Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
59	62	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	58	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	39	55.3865	33.6665	77.1065	0.0696	0.4068	0.4068	0.4068
62	49	46.9312	25.1346	68.7278	0.4262	0.7621	0.7621	0.1598
63	58	44.0968	21.5602	66.6334	0.1133	0.3349	0.3349	0.1133
64	47	45.765	23.2282	68.3018	0.4572	0.1436	0.1436	0.1436
65	42	47.2788	24.5857	69.9719	0.3242	0.5096	0.5096	0.1772
66	62	49.5164	26.1492	72.8835	0.1475	0.7358	0.7358	0.2384
67	39	52.6015	29.2291	75.9738	0.127	0.2153	0.2153	0.3254
68	40	53.6112	30.1568	77.0655	0.1277	0.889	0.889	0.3569
69	72	53.3129	29.8038	76.822	0.0596	0.8665	0.8665	0.348
70	70	52.5935	28.9262	76.2607	0.0747	0.054	0.054	0.3272
71	54	51.4358	27.6071	75.2645	0.4165	0.0634	0.0634	0.2946
72	65	50.2632	26.4146	74.1117	0.1129	0.3794	0.3794	0.2624

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.2001	-0.2959	0	268.5181	0	0
62	0.237	0.0441	0.17	4.28	136.3991	11.679
63	0.2608	0.3153	0.2184	193.2992	155.3658	12.4646
64	0.2512	0.027	0.1706	1.5252	116.9056	10.8123
65	0.2449	-0.1117	0.1588	27.8657	99.0977	9.9548
66	0.2408	0.2521	0.1743	155.8412	108.5549	10.419
67	0.2267	-0.2586	0.1864	185.0003	119.4757	10.9305
68	0.2232	-0.2539	0.1948	185.2635	127.6992	11.3004
69	0.225	0.3505	0.2121	349.2065	152.3111	12.3414
70	0.2296	0.331	0.224	302.9874	167.3787	12.9375
71	0.2364	0.0499	0.2082	6.5751	152.7602	12.3596
72	0.2421	0.2932	0.2152	217.1744	158.1281	12.5749