| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 9769 | NA | NA | 182.860339506173 | NA |
| 2 | 9321 | NA | NA | -779.385030864197 | NA |
| 3 | 9939 | NA | NA | 116.744598765432 | NA |
| 4 | 9336 | NA | NA | -143.806327160494 | NA |
| 5 | 10195 | NA | NA | 0.286265432098953 | NA |
| 6 | 9464 | NA | NA | -29.7831790123459 | NA |
| 7 | 10010 | 10234.6983024691 | 9706.29166666667 | 528.406635802469 | -224.698302469136 |
| 8 | 10213 | 10085.9297839506 | 9686.45833333333 | 399.471450617284 | 127.070216049384 |
| 9 | 9563 | 9772.52237654321 | 9656 | 116.52237654321 | -209.522376543209 |
| 10 | 9890 | 9924.12422839506 | 9664.125 | 259.999228395061 | -34.1242283950633 |
| 11 | 9305 | 9158.94830246913 | 9671.20833333333 | -512.260030864197 | 146.051697530866 |
| 12 | 9391 | 9528.73533950617 | 9667.79166666667 | -139.056327160494 | -137.735339506175 |
| 13 | 9928 | 9856.81867283951 | 9673.95833333333 | 182.860339506173 | 71.1813271604933 |
| 14 | 8686 | 8890.2399691358 | 9669.625 | -779.385030864197 | -204.2399691358 |
| 15 | 9843 | 9767.07793209876 | 9650.33333333333 | 116.744598765432 | 75.922067901236 |
| 16 | 9627 | 9495.11033950617 | 9638.91666666667 | -143.806327160494 | 131.889660493829 |
| 17 | 10074 | 9632.6612654321 | 9632.375 | 0.286265432098953 | 441.338734567898 |
| 18 | 9503 | 9590.80015432099 | 9620.58333333333 | -29.7831790123459 | -87.8001543209884 |
| 19 | 10119 | 10131.5316358025 | 9603.125 | 528.406635802469 | -12.5316358024702 |
| 20 | 10000 | 10000.4714506173 | 9601 | 399.471450617284 | -0.471450617282244 |
| 21 | 9313 | 9722.93904320988 | 9606.41666666667 | 116.52237654321 | -409.939043209875 |
| 22 | 9866 | 9839.95756172839 | 9579.95833333333 | 259.999228395061 | 26.0424382716064 |
| 23 | 9172 | 9018.28163580247 | 9530.54166666666 | -512.260030864197 | 153.718364197533 |
| 24 | 9241 | 9342.69367283951 | 9481.75 | -139.056327160494 | -101.693672839507 |
| 25 | 9659 | 9640.11033950617 | 9457.25 | 182.860339506173 | 18.8896604938273 |
| 26 | 8904 | 8666.90663580247 | 9446.29166666667 | -779.385030864197 | 237.093364197532 |
| 27 | 9755 | 9560.2862654321 | 9443.54166666667 | 116.744598765432 | 194.713734567902 |
| 28 | 9080 | 9301.15200617284 | 9444.95833333334 | -143.806327160494 | -221.152006172841 |
| 29 | 9435 | 9426.11959876543 | 9425.83333333333 | 0.286265432098953 | 8.88040123456631 |
| 30 | 8971 | 9388.13348765432 | 9417.91666666667 | -29.7831790123459 | -417.133487654321 |
| 31 | 10063 | 9953.78163580247 | 9425.375 | 528.406635802469 | 109.21836419753 |
| 32 | 9793 | 9814.63811728395 | 9415.16666666666 | 399.471450617284 | -21.6381172839483 |
| 33 | 9454 | 9506.06404320987 | 9389.54166666666 | 116.52237654321 | -52.0640432098735 |
| 34 | 9759 | 9656.91589506173 | 9396.91666666667 | 259.999228395061 | 102.084104938273 |
| 35 | 8820 | 8900.8649691358 | 9413.125 | -512.260030864197 | -80.8649691358023 |
| 36 | 9403 | 9288.0686728395 | 9427.125 | -139.056327160494 | 114.931327160495 |
| 37 | 9676 | 9640.52700617284 | 9457.66666666667 | 182.860339506173 | 35.4729938271612 |
| 38 | 8642 | 8678.7399691358 | 9458.125 | -779.385030864197 | -36.7399691358005 |
| 39 | 9402 | 9579.11959876543 | 9462.375 | 116.744598765432 | -177.11959876543 |
| 40 | 9610 | 9326.23533950617 | 9470.04166666667 | -143.806327160494 | 283.764660493829 |
| 41 | 9294 | 9467.82793209877 | 9467.54166666667 | 0.286265432098953 | -173.827932098768 |
| 42 | 9448 | 9456.34182098765 | 9486.125 | -29.7831790123459 | -8.34182098765268 |
| 43 | 10319 | 10035.1983024691 | 9506.79166666666 | 528.406635802469 | 283.801697530866 |
| 44 | 9548 | 9932.76311728395 | 9533.29166666667 | 399.471450617284 | -384.763117283952 |
| 45 | 9801 | 9685.77237654321 | 9569.25 | 116.52237654321 | 115.227623456791 |
| 46 | 9596 | 9838.04089506173 | 9578.04166666667 | 259.999228395061 | -242.040895061727 |
| 47 | 8923 | 9053.2399691358 | 9565.5 | -512.260030864197 | -130.239969135802 |
| 48 | 9746 | 9440.40200617284 | 9579.45833333333 | -139.056327160494 | 305.597993827161 |
| 49 | 9829 | 9786.98533950617 | 9604.125 | 182.860339506173 | 42.0146604938273 |
| 50 | 9125 | 8857.4899691358 | 9636.875 | -779.385030864197 | 267.510030864198 |
| 51 | 9782 | 9788.82793209877 | 9672.08333333333 | 116.744598765432 | -6.82793209876581 |
| 52 | 9441 | 9546.19367283951 | 9690 | -143.806327160494 | -105.193672839507 |
| 53 | 9162 | 9721.61959876543 | 9721.33333333333 | 0.286265432098953 | -559.619598765432 |
| 54 | 9915 | 9728.71682098766 | 9758.5 | -29.7831790123459 | 186.283179012344 |
| 55 | 10444 | 10303.8233024691 | 9775.41666666666 | 528.406635802469 | 140.176697530866 |
| 56 | 10209 | 10177.6797839506 | 9778.20833333333 | 399.471450617284 | 31.3202160493838 |
| 57 | 9985 | 9918.81404320988 | 9802.29166666667 | 116.52237654321 | 66.1859567901247 |
| 58 | 9842 | 10100.1658950617 | 9840.16666666667 | 259.999228395061 | -258.165895061727 |
| 59 | 9429 | 9376.69830246914 | 9888.95833333333 | -512.260030864197 | 52.3016975308637 |
| 60 | 10132 | 9788.48533950617 | 9927.54166666667 | -139.056327160494 | 343.514660493827 |
| 61 | 9849 | 10100.8603395062 | 9918 | 182.860339506173 | -251.860339506173 |
| 62 | 9172 | 9137.3649691358 | 9916.75 | -779.385030864197 | 34.6350308641977 |
| 63 | 10313 | 10056.6195987654 | 9939.875 | 116.744598765432 | 256.38040123457 |
| 64 | 9819 | 9821.65200617284 | 9965.45833333333 | -143.806327160494 | -2.65200617283881 |
| 65 | 9955 | 9982.45293209877 | 9982.16666666667 | 0.286265432098953 | -27.4529320987658 |
| 66 | 10048 | 9945.75848765432 | 9975.54166666667 | -29.7831790123459 | 102.241512345679 |
| 67 | 10082 | 10509.7816358025 | 9981.375 | 528.406635802469 | -427.78163580247 |
| 68 | 10541 | 10395.9297839506 | 9996.45833333333 | 399.471450617284 | 145.070216049384 |
| 69 | 10208 | 10121.8973765432 | 10005.375 | 116.52237654321 | 86.1026234567889 |
| 70 | 10233 | 10269.4992283951 | 10009.5 | 259.999228395061 | -36.4992283950633 |
| 71 | 9439 | 9516.94830246914 | 10029.2083333333 | -512.260030864197 | -77.9483024691363 |
| 72 | 9963 | 9922.15200617284 | 10061.2083333333 | -139.056327160494 | 40.8479938271612 |
| 73 | 10158 | 10268.8603395062 | 10086 | 182.860339506173 | -110.860339506173 |
| 74 | 9225 | 9325.82330246913 | 10105.2083333333 | -779.385030864197 | -100.823302469134 |
| 75 | 10474 | 10246.3695987654 | 10129.625 | 116.744598765432 | 227.630401234568 |
| 76 | 9757 | 10029.1520061728 | 10172.9583333333 | -143.806327160494 | -272.152006172837 |
| 77 | 10490 | 10212.6612654321 | 10212.375 | 0.286265432098953 | 277.338734567902 |
| 78 | 10281 | 10189.9668209877 | 10219.75 | -29.7831790123459 | 91.0331790123473 |
| 79 | 10444 | 10749.6983024691 | 10221.2916666667 | 528.406635802469 | -305.698302469136 |
| 80 | 10640 | 10643.2214506173 | 10243.75 | 399.471450617284 | -3.22145061728588 |
| 81 | 10695 | 10369.1890432099 | 10252.6666666667 | 116.52237654321 | 325.810956790125 |
| 82 | 10786 | 10507.3325617284 | 10247.3333333333 | 259.999228395061 | 278.667438271606 |
| 83 | 9832 | 9734.82330246914 | 10247.0833333333 | -512.260030864197 | 97.1766975308637 |
| 84 | 9747 | 10103.0686728395 | 10242.125 | -139.056327160494 | -356.068672839507 |
| 85 | 10411 | 10437.5686728395 | 10254.7083333333 | 182.860339506173 | -26.5686728395031 |
| 86 | 9511 | 9517.57330246913 | 10296.9583333333 | -779.385030864197 | -6.57330246913443 |
| 87 | 10402 | 10423.3695987654 | 10306.625 | 116.744598765432 | -21.3695987654319 |
| 88 | 9701 | 10151.8603395062 | 10295.6666666667 | -143.806327160494 | -450.860339506171 |
| 89 | 10540 | 10300.2029320988 | 10299.9166666667 | 0.286265432098953 | 239.797067901234 |
| 90 | 10112 | 10291.925154321 | 10321.7083333333 | -29.7831790123459 | -179.92515432099 |
| 91 | 10915 | 10891.8233024691 | 10363.4166666667 | 528.406635802469 | 23.1766975308619 |
| 92 | 11183 | 10799.888117284 | 10400.4166666667 | 399.471450617284 | 383.11188271605 |
| 93 | 10384 | 10523.4807098765 | 10406.9583333333 | 116.52237654321 | -139.480709876541 |
| 94 | 10834 | 10705.9992283951 | 10446 | 259.999228395061 | 128.000771604939 |
| 95 | 9886 | 9982.44830246913 | 10494.7083333333 | -512.260030864197 | -96.4483024691344 |
| 96 | 10216 | 10379.3186728395 | 10518.375 | -139.056327160494 | -163.318672839507 |
| 97 | 10943 | 10747.9853395062 | 10565.125 | 182.860339506173 | 195.014660493827 |
| 98 | 9867 | 9788.2399691358 | 10567.625 | -779.385030864197 | 78.7600308641959 |
| 99 | 10203 | 10682.4945987654 | 10565.75 | 116.744598765432 | -479.494598765434 |
| 100 | 10837 | 10442.0686728395 | 10585.875 | -143.806327160494 | 394.931327160495 |
| 101 | 10573 | 10588.6612654321 | 10588.375 | 0.286265432098953 | -15.6612654320979 |
| 102 | 10647 | 10565.8418209877 | 10595.625 | -29.7831790123459 | 81.1581790123473 |
| 103 | 11502 | 11119.4483024691 | 10591.0416666667 | 528.406635802469 | 382.551697530864 |
| 104 | 10656 | 10964.263117284 | 10564.7916666667 | 399.471450617284 | -308.26311728395 |
| 105 | 10866 | 10680.1057098765 | 10563.5833333333 | 116.52237654321 | 185.894290123457 |
| 106 | 10835 | 10830.7492283951 | 10570.75 | 259.999228395061 | 4.25077160493856 |
| 107 | 9945 | 10040.5316358025 | 10552.7916666667 | -512.260030864197 | -95.5316358024684 |
| 108 | 10331 | 10408.8603395062 | 10547.9166666667 | -139.056327160494 | -77.8603395061746 |
| 109 | 10718 | 10723.0686728395 | 10540.2083333333 | 182.860339506173 | -5.06867283950669 |
| 110 | 9462 | 9763.40663580247 | 10542.7916666667 | -779.385030864197 | -301.406635802468 |
| 111 | 10579 | 10680.6195987654 | 10563.875 | 116.744598765432 | -101.61959876543 |
| 112 | 10633 | 10423.3603395062 | 10567.1666666667 | -143.806327160494 | 209.639660493829 |
| 113 | 10346 | 10568.5779320988 | 10568.2916666667 | 0.286265432098953 | -222.577932098764 |
| 114 | 10757 | 10556.300154321 | 10586.0833333333 | -29.7831790123459 | 200.699845679012 |
| 115 | 11207 | NA | NA | 528.406635802469 | NA |
| 116 | 11013 | NA | NA | 399.471450617284 | NA |
| 117 | 11015 | NA | NA | 116.52237654321 | NA |
| 118 | 10765 | NA | NA | 259.999228395061 | NA |
| 119 | 10042 | NA | NA | -512.260030864197 | NA |
| 120 | 10661 | NA | NA | -139.056327160494 | NA |
