Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
59964526-------
60850851-------
61683118938461.5528-219006.96332095930.06890.33270.5590.5590.559
62847224900694.3276-758737.93692560126.59210.47480.60140.60140.5235
631073256859893.9978-1034459.84682754247.84250.41260.50520.50520.5037
641514326882326.1687-1303549.69363068202.03110.28550.4320.4320.5113
651503734886412.7545-1591219.13493364044.6440.31270.30970.30970.5112
661507712874402.2033-1828628.86723577433.27390.3230.32410.32410.5068
672865698876819.6047-2037527.70173791166.91120.09050.33570.33570.507
682788128880430.2931-2242733.94124003594.52740.11560.10640.10640.5074
691391596877959.6543-2435712.43594191631.74450.38060.12930.12930.5064
701366378877431.3143-2614196.72284369059.35130.39190.38640.38640.506
71946295878605.5228-2785061.56344542272.6090.48560.39710.39710.5059
72859626878353.8891-2949433.72254706141.50080.49620.48610.48610.5056


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.6293-0.2721065200329955.581900
620.94-0.05940.16572859075935.449634029702945.5157184471.415
631.1240.24810.193245523343966.934437860916619.322194578.8185
641.2640.71630.324399423786739.678128251634149.411358122.3731
651.42610.69640.3985381085520115.94178818411342.717422869.2603
661.57720.72430.4528401081298538.636215862225875.37464609.7565
671.69582.26830.71213955637271190.27750115803777.499866092.2605
681.80992.16680.8943639310540845.561111265145911.011054165.616
691.92570.5850.8596263822295600.7151017104829209.861008516.1522
702.03030.55720.8294239068861487.354939301232437.612969175.5426
712.12750.0770.7614581865325.8953854326744518.365924297.9739
722.2234-0.02130.6994350733831.0975783162076961.093884964.4495