0.00247017272166796 | 1.39411095917884 | 0.0298188680994886 |
| 140 | 1.4343 | 1.48314479120811 | -0.00208257183720092 | 1.38753778062909 | 0.0488447912081087 |
| 141 | 1.377 | 1.37754763304693 | -0.00451223512626713 | 1.38096460207934 | 0.000547633046926288 |
| 142 | 1.3706 | 1.37338493634116 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.36946501555845 | 0.0027849363411605 |
| 143 | 1.3556 | 1.35638376340439 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.35796542903756 | 0.000783763404389015 |
| 144 | 1.3179 | 1.28807494762928 | 0.00406085145571251 | 1.34366420091501 | -0.0298250523707184 |
| 145 | 1.2905 | 1.24587040545563 | 0.00576662175191341 | 1.32936297279245 | -0.0446295945443651 |
| 146 | 1.3224 | 1.33066236123898 | -0.00386860175318995 | 1.31800624051421 | 0.00826236123898494 |
| 147 | 1.3201 | 1.33089276340788 | 0.00265772835615863 | 1.30664950823596 | 0.0107927634078833 |
| 148 | 1.3162 | 1.3288195570894 | 0.00374063037384602 | 1.29983981253675 | 0.0126195570894005 |
| 149 | 1.2789 | 1.26526940728141 | -0.000499524118961996 | 1.29303011683755 | -0.0136305927185869 |
| 150 | 1.2526 | 1.22156723709559 | -0.00293391482648429 | 1.2865666777309 | -0.0310327629044149 |
| 151 | 1.2288 | 1.17502658865408 | 0.00247017272166796 | 1.28010323862425 | -0.0537734113459172 |
| 152 | 1.24 | 1.20817392909134 | -0.00208257183720092 | 1.27390864274586 | -0.0318260709086602 |
| 153 | 1.2856 | 1.30799818825879 | -0.00451223512626713 | 1.26771404686747 | 0.022398188258794 |
| 154 | 1.2974 | 1.33431969910756 | -0.0016499518996109 | 1.26213025279205 | 0.0369196991075629 |
| 155 | 1.2828 | 1.31220273372533 | -0.00314919244194911 | 1.25654645871662 | 0.0294027337253262 |
