| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 98.01 | NA | NA | 0.993345612711611 | NA |
| 2 | 99.2 | NA | NA | 0.988868364468653 | NA |
| 3 | 100.7 | NA | NA | 1.01475726593845 | NA |
| 4 | 106.41 | NA | NA | 1.02459153416048 | NA |
| 5 | 107.51 | NA | NA | 1.02496816888972 | NA |
| 6 | 107.1 | NA | NA | 1.01466835807449 | NA |
| 7 | 99.75 | 99.0197936697668 | 104.187083333333 | 0.950403740096702 | 1.00737434711961 |
| 8 | 98.96 | 98.4461101380778 | 104.734166666667 | 0.939961745734784 | 1.00522001185422 |
| 9 | 107.26 | 107.134047780567 | 105.30125 | 1.01740528037955 | 1.00117565071088 |
| 10 | 107.11 | 107.359111212963 | 105.6325 | 1.01634545440998 | 0.997679645349629 |
| 11 | 107.2 | 106.80867598347 | 105.66 | 1.01087143652726 | 1.00366378492127 |
| 12 | 107.65 | 106.059539615892 | 105.656666666667 | 1.00381303860831 | 1.0149959201206 |
| 13 | 104.78 | 104.950275135024 | 105.653333333333 | 0.993345612711611 | 0.998377563710004 |
| 14 | 105.56 | 104.501960643106 | 105.678333333333 | 0.988868364468653 | 1.01012458857597 |
| 15 | 107.95 | 107.261957087332 | 105.702083333333 | 1.01475726593845 | 1.00641460338177 |
| 16 | 107.11 | 108.304875031573 | 105.705416666667 | 1.02459153416048 | 0.988967486170641 |
| 17 | 107.47 | 108.609043736118 | 105.963333333333 | 1.02496816888972 | 0.989512441165718 |
| 18 | 107.06 | 108.021170622128 | 106.459583333333 | 1.01466835807449 | 0.991102016238188 |
| 19 | 99.71 | 101.637759972175 | 106.941666666667 | 0.950403740096702 | 0.981033033660889 |
| 20 | 99.6 | 100.973432281922 | 107.422916666667 | 0.939961745734784 | 0.986398082635365 |
| 21 | 107.19 | 109.860693931984 | 107.98125 | 1.01740528037955 | 0.975690177838876 |
| 22 | 107.26 | 110.540695962539 | 108.762916666667 | 1.01634545440998 | 0.970321374096917 |
| 23 | 113.24 | 110.878697104788 | 109.68625 | 1.01087143652726 | 1.02129627202401 |
| 24 | 113.52 | 110.99913627671 | 110.5775 | 1.00381303860831 | 1.02271066071186 |
| 25 | 110.48 | 110.70919632472 | 111.450833333333 | 0.993345612711611 | 0.99792974448078 |
| 26 | 111.41 | 111.038792560729 | 112.28875 | 0.988868364468653 | 1.00334304282954 |
| 27 | 115.5 | 114.825704058321 | 113.155833333333 | 1.01475726593845 | 1.00587234319362 |
| 28 | 118.32 | 116.888817522141 | 114.083333333333 | 1.02459153416048 | 1.0122439640352 |
| 29 | 118.42 | 117.525412665317 | 114.6625 | 1.02496816888972 | 1.00761186295282 |
| 30 | 117.5 | 116.490269184189 | 114.80625 | 1.01466835807449 | 1.0086679413043 |
| 31 | 110.23 | 109.251681935025 | 114.952916666667 | 0.950403740096702 | 1.00895471856953 |
| 32 | 109.19 | 108.280459902828 | 115.196666666667 | 0.939961745734784 | 1.00839985439652 |
| 33 | 118.41 | 117.37253625212 | 115.364583333333 | 1.01740528037955 | 1.00883906730661 |
| 34 | 118.3 | 117.522565757063 | 115.6325 | 1.01634545440998 | 1.00661519120119 |
| 35 | 116.1 | 117.339007977061 | 116.077083333333 | 1.01087143652726 | 0.98944078360281 |
| 36 | 114.11 | 116.989808840038 | 116.545416666667 | 1.00381303860831 | 0.975384105089223 |
| 37 | 113.41 | 116.253720419672 | 117.0325 | 0.993345612711611 | 0.975538671713852 |
| 38 | 114.33 | 116.206041793563 | 117.514166666667 | 0.988868364468653 | 0.983855901426398 |
| 39 | 116.61 | 119.702881167737 | 117.962083333333 | 1.01475726593845 | 0.97416201567109 |
| 40 | 123.64 | 121.299257163563 | 118.387916666667 | 1.02459153416048 | 1.01929725615121 |
| 41 | 123.77 | 121.496737249695 | 118.537083333333 | 1.02496816888972 | 1.01871048393368 |
| 42 | 123.39 | 120.212410944393 | 118.474583333333 | 1.01466835807449 | 1.02643311976396 |
| 43 | 116.03 | 112.641851276261 | 118.52 | 0.950403740096702 | 1.03007895098802 |
| 44 | 114.95 | 111.379983759388 | 118.494166666667 | 0.939961745734784 | 1.03205258359818 |
| 45 | 123.4 | 120.435350064929 | 118.375 | 1.01740528037955 | 1.02461611091322 |
| 46 | 123.53 | 119.885992415838 | 117.957916666667 | 1.01634545440998 | 1.03039560761629 |
| 47 | 114.45 | 118.562162415259 | 117.287083333333 | 1.01087143652726 | 0.965316401696043 |
| 48 | 114.26 | 117.077224225484 | 116.6325 | 1.00381303860831 | 0.975937042886686 |
| 49 | 114.35 | 115.055497274338 | 115.82625 | 0.993345612711611 | 0.993868200207279 |
| 50 | 112.77 | 113.607790165922 | 114.886666666667 | 0.988868364468653 | 0.992625592270579 |
| 51 | 115.31 | 115.719536083401 | 114.036666666667 | 1.01475726593845 | 0.996460959858098 |
| 52 | 114.93 | 116.099455127699 | 113.312916666667 | 1.02459153416048 | 0.989927126476068 |
| 53 | 116.38 | 115.895286206712 | 113.072083333333 | 1.02496816888972 | 1.00418234260557 |
| 54 | 115.07 | 114.876523716368 | 113.215833333333 | 1.01466835807449 | 1.00168421081499 |
| 55 | 105 | 107.7041078449 | 113.324583333333 | 0.950403740096702 | 0.974893178180404 |
| 56 | 103.43 | 106.5998866316 | 113.40875 | 0.939961745734784 | 0.970263696034175 |
| 57 | 114.52 | 115.4420097326 | 113.467083333333 | 1.01740528037955 | 0.992013221748864 |
| 58 | 115.04 | 115.348856916443 | 113.49375 | 1.01634545440998 | 0.997322410254426 |
| 59 | 117.16 | 114.568799044545 | 113.336666666667 | 1.01087143652726 | 1.02261698627431 |
| 60 | 115 | 113.489847378757 | 113.05875 | 1.00381303860831 | 1.01330649971008 |
| 61 | 116.22 | 112.114366472701 | 112.865416666667 | 0.993345612711611 | 1.03662004840654 |
| 62 | 112.92 | 111.538583113271 | 112.794166666667 | 0.988868364468653 | 1.01238510341597 |
| 63 | 116.56 | 114.339043386198 | 112.67625 | 1.01475726593845 | 1.01942430641387 |
| 64 | 114.32 | 115.253740198877 | 112.4875 | 1.02459153416048 | 0.99189839568533 |
| 65 | 113.22 | 115.258097661719 | 112.450416666667 | 1.02496816888972 | 0.982317097860654 |
| 66 | 111.56 | 114.485453620027 | 112.830416666667 | 1.01466835807449 | 0.974446940397016 |
| 67 | 103.87 | NA | NA | 0.950403740096702 | NA |
| 68 | 102.85 | NA | NA | 0.939961745734784 | NA |
| 69 | 112.27 | NA | NA | 1.01740528037955 | NA |
| 70 | 112.76 | NA | NA | 1.01634545440998 | NA |
| 71 | 118.55 | NA | NA | 1.01087143652726 | NA |
| 72 | 122.73 | NA | NA | 1.00381303860831 | NA |
