Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
1 | 1.0137 | NA | NA | 0.00365601851851852 | NA |
2 | 0.9834 | NA | NA | -0.00444745370370371 | NA |
3 | 0.9643 | NA | NA | 0.0035921296296296 | NA |
4 | 0.947 | NA | NA | 0.00524594907407404 | NA |
5 | 0.906 | NA | NA | 0.00306331018518522 | NA |
6 | 0.9492 | NA | NA | -0.00203668981481479 | NA |
7 | 0.9397 | 0.927989699074074 | 0.920891666666667 | 0.00709803240740739 | 0.0117103009259261 |
8 | 0.9041 | 0.91556400462963 | 0.915179166666667 | 0.000384837962962926 | -0.0114640046296295 |
9 | 0.8721 | 0.903155671296296 | 0.910325 | -0.00716932870370373 | -0.0310556712962962 |
10 | 0.8552 | 0.899996643518518 | 0.90575 | -0.00575335648148148 | -0.0447966435185185 |
11 | 0.8564 | 0.895211574074074 | 0.902133333333333 | -0.00692175925925922 | -0.038811574074074 |
12 | 0.8973 | 0.900096643518519 | 0.896808333333333 | 0.00328831018518523 | -0.0027966435185186 |
13 | 0.9383 | 0.893172685185185 | 0.889516666666667 | 0.00365601851851852 | 0.0451273148148148 |
14 | 0.9217 | 0.881627546296296 | 0.886075 | -0.00444745370370371 | 0.0400724537037036 |
15 | 0.9095 | 0.89114212962963 | 0.88755 | 0.0035921296296296 | 0.0183578703703703 |
16 | 0.892 | 0.896533449074074 | 0.8912875 | 0.00524594907407404 | -0.00453344907407405 |
17 | 0.8742 | 0.897792476851852 | 0.894729166666667 | 0.00306331018518522 | -0.023592476851852 |
18 | 0.8532 | 0.893817476851852 | 0.895854166666667 | -0.00203668981481479 | -0.040617476851852 |
19 | 0.8607 | 0.900456365740741 | 0.893358333333333 | 0.00709803240740739 | -0.0397563657407407 |
20 | 0.9005 | 0.889297337962963 | 0.8889125 | 0.000384837962962926 | 0.011202662037037 |
21 | 0.9111 | 0.878184837962963 | 0.885354166666667 | -0.00716932870370373 | 0.032915162037037 |
22 | 0.9059 | 0.877938310185185 | 0.883691666666667 | -0.00575335648148148 | 0.0279616898148148 |
23 | 0.8883 | 0.878294907407407 | 0.885216666666667 | -0.00692175925925922 | 0.0100050925925925 |
24 | 0.8924 | 0.894546643518519 | 0.891258333333333 | 0.00328831018518523 | -0.00214664351851857 |
25 | 0.8833 | 0.904651851851852 | 0.900995833333333 | 0.00365601851851852 | -0.0213518518518518 |
26 | 0.87 | 0.90524837962963 | 0.909695833333333 | -0.00444745370370371 | -0.0352483796296296 |
27 | 0.8758 | 0.919412962962963 | 0.915820833333333 | 0.0035921296296296 | -0.0436129629629628 |
28 | 0.8858 | 0.927104282407407 | 0.921858333333333 | 0.00524594907407404 | -0.0413042824074074 |
29 | 0.917 | 0.932767476851852 | 0.929704166666667 | 0.00306331018518522 | -0.0157674768518518 |
30 | 0.9554 | 0.937625810185185 | 0.9396625 | -0.00203668981481479 | 0.0177741898148149 |
31 | 0.9922 | 0.959460532407407 | 0.9523625 | 0.00709803240740739 | 0.0327394675925927 |
32 | 0.9778 | 0.96883900462963 | 0.968454166666667 | 0.000384837962962926 | 0.00896099537037043 |
33 | 0.9808 | 0.978459837962963 | 0.985629166666667 | -0.00716932870370373 | 0.00234016203703702 |
34 | 0.9811 | 0.996704976851852 | 1.00245833333333 | -0.00575335648148148 | -0.015604976851852 |
35 | 1.0014 | 1.01387824074074 | 1.0208 | -0.00692175925925922 | -0.0124782407407407 |
36 | 1.0183 | 1.04292581018519 | 1.0396375 | 0.00328831018518523 | -0.0246258101851853 |
37 | 1.0622 | 1.05812268518519 | 1.05446666666667 | 0.00365601851851852 | 0.00407731481481477 |
38 | 1.0773 | 1.06173171296296 | 1.06617916666667 | -0.00444745370370371 | 0.0155682870370371 |
39 | 1.0807 | 1.0813337962963 | 1.07774166666667 | 0.0035921296296296 | -0.000633796296296119 |
40 | 1.0848 | 1.09671678240741 | 1.09147083333333 | 0.00524594907407404 | -0.0119167824074071 |
41 | 1.1582 | 1.10940497685185 | 1.10634166666667 | 0.00306331018518522 | 0.0487950231481482 |
42 | 1.1663 | 1.12010081018519 | 1.1221375 | -0.00203668981481479 | 0.0461991898148146 |
43 | 1.1372 | 1.14629386574074 | 1.13919583333333 | 0.00709803240740739 | -0.00909386574074067 |
44 | 1.1139 | 1.1556806712963 | 1.15529583333333 | 0.000384837962962926 | -0.0417806712962963 |
45 | 1.1222 | 1.1619931712963 | 1.1691625 | -0.00716932870370373 | -0.039793171296296 |
46 | 1.1692 | 1.17420914351852 | 1.1799625 | -0.00575335648148148 | -0.00500914351851822 |
47 | 1.1702 | 1.17954907407407 | 1.18647083333333 | -0.00692175925925922 | -0.00934907407407404 |
48 | 1.2286 | 1.19350914351852 | 1.19022083333333 | 0.00328831018518523 | 0.0350908564814811 |
49 | 1.2613 | 1.19958101851852 | 1.195925 | 0.00365601851851852 | 0.0617189814814816 |
50 | 1.2646 | 1.19952337962963 | 1.20397083333333 | -0.00444745370370371 | 0.0650766203703705 |
51 | 1.2262 | 1.2160337962963 | 1.21244166666667 | 0.0035921296296296 | 0.010166203703704 |
52 | 1.1985 | 1.22516261574074 | 1.21991666666667 | 0.00524594907407404 | -0.0266626157407406 |
53 | 1.2007 | 1.23167581018518 | 1.2286125 | 0.00306331018518522 | -0.0309758101851847 |
54 | 1.2138 | 1.23662164351852 | 1.23865833333333 | -0.00203668981481479 | -0.0228216435185185 |
55 | 1.2266 | 1.25253969907407 | 1.24544166666667 | 0.00709803240740739 | -0.0259396990740741 |
56 | 1.2176 | 1.2494681712963 | 1.24908333333333 | 0.000384837962962926 | -0.031868171296296 |
57 | 1.2218 | 1.24735983796296 | 1.25452916666667 | -0.00716932870370373 | -0.0255598379629629 |
58 | 1.249 | 1.25665914351852 | 1.2624125 | -0.00575335648148148 | -0.00765914351851849 |
59 | 1.2991 | 1.26232407407407 | 1.26924583333333 | -0.00692175925925922 | 0.0367759259259259 |
60 | 1.3408 | 1.27550914351852 | 1.27222083333333 | 0.00328831018518523 | 0.0652908564814816 |
61 | 1.3119 | 1.27503518518519 | 1.27137916666667 | 0.00365601851851852 | 0.036864814814815 |
62 | 1.3014 | 1.26646087962963 | 1.27090833333333 | -0.00444745370370371 | 0.0349391203703706 |
63 | 1.3201 | 1.27514212962963 | 1.27155 | 0.0035921296296296 | 0.0449578703703706 |
64 | 1.2938 | 1.27497511574074 | 1.26972916666667 | 0.00524594907407404 | 0.0188248842592593 |
65 | 1.2694 | 1.26579247685185 | 1.26272916666667 | 0.00306331018518522 | 0.00360752314814849 |
66 | 1.2165 | 1.24920497685185 | 1.25124166666667 | -0.00203668981481479 | -0.0327049768518519 |
67 | 1.2037 | 1.24763969907407 | 1.24054166666667 | 0.00709803240740739 | -0.0439396990740741 |
68 | 1.2292 | 1.23220983796296 | 1.231825 | 0.000384837962962926 | -0.00300983796296284 |
69 | 1.2256 | 1.21525150462963 | 1.22242083333333 | -0.00716932870370373 | 0.0103484953703705 |
70 | 1.2015 | 1.20896747685185 | 1.21472083333333 | -0.00575335648148148 | -0.00746747685185167 |
71 | 1.1786 | 1.20533657407407 | 1.21225833333333 | -0.00692175925925922 | -0.0267365740740737 |
72 | 1.1856 | 1.21788414351852 | 1.21459583333333 | 0.00328831018518523 | -0.0322841435185184 |
73 | 1.2103 | 1.22296851851852 | 1.2193125 | 0.00365601851851852 | -0.0126685185185187 |
74 | 1.1938 | 1.21972337962963 | 1.22417083333333 | -0.00444745370370371 | -0.0259233796296294 |
75 | 1.202 | 1.23188796296296 | 1.22829583333333 | 0.0035921296296296 | -0.0298879629629627 |
76 | 1.2271 | 1.23798761574074 | 1.23274166666667 | 0.00524594907407404 | -0.0108876157407403 |
77 | 1.277 | 1.24285081018518 | 1.2397875 | 0.00306331018518522 | 0.034149189814815 |
78 | 1.265 | 1.24796747685185 | 1.25000416666667 | -0.00203668981481479 | 0.0170325231481483 |
79 | 1.2684 | 1.26648969907407 | 1.25939166666667 | 0.00709803240740739 | 0.00191030092592581 |
80 | 1.2811 | 1.2682431712963 | 1.26785833333333 | 0.000384837962962926 | 0.0128568287037036 |
81 | 1.2727 | 1.27051400462963 | 1.27768333333333 | -0.00716932870370373 | 0.00218599537037067 |
82 | 1.2611 | 1.28220914351852 | 1.2879625 | -0.00575335648148148 | -0.0211091435185182 |
83 | 1.2881 | 1.28931574074074 | 1.2962375 | -0.00692175925925922 | -0.00121574074074071 |
84 | 1.3213 | 1.30581747685185 | 1.30252916666667 | 0.00328831018518523 | 0.0154825231481481 |
85 | 1.2999 | 1.31368935185185 | 1.31003333333333 | 0.00365601851851852 | -0.0137893518518519 |
86 | 1.3074 | 1.3132650462963 | 1.3177125 | -0.00444745370370371 | -0.00586504629629614 |
87 | 1.3242 | 1.32955462962963 | 1.3259625 | 0.0035921296296296 | -0.0053546296296294 |
88 | 1.3516 | 1.34281261574074 | 1.33756666666667 | 0.00524594907407404 | 0.00878738425925962 |
89 | 1.3511 | 1.35487581018518 | 1.3518125 | 0.00306331018518522 | -0.0037758101851848 |
90 | 1.3419 | 1.36294247685185 | 1.36497916666667 | -0.00203668981481479 | -0.0210424768518516 |
91 | 1.3716 | 1.38489386574074 | 1.37779583333333 | 0.00709803240740739 | -0.0132938657407404 |
92 | 1.3622 | 1.3923181712963 | 1.39193333333333 | 0.000384837962962926 | -0.0301181712962963 |
93 | 1.3896 | 1.40125983796296 | 1.40842916666667 | -0.00716932870370373 | -0.0116598379629631 |
94 | 1.4227 | 1.42150497685185 | 1.42725833333333 | -0.00575335648148148 | 0.00119502314814834 |
95 | 1.4684 | 1.43816990740741 | 1.44509166666667 | -0.00692175925925922 | 0.0302300925925922 |
96 | 1.457 | 1.46579664351852 | 1.46250833333333 | 0.00328831018518523 | -0.0087966435185185 |
97 | 1.4718 | 1.48361435185185 | 1.47995833333333 | 0.00365601851851852 | -0.0118143518518519 |
98 | 1.4748 | 1.48970671296296 | 1.49415416666667 | -0.00444745370370371 | -0.0149067129629628 |
99 | 1.5527 | 1.50535462962963 | 1.5017625 | 0.0035921296296296 | 0.0473453703703703 |
100 | 1.575 | 1.50520844907407 | 1.4999625 | 0.00524594907407404 | 0.0697915509259259 |
101 | 1.5557 | 1.49112164351852 | 1.48805833333333 | 0.00306331018518522 | 0.0645783564814817 |
102 | 1.5553 | 1.47321747685185 | 1.47525416666667 | -0.00203668981481479 | 0.0820825231481481 |
103 | 1.577 | 1.47151886574074 | 1.46442083333333 | 0.00709803240740739 | 0.105481134259259 |
104 | 1.4975 | 1.45046400462963 | 1.45007916666667 | 0.000384837962962926 | 0.0470359953703705 |
105 | 1.4369 | 1.42440983796296 | 1.43157916666667 | -0.00716932870370373 | 0.0124901620370372 |
106 | 1.3322 | 1.40483831018519 | 1.41059166666667 | -0.00575335648148148 | -0.0726383101851851 |
107 | 1.2732 | 1.38505740740741 | 1.39197916666667 | -0.00692175925925922 | -0.111857407407407 |
108 | 1.3449 | 1.38091747685185 | 1.37762916666667 | 0.00328831018518523 | -0.0360174768518517 |
109 | 1.3239 | 1.36787268518519 | 1.36421666666667 | 0.00365601851851852 | -0.0439726851851852 |
110 | 1.2785 | 1.3498150462963 | 1.3542625 | -0.00444745370370371 | -0.0713150462962964 |
111 | 1.305 | 1.35571296296296 | 1.35212083333333 | 0.0035921296296296 | -0.050712962962963 |
112 | 1.319 | 1.36439594907407 | 1.35915 | 0.00524594907407404 | -0.0453959490740738 |
113 | 1.365 | 1.37752997685185 | 1.37446666666667 | 0.00306331018518522 | -0.0125299768518519 |
114 | 1.4016 | 1.38637581018519 | 1.3884125 | -0.00203668981481479 | 0.0152241898148149 |
115 | 1.4088 | 1.40466886574074 | 1.39757083333333 | 0.00709803240740739 | 0.00413113425925937 |
116 | 1.4268 | 1.40601400462963 | 1.40562916666667 | 0.000384837962962926 | 0.0207859953703706 |
117 | 1.4562 | 1.40437650462963 | 1.41154583333333 | -0.00716932870370373 | 0.0518234953703705 |
118 | 1.4816 | 1.40885497685185 | 1.41460833333333 | -0.00575335648148148 | 0.0727450231481486 |
119 | 1.4914 | 1.40406574074074 | 1.4109875 | -0.00692175925925922 | 0.0873342592592594 |
120 | 1.4614 | 1.40222164351852 | 1.39893333333333 | 0.00328831018518523 | 0.0591783564814816 |
121 | 1.4272 | 1.38956435185185 | 1.38590833333333 | 0.00365601851851852 | 0.0376356481481481 |
122 | 1.3686 | 1.37024421296296 | 1.37469166666667 | -0.00444745370370371 | -0.0016442129629628 |
123 | 1.3569 | 1.36632962962963 | 1.3627375 | 0.0035921296296296 | -0.00942962962962945 |
124 | 1.3406 | 1.35792928240741 | 1.35268333333333 | 0.00524594907407404 | -0.0173292824074074 |
125 | 1.2565 | 1.34670081018519 | 1.3436375 | 0.00306331018518522 | -0.0902008101851852 |
126 | 1.2208 | 1.33057164351852 | 1.33260833333333 | -0.00203668981481479 | -0.109771643518518 |
127 | 1.277 | 1.33009803240741 | 1.323 | 0.00709803240740739 | -0.0530980324074073 |
128 | 1.2894 | 1.3194306712963 | 1.31904583333333 | 0.000384837962962926 | -0.0300306712962963 |
129 | 1.3067 | 1.31351400462963 | 1.32068333333333 | -0.00716932870370373 | -0.00681400462962944 |
130 | 1.3898 | 1.32103831018519 | 1.32679166666667 | -0.00575335648148148 | 0.0687616898148149 |
131 | 1.3661 | 1.33161990740741 | 1.33854166666667 | -0.00692175925925922 | 0.034480092592593 |
132 | 1.322 | 1.35834664351852 | 1.35505833333333 | 0.00328831018518523 | -0.0363466435185182 |
133 | 1.336 | 1.37402268518519 | 1.37036666666667 | 0.00365601851851852 | -0.038022685185185 |
134 | 1.3649 | 1.37818171296296 | 1.38262916666667 | -0.00444745370370371 | -0.0132817129629625 |
135 | 1.3999 | 1.39518796296296 | 1.39159583333333 | 0.0035921296296296 | 0.00471203703703726 |
136 | 1.4442 | 1.39897094907407 | 1.393725 | 0.00524594907407404 | 0.0452290509259261 |
137 | 1.4349 | 1.39555081018519 | 1.3924875 | 0.00306331018518522 | 0.0393491898148151 |
138 | 1.4388 | 1.38984247685185 | 1.39187916666667 | -0.00203668981481479 | 0.0489575231481483 |
139 | 1.4264 | 1.39691053240741 | 1.3898125 | 0.00709803240740739 | 0.0294894675925923 |
140 | 1.4343 | 1.3865306712963 | 1.38614583333333 | 0.000384837962962926 | 0.0477693287037035 |
141 | 1.377 | 1.3738806712963 | 1.38105 | -0.00716932870370373 | 0.00311932870370391 |
142 | 1.3706 | 1.36663831018518 | 1.37239166666667 | -0.00575335648148148 | 0.00396168981481515 |
143 | 1.3556 | 1.35363657407407 | 1.36055833333333 | -0.00692175925925922 | 0.0019634259259258 |
144 | 1.3179 | 1.34958831018518 | 1.3463 | 0.00328831018518523 | -0.0316883101851848 |
145 | 1.2905 | 1.33396435185185 | 1.33030833333333 | 0.00365601851851852 | -0.0434643518518516 |
146 | 1.3224 | 1.30953171296296 | 1.31397916666667 | -0.00444745370370371 | 0.0128682870370376 |
147 | 1.3201 | 1.30566712962963 | 1.302075 | 0.0035921296296296 | 0.0144328703703707 |
148 | 1.3162 | 1.30046261574074 | 1.29521666666667 | 0.00524594907407404 | 0.0157373842592594 |
149 | 1.2789 | 1.29219664351852 | 1.28913333333333 | 0.00306331018518522 | -0.0132966435185184 |
150 | 1.2526 | NA | NA | -0.00203668981481479 | NA |
151 | 1.2288 | NA | NA | 0.00709803240740739 | NA |
152 | 1.24 | NA | NA | 0.000384837962962926 | NA |
153 | 1.2856 | NA | NA | -0.00716932870370373 | NA |
154 | 1.2974 | NA | NA | -0.00575335648148148 | NA |
155 | 1.2828 | NA | NA | -0.00692175925925922 | NA |